Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 10 August 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
22.2% |
20.6–24.0% |
20.1–24.4% |
19.7–24.9% |
19.0–25.7% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
13.7% |
12.4–15.2% |
12.0–15.6% |
11.7–16.0% |
11.1–16.7% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
13.1% |
11.8–14.6% |
11.4–15.0% |
11.1–15.3% |
10.6–16.1% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
10.0% |
8.9–11.3% |
8.6–11.7% |
8.3–12.0% |
7.8–12.7% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
8.4% |
7.4–9.6% |
7.1–10.0% |
6.8–10.3% |
6.4–10.9% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
5.7% |
4.9–6.8% |
4.6–7.1% |
4.4–7.3% |
4.1–7.9% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
4.9% |
4.1–5.9% |
3.9–6.2% |
3.7–6.4% |
3.4–6.9% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.9% |
4.1–5.9% |
3.9–6.2% |
3.7–6.4% |
3.4–6.9% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
4.8% |
4.0–5.8% |
3.8–6.1% |
3.6–6.3% |
3.3–6.8% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.4% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.8–6.1% |
DENK |
2.1% |
3.1% |
2.5–3.9% |
2.3–4.2% |
2.2–4.4% |
1.9–4.8% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.7–3.4% |
1.6–3.6% |
1.4–3.9% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
1.4% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.2% |
0.8–2.3% |
0.7–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
13% |
99.5% |
|
31 |
2% |
86% |
|
32 |
3% |
84% |
|
33 |
2% |
82% |
Last Result |
34 |
33% |
79% |
Median |
35 |
3% |
46% |
|
36 |
7% |
43% |
|
37 |
29% |
37% |
|
38 |
5% |
7% |
|
39 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
41 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
17 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
18 |
4% |
97% |
|
19 |
6% |
94% |
|
20 |
48% |
87% |
Last Result, Median |
21 |
30% |
39% |
|
22 |
3% |
9% |
|
23 |
4% |
6% |
|
24 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
25 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
7% |
99.4% |
|
18 |
2% |
92% |
|
19 |
55% |
90% |
Last Result, Median |
20 |
4% |
35% |
|
21 |
7% |
30% |
|
22 |
20% |
23% |
|
23 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
24 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
25 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
12 |
1.0% |
99.6% |
|
13 |
30% |
98.6% |
|
14 |
25% |
69% |
Median |
15 |
3% |
44% |
|
16 |
8% |
41% |
|
17 |
30% |
33% |
|
18 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
19 |
0.9% |
2% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
4% |
98% |
|
11 |
11% |
94% |
|
12 |
44% |
83% |
Median |
13 |
6% |
40% |
|
14 |
6% |
33% |
Last Result |
15 |
26% |
27% |
|
16 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
30% |
96% |
|
8 |
26% |
66% |
Median |
9 |
15% |
40% |
|
10 |
23% |
25% |
|
11 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
5 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
6 |
8% |
98.7% |
|
7 |
64% |
90% |
Median |
8 |
23% |
26% |
|
9 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
2% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
6 |
14% |
98% |
|
7 |
53% |
84% |
Median |
8 |
26% |
31% |
|
9 |
4% |
5% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
5 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
6 |
9% |
96% |
|
7 |
33% |
86% |
|
8 |
48% |
53% |
Median |
9 |
4% |
5% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
21% |
100% |
|
5 |
19% |
79% |
Last Result |
6 |
46% |
60% |
Median |
7 |
9% |
14% |
|
8 |
5% |
5% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
11% |
99.7% |
Last Result |
4 |
59% |
88% |
Median |
5 |
26% |
30% |
|
6 |
2% |
3% |
|
7 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
19% |
96% |
|
4 |
75% |
77% |
Last Result, Median |
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
1 |
32% |
99.7% |
|
2 |
55% |
68% |
Median |
3 |
7% |
13% |
Last Result |
4 |
6% |
6% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
90 |
88 |
100% |
84–90 |
84–91 |
84–92 |
83–94 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
82 |
99.9% |
80–86 |
80–86 |
79–87 |
76–89 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
79 |
84% |
75–84 |
75–84 |
75–85 |
73–86 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
78 |
76% |
73–82 |
73–82 |
73–83 |
72–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
76 |
75 |
27% |
72–78 |
72–79 |
71–80 |
70–82 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
70 |
1.0% |
65–74 |
65–75 |
65–75 |
65–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
71 |
69 |
0.5% |
66–72 |
66–74 |
66–74 |
64–75 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
80 |
69 |
0.3% |
67–71 |
66–73 |
65–74 |
63–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
63 |
0% |
58–67 |
58–68 |
58–69 |
56–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
62 |
0% |
56–65 |
56–65 |
56–67 |
54–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
62 |
0% |
60–64 |
60–65 |
58–66 |
56–68 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
60 |
0% |
58–63 |
58–64 |
57–66 |
55–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
59 |
0% |
54–63 |
54–65 |
54–66 |
52–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
58 |
0% |
52–61 |
52–62 |
52–64 |
50–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
57 |
0% |
52–62 |
52–62 |
52–62 |
51–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
50 |
0% |
44–54 |
44–55 |
44–55 |
44–56 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
43 |
0% |
39–44 |
39–45 |
39–46 |
37–47 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
41 |
0% |
38–45 |
38–45 |
38–46 |
36–47 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
38 |
36 |
0% |
32–36 |
32–38 |
32–38 |
31–40 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
28 |
0% |
26–30 |
26–32 |
26–32 |
24–33 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
22 |
0% |
20–24 |
20–25 |
20–26 |
18–28 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
83 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
84 |
14% |
99.1% |
|
85 |
9% |
85% |
Median |
86 |
22% |
77% |
|
87 |
3% |
55% |
|
88 |
4% |
52% |
|
89 |
3% |
47% |
|
90 |
35% |
44% |
Last Result |
91 |
5% |
9% |
|
92 |
2% |
4% |
|
93 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
95 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
96 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
Majority |
77 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
79 |
2% |
98% |
|
80 |
14% |
97% |
Median |
81 |
28% |
83% |
|
82 |
27% |
55% |
|
83 |
8% |
28% |
|
84 |
5% |
20% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
15% |
Last Result |
86 |
10% |
14% |
|
87 |
2% |
4% |
|
88 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
91 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
75 |
15% |
98.7% |
|
76 |
3% |
84% |
Majority |
77 |
6% |
81% |
Last Result |
78 |
5% |
76% |
Median |
79 |
25% |
70% |
|
80 |
21% |
45% |
|
81 |
10% |
24% |
|
82 |
2% |
14% |
|
83 |
2% |
13% |
|
84 |
7% |
11% |
|
85 |
3% |
4% |
|
86 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
73 |
15% |
99.0% |
|
74 |
5% |
85% |
Last Result |
75 |
4% |
79% |
|
76 |
2% |
76% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
11% |
74% |
|
78 |
44% |
63% |
|
79 |
3% |
18% |
|
80 |
3% |
15% |
|
81 |
1.3% |
12% |
|
82 |
7% |
11% |
|
83 |
4% |
4% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
72 |
13% |
97% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
84% |
Median |
74 |
28% |
83% |
|
75 |
27% |
55% |
|
76 |
6% |
27% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
5% |
21% |
|
78 |
9% |
16% |
|
79 |
4% |
7% |
|
80 |
2% |
3% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
14% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
1.3% |
85% |
|
67 |
2% |
84% |
|
68 |
5% |
82% |
Median |
69 |
8% |
77% |
|
70 |
30% |
70% |
|
71 |
22% |
40% |
|
72 |
1.2% |
18% |
Last Result |
73 |
3% |
17% |
|
74 |
7% |
13% |
|
75 |
6% |
7% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
Majority |
77 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
99.0% |
|
66 |
14% |
98% |
|
67 |
2% |
84% |
Median |
68 |
5% |
82% |
|
69 |
31% |
77% |
|
70 |
24% |
46% |
|
71 |
8% |
22% |
Last Result |
72 |
7% |
14% |
|
73 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
74 |
5% |
6% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
78 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
66 |
4% |
97% |
Median |
67 |
33% |
93% |
|
68 |
7% |
60% |
|
69 |
26% |
53% |
|
70 |
16% |
27% |
|
71 |
4% |
11% |
|
72 |
2% |
7% |
|
73 |
2% |
5% |
|
74 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
75 |
2% |
2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
57 |
1.1% |
98.8% |
|
58 |
14% |
98% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
84% |
|
60 |
3% |
83% |
|
61 |
7% |
80% |
Last Result |
62 |
4% |
73% |
Median |
63 |
34% |
69% |
|
64 |
21% |
34% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
13% |
|
66 |
1.1% |
12% |
|
67 |
6% |
11% |
|
68 |
2% |
5% |
|
69 |
3% |
3% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
99.3% |
|
56 |
15% |
98.6% |
|
57 |
2% |
84% |
|
58 |
3% |
83% |
Last Result |
59 |
9% |
80% |
|
60 |
10% |
70% |
Median |
61 |
2% |
60% |
|
62 |
46% |
58% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
13% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
12% |
|
65 |
6% |
11% |
|
66 |
2% |
5% |
|
67 |
3% |
3% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
0.9% |
98.5% |
|
58 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
59 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
60 |
35% |
95% |
Median |
61 |
4% |
60% |
Last Result |
62 |
19% |
56% |
|
63 |
24% |
37% |
|
64 |
8% |
13% |
|
65 |
2% |
5% |
|
66 |
2% |
4% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
57 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
58 |
10% |
97% |
Median |
59 |
28% |
87% |
|
60 |
24% |
59% |
|
61 |
9% |
35% |
|
62 |
16% |
26% |
|
63 |
4% |
10% |
|
64 |
2% |
6% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
66 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
1.2% |
99.1% |
|
54 |
13% |
98% |
|
55 |
1.3% |
85% |
|
56 |
1.1% |
84% |
|
57 |
8% |
82% |
Last Result |
58 |
4% |
74% |
Median |
59 |
28% |
70% |
|
60 |
27% |
42% |
|
61 |
3% |
15% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
13% |
|
63 |
6% |
12% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
65 |
2% |
5% |
|
66 |
3% |
3% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
52 |
14% |
98.9% |
|
53 |
1.5% |
85% |
|
54 |
1.3% |
84% |
Last Result |
55 |
4% |
82% |
|
56 |
17% |
78% |
Median |
57 |
2% |
61% |
|
58 |
45% |
59% |
|
59 |
2% |
15% |
|
60 |
2% |
13% |
|
61 |
6% |
11% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
63 |
2% |
5% |
|
64 |
3% |
3% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
14% |
99.3% |
|
53 |
1.4% |
86% |
|
54 |
2% |
84% |
|
55 |
8% |
83% |
Median |
56 |
11% |
75% |
|
57 |
26% |
63% |
|
58 |
22% |
37% |
|
59 |
1.0% |
15% |
|
60 |
2% |
14% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
12% |
Last Result |
62 |
11% |
11% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
44 |
13% |
99.8% |
|
45 |
1.5% |
87% |
|
46 |
2% |
85% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
83% |
|
48 |
9% |
83% |
Median |
49 |
6% |
73% |
|
50 |
31% |
67% |
|
51 |
22% |
36% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
14% |
Last Result |
53 |
0.6% |
13% |
|
54 |
7% |
12% |
|
55 |
5% |
6% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
39 |
29% |
98% |
|
40 |
2% |
69% |
Median |
41 |
2% |
67% |
|
42 |
14% |
66% |
|
43 |
28% |
51% |
|
44 |
17% |
23% |
|
45 |
1.5% |
6% |
|
46 |
3% |
5% |
|
47 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
48 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
37 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
38 |
14% |
98.5% |
|
39 |
2% |
84% |
|
40 |
5% |
82% |
|
41 |
30% |
78% |
Median |
42 |
5% |
48% |
Last Result |
43 |
5% |
43% |
|
44 |
26% |
38% |
|
45 |
10% |
13% |
|
46 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
1.5% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
32 |
29% |
98% |
|
33 |
2% |
69% |
Median |
34 |
8% |
67% |
|
35 |
8% |
60% |
|
36 |
42% |
51% |
|
37 |
1.2% |
9% |
|
38 |
6% |
8% |
Last Result |
39 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
24 |
1.4% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
26 |
32% |
98% |
|
27 |
6% |
65% |
Median |
28 |
41% |
59% |
|
29 |
5% |
18% |
|
30 |
4% |
13% |
|
31 |
0.9% |
9% |
|
32 |
7% |
8% |
|
33 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
19 |
1.4% |
99.2% |
|
20 |
30% |
98% |
|
21 |
9% |
68% |
Median |
22 |
19% |
58% |
|
23 |
5% |
39% |
|
24 |
26% |
34% |
|
25 |
6% |
8% |
|
26 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
27 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
28 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 10 August 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.39%