Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 15 June 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 23.7% | 22.0–25.5% | 21.6–26.0% | 21.2–26.4% | 20.4–27.3% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.9–14.7% | 11.6–15.1% | 11.2–15.5% | 10.7–16.2% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.0–13.6% | 10.6–14.0% | 10.3–14.4% | 9.7–15.1% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.2–12.8% | 9.9–13.2% | 9.6–13.5% | 9.0–14.2% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2–10.6% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.4% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 1.9–4.8% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.1% | 1.4–3.3% | 1.2–3.7% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1–2.1% | 1.0–2.3% | 0.9–2.5% | 0.7–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 38 | 34–40 | 33–40 | 33–40 | 32–41 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 21 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 16–25 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 18 | 17–19 | 15–21 | 15–21 | 15–23 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 17 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 13–21 | 13–21 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 14 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 12–18 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 6–12 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 9 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 6–11 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–9 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 3–7 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 3–6 | 3–7 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 6% | 98.6% | Last Result |
| 34 | 11% | 92% | |
| 35 | 2% | 81% | |
| 36 | 3% | 79% | |
| 37 | 24% | 77% | |
| 38 | 14% | 53% | Median |
| 39 | 20% | 38% | |
| 40 | 18% | 18% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 10% | 99.5% | |
| 18 | 4% | 90% | |
| 19 | 15% | 86% | Last Result |
| 20 | 21% | 71% | |
| 21 | 10% | 50% | Median |
| 22 | 18% | 40% | |
| 23 | 21% | 22% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 3% | 93% | |
| 17 | 39% | 91% | |
| 18 | 20% | 52% | Median |
| 19 | 24% | 32% | |
| 20 | 2% | 9% | Last Result |
| 21 | 6% | 7% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 5% | 100% | |
| 14 | 3% | 95% | |
| 15 | 7% | 92% | |
| 16 | 24% | 85% | |
| 17 | 29% | 61% | Median |
| 18 | 15% | 32% | |
| 19 | 13% | 18% | Last Result |
| 20 | 2% | 5% | |
| 21 | 3% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 27% | 99.5% | |
| 13 | 22% | 73% | |
| 14 | 18% | 51% | Last Result, Median |
| 15 | 11% | 32% | |
| 16 | 14% | 22% | |
| 17 | 7% | 8% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 3% | 98% | |
| 8 | 34% | 96% | |
| 9 | 43% | 62% | Median |
| 10 | 14% | 19% | |
| 11 | 4% | 5% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 24% | 92% | |
| 9 | 39% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 25% | 29% | |
| 11 | 4% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 17% | 98.6% | Last Result |
| 6 | 50% | 81% | Median |
| 7 | 21% | 31% | |
| 8 | 2% | 10% | |
| 9 | 8% | 8% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 33% | 98% | |
| 5 | 59% | 65% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 3% | 6% | |
| 7 | 3% | 3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 44% | 96% | |
| 5 | 49% | 53% | Median |
| 6 | 2% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 10% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 56% | 89% | Median |
| 4 | 31% | 34% | Last Result |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 48% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 34% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 16% | 17% | |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 19% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 49% | 81% | Median |
| 3 | 31% | 32% | Last Result |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 95 | 100% | 93–97 | 93–97 | 92–97 | 91–97 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 90 | 100% | 87–93 | 84–93 | 84–93 | 83–94 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 78 | 91% | 76–84 | 75–86 | 75–86 | 73–86 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 76 | 81 | 99.3% | 78–83 | 76–83 | 76–83 | 75–85 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 76 | 73% | 73–82 | 72–83 | 72–83 | 71–83 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 80 | 76 | 61% | 71–79 | 71–79 | 71–80 | 70–82 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 71 | 15% | 69–77 | 67–78 | 67–78 | 66–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 71 | 75 | 48% | 72–77 | 70–77 | 70–77 | 69–80 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 68 | 0% | 63–70 | 63–70 | 62–71 | 62–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 67 | 0% | 62–70 | 61–71 | 60–71 | 58–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 64 | 0% | 62–69 | 61–70 | 60–70 | 58–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 63 | 0% | 60–67 | 58–68 | 58–68 | 57–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 62 | 0% | 59–67 | 59–67 | 58–67 | 56–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 61 | 0% | 58–65 | 57–67 | 57–67 | 55–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 59 | 0% | 56–63 | 55–64 | 55–64 | 53–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 54 | 0% | 52–58 | 50–59 | 50–59 | 49–60 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 46 | 0% | 43–50 | 43–50 | 43–51 | 41–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 47 | 0% | 42–49 | 41–49 | 41–49 | 40–50 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 38 | 37 | 0% | 35–40 | 34–40 | 33–41 | 33–42 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 33 | 0% | 30–34 | 28–35 | 28–37 | 28–38 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 26 | 0% | 24–28 | 22–29 | 22–30 | 22–32 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 89 | 0% | 100% | |
| 90 | 0.3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 91 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 92 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 93 | 7% | 97% | |
| 94 | 18% | 90% | |
| 95 | 39% | 71% | |
| 96 | 18% | 33% | Median |
| 97 | 15% | 15% | |
| 98 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 99 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 100 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 101 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 84 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 94% | Last Result |
| 86 | 2% | 94% | |
| 87 | 6% | 92% | |
| 88 | 4% | 85% | |
| 89 | 8% | 81% | |
| 90 | 29% | 73% | |
| 91 | 19% | 44% | Median |
| 92 | 2% | 25% | |
| 93 | 22% | 23% | |
| 94 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 95 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 96 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 98 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 75 | 7% | 98% | |
| 76 | 16% | 91% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 75% | Last Result |
| 78 | 39% | 71% | |
| 79 | 2% | 32% | |
| 80 | 2% | 30% | Median |
| 81 | 11% | 28% | |
| 82 | 5% | 17% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 12% | |
| 84 | 4% | 12% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 86 | 8% | 8% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 5% | 99.3% | Last Result, Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 94% | |
| 78 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 79 | 6% | 90% | |
| 80 | 12% | 84% | |
| 81 | 25% | 72% | |
| 82 | 7% | 46% | Median |
| 83 | 36% | 39% | |
| 84 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 85 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 7% | 99.1% | |
| 73 | 3% | 92% | |
| 74 | 3% | 89% | Last Result |
| 75 | 14% | 87% | |
| 76 | 41% | 73% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.4% | 32% | |
| 78 | 13% | 31% | Median |
| 79 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 80 | 5% | 17% | |
| 81 | 2% | 12% | |
| 82 | 2% | 10% | |
| 83 | 8% | 8% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 9% | 98% | |
| 72 | 5% | 90% | |
| 73 | 17% | 84% | |
| 74 | 3% | 67% | |
| 75 | 3% | 64% | |
| 76 | 18% | 61% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 29% | 44% | |
| 78 | 2% | 15% | |
| 79 | 9% | 13% | |
| 80 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 6% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 1.5% | 93% | |
| 69 | 3% | 92% | |
| 70 | 3% | 89% | |
| 71 | 42% | 85% | |
| 72 | 10% | 43% | Last Result |
| 73 | 4% | 33% | Median |
| 74 | 12% | 29% | |
| 75 | 2% | 17% | |
| 76 | 5% | 15% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.0% | 10% | |
| 78 | 9% | 9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 7% | 99.1% | |
| 71 | 2% | 92% | Last Result |
| 72 | 4% | 90% | |
| 73 | 14% | 86% | |
| 74 | 13% | 72% | |
| 75 | 10% | 59% | |
| 76 | 9% | 48% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 37% | 39% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 9% | 95% | |
| 64 | 7% | 86% | |
| 65 | 14% | 79% | |
| 66 | 8% | 64% | Last Result |
| 67 | 3% | 56% | Median |
| 68 | 40% | 53% | |
| 69 | 2% | 13% | |
| 70 | 7% | 10% | |
| 71 | 3% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 61 | 6% | 96% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 89% | |
| 64 | 8% | 88% | |
| 65 | 5% | 81% | |
| 66 | 16% | 76% | |
| 67 | 19% | 60% | |
| 68 | 3% | 41% | Median |
| 69 | 12% | 38% | |
| 70 | 21% | 27% | |
| 71 | 5% | 5% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 61 | 7% | 97% | Last Result |
| 62 | 10% | 90% | |
| 63 | 23% | 81% | |
| 64 | 28% | 58% | |
| 65 | 12% | 30% | Median |
| 66 | 2% | 18% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 16% | |
| 68 | 5% | 15% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 70 | 9% | 10% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 93% | |
| 60 | 3% | 92% | |
| 61 | 8% | 89% | Last Result |
| 62 | 8% | 81% | |
| 63 | 30% | 73% | |
| 64 | 24% | 43% | Median |
| 65 | 5% | 19% | |
| 66 | 3% | 13% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 68 | 9% | 10% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 1.5% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 59 | 9% | 97% | |
| 60 | 6% | 88% | |
| 61 | 17% | 82% | |
| 62 | 46% | 65% | |
| 63 | 2% | 19% | Median |
| 64 | 1.2% | 17% | |
| 65 | 2% | 16% | |
| 66 | 4% | 14% | |
| 67 | 8% | 10% | |
| 68 | 2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 57 | 7% | 98.6% | Last Result |
| 58 | 3% | 92% | |
| 59 | 15% | 89% | |
| 60 | 21% | 74% | |
| 61 | 23% | 53% | |
| 62 | 12% | 30% | Median |
| 63 | 3% | 18% | |
| 64 | 4% | 15% | |
| 65 | 2% | 11% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 10% | |
| 67 | 8% | 8% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.2% | Last Result |
| 55 | 7% | 98.6% | |
| 56 | 4% | 92% | |
| 57 | 10% | 88% | |
| 58 | 22% | 78% | |
| 59 | 36% | 56% | |
| 60 | 4% | 20% | Median |
| 61 | 0.6% | 16% | |
| 62 | 5% | 16% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 64 | 9% | 10% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 52 | 9% | 92% | Last Result |
| 53 | 10% | 82% | |
| 54 | 39% | 73% | |
| 55 | 15% | 34% | Median |
| 56 | 5% | 19% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 58 | 4% | 14% | |
| 59 | 8% | 10% | |
| 60 | 2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 43 | 9% | 98% | |
| 44 | 12% | 89% | |
| 45 | 26% | 77% | |
| 46 | 14% | 51% | |
| 47 | 2% | 38% | Last Result, Median |
| 48 | 8% | 35% | |
| 49 | 2% | 27% | |
| 50 | 22% | 25% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 52 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 42 | 3% | 93% | Last Result |
| 43 | 7% | 90% | |
| 44 | 3% | 82% | |
| 45 | 6% | 80% | |
| 46 | 3% | 74% | |
| 47 | 48% | 71% | Median |
| 48 | 7% | 23% | |
| 49 | 15% | 17% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 6% | 97% | |
| 35 | 7% | 91% | |
| 36 | 24% | 84% | |
| 37 | 12% | 61% | |
| 38 | 14% | 49% | Last Result, Median |
| 39 | 7% | 35% | |
| 40 | 23% | 28% | |
| 41 | 4% | 5% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 6% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 3% | 94% | |
| 30 | 13% | 91% | |
| 31 | 12% | 78% | |
| 32 | 13% | 65% | Median |
| 33 | 36% | 53% | Last Result |
| 34 | 9% | 17% | |
| 35 | 4% | 8% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 37 | 2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 22 | 6% | 99.5% | |
| 23 | 1.5% | 94% | |
| 24 | 19% | 92% | |
| 25 | 21% | 73% | |
| 26 | 6% | 52% | Median |
| 27 | 29% | 46% | |
| 28 | 11% | 17% | Last Result |
| 29 | 3% | 6% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 32 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 15 June 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.70%