Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 29 June 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
23.1% |
21.4–24.9% |
21.0–25.4% |
20.6–25.8% |
19.8–26.7% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
12.7% |
11.4–14.1% |
11.1–14.6% |
10.8–14.9% |
10.2–15.6% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
12.6% |
11.3–14.0% |
11.0–14.4% |
10.7–14.8% |
10.1–15.5% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
11.2% |
10.0–12.6% |
9.7–13.0% |
9.4–13.3% |
8.8–14.0% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
10.7% |
9.5–12.1% |
9.2–12.4% |
8.9–12.8% |
8.4–13.5% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
5.1% |
4.3–6.1% |
4.1–6.4% |
3.9–6.6% |
3.6–7.2% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
5.0% |
4.2–6.0% |
4.0–6.3% |
3.8–6.5% |
3.5–7.1% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.4% |
3.7–5.3% |
3.5–5.6% |
3.3–5.9% |
3.0–6.4% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
3.9% |
3.2–4.8% |
3.0–5.1% |
2.9–5.3% |
2.6–5.8% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.9–4.8% |
2.7–5.1% |
2.4–5.5% |
DENK |
2.1% |
2.8% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.1–3.8% |
1.9–4.0% |
1.7–4.4% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.7–3.4% |
1.6–3.6% |
1.4–3.9% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
1.7% |
1.3–2.4% |
1.2–2.5% |
1.1–2.7% |
0.9–3.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
32 |
16% |
98% |
|
33 |
3% |
82% |
Last Result |
34 |
16% |
79% |
|
35 |
49% |
63% |
Median |
36 |
5% |
14% |
|
37 |
1.0% |
9% |
|
38 |
4% |
8% |
|
39 |
4% |
4% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
17 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
18 |
40% |
95% |
|
19 |
13% |
56% |
Last Result, Median |
20 |
9% |
43% |
|
21 |
25% |
34% |
|
22 |
8% |
9% |
|
23 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
16 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
17 |
11% |
95% |
|
18 |
8% |
85% |
|
19 |
10% |
76% |
|
20 |
9% |
66% |
Last Result |
21 |
29% |
57% |
Median |
22 |
19% |
28% |
|
23 |
9% |
9% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
15 |
31% |
98.5% |
|
16 |
18% |
68% |
Median |
17 |
3% |
50% |
|
18 |
38% |
47% |
|
19 |
2% |
9% |
Last Result |
20 |
6% |
7% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
22 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
10% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
5% |
90% |
Last Result |
15 |
18% |
84% |
|
16 |
8% |
66% |
|
17 |
7% |
57% |
Median |
18 |
5% |
50% |
|
19 |
41% |
45% |
|
20 |
4% |
4% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
2% |
100% |
|
6 |
7% |
98% |
|
7 |
37% |
92% |
|
8 |
30% |
55% |
Median |
9 |
14% |
26% |
Last Result |
10 |
11% |
11% |
|
11 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
6 |
9% |
98% |
|
7 |
31% |
89% |
|
8 |
7% |
58% |
|
9 |
50% |
51% |
Median |
10 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
6% |
100% |
|
5 |
9% |
94% |
Last Result |
6 |
49% |
85% |
Median |
7 |
24% |
36% |
|
8 |
11% |
13% |
|
9 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
4 |
44% |
99.7% |
|
5 |
15% |
56% |
Median |
6 |
9% |
40% |
|
7 |
29% |
31% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
2% |
100% |
|
4 |
7% |
98% |
|
5 |
60% |
91% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
23% |
31% |
|
7 |
6% |
7% |
|
8 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
9 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
2% |
100% |
|
3 |
24% |
98% |
Last Result |
4 |
65% |
74% |
Median |
5 |
7% |
10% |
|
6 |
3% |
3% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
14% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
55% |
86% |
Median |
4 |
28% |
31% |
Last Result |
5 |
3% |
3% |
|
6 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
35% |
100% |
|
2 |
34% |
65% |
Median |
3 |
28% |
30% |
Last Result |
4 |
2% |
2% |
|
5 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
90 |
94 |
100% |
91–97 |
88–98 |
88–99 |
88–99 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
84 |
100% |
82–87 |
82–88 |
82–90 |
80–92 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
79 |
93% |
76–83 |
75–84 |
75–85 |
73–86 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
78 |
64% |
73–80 |
73–82 |
73–83 |
71–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
76 |
77 |
79% |
73–80 |
73–80 |
73–82 |
73–84 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
77 |
66% |
70–78 |
68–78 |
67–79 |
67–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
72 |
4% |
66–74 |
66–75 |
66–77 |
66–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
71 |
71 |
1.3% |
66–73 |
66–74 |
66–75 |
66–76 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
68 |
0% |
63–70 |
61–71 |
60–71 |
60–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
61 |
0% |
57–65 |
57–66 |
57–67 |
55–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
61 |
0% |
59–65 |
59–66 |
59–66 |
57–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
60 |
0% |
55–63 |
55–64 |
55–65 |
53–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
58 |
0% |
55–61 |
55–62 |
55–64 |
53–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
60 |
0% |
57–61 |
57–63 |
56–63 |
54–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
57 |
0% |
53–59 |
53–60 |
53–62 |
51–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
52 |
0% |
48–54 |
48–54 |
48–55 |
46–57 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
43 |
0% |
42–47 |
42–49 |
40–49 |
39–49 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
42 |
0% |
40–45 |
40–45 |
40–46 |
38–47 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
38 |
36 |
0% |
34–39 |
34–41 |
33–41 |
32–42 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
31 |
0% |
29–32 |
28–34 |
28–35 |
27–37 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
25 |
0% |
23–27 |
21–28 |
21–28 |
21–31 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
87 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
88 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
89 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
90 |
0.6% |
93% |
Last Result |
91 |
12% |
93% |
|
92 |
13% |
81% |
|
93 |
12% |
68% |
Median |
94 |
11% |
56% |
|
95 |
3% |
46% |
|
96 |
31% |
42% |
|
97 |
2% |
12% |
|
98 |
7% |
10% |
|
99 |
3% |
3% |
|
100 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
101 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
102 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
79 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
80 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
81 |
1.0% |
98.5% |
|
82 |
12% |
98% |
|
83 |
8% |
86% |
|
84 |
30% |
78% |
Median |
85 |
9% |
49% |
Last Result |
86 |
24% |
40% |
|
87 |
6% |
16% |
|
88 |
5% |
10% |
|
89 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
90 |
2% |
3% |
|
91 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
92 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
93 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
94 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.5% |
98.8% |
|
75 |
5% |
98% |
|
76 |
12% |
93% |
Majority |
77 |
16% |
82% |
Last Result |
78 |
2% |
65% |
|
79 |
42% |
63% |
Median |
80 |
1.4% |
21% |
|
81 |
6% |
20% |
|
82 |
1.0% |
14% |
|
83 |
8% |
13% |
|
84 |
2% |
5% |
|
85 |
3% |
4% |
|
86 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
98.6% |
|
73 |
13% |
98% |
|
74 |
4% |
85% |
Last Result |
75 |
17% |
81% |
|
76 |
9% |
64% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
55% |
Median |
78 |
31% |
51% |
|
79 |
6% |
20% |
|
80 |
8% |
14% |
|
81 |
0.9% |
6% |
|
82 |
2% |
5% |
|
83 |
3% |
3% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
12% |
99.5% |
|
74 |
1.4% |
88% |
|
75 |
8% |
86% |
|
76 |
9% |
79% |
Last Result, Median, Majority |
77 |
35% |
69% |
|
78 |
16% |
35% |
|
79 |
3% |
19% |
|
80 |
11% |
16% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
82 |
3% |
4% |
|
83 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
7% |
97% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
91% |
|
70 |
0.9% |
90% |
|
71 |
4% |
89% |
|
72 |
3% |
86% |
|
73 |
8% |
83% |
|
74 |
7% |
75% |
|
75 |
2% |
68% |
Median |
76 |
10% |
66% |
Majority |
77 |
39% |
55% |
|
78 |
14% |
16% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
10% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
2% |
89% |
|
68 |
2% |
87% |
|
69 |
9% |
86% |
|
70 |
12% |
77% |
|
71 |
7% |
64% |
|
72 |
13% |
57% |
Last Result, Median |
73 |
10% |
44% |
|
74 |
28% |
34% |
|
75 |
2% |
6% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
4% |
Majority |
77 |
3% |
3% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
11% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
89% |
|
68 |
2% |
88% |
|
69 |
8% |
86% |
|
70 |
18% |
77% |
Median |
71 |
30% |
59% |
Last Result |
72 |
1.5% |
29% |
|
73 |
19% |
28% |
|
74 |
4% |
9% |
|
75 |
4% |
5% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
Majority |
77 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
7% |
97% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
91% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
90% |
|
64 |
2% |
89% |
|
65 |
5% |
87% |
|
66 |
10% |
82% |
Last Result, Median |
67 |
14% |
72% |
|
68 |
28% |
58% |
|
69 |
14% |
29% |
|
70 |
6% |
15% |
|
71 |
8% |
9% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
57 |
10% |
99.1% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
89% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
88% |
|
60 |
11% |
88% |
|
61 |
31% |
77% |
Last Result, Median |
62 |
11% |
46% |
|
63 |
2% |
35% |
|
64 |
19% |
33% |
|
65 |
6% |
13% |
|
66 |
4% |
8% |
|
67 |
2% |
4% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
0.8% |
98.8% |
|
59 |
13% |
98% |
|
60 |
29% |
85% |
|
61 |
8% |
57% |
Last Result |
62 |
12% |
48% |
Median |
63 |
13% |
37% |
|
64 |
6% |
24% |
|
65 |
11% |
18% |
|
66 |
6% |
7% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
55 |
10% |
99.1% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
89% |
|
57 |
8% |
88% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
80% |
Last Result |
59 |
18% |
80% |
Median |
60 |
28% |
62% |
|
61 |
8% |
34% |
|
62 |
9% |
25% |
|
63 |
8% |
16% |
|
64 |
4% |
8% |
|
65 |
3% |
4% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
68 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
55 |
11% |
98.8% |
|
56 |
3% |
88% |
|
57 |
12% |
85% |
Last Result |
58 |
27% |
73% |
Median |
59 |
11% |
46% |
|
60 |
15% |
34% |
|
61 |
10% |
19% |
|
62 |
6% |
9% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
1.5% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
57 |
23% |
97% |
|
58 |
9% |
74% |
|
59 |
10% |
65% |
Median |
60 |
43% |
55% |
|
61 |
4% |
12% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
8% |
|
63 |
4% |
6% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
53 |
11% |
98.8% |
|
54 |
8% |
88% |
Last Result |
55 |
6% |
80% |
|
56 |
12% |
74% |
Median |
57 |
36% |
62% |
|
58 |
5% |
26% |
|
59 |
13% |
22% |
|
60 |
5% |
9% |
|
61 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
62 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
63 |
0.7% |
1.5% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
|
48 |
11% |
98.6% |
|
49 |
12% |
88% |
|
50 |
16% |
76% |
|
51 |
8% |
61% |
Median |
52 |
11% |
53% |
Last Result |
53 |
31% |
42% |
|
54 |
8% |
11% |
|
55 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
56 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
41 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
42 |
14% |
96% |
|
43 |
41% |
82% |
Median |
44 |
11% |
41% |
|
45 |
8% |
30% |
|
46 |
10% |
22% |
|
47 |
2% |
12% |
Last Result |
48 |
2% |
10% |
|
49 |
7% |
8% |
|
50 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
52 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
40 |
8% |
98% |
|
41 |
16% |
90% |
|
42 |
41% |
74% |
Last Result |
43 |
12% |
33% |
Median |
44 |
2% |
21% |
|
45 |
16% |
19% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
47 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
34 |
19% |
97% |
|
35 |
12% |
77% |
Median |
36 |
39% |
65% |
|
37 |
5% |
26% |
|
38 |
5% |
21% |
Last Result |
39 |
9% |
16% |
|
40 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
41 |
5% |
6% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
28 |
8% |
98.6% |
|
29 |
12% |
91% |
|
30 |
3% |
79% |
Median |
31 |
46% |
76% |
|
32 |
21% |
30% |
|
33 |
3% |
9% |
Last Result |
34 |
3% |
6% |
|
35 |
2% |
3% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
37 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
6% |
99.6% |
|
22 |
1.0% |
94% |
|
23 |
21% |
93% |
|
24 |
7% |
72% |
Median |
25 |
50% |
65% |
|
26 |
3% |
15% |
|
27 |
2% |
12% |
|
28 |
8% |
10% |
Last Result |
29 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
31 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 29 June 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.71%