Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 18 June 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 22.0% 21.0–23.0% 20.8–23.3% 20.5–23.5% 20.1–24.0%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 14.0% 13.2–14.8% 13.0–15.1% 12.8–15.3% 12.4–15.7%
Democraten 66 12.2% 13.3% 12.6–14.2% 12.3–14.4% 12.2–14.6% 11.8–15.0%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 11.3% 10.6–12.1% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.5% 9.9–12.9%
GroenLinks 9.1% 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 6.7% 6.1–7.3% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.6% 5.6–7.9%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.3%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.3%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.3%
50Plus 3.1% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
DENK 2.1% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 34 33–37 32–37 32–37 31–37
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 20 20–22 20–22 19–23 19–23
Democraten 66 19 20 20–21 20–22 19–22 18–22
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 17 16–18 16–18 16–19 15–19
GroenLinks 14 14 14–15 14–15 13–15 12–16
Socialistische Partij 14 10 10–12 9–12 9–12 9–12
Partij van de Arbeid 9 11 10–12 9–12 9–12 8–12
ChristenUnie 5 4 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
Partij voor de Dieren 5 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
Forum voor Democratie 2 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–6
50Plus 4 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 3 3 3 3 2–3
DENK 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–4 2–4

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.5% 100%  
31 0.2% 99.5%  
32 8% 99.3%  
33 20% 92% Last Result
34 47% 71% Median
35 6% 24%  
36 3% 18%  
37 16% 16%  
38 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.1% 100%  
19 4% 99.9%  
20 73% 96% Last Result, Median
21 4% 23%  
22 16% 19%  
23 3% 3%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100%  
18 0.9% 99.9%  
19 2% 99.1% Last Result
20 53% 97% Median
21 36% 44%  
22 8% 8%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.1% 100%  
15 2% 99.9%  
16 29% 98%  
17 24% 69% Median
18 40% 45%  
19 5% 5% Last Result
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 1.2% 100%  
13 2% 98.8%  
14 59% 97% Last Result, Median
15 36% 38%  
16 2% 2%  
17 0.5% 0.5%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 6% 100%  
10 63% 94% Median
11 9% 31%  
12 22% 22%  
13 0.2% 0.2%  
14 0% 0% Last Result

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.1% 100%  
8 1.1% 99.9%  
9 4% 98.7% Last Result
10 42% 94%  
11 38% 52% Median
12 14% 14%  
13 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 58% 99.9% Median
5 22% 42% Last Result
6 20% 20%  
7 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 39% 99.9%  
5 26% 61% Last Result, Median
6 36% 36%  
7 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0.1% 100%  
4 29% 99.9%  
5 69% 71% Median
6 2% 2%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 54% 100% Median
3 45% 46%  
4 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.6% 100%  
3 99.1% 99.4% Last Result, Median
4 0.2% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.4% 100%  
2 49% 99.6%  
3 47% 51% Last Result, Median
4 3% 3%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 90 91 100% 89–92 89–92 88–92 88–93
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 85 87 100% 87–88 85–88 84–88 82–90
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 80 99.9% 77–81 77–81 77–82 76–83
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 80 78 80% 75–80 75–80 75–80 75–81
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 77 77% 74–78 74–78 74–79 73–80
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 76 77 84% 75–77 75–78 74–78 72–79
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 72 72 0.2% 70–73 70–73 70–74 69–75
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 71 73 0% 70–73 70–73 70–73 68–73
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 66 68 0% 65–68 65–69 65–69 64–69
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 61 65 0% 64–68 63–68 63–68 62–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 62 0% 60–63 60–63 59–64 58–64
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 61 62 0% 60–64 60–64 59–64 58–64
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 59 0% 57–60 57–60 57–61 55–61
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 60 0% 57–61 57–61 57–61 56–61
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 57 0% 54–58 54–58 54–58 53–58
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 52 0% 50–53 50–53 49–53 48–54
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 47 48 0% 47–49 47–50 45–50 44–50
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 44 0% 43–48 42–48 41–48 41–48
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 38 37 0% 36–39 36–40 35–41 34–41
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 33 32 0% 31–34 31–34 30–34 29–35
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 28 28 0% 27–28 27–28 25–29 24–30

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
86 0.1% 100%  
87 0.1% 99.9%  
88 2% 99.8%  
89 13% 97% Median
90 23% 84% Last Result
91 20% 61%  
92 40% 41%  
93 0.3% 0.6%  
94 0.2% 0.2%  
95 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 1.4% 100%  
83 0.8% 98.5%  
84 1.2% 98%  
85 2% 97% Last Result
86 4% 95% Median
87 67% 91%  
88 23% 24%  
89 0.1% 1.3%  
90 1.1% 1.1%  
91 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.1% 100%  
76 0.6% 99.9% Majority
77 19% 99.3% Last Result
78 4% 81%  
79 8% 77% Median
80 48% 69%  
81 16% 20%  
82 3% 4%  
83 0.5% 0.6%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 20% 99.8%  
76 1.0% 80% Median, Majority
77 16% 78%  
78 37% 63%  
79 3% 26%  
80 22% 22% Last Result
81 0.2% 0.6%  
82 0% 0.4%  
83 0.3% 0.3%  
84 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0.1% 100%  
73 0.7% 99.9%  
74 18% 99.3% Last Result
75 4% 81%  
76 8% 77% Median, Majority
77 48% 69%  
78 17% 20%  
79 3% 4%  
80 0.5% 0.7%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 1.5% 100%  
73 0.9% 98.5%  
74 0.7% 98%  
75 13% 97% Median
76 24% 84% Last Result, Majority
77 52% 60%  
78 7% 8%  
79 1.2% 1.3%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.2% 100%  
69 0.8% 99.8%  
70 19% 99.0%  
71 7% 80% Median
72 53% 73% Last Result
73 16% 21%  
74 3% 4%  
75 0.6% 0.8%  
76 0.2% 0.2% Majority
77 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 2% 99.9%  
69 0.2% 98%  
70 31% 98%  
71 3% 67% Last Result, Median
72 5% 64%  
73 59% 59%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0% Majority

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0.2% 99.9%  
64 0.9% 99.7%  
65 18% 98.9%  
66 4% 81% Last Result, Median
67 18% 77%  
68 54% 59%  
69 5% 5%  
70 0.1% 0.5%  
71 0.4% 0.4%  
72 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 99.9%  
61 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
62 2% 99.7%  
63 7% 98%  
64 21% 91%  
65 37% 70% Median
66 13% 33%  
67 5% 20%  
68 15% 16%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 1.5% 99.9%  
59 0.9% 98%  
60 19% 97%  
61 22% 79% Last Result, Median
62 35% 57%  
63 19% 22%  
64 3% 3%  
65 0.2% 0.2%  
66 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0% 100%  
57 0.3% 99.9%  
58 2% 99.6%  
59 1.3% 98%  
60 8% 97%  
61 19% 89% Last Result
62 45% 70% Median
63 6% 24%  
64 18% 18%  
65 0.3% 0.3%  
66 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 2% 99.9%  
56 0.5% 98%  
57 19% 98%  
58 22% 79% Last Result, Median
59 35% 57%  
60 19% 22%  
61 3% 3%  
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 2% 99.8%  
57 18% 98% Last Result
58 21% 79%  
59 3% 59% Median
60 37% 55%  
61 18% 18%  
62 0.4% 0.5%  
63 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 2% 99.8%  
54 18% 98% Last Result
55 21% 80%  
56 3% 59% Median
57 37% 55%  
58 18% 18%  
59 0.5% 0.5%  
60 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 2% 99.9%  
49 0.9% 98%  
50 34% 97%  
51 8% 63% Median
52 34% 56% Last Result
53 21% 21%  
54 0.5% 0.5%  
55 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 1.4% 100%  
45 2% 98.6%  
46 2% 97%  
47 16% 95% Last Result
48 35% 79% Median
49 34% 44%  
50 9% 9%  
51 0.4% 0.5%  
52 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.4% 99.9%  
41 4% 99.5%  
42 4% 95% Last Result
43 2% 91%  
44 52% 89%  
45 4% 37% Median
46 14% 33%  
47 3% 18%  
48 15% 15%  
49 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.7% 100%  
35 2% 99.3%  
36 29% 97%  
37 21% 68% Median
38 7% 47% Last Result
39 33% 41%  
40 3% 8%  
41 4% 4%  
42 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.1% 99.9%  
29 2% 99.8%  
30 1.0% 98%  
31 17% 97%  
32 39% 80% Median
33 21% 41% Last Result
34 19% 20%  
35 0.9% 1.0%  
36 0.1% 0.1%  
37 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.2% 100%  
24 0.7% 99.8%  
25 2% 99.2%  
26 1.3% 97%  
27 17% 96%  
28 76% 79% Last Result, Median
29 3% 3%  
30 0.7% 0.8%  
31 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations