Opinion Poll by GfK for EenVandaag, 23–26 June 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 22.7% 21.5–24.0% 21.1–24.3% 20.8–24.7% 20.2–25.3%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 16.0% 14.9–17.1% 14.6–17.5% 14.4–17.7% 13.9–18.3%
Democraten 66 12.2% 12.0% 11.1–13.0% 10.8–13.3% 10.6–13.6% 10.2–14.1%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 11.3% 10.4–12.3% 10.2–12.6% 10.0–12.9% 9.5–13.4%
GroenLinks 9.1% 9.3% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.5% 8.1–10.7% 7.7–11.2%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 8.0% 7.3–8.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.9–9.4% 6.5–9.8%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 6.7% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.7% 5.6–7.9% 5.3–8.3%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 3.3% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.3% 2.4–4.6%
50Plus 3.1% 3.3% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.3% 2.4–4.6%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 2.7% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.4% 2.0–3.5% 1.8–3.8%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.7% 1.5–2.8% 1.3–3.0%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 1.3% 1.0–1.7% 0.9–1.8% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2%
DENK 2.1% 1.3% 1.0–1.7% 0.9–1.8% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 35 33–37 32–38 32–38 31–39
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 24 22–25 21–27 20–27 20–28
Democraten 66 19 18 16–21 16–21 16–21 15–21
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 18 16–18 15–19 15–19 15–20
GroenLinks 14 14 12–15 12–16 12–16 12–16
Socialistische Partij 14 12 11–13 11–13 11–14 10–16
Partij van de Arbeid 9 11 8–12 8–12 8–12 8–13
ChristenUnie 5 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 3–7
50Plus 4 5 4–6 4–7 4–7 3–7
Partij voor de Dieren 5 3 2–4 2–4 2–5 2–5
Forum voor Democratie 2 3 2–4 2–4 2–4 2–4
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 2 1–2 1–3 1–3 1–3
DENK 3 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 2% 100%  
32 7% 98%  
33 4% 92% Last Result
34 34% 87%  
35 7% 53% Median
36 14% 46%  
37 24% 33%  
38 8% 9%  
39 0.5% 0.9%  
40 0.4% 0.4%  
41 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 5% 100% Last Result
21 3% 95%  
22 14% 92%  
23 17% 78%  
24 31% 62% Median
25 21% 30%  
26 0.9% 9%  
27 7% 8%  
28 1.2% 1.3%  
29 0.1% 0.1%  
30 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 2% 100%  
16 9% 98%  
17 15% 89%  
18 33% 74% Median
19 20% 41% Last Result
20 2% 21%  
21 19% 19%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.4% 100%  
15 5% 99.6%  
16 28% 95%  
17 3% 66%  
18 57% 63% Median
19 5% 7% Last Result
20 1.4% 2%  
21 0.2% 0.3%  
22 0.1% 0.1%  
23 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 33% 99.9%  
13 7% 67%  
14 19% 60% Last Result, Median
15 36% 41%  
16 5% 5%  
17 0.3% 0.3%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 0.8% 99.8%  
11 39% 99.1%  
12 22% 60% Median
13 36% 39%  
14 2% 3% Last Result
15 0.3% 1.1%  
16 0.8% 0.8%  
17 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 21% 99.8%  
9 9% 79% Last Result
10 12% 70%  
11 46% 58% Median
12 10% 12%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 1.1% 100%  
4 28% 98.9%  
5 43% 71% Last Result, Median
6 27% 28%  
7 0.6% 0.6%  
8 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 1.0% 100%  
4 29% 99.0% Last Result
5 52% 70% Median
6 12% 17%  
7 5% 6%  
8 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 25% 100%  
3 35% 75% Median
4 35% 39%  
5 4% 4% Last Result
6 0.1% 0.1%  
7 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 23% 99.9% Last Result
3 64% 77% Median
4 13% 13%  
5 0.1% 0.1%  
6 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.4% 100%  
1 48% 99.6%  
2 44% 52% Median
3 8% 8% Last Result
4 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 27% 99.7%  
2 72% 73% Median
3 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 90 90 100% 87–91 87–91 86–92 85–94
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 85 87 100% 84–88 81–88 80–91 80–91
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 81 99.8% 79–82 77–84 77–85 76–85
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 79 99.4% 77–81 76–83 76–84 75–84
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 72 76 76% 74–78 73–80 73–80 72–81
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 80 77 68% 72–79 72–79 72–80 72–80
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 76 76 66% 73–79 72–79 71–79 71–80
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 71 70 0.1% 68–74 67–74 66–74 66–75
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 66 64 0% 61–68 61–68 61–68 60–69
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 61 63 0% 61–66 60–66 60–67 58–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 61 63 0% 60–65 59–66 56–67 56–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 61 0% 60–65 57–65 57–65 56–66
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie 58 60 0% 58–63 55–64 55–64 55–64
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 57 0% 56–59 53–60 52–60 52–61
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 55 0% 54–58 51–58 50–59 50–59
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 53 0% 51–54 49–55 47–56 47–57
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 47 47 0% 43–48 43–48 42–49 42–50
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 45 0% 43–49 42–49 41–49 41–49
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 38 36 0% 33–37 32–37 32–39 32–39
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 33 33 0% 29–35 29–36 29–36 28–36
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 28 29 0% 24–30 24–30 24–31 24–31

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
82 0.1% 100%  
83 0% 99.9%  
84 0.1% 99.9%  
85 0.8% 99.8%  
86 3% 99.0%  
87 8% 96%  
88 8% 88%  
89 28% 79%  
90 3% 51% Last Result, Median
91 44% 48%  
92 3% 4%  
93 0.6% 1.2%  
94 0.5% 0.6%  
95 0.1% 0.1%  
96 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
79 0.3% 100%  
80 4% 99.7%  
81 1.0% 95%  
82 1.2% 94%  
83 2% 93%  
84 11% 91%  
85 10% 80% Last Result
86 5% 70%  
87 48% 65% Median
88 14% 17%  
89 0.2% 3%  
90 0.2% 3%  
91 2% 3%  
92 0.2% 0.2%  
93 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
75 0.2% 100%  
76 0.3% 99.8% Majority
77 5% 99.5% Last Result
78 0.9% 94%  
79 7% 94%  
80 30% 87%  
81 25% 57%  
82 25% 32% Median
83 1.1% 7%  
84 0.8% 6%  
85 5% 5%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
74 0.3% 100% Last Result
75 0.3% 99.6%  
76 6% 99.4% Majority
77 7% 94%  
78 11% 87%  
79 41% 76%  
80 21% 35% Median
81 8% 14%  
82 0.9% 6%  
83 3% 6%  
84 2% 3%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0% 99.9%  
72 0.6% 99.9% Last Result
73 5% 99.2%  
74 7% 94%  
75 12% 87%  
76 40% 76% Majority
77 10% 36% Median
78 19% 25%  
79 1.2% 7%  
80 5% 5%  
81 0.6% 0.8%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.2% 100%  
72 10% 99.8%  
73 2% 90%  
74 2% 87%  
75 18% 86%  
76 2% 68% Majority
77 27% 65%  
78 6% 38% Median
79 28% 32%  
80 3% 4% Last Result
81 0.1% 0.3%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.1% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 5% 99.7%  
72 2% 95%  
73 4% 93%  
74 17% 89%  
75 6% 72%  
76 30% 66% Last Result, Median, Majority
77 15% 36%  
78 0.6% 21%  
79 20% 21%  
80 0.6% 0.7%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.2% 100%  
66 5% 99.8%  
67 1.1% 95%  
68 4% 94%  
69 9% 90%  
70 39% 80%  
71 5% 42% Last Result, Median
72 3% 37%  
73 14% 34%  
74 20% 21%  
75 0.9% 0.9%  
76 0% 0.1% Majority
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 1.0% 99.9%  
61 13% 98.9%  
62 18% 86%  
63 1.2% 68%  
64 19% 67%  
65 12% 48%  
66 5% 37% Last Result, Median
67 3% 32%  
68 26% 28%  
69 2% 2%  
70 0.1% 0.2%  
71 0.2% 0.2%  
72 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.7% 100%  
59 0.4% 99.3%  
60 6% 98.9%  
61 10% 93% Last Result
62 1.2% 83%  
63 32% 81%  
64 8% 49% Median
65 9% 41%  
66 30% 33%  
67 3% 3%  
68 0.5% 0.7%  
69 0.2% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 4% 100%  
57 0.3% 96%  
58 0.2% 95%  
59 1.1% 95%  
60 4% 94%  
61 20% 90% Last Result
62 10% 70%  
63 27% 59%  
64 2% 33% Median
65 25% 31%  
66 1.0% 5%  
67 2% 4%  
68 2% 2%  
69 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 0.4% 99.8%  
57 5% 99.4%  
58 2% 94%  
59 1.4% 92%  
60 1.4% 91%  
61 43% 89% Last Result
62 5% 46%  
63 11% 41% Median
64 21% 31%  
65 10% 10%  
66 0.5% 0.6%  
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.2% 100%  
55 5% 99.8%  
56 3% 95%  
57 1.5% 92%  
58 1.3% 91% Last Result
59 18% 90%  
60 35% 72%  
61 3% 36% Median
62 15% 33%  
63 11% 18%  
64 7% 8%  
65 0.2% 0.2%  
66 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 4% 99.8%  
53 2% 95%  
54 2% 94%  
55 1.3% 91%  
56 28% 90%  
57 24% 62% Last Result
58 10% 37% Median
59 22% 28%  
60 5% 6%  
61 0.7% 0.7%  
62 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 4% 100%  
51 0.6% 95%  
52 3% 95%  
53 1.5% 92%  
54 3% 90% Last Result
55 51% 87%  
56 6% 36% Median
57 16% 30%  
58 10% 14%  
59 4% 4%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 4% 100%  
48 0.3% 96%  
49 2% 95%  
50 2% 93%  
51 5% 91%  
52 34% 86% Last Result
53 25% 52% Median
54 21% 28%  
55 3% 7%  
56 3% 4%  
57 0.6% 0.6%  
58 0% 0.1%  
59 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.2% 99.9%  
42 3% 99.7%  
43 13% 96%  
44 2% 84%  
45 28% 82%  
46 2% 54%  
47 31% 52% Last Result, Median
48 16% 21%  
49 3% 5%  
50 2% 2%  
51 0.4% 0.5%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 5% 99.9%  
42 4% 95% Last Result
43 2% 91%  
44 10% 88%  
45 45% 78%  
46 2% 33% Median
47 18% 31%  
48 1.4% 13%  
49 11% 12%  
50 0.4% 0.4%  
51 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.2% 100%  
32 8% 99.8%  
33 3% 92%  
34 8% 89%  
35 15% 81%  
36 28% 67% Median
37 34% 38%  
38 2% 4% Last Result
39 2% 3%  
40 0.1% 0.4%  
41 0.3% 0.3%  
42 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.3% 100%  
28 0.5% 99.7%  
29 24% 99.3%  
30 1.4% 75%  
31 10% 74%  
32 3% 64%  
33 22% 61% Last Result
34 3% 39% Median
35 31% 36%  
36 5% 5%  
37 0.2% 0.2%  
38 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 24% 99.8%  
25 1.4% 76%  
26 2% 75%  
27 11% 73%  
28 9% 61% Last Result
29 39% 52% Median
30 9% 13%  
31 4% 4%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations