Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 30 July 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 21.3% | 20.4–22.3% | 20.1–22.6% | 19.9–22.8% | 19.4–23.3% | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.2–14.8% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.4–15.7% | 
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.6–14.2% | 12.3–14.4% | 12.2–14.6% | 11.8–15.0% | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.0–11.4% | 9.8–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% | 
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% | 
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% | 
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 34 | 32–34 | 31–35 | 30–37 | 30–37 | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 21 | 20–22 | 19–23 | 19–23 | 19–24 | 
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 21 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 18–23 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 17 | 15–17 | 14–17 | 14–19 | 14–19 | 
| GroenLinks | 14 | 13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 10 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 
| 50Plus | 4 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 3% | 95% | |
| 32 | 10% | 92% | |
| 33 | 24% | 82% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 52% | 58% | Median | 
| 35 | 2% | 6% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 37 | 4% | 4% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 20% | 93% | Last Result | 
| 21 | 58% | 73% | Median | 
| 22 | 10% | 15% | |
| 23 | 4% | 5% | |
| 24 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 10% | 98.9% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 20% | 89% | |
| 21 | 57% | 69% | Median | 
| 22 | 10% | 12% | |
| 23 | 2% | 2% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 6% | 100% | |
| 15 | 30% | 94% | |
| 16 | 11% | 64% | |
| 17 | 49% | 53% | Median | 
| 18 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 19 | 4% | 4% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 47% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 33% | 52% | Median | 
| 14 | 17% | 19% | Last Result | 
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 4% | 100% | |
| 10 | 10% | 96% | |
| 11 | 67% | 86% | Median | 
| 12 | 13% | 18% | |
| 13 | 5% | 6% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.4% | Last Result | 
| 15 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 3% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 10 | 51% | 97% | Median | 
| 11 | 10% | 45% | |
| 12 | 30% | 35% | |
| 13 | 5% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | 
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 5 | 20% | 98.5% | |
| 6 | 67% | 78% | Median | 
| 7 | 11% | 11% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | 
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 43% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 54% | 57% | Last Result, Median | 
| 6 | 3% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 64% | 99.9% | Median | 
| 5 | 18% | 36% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 18% | 19% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | 
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 61% | 97% | Median | 
| 4 | 33% | 36% | Last Result | 
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 2 | 23% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 49% | 76% | Last Result, Median | 
| 4 | 27% | 28% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 27% | 100% | |
| 3 | 71% | 73% | Last Result, Median | 
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 88 | 100% | 85–89 | 85–89 | 84–90 | 82–90 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 87 | 100% | 82–87 | 82–88 | 82–88 | 81–88 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 79 | 98% | 76–81 | 76–81 | 76–84 | 75–84 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 77 | 54% | 74–78 | 73–78 | 73–82 | 73–82 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 76 | 81% | 74–78 | 74–80 | 72–80 | 72–80 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 76 | 76 | 52% | 72–77 | 71–77 | 71–77 | 69–77 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 70 | 0% | 69–72 | 68–72 | 68–75 | 67–75 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 71 | 71 | 0% | 68–72 | 67–73 | 67–73 | 65–73 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 65 | 0% | 63–67 | 63–68 | 63–70 | 62–70 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 65 | 0% | 63–67 | 63–67 | 62–67 | 61–68 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 62 | 0% | 60–63 | 58–64 | 57–67 | 57–67 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 59 | 0% | 57–60 | 55–61 | 55–65 | 54–65 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 61 | 0% | 58–62 | 58–63 | 57–64 | 56–64 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 59 | 0% | 56–60 | 54–60 | 53–63 | 53–63 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 55 | 0% | 53–57 | 52–57 | 51–61 | 50–61 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 49 | 0% | 48–51 | 46–51 | 46–54 | 45–54 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 48 | 0% | 45–49 | 45–50 | 45–52 | 44–52 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 44 | 0% | 42–46 | 42–46 | 41–47 | 41–47 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 38 | 37 | 0% | 35–38 | 35–38 | 34–41 | 33–41 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 32 | 0% | 29–33 | 29–35 | 29–35 | 29–35 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 27 | 0% | 25–29 | 25–30 | 25–30 | 25–30 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 84 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 85 | 8% | 97% | |
| 86 | 17% | 89% | |
| 87 | 16% | 72% | |
| 88 | 8% | 56% | |
| 89 | 43% | 48% | |
| 90 | 4% | 5% | Last Result, Median | 
| 91 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 94 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 82 | 14% | 98.7% | |
| 83 | 3% | 85% | |
| 84 | 1.1% | 82% | |
| 85 | 13% | 81% | Last Result | 
| 86 | 16% | 68% | |
| 87 | 47% | 53% | Median | 
| 88 | 6% | 6% | |
| 89 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 11% | 98% | Majority | 
| 77 | 6% | 87% | Last Result | 
| 78 | 3% | 81% | |
| 79 | 32% | 78% | |
| 80 | 6% | 46% | |
| 81 | 36% | 40% | Median | 
| 82 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 84 | 4% | 4% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 73 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 13% | 94% | Last Result | 
| 75 | 27% | 81% | |
| 76 | 2% | 54% | Majority | 
| 77 | 12% | 52% | |
| 78 | 35% | 40% | Median | 
| 79 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 82 | 4% | 4% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 5% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 95% | |
| 74 | 11% | 95% | |
| 75 | 3% | 84% | |
| 76 | 58% | 81% | Majority | 
| 77 | 6% | 23% | Median | 
| 78 | 8% | 17% | |
| 79 | 2% | 9% | |
| 80 | 7% | 7% | Last Result | 
| 81 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 71 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 12% | 94% | |
| 73 | 10% | 82% | |
| 74 | 19% | 72% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 53% | |
| 76 | 11% | 52% | Last Result, Majority | 
| 77 | 41% | 41% | Median | 
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 8% | 98.9% | |
| 69 | 35% | 91% | |
| 70 | 9% | 56% | |
| 71 | 3% | 47% | |
| 72 | 39% | 44% | Last Result, Median | 
| 73 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 75 | 4% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 7% | 98% | |
| 68 | 15% | 91% | |
| 69 | 8% | 76% | |
| 70 | 16% | 68% | |
| 71 | 11% | 52% | Last Result | 
| 72 | 35% | 41% | Median | 
| 73 | 6% | 6% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 15% | 98% | |
| 64 | 6% | 84% | |
| 65 | 58% | 77% | |
| 66 | 8% | 19% | Last Result, Median | 
| 67 | 2% | 11% | |
| 68 | 6% | 10% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 4% | |
| 70 | 3% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 99.7% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 16% | 97% | |
| 64 | 12% | 81% | |
| 65 | 43% | 69% | Median | 
| 66 | 7% | 27% | |
| 67 | 18% | 20% | |
| 68 | 2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 57 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 3% | 96% | |
| 59 | 3% | 93% | |
| 60 | 13% | 91% | |
| 61 | 8% | 78% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 29% | 70% | |
| 63 | 35% | 41% | Median | 
| 64 | 3% | 7% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0% | 4% | |
| 67 | 4% | 4% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 2% | 100% | |
| 55 | 5% | 98% | |
| 56 | 3% | 94% | |
| 57 | 5% | 91% | |
| 58 | 34% | 86% | Last Result | 
| 59 | 11% | 52% | |
| 60 | 35% | 41% | Median | 
| 61 | 2% | 6% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 65 | 4% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 56 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 17% | 97% | |
| 59 | 4% | 80% | |
| 60 | 9% | 76% | |
| 61 | 54% | 67% | Last Result, Median | 
| 62 | 6% | 14% | |
| 63 | 3% | 8% | |
| 64 | 4% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 3% | 100% | |
| 54 | 2% | 97% | |
| 55 | 4% | 95% | |
| 56 | 5% | 91% | |
| 57 | 9% | 86% | Last Result | 
| 58 | 21% | 77% | |
| 59 | 18% | 57% | |
| 60 | 35% | 39% | Median | 
| 61 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 62 | 0% | 4% | |
| 63 | 4% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 51 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 52 | 4% | 95% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 91% | |
| 54 | 16% | 90% | Last Result | 
| 55 | 29% | 74% | |
| 56 | 6% | 45% | |
| 57 | 34% | 39% | Median | 
| 58 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0% | 4% | |
| 61 | 4% | 4% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 2% | 100% | |
| 46 | 3% | 98% | |
| 47 | 3% | 94% | |
| 48 | 17% | 91% | |
| 49 | 26% | 75% | |
| 50 | 8% | 49% | |
| 51 | 37% | 41% | Median | 
| 52 | 0.2% | 4% | Last Result | 
| 53 | 0% | 4% | |
| 54 | 4% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 11% | 99.0% | |
| 46 | 7% | 88% | |
| 47 | 8% | 81% | Last Result | 
| 48 | 54% | 73% | Median | 
| 49 | 12% | 19% | |
| 50 | 3% | 6% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 52 | 3% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 41 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 42 | 6% | 96% | Last Result | 
| 43 | 12% | 89% | |
| 44 | 46% | 77% | Median | 
| 45 | 4% | 31% | |
| 46 | 23% | 27% | |
| 47 | 4% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 34 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 35 | 13% | 96% | |
| 36 | 29% | 83% | |
| 37 | 6% | 54% | |
| 38 | 44% | 48% | Last Result, Median | 
| 39 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 41 | 3% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 13% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 7% | 87% | |
| 31 | 23% | 81% | |
| 32 | 37% | 57% | Median | 
| 33 | 11% | 20% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 2% | 9% | |
| 35 | 7% | 7% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 25 | 16% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 7% | 84% | |
| 27 | 57% | 77% | Median | 
| 28 | 6% | 20% | Last Result | 
| 29 | 7% | 14% | |
| 30 | 7% | 7% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
 - Commissioner(s): —
 - Fieldwork period: 30 July 2017
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 1.36%