Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 4 June 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 22.0% 21.0–23.0% 20.8–23.3% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–24.0%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
Democraten 66 12.2% 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9%
GroenLinks 9.1% 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 6.7% 6.1–7.3% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.6% 5.6–7.9%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.3%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.3%
50Plus 3.1% 2.7% 2.3–3.1% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 2.7% 2.3–3.1% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
DENK 2.1% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 33 33–35 32–35 30–37 30–38
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 20 19–22 19–22 19–22 17–22
Democraten 66 19 20 19–22 19–22 19–24 18–24
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 18 15–19 15–19 15–20 15–20
GroenLinks 14 15 13–16 13–16 13–16 12–17
Socialistische Partij 14 12 11–14 11–14 10–14 10–15
Partij van de Arbeid 9 10 9–10 8–11 8–11 8–11
ChristenUnie 5 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 3–6
Partij voor de Dieren 5 4 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
50Plus 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–4 2–5
Forum voor Democratie 2 4 4–5 3–5 3–5 3–5
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 2 2–3 2–3 2–4 2–4
DENK 3 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 3% 100%  
31 1.2% 97%  
32 1.2% 96%  
33 54% 95% Last Result, Median
34 14% 41%  
35 24% 27%  
36 0.6% 3%  
37 1.2% 3%  
38 1.4% 1.5%  
39 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.9% 100%  
18 0.6% 99.1%  
19 48% 98.5%  
20 14% 51% Last Result, Median
21 24% 37%  
22 12% 13%  
23 0.2% 0.2%  
24 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.2% 100%  
18 1.1% 99.8%  
19 45% 98.7% Last Result
20 34% 54% Median
21 6% 20%  
22 9% 14%  
23 2% 5%  
24 3% 3%  
25 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 10% 99.9%  
16 5% 90%  
17 3% 85%  
18 51% 81% Median
19 27% 30% Last Result
20 3% 3%  
21 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 2% 100%  
13 13% 98%  
14 25% 85% Last Result
15 24% 60% Median
16 35% 36%  
17 0.7% 0.7%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 4% 99.9%  
11 31% 96%  
12 41% 65% Median
13 2% 24%  
14 21% 22% Last Result
15 0.6% 0.6%  
16 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 8% 100%  
9 39% 92% Last Result
10 46% 53% Median
11 6% 7%  
12 0.3% 0.4%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 2% 100%  
4 38% 98%  
5 31% 60% Last Result, Median
6 29% 29%  
7 0.1% 0.1%  
8 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.5% 100%  
4 53% 99.5% Median
5 43% 47% Last Result
6 4% 4%  
7 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 1.2% 100%  
3 29% 98.8%  
4 68% 70% Last Result, Median
5 2% 2%  
6 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100% Last Result
3 9% 99.9%  
4 72% 91% Median
5 19% 19%  
6 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 54% 99.8% Median
3 41% 45% Last Result
4 5% 5%  
5 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 54% 99.9% Median
3 45% 46% Last Result
4 0.7% 0.7%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 90 91 100% 90–93 89–93 88–93 86–95
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 85 86 100% 84–86 83–88 83–90 82–91
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 80 79 98% 77–81 76–81 76–81 73–82
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 78 95% 76–80 75–80 75–80 73–82
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 76 76 86% 74–78 74–78 73–79 72–80
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 76 56% 73–78 72–78 72–78 70–79
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 71 71 0.2% 70–73 69–74 69–74 67–75
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 72 71 0.1% 69–74 69–74 69–74 67–75
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 66 68 0% 65–69 65–69 64–69 61–69
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 61 63 0% 62–64 62–67 62–67 62–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 62 0% 60–63 58–64 58–65 56–65
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 61 60 0% 58–63 58–64 58–65 57–65
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie 58 60 0% 57–61 55–61 55–62 53–63
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 58 0% 56–59 55–60 54–61 52–61
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 56 0% 53–57 52–57 52–58 49–59
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 52 0% 49–53 49–54 48–54 46–55
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 47 47 0% 46–49 44–50 44–50 44–51
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 43 0% 41–45 41–45 41–47 40–48
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 38 38 0% 37–40 35–41 35–41 34–41
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 33 32 0% 29–34 29–34 28–36 28–37
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 28 27 0% 25–29 24–29 24–31 24–31

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0.5% 99.9%  
87 0.1% 99.4%  
88 3% 99.3%  
89 4% 96%  
90 30% 92% Last Result
91 27% 62% Median
92 6% 35%  
93 28% 29%  
94 0.7% 1.2%  
95 0.5% 0.5%  
96 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
81 0.1% 100%  
82 1.4% 99.9%  
83 7% 98.5%  
84 2% 91%  
85 4% 89% Last Result
86 78% 85% Median
87 2% 8%  
88 0.5% 5%  
89 0.7% 5%  
90 3% 4%  
91 0.9% 0.9%  
92 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 1.4% 100%  
74 0.1% 98.6%  
75 0.7% 98%  
76 3% 98% Majority
77 15% 95%  
78 2% 80%  
79 44% 78%  
80 7% 34% Last Result, Median
81 27% 28%  
82 0.5% 0.8%  
83 0.1% 0.2%  
84 0% 0.1%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 2% 99.9%  
74 0.1% 98%  
75 4% 98%  
76 8% 95% Majority
77 28% 86% Last Result, Median
78 21% 59%  
79 5% 38%  
80 32% 34%  
81 1.4% 2%  
82 0.5% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.1% 99.9%  
72 1.3% 99.9%  
73 2% 98.6%  
74 6% 96%  
75 4% 90%  
76 43% 86% Last Result, Median, Majority
77 31% 43%  
78 8% 13%  
79 3% 5%  
80 1.5% 2%  
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 2% 99.9%  
71 0.3% 98%  
72 3% 98%  
73 7% 95%  
74 29% 88% Last Result
75 4% 60% Median
76 21% 56% Majority
77 5% 35%  
78 28% 30%  
79 2% 2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
66 0.1% 100%  
67 1.2% 99.9%  
68 0.9% 98.7%  
69 6% 98%  
70 2% 92%  
71 47% 89% Last Result, Median
72 26% 42%  
73 6% 16%  
74 9% 10%  
75 1.1% 1.3%  
76 0.1% 0.2% Majority
77 0.1% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0% 99.9%  
67 2% 99.9%  
68 0.2% 98%  
69 9% 98%  
70 28% 88%  
71 21% 60% Median
72 3% 39% Last Result
73 6% 36%  
74 28% 30%  
75 2% 2%  
76 0% 0.1% Majority
77 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 1.4% 100%  
62 0.1% 98.6%  
63 0.2% 98.5%  
64 2% 98%  
65 30% 96%  
66 10% 66% Last Result
67 1.5% 57%  
68 23% 55% Median
69 32% 33%  
70 0.1% 0.5%  
71 0.1% 0.4%  
72 0.2% 0.2%  
73 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 0.3% 99.9% Last Result
62 45% 99.6%  
63 20% 54% Median
64 26% 35%  
65 2% 9%  
66 1.0% 7%  
67 5% 6%  
68 0.9% 1.0%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 2% 100%  
57 0.1% 98%  
58 5% 98%  
59 0.8% 93%  
60 7% 92%  
61 4% 85% Last Result, Median
62 55% 81%  
63 20% 25%  
64 3% 6%  
65 3% 3%  
66 0.5% 0.5%  
67 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 1.2% 100%  
58 13% 98.8%  
59 1.1% 86%  
60 35% 85%  
61 1.3% 50% Last Result, Median
62 20% 49%  
63 22% 28%  
64 2% 6%  
65 4% 4%  
66 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 2% 100%  
54 0.2% 98%  
55 3% 98%  
56 2% 95%  
57 9% 93%  
58 3% 84% Last Result
59 27% 81% Median
60 30% 54%  
61 19% 24%  
62 4% 5%  
63 0.6% 0.6%  
64 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 1.1% 100%  
53 0.5% 98.9%  
54 2% 98%  
55 3% 96%  
56 7% 93%  
57 4% 86% Last Result, Median
58 33% 82%  
59 44% 49%  
60 2% 5%  
61 3% 3%  
62 0.5% 0.5%  
63 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 1.1% 100%  
50 0.5% 98.9%  
51 0.3% 98%  
52 5% 98%  
53 8% 93%  
54 1.3% 85% Last Result
55 28% 83% Median
56 8% 55%  
57 43% 47%  
58 3% 4%  
59 0.6% 0.6%  
60 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 1.1% 100%  
47 0.6% 98.8%  
48 2% 98%  
49 11% 96%  
50 2% 85%  
51 28% 83% Median
52 26% 56% Last Result
53 24% 29%  
54 5% 5%  
55 0.7% 0.7%  
56 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 7% 99.9%  
45 0.7% 92%  
46 3% 92%  
47 49% 89% Last Result
48 25% 40% Median
49 8% 15%  
50 4% 6%  
51 2% 2%  
52 0.2% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 2% 100%  
41 9% 98%  
42 28% 89% Last Result
43 30% 61% Median
44 3% 31%  
45 24% 28%  
46 2% 4%  
47 1.1% 3%  
48 2% 2%  
49 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 2% 99.9%  
35 6% 98%  
36 1.2% 92%  
37 26% 91%  
38 47% 65% Last Result, Median
39 8% 18%  
40 0.7% 10%  
41 9% 9%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 4% 100%  
29 7% 96%  
30 0.9% 88%  
31 12% 87%  
32 27% 76%  
33 26% 49% Last Result, Median
34 19% 23%  
35 0.5% 4%  
36 0.9% 3%  
37 2% 2%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 9% 100%  
25 3% 91%  
26 3% 88%  
27 37% 85%  
28 24% 48% Last Result, Median
29 20% 24%  
30 1.3% 4%  
31 3% 3%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0.1% 0.1%  
34 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations