Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 12 July 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
20.6% |
19.0–22.4% |
18.6–22.9% |
18.2–23.4% |
17.5–24.2% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
15.3% |
13.9–16.9% |
13.5–17.3% |
13.2–17.7% |
12.5–18.5% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
12.7% |
11.4–14.2% |
11.0–14.6% |
10.7–15.0% |
10.1–15.7% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
11.3% |
10.1–12.7% |
9.8–13.1% |
9.5–13.5% |
8.9–14.2% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
10.7% |
9.5–12.1% |
9.2–12.5% |
8.9–12.8% |
8.3–13.5% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
8.7% |
7.6–10.0% |
7.3–10.3% |
7.1–10.7% |
6.6–11.3% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.1% |
4.8–7.4% |
4.6–7.7% |
4.3–8.2% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.4% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.5–4.5% |
2.4–4.7% |
2.1–5.2% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.4% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.5–4.5% |
2.4–4.7% |
2.1–5.2% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
2.6% |
2.1–3.4% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.8–3.8% |
1.5–4.3% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.5% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.5% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.4% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.2% |
0.8–2.3% |
0.6–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
27 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
28 |
4% |
98% |
|
29 |
0.8% |
94% |
|
30 |
26% |
93% |
|
31 |
32% |
66% |
Median |
32 |
13% |
35% |
|
33 |
2% |
22% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.9% |
20% |
|
35 |
16% |
19% |
|
36 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
37 |
2% |
2% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
2% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
21 |
17% |
97% |
|
22 |
13% |
80% |
|
23 |
38% |
67% |
Median |
24 |
8% |
29% |
|
25 |
2% |
21% |
|
26 |
18% |
19% |
|
27 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
28 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
17 |
32% |
96% |
|
18 |
13% |
63% |
|
19 |
12% |
51% |
Last Result, Median |
20 |
7% |
38% |
|
21 |
28% |
31% |
|
22 |
2% |
3% |
|
23 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.4% |
99.1% |
Last Result |
15 |
17% |
98.7% |
|
16 |
45% |
82% |
Median |
17 |
14% |
37% |
|
18 |
6% |
23% |
|
19 |
1.5% |
17% |
|
20 |
15% |
16% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
22 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
13 |
13% |
99.1% |
|
14 |
2% |
87% |
|
15 |
20% |
85% |
|
16 |
19% |
65% |
Median |
17 |
24% |
46% |
|
18 |
17% |
21% |
|
19 |
4% |
4% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
12 |
20% |
98% |
|
13 |
36% |
77% |
Median |
14 |
17% |
41% |
Last Result |
15 |
1.0% |
23% |
|
16 |
20% |
22% |
|
17 |
2% |
2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
7 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
8 |
14% |
96% |
|
9 |
45% |
83% |
Last Result, Median |
10 |
12% |
38% |
|
11 |
24% |
25% |
|
12 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
2% |
100% |
|
4 |
45% |
98% |
|
5 |
27% |
53% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
18% |
26% |
|
7 |
7% |
8% |
|
8 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
20% |
100% |
|
4 |
18% |
80% |
|
5 |
32% |
62% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
29% |
31% |
|
7 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
6% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
23% |
94% |
|
4 |
54% |
71% |
Median |
5 |
17% |
17% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
7% |
100% |
|
2 |
55% |
93% |
Median |
3 |
20% |
39% |
|
4 |
19% |
19% |
Last Result |
5 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
15% |
100% |
|
2 |
29% |
85% |
|
3 |
5% |
56% |
Last Result |
4 |
49% |
51% |
Median |
5 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
1 |
44% |
99.5% |
|
2 |
34% |
55% |
Median |
3 |
21% |
22% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
90 |
88 |
100% |
82–92 |
82–92 |
82–94 |
82–95 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
81 |
95% |
77–85 |
76–85 |
74–86 |
73–87 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
80 |
79 |
82% |
75–83 |
75–84 |
75–84 |
74–86 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
78 |
66% |
74–81 |
73–81 |
73–81 |
71–84 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
74 |
38% |
71–78 |
71–78 |
70–78 |
69–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
76 |
72 |
17% |
67–76 |
67–76 |
65–76 |
64–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
70 |
2% |
67–74 |
67–74 |
67–74 |
65–77 |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
66 |
0% |
62–70 |
62–71 |
62–71 |
60–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
71 |
67 |
0.1% |
63–70 |
62–70 |
61–71 |
59–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
60 |
0% |
59–62 |
56–63 |
53–64 |
53–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
57 |
0% |
53–62 |
53–62 |
51–62 |
48–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
57 |
0% |
54–61 |
52–61 |
52–61 |
49–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
53 |
0% |
50–59 |
50–59 |
50–59 |
47–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
55 |
0% |
51–59 |
50–59 |
49–59 |
46–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
51 |
0% |
49–57 |
48–57 |
46–57 |
44–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
47 |
0% |
45–53 |
44–53 |
43–53 |
40–54 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
44 |
0% |
40–48 |
40–48 |
40–48 |
39–50 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
41 |
0% |
39–44 |
37–44 |
36–45 |
33–48 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
38 |
35 |
0% |
32–38 |
32–39 |
32–39 |
30–39 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
30 |
0% |
26–33 |
26–34 |
26–34 |
26–34 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
26 |
0% |
21–27 |
21–28 |
21–28 |
20–29 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
81 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
82 |
16% |
99.9% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
84% |
|
84 |
1.4% |
83% |
|
85 |
4% |
82% |
|
86 |
12% |
78% |
|
87 |
1.1% |
65% |
Median |
88 |
21% |
64% |
|
89 |
0.7% |
44% |
|
90 |
17% |
43% |
Last Result |
91 |
2% |
26% |
|
92 |
21% |
25% |
|
93 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
94 |
3% |
3% |
|
95 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
96 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
74 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
76 |
0.3% |
95% |
Majority |
77 |
13% |
95% |
|
78 |
16% |
82% |
|
79 |
2% |
66% |
|
80 |
11% |
64% |
Median |
81 |
21% |
53% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
32% |
|
83 |
5% |
31% |
|
84 |
0.6% |
26% |
|
85 |
22% |
25% |
Last Result |
86 |
2% |
3% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
88 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
89 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
1.3% |
99.7% |
|
75 |
16% |
98% |
|
76 |
12% |
82% |
Majority |
77 |
0.5% |
70% |
|
78 |
3% |
69% |
Median |
79 |
19% |
67% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
48% |
Last Result |
81 |
12% |
47% |
|
82 |
1.0% |
35% |
|
83 |
28% |
34% |
|
84 |
5% |
6% |
|
85 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
86 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
73 |
4% |
98% |
|
74 |
10% |
94% |
|
75 |
18% |
84% |
|
76 |
8% |
66% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
58% |
Last Result |
78 |
20% |
56% |
Median |
79 |
1.0% |
35% |
|
80 |
16% |
34% |
|
81 |
17% |
19% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
71 |
14% |
96% |
|
72 |
3% |
82% |
|
73 |
17% |
79% |
|
74 |
19% |
62% |
Last Result, Median |
75 |
5% |
42% |
|
76 |
3% |
38% |
Majority |
77 |
16% |
34% |
|
78 |
16% |
18% |
|
79 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
65 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
67 |
16% |
96% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
79% |
|
69 |
13% |
78% |
|
70 |
11% |
65% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
54% |
Median |
72 |
21% |
54% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
33% |
|
74 |
12% |
32% |
|
75 |
3% |
20% |
|
76 |
16% |
17% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
67 |
14% |
98.5% |
|
68 |
6% |
85% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
79% |
|
70 |
36% |
78% |
Median |
71 |
0.8% |
42% |
|
72 |
18% |
42% |
Last Result |
73 |
6% |
23% |
|
74 |
16% |
18% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
76 |
1.0% |
2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
62 |
28% |
98.7% |
|
63 |
1.1% |
71% |
|
64 |
1.5% |
70% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
69% |
Median |
66 |
20% |
67% |
Last Result |
67 |
21% |
47% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
26% |
|
69 |
11% |
25% |
|
70 |
5% |
14% |
|
71 |
7% |
8% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.3% |
|
61 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
62 |
2% |
96% |
|
63 |
17% |
94% |
|
64 |
13% |
78% |
|
65 |
11% |
64% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
53% |
Median |
67 |
7% |
53% |
|
68 |
20% |
46% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
26% |
|
70 |
22% |
25% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
3% |
Last Result |
72 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
3% |
100% |
|
54 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
95% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
95% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
94% |
|
58 |
2% |
93% |
|
59 |
38% |
91% |
Median |
60 |
23% |
53% |
|
61 |
16% |
30% |
Last Result |
62 |
7% |
14% |
|
63 |
2% |
6% |
|
64 |
2% |
4% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.5% |
|
50 |
1.3% |
99.4% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
52 |
2% |
97% |
|
53 |
12% |
96% |
|
54 |
4% |
84% |
|
55 |
1.2% |
80% |
|
56 |
19% |
79% |
Median |
57 |
34% |
59% |
|
58 |
0.7% |
25% |
|
59 |
5% |
24% |
|
60 |
2% |
19% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
17% |
Last Result |
62 |
16% |
17% |
|
63 |
0% |
1.3% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
51 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
52 |
8% |
98% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
91% |
|
54 |
12% |
90% |
|
55 |
2% |
78% |
|
56 |
6% |
76% |
|
57 |
50% |
70% |
Median |
58 |
0.6% |
21% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
20% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
20% |
|
61 |
16% |
19% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
49 |
0.9% |
98.9% |
|
50 |
8% |
98% |
|
51 |
1.5% |
90% |
|
52 |
3% |
88% |
|
53 |
59% |
85% |
Median |
54 |
0.6% |
26% |
|
55 |
4% |
26% |
|
56 |
2% |
21% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
20% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
19% |
Last Result |
59 |
16% |
18% |
|
60 |
2% |
2% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
48 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
50 |
2% |
97% |
|
51 |
17% |
95% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
78% |
|
53 |
20% |
78% |
|
54 |
3% |
58% |
|
55 |
35% |
55% |
Median |
56 |
0.8% |
20% |
|
57 |
1.2% |
19% |
Last Result |
58 |
0.6% |
18% |
|
59 |
17% |
17% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
|
46 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
47 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
48 |
2% |
96% |
|
49 |
21% |
94% |
|
50 |
12% |
73% |
|
51 |
35% |
61% |
Median |
52 |
5% |
26% |
|
53 |
1.4% |
21% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
19% |
Last Result |
55 |
1.4% |
19% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
18% |
|
57 |
17% |
17% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
43 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
44 |
2% |
97% |
|
45 |
15% |
95% |
|
46 |
23% |
80% |
|
47 |
30% |
57% |
Median |
48 |
2% |
27% |
|
49 |
2% |
25% |
|
50 |
4% |
23% |
|
51 |
2% |
19% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
17% |
Last Result |
53 |
16% |
17% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
39 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
12% |
99.2% |
|
41 |
3% |
87% |
|
42 |
4% |
84% |
|
43 |
17% |
81% |
|
44 |
28% |
64% |
Median |
45 |
0.8% |
36% |
|
46 |
3% |
35% |
|
47 |
19% |
32% |
Last Result |
48 |
11% |
12% |
|
49 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
50 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
35 |
1.0% |
99.1% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
37 |
4% |
97% |
|
38 |
2% |
94% |
|
39 |
20% |
92% |
|
40 |
16% |
72% |
Median |
41 |
17% |
56% |
|
42 |
19% |
39% |
Last Result |
43 |
0.8% |
20% |
|
44 |
16% |
19% |
|
45 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
1.4% |
|
48 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
0.6% |
98.6% |
|
32 |
28% |
98% |
|
33 |
3% |
70% |
|
34 |
12% |
67% |
|
35 |
18% |
55% |
Median |
36 |
3% |
37% |
|
37 |
8% |
34% |
|
38 |
20% |
26% |
Last Result |
39 |
6% |
6% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
26 |
12% |
99.6% |
|
27 |
2% |
88% |
|
28 |
5% |
86% |
|
29 |
2% |
82% |
|
30 |
38% |
80% |
Median |
31 |
13% |
41% |
|
32 |
5% |
29% |
|
33 |
16% |
24% |
Last Result |
34 |
7% |
8% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
21 |
12% |
98.7% |
|
22 |
1.0% |
87% |
|
23 |
2% |
86% |
|
24 |
4% |
84% |
|
25 |
2% |
79% |
Median |
26 |
48% |
77% |
|
27 |
22% |
29% |
|
28 |
5% |
7% |
Last Result |
29 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar Public
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 12 July 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 954
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.30%