Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 29 June 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 23.1% | 21.4–24.9% | 21.0–25.4% | 20.6–25.8% | 19.8–26.7% | 
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.4–14.1% | 11.1–14.6% | 10.8–14.9% | 10.2–15.6% | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.3–14.0% | 11.0–14.4% | 10.7–14.8% | 10.1–15.5% | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.7–13.0% | 9.4–13.3% | 8.8–14.0% | 
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.5–12.1% | 9.2–12.4% | 8.9–12.8% | 8.4–13.5% | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.2% | 
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% | 
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.4–5.5% | 
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 1.9–4.0% | 1.7–4.4% | 
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.4% | 1.2–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.1% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 35 | 32–36 | 32–38 | 32–39 | 30–40 | 
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 19 | 18–21 | 18–22 | 17–22 | 14–23 | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 21 | 17–22 | 17–23 | 16–23 | 15–23 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 16 | 15–18 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 14–22 | 
| GroenLinks | 14 | 17 | 13–19 | 13–19 | 13–20 | 13–20 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 8 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–11 | 
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 5–10 | 
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 4–9 | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 5 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–9 | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 3–8 | 
| DENK | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–6 | 2–6 | 
| 50Plus | 4 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 98.9% | |
| 32 | 16% | 98% | |
| 33 | 3% | 82% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 16% | 79% | |
| 35 | 49% | 63% | Median | 
| 36 | 5% | 14% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 9% | |
| 38 | 4% | 8% | |
| 39 | 4% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 17 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 18 | 40% | 95% | |
| 19 | 13% | 56% | Last Result, Median | 
| 20 | 9% | 43% | |
| 21 | 25% | 34% | |
| 22 | 8% | 9% | |
| 23 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 16 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 17 | 11% | 95% | |
| 18 | 8% | 85% | |
| 19 | 10% | 76% | |
| 20 | 9% | 66% | Last Result | 
| 21 | 29% | 57% | Median | 
| 22 | 19% | 28% | |
| 23 | 9% | 9% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 31% | 98.5% | |
| 16 | 18% | 68% | Median | 
| 17 | 3% | 50% | |
| 18 | 38% | 47% | |
| 19 | 2% | 9% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 6% | 7% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 10% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 5% | 90% | Last Result | 
| 15 | 18% | 84% | |
| 16 | 8% | 66% | |
| 17 | 7% | 57% | Median | 
| 18 | 5% | 50% | |
| 19 | 41% | 45% | |
| 20 | 4% | 4% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 7% | 98% | |
| 7 | 37% | 92% | |
| 8 | 30% | 55% | Median | 
| 9 | 14% | 26% | Last Result | 
| 10 | 11% | 11% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 9% | 98% | |
| 7 | 31% | 89% | |
| 8 | 7% | 58% | |
| 9 | 50% | 51% | Median | 
| 10 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 6% | 100% | |
| 5 | 9% | 94% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 49% | 85% | Median | 
| 7 | 24% | 36% | |
| 8 | 11% | 13% | |
| 9 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | 
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 3 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 44% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 15% | 56% | Median | 
| 6 | 9% | 40% | |
| 7 | 29% | 31% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 7% | 98% | |
| 5 | 60% | 91% | Last Result, Median | 
| 6 | 23% | 31% | |
| 7 | 6% | 7% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | 
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 24% | 98% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 65% | 74% | Median | 
| 5 | 7% | 10% | |
| 6 | 3% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | 
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 14% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 55% | 86% | Median | 
| 4 | 28% | 31% | Last Result | 
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | 
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35% | 100% | |
| 2 | 34% | 65% | Median | 
| 3 | 28% | 30% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 94 | 100% | 91–97 | 88–98 | 88–99 | 88–99 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 84 | 100% | 82–87 | 82–88 | 82–90 | 80–92 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 79 | 93% | 76–83 | 75–84 | 75–85 | 73–86 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 78 | 64% | 73–80 | 73–82 | 73–83 | 71–83 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 76 | 77 | 79% | 73–80 | 73–80 | 73–82 | 73–84 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 77 | 66% | 70–78 | 68–78 | 67–79 | 67–81 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 72 | 4% | 66–74 | 66–75 | 66–77 | 66–77 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 71 | 71 | 1.3% | 66–73 | 66–74 | 66–75 | 66–76 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 68 | 0% | 63–70 | 61–71 | 60–71 | 60–73 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 61 | 0% | 57–65 | 57–66 | 57–67 | 55–70 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 61 | 0% | 59–65 | 59–66 | 59–66 | 57–67 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 60 | 0% | 55–63 | 55–64 | 55–65 | 53–68 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 58 | 0% | 55–61 | 55–62 | 55–64 | 53–67 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 60 | 0% | 57–61 | 57–63 | 56–63 | 54–66 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 57 | 0% | 53–59 | 53–60 | 53–62 | 51–64 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 52 | 0% | 48–54 | 48–54 | 48–55 | 46–57 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 43 | 0% | 42–47 | 42–49 | 40–49 | 39–49 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 42 | 0% | 40–45 | 40–45 | 40–46 | 38–47 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 38 | 36 | 0% | 34–39 | 34–41 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 31 | 0% | 29–32 | 28–34 | 28–35 | 27–37 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 25 | 0% | 23–27 | 21–28 | 21–28 | 21–31 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 87 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 88 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 89 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 93% | Last Result | 
| 91 | 12% | 93% | |
| 92 | 13% | 81% | |
| 93 | 12% | 68% | Median | 
| 94 | 11% | 56% | |
| 95 | 3% | 46% | |
| 96 | 31% | 42% | |
| 97 | 2% | 12% | |
| 98 | 7% | 10% | |
| 99 | 3% | 3% | |
| 100 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 101 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 102 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 82 | 12% | 98% | |
| 83 | 8% | 86% | |
| 84 | 30% | 78% | Median | 
| 85 | 9% | 49% | Last Result | 
| 86 | 24% | 40% | |
| 87 | 6% | 16% | |
| 88 | 5% | 10% | |
| 89 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 90 | 2% | 3% | |
| 91 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 92 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 75 | 5% | 98% | |
| 76 | 12% | 93% | Majority | 
| 77 | 16% | 82% | Last Result | 
| 78 | 2% | 65% | |
| 79 | 42% | 63% | Median | 
| 80 | 1.4% | 21% | |
| 81 | 6% | 20% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 14% | |
| 83 | 8% | 13% | |
| 84 | 2% | 5% | |
| 85 | 3% | 4% | |
| 86 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 98.6% | |
| 73 | 13% | 98% | |
| 74 | 4% | 85% | Last Result | 
| 75 | 17% | 81% | |
| 76 | 9% | 64% | Majority | 
| 77 | 4% | 55% | Median | 
| 78 | 31% | 51% | |
| 79 | 6% | 20% | |
| 80 | 8% | 14% | |
| 81 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 3% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 12% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 88% | |
| 75 | 8% | 86% | |
| 76 | 9% | 79% | Last Result, Median, Majority | 
| 77 | 35% | 69% | |
| 78 | 16% | 35% | |
| 79 | 3% | 19% | |
| 80 | 11% | 16% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 5% | |
| 82 | 3% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 7% | 97% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 91% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 90% | |
| 71 | 4% | 89% | |
| 72 | 3% | 86% | |
| 73 | 8% | 83% | |
| 74 | 7% | 75% | |
| 75 | 2% | 68% | Median | 
| 76 | 10% | 66% | Majority | 
| 77 | 39% | 55% | |
| 78 | 14% | 16% | |
| 79 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 1.3% | Last Result | 
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 10% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 2% | 89% | |
| 68 | 2% | 87% | |
| 69 | 9% | 86% | |
| 70 | 12% | 77% | |
| 71 | 7% | 64% | |
| 72 | 13% | 57% | Last Result, Median | 
| 73 | 10% | 44% | |
| 74 | 28% | 34% | |
| 75 | 2% | 6% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 4% | Majority | 
| 77 | 3% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 11% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 89% | |
| 68 | 2% | 88% | |
| 69 | 8% | 86% | |
| 70 | 18% | 77% | Median | 
| 71 | 30% | 59% | Last Result | 
| 72 | 1.5% | 29% | |
| 73 | 19% | 28% | |
| 74 | 4% | 9% | |
| 75 | 4% | 5% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 1.3% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 7% | 97% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 90% | |
| 64 | 2% | 89% | |
| 65 | 5% | 87% | |
| 66 | 10% | 82% | Last Result, Median | 
| 67 | 14% | 72% | |
| 68 | 28% | 58% | |
| 69 | 14% | 29% | |
| 70 | 6% | 15% | |
| 71 | 8% | 9% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 10% | 99.1% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 88% | |
| 60 | 11% | 88% | |
| 61 | 31% | 77% | Last Result, Median | 
| 62 | 11% | 46% | |
| 63 | 2% | 35% | |
| 64 | 19% | 33% | |
| 65 | 6% | 13% | |
| 66 | 4% | 8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 59 | 13% | 98% | |
| 60 | 29% | 85% | |
| 61 | 8% | 57% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 12% | 48% | Median | 
| 63 | 13% | 37% | |
| 64 | 6% | 24% | |
| 65 | 11% | 18% | |
| 66 | 6% | 7% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.2% | |
| 55 | 10% | 99.1% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 89% | |
| 57 | 8% | 88% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 80% | Last Result | 
| 59 | 18% | 80% | Median | 
| 60 | 28% | 62% | |
| 61 | 8% | 34% | |
| 62 | 9% | 25% | |
| 63 | 8% | 16% | |
| 64 | 4% | 8% | |
| 65 | 3% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.1% | |
| 55 | 11% | 98.8% | |
| 56 | 3% | 88% | |
| 57 | 12% | 85% | Last Result | 
| 58 | 27% | 73% | Median | 
| 59 | 11% | 46% | |
| 60 | 15% | 34% | |
| 61 | 10% | 19% | |
| 62 | 6% | 9% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 57 | 23% | 97% | |
| 58 | 9% | 74% | |
| 59 | 10% | 65% | Median | 
| 60 | 43% | 55% | |
| 61 | 4% | 12% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 2% | 8% | |
| 63 | 4% | 6% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 11% | 98.8% | |
| 54 | 8% | 88% | Last Result | 
| 55 | 6% | 80% | |
| 56 | 12% | 74% | Median | 
| 57 | 36% | 62% | |
| 58 | 5% | 26% | |
| 59 | 13% | 22% | |
| 60 | 5% | 9% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 98.9% | |
| 48 | 11% | 98.6% | |
| 49 | 12% | 88% | |
| 50 | 16% | 76% | |
| 51 | 8% | 61% | Median | 
| 52 | 11% | 53% | Last Result | 
| 53 | 31% | 42% | |
| 54 | 8% | 11% | |
| 55 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 42 | 14% | 96% | |
| 43 | 41% | 82% | Median | 
| 44 | 11% | 41% | |
| 45 | 8% | 30% | |
| 46 | 10% | 22% | |
| 47 | 2% | 12% | Last Result | 
| 48 | 2% | 10% | |
| 49 | 7% | 8% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 40 | 8% | 98% | |
| 41 | 16% | 90% | |
| 42 | 41% | 74% | Last Result | 
| 43 | 12% | 33% | Median | 
| 44 | 2% | 21% | |
| 45 | 16% | 19% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 34 | 19% | 97% | |
| 35 | 12% | 77% | Median | 
| 36 | 39% | 65% | |
| 37 | 5% | 26% | |
| 38 | 5% | 21% | Last Result | 
| 39 | 9% | 16% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 7% | |
| 41 | 5% | 6% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 28 | 8% | 98.6% | |
| 29 | 12% | 91% | |
| 30 | 3% | 79% | Median | 
| 31 | 46% | 76% | |
| 32 | 21% | 30% | |
| 33 | 3% | 9% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 3% | 6% | |
| 35 | 2% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 22 | 1.0% | 94% | |
| 23 | 21% | 93% | |
| 24 | 7% | 72% | Median | 
| 25 | 50% | 65% | |
| 26 | 3% | 15% | |
| 27 | 2% | 12% | |
| 28 | 8% | 10% | Last Result | 
| 29 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
 - Commissioner(s): —
 - Fieldwork period: 29 June 2017
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 1.71%