Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 18 June 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 22.0% | 21.0–23.0% | 20.8–23.3% | 20.5–23.5% | 20.1–24.0% | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.2–14.8% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.4–15.7% | 
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.6–14.2% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.2–14.6% | 11.8–15.0% | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% | 
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% | 
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% | 
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% | 
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 34 | 33–37 | 32–37 | 32–37 | 31–37 | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 20 | 20–22 | 20–22 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 20 | 20–21 | 20–22 | 19–22 | 18–22 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 17 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 
| GroenLinks | 14 | 14 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 10 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 11 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 
| 50Plus | 4 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 32 | 8% | 99.3% | |
| 33 | 20% | 92% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 47% | 71% | Median | 
| 35 | 6% | 24% | |
| 36 | 3% | 18% | |
| 37 | 16% | 16% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 73% | 96% | Last Result, Median | 
| 21 | 4% | 23% | |
| 22 | 16% | 19% | |
| 23 | 3% | 3% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 99.1% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 53% | 97% | Median | 
| 21 | 36% | 44% | |
| 22 | 8% | 8% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 29% | 98% | |
| 17 | 24% | 69% | Median | 
| 18 | 40% | 45% | |
| 19 | 5% | 5% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 14 | 59% | 97% | Last Result, Median | 
| 15 | 36% | 38% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6% | 100% | |
| 10 | 63% | 94% | Median | 
| 11 | 9% | 31% | |
| 12 | 22% | 22% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 4% | 98.7% | Last Result | 
| 10 | 42% | 94% | |
| 11 | 38% | 52% | Median | 
| 12 | 14% | 14% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | 
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 58% | 99.9% | Median | 
| 5 | 22% | 42% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 20% | 20% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 39% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 26% | 61% | Last Result, Median | 
| 6 | 36% | 36% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | 
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 29% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 69% | 71% | Median | 
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | 
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 54% | 100% | Median | 
| 3 | 45% | 46% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result | 
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 99.1% | 99.4% | Last Result, Median | 
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 49% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 47% | 51% | Last Result, Median | 
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 91 | 100% | 89–92 | 89–92 | 88–92 | 88–93 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 87 | 100% | 87–88 | 85–88 | 84–88 | 82–90 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 80 | 99.9% | 77–81 | 77–81 | 77–82 | 76–83 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 80 | 78 | 80% | 75–80 | 75–80 | 75–80 | 75–81 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 77 | 77% | 74–78 | 74–78 | 74–79 | 73–80 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 76 | 77 | 84% | 75–77 | 75–78 | 74–78 | 72–79 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 72 | 0.2% | 70–73 | 70–73 | 70–74 | 69–75 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 71 | 73 | 0% | 70–73 | 70–73 | 70–73 | 68–73 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 68 | 0% | 65–68 | 65–69 | 65–69 | 64–69 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 65 | 0% | 64–68 | 63–68 | 63–68 | 62–68 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 62 | 0% | 60–63 | 60–63 | 59–64 | 58–64 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 62 | 0% | 60–64 | 60–64 | 59–64 | 58–64 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 59 | 0% | 57–60 | 57–60 | 57–61 | 55–61 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 60 | 0% | 57–61 | 57–61 | 57–61 | 56–61 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 57 | 0% | 54–58 | 54–58 | 54–58 | 53–58 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 52 | 0% | 50–53 | 50–53 | 49–53 | 48–54 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 48 | 0% | 47–49 | 47–50 | 45–50 | 44–50 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 44 | 0% | 43–48 | 42–48 | 41–48 | 41–48 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 38 | 37 | 0% | 36–39 | 36–40 | 35–41 | 34–41 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 32 | 0% | 31–34 | 31–34 | 30–34 | 29–35 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 28 | 0% | 27–28 | 27–28 | 25–29 | 24–30 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 86 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 88 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 89 | 13% | 97% | Median | 
| 90 | 23% | 84% | Last Result | 
| 91 | 20% | 61% | |
| 92 | 40% | 41% | |
| 93 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 94 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 95 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.8% | 98.5% | |
| 84 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 85 | 2% | 97% | Last Result | 
| 86 | 4% | 95% | Median | 
| 87 | 67% | 91% | |
| 88 | 23% | 24% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 1.3% | |
| 90 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 99.9% | Majority | 
| 77 | 19% | 99.3% | Last Result | 
| 78 | 4% | 81% | |
| 79 | 8% | 77% | Median | 
| 80 | 48% | 69% | |
| 81 | 16% | 20% | |
| 82 | 3% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 20% | 99.8% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 80% | Median, Majority | 
| 77 | 16% | 78% | |
| 78 | 37% | 63% | |
| 79 | 3% | 26% | |
| 80 | 22% | 22% | Last Result | 
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 18% | 99.3% | Last Result | 
| 75 | 4% | 81% | |
| 76 | 8% | 77% | Median, Majority | 
| 77 | 48% | 69% | |
| 78 | 17% | 20% | |
| 79 | 3% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 98.5% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 75 | 13% | 97% | Median | 
| 76 | 24% | 84% | Last Result, Majority | 
| 77 | 52% | 60% | |
| 78 | 7% | 8% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 19% | 99.0% | |
| 71 | 7% | 80% | Median | 
| 72 | 53% | 73% | Last Result | 
| 73 | 16% | 21% | |
| 74 | 3% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 31% | 98% | |
| 71 | 3% | 67% | Last Result, Median | 
| 72 | 5% | 64% | |
| 73 | 59% | 59% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 18% | 98.9% | |
| 66 | 4% | 81% | Last Result, Median | 
| 67 | 18% | 77% | |
| 68 | 54% | 59% | |
| 69 | 5% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 63 | 7% | 98% | |
| 64 | 21% | 91% | |
| 65 | 37% | 70% | Median | 
| 66 | 13% | 33% | |
| 67 | 5% | 20% | |
| 68 | 15% | 16% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 60 | 19% | 97% | |
| 61 | 22% | 79% | Last Result, Median | 
| 62 | 35% | 57% | |
| 63 | 19% | 22% | |
| 64 | 3% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 60 | 8% | 97% | |
| 61 | 19% | 89% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 45% | 70% | Median | 
| 63 | 6% | 24% | |
| 64 | 18% | 18% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 57 | 19% | 98% | |
| 58 | 22% | 79% | Last Result, Median | 
| 59 | 35% | 57% | |
| 60 | 19% | 22% | |
| 61 | 3% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 18% | 98% | Last Result | 
| 58 | 21% | 79% | |
| 59 | 3% | 59% | Median | 
| 60 | 37% | 55% | |
| 61 | 18% | 18% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 18% | 98% | Last Result | 
| 55 | 21% | 80% | |
| 56 | 3% | 59% | Median | 
| 57 | 37% | 55% | |
| 58 | 18% | 18% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 50 | 34% | 97% | |
| 51 | 8% | 63% | Median | 
| 52 | 34% | 56% | Last Result | 
| 53 | 21% | 21% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 46 | 2% | 97% | |
| 47 | 16% | 95% | Last Result | 
| 48 | 35% | 79% | Median | 
| 49 | 34% | 44% | |
| 50 | 9% | 9% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 4% | 95% | Last Result | 
| 43 | 2% | 91% | |
| 44 | 52% | 89% | |
| 45 | 4% | 37% | Median | 
| 46 | 14% | 33% | |
| 47 | 3% | 18% | |
| 48 | 15% | 15% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 29% | 97% | |
| 37 | 21% | 68% | Median | 
| 38 | 7% | 47% | Last Result | 
| 39 | 33% | 41% | |
| 40 | 3% | 8% | |
| 41 | 4% | 4% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 31 | 17% | 97% | |
| 32 | 39% | 80% | Median | 
| 33 | 21% | 41% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 19% | 20% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 27 | 17% | 96% | |
| 28 | 76% | 79% | Last Result, Median | 
| 29 | 3% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
 - Commissioner(s): —
 - Fieldwork period: 18 June 2017
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 1.55%