Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 14 September 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 22.7% | 21.1–24.5% | 20.6–25.0% | 20.2–25.4% | 19.4–26.3% | 
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.1–13.8% | 10.8–14.2% | 10.5–14.6% | 9.9–15.3% | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 12.1% | 10.9–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.3% | 9.6–15.0% | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.2–11.6% | 8.8–12.0% | 8.6–12.3% | 8.0–13.0% | 
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.5–9.7% | 7.2–10.1% | 6.9–10.4% | 6.4–11.0% | 
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.5–7.4% | 4.1–8.0% | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.4% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.2% | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6–5.2% | 3.4–5.5% | 3.2–5.7% | 2.9–6.2% | 
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% | 
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.1–5.0% | 
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.7–3.4% | 1.6–3.6% | 1.4–3.9% | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 34 | 32–36 | 30–37 | 30–38 | 30–38 | 
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 18 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 16–22 | 14–23 | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 19 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 15–22 | 15–22 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 16 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 | 
| GroenLinks | 14 | 12 | 11–14 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–17 | 
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 8 | 7–10 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 8 | 7–11 | 6–11 | 6–11 | 6–12 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 7 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–10 | 5–11 | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 | 
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–9 | 
| 50Plus | 4 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 | 
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 2–5 | 1–6 | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–5 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 95% | |
| 32 | 20% | 93% | |
| 33 | 14% | 73% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 22% | 59% | Median | 
| 35 | 20% | 36% | |
| 36 | 9% | 17% | |
| 37 | 3% | 8% | |
| 38 | 4% | 5% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 16 | 15% | 98% | |
| 17 | 8% | 83% | |
| 18 | 35% | 75% | Median | 
| 19 | 14% | 40% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 16% | 26% | |
| 21 | 3% | 11% | |
| 22 | 7% | 7% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 6% | 97% | |
| 17 | 6% | 91% | |
| 18 | 26% | 85% | |
| 19 | 15% | 59% | Median | 
| 20 | 21% | 44% | Last Result | 
| 21 | 2% | 23% | |
| 22 | 21% | 21% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 14 | 13% | 97% | |
| 15 | 9% | 83% | |
| 16 | 36% | 75% | Median | 
| 17 | 23% | 38% | |
| 18 | 13% | 15% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | Last Result | 
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 10 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 11 | 26% | 94% | |
| 12 | 26% | 68% | Median | 
| 13 | 11% | 42% | |
| 14 | 23% | 30% | Last Result | 
| 15 | 4% | 7% | |
| 16 | 3% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 28% | 93% | |
| 8 | 28% | 64% | Median | 
| 9 | 16% | 36% | |
| 10 | 12% | 20% | |
| 11 | 6% | 8% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 15% | 94% | |
| 8 | 38% | 80% | Median | 
| 9 | 8% | 42% | |
| 10 | 21% | 33% | |
| 11 | 12% | 13% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 13% | 96% | |
| 7 | 40% | 83% | Median | 
| 8 | 22% | 43% | |
| 9 | 7% | 22% | Last Result | 
| 10 | 14% | 14% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 14% | 99.1% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 30% | 85% | |
| 7 | 43% | 54% | Median | 
| 8 | 10% | 12% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | 
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 45% | 96% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 17% | 51% | Median | 
| 7 | 19% | 34% | |
| 8 | 14% | 15% | |
| 9 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | 
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 42% | 95% | Last Result | 
| 5 | 15% | 54% | Median | 
| 6 | 38% | 39% | |
| 7 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 8 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | 
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 2 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 3 | 47% | 95% | Last Result, Median | 
| 4 | 45% | 49% | |
| 5 | 3% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | 
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 39% | 98.9% | |
| 3 | 40% | 59% | Last Result, Median | 
| 4 | 17% | 19% | |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 86 | 100% | 84–91 | 83–92 | 83–92 | 82–94 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 82 | 99.9% | 79–86 | 79–86 | 78–87 | 77–89 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 81 | 95% | 77–85 | 75–86 | 75–86 | 73–87 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 78 | 77% | 74–82 | 73–84 | 72–84 | 70–84 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 76 | 74 | 40% | 71–77 | 71–79 | 71–81 | 68–81 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 71 | 67 | 2% | 65–72 | 65–73 | 65–75 | 63–76 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 80 | 68 | 0.2% | 66–72 | 64–73 | 64–74 | 62–75 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 69 | 0.6% | 66–73 | 64–74 | 63–74 | 62–76 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 66 | 0% | 64–69 | 62–71 | 62–71 | 60–72 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 63 | 0% | 61–66 | 60–68 | 58–68 | 58–69 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 61 | 0% | 59–64 | 58–66 | 57–67 | 55–67 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 59 | 0% | 57–63 | 57–65 | 57–65 | 56–67 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 61 | 0% | 58–64 | 56–64 | 56–64 | 54–66 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 58 | 0% | 56–62 | 55–63 | 54–64 | 52–64 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 57 | 0% | 55–61 | 54–61 | 53–61 | 52–63 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 49 | 0% | 47–52 | 46–54 | 46–56 | 44–57 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 42 | 0% | 39–45 | 39–46 | 39–46 | 36–47 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 41 | 0% | 39–45 | 38–45 | 38–46 | 38–46 | 
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 38 | 35 | 0% | 32–38 | 30–38 | 30–38 | 30–39 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 29 | 0% | 27–32 | 27–33 | 26–33 | 24–34 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 24 | 0% | 22–26 | 21–26 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 80 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 83 | 8% | 99.0% | |
| 84 | 4% | 92% | |
| 85 | 12% | 88% | |
| 86 | 31% | 75% | Median | 
| 87 | 11% | 44% | |
| 88 | 18% | 33% | |
| 89 | 3% | 15% | |
| 90 | 1.4% | 13% | Last Result | 
| 91 | 5% | 11% | |
| 92 | 4% | 6% | |
| 93 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 94 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 95 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 96 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 97 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 75 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Majority | 
| 77 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 78 | 2% | 98% | |
| 79 | 18% | 96% | |
| 80 | 12% | 78% | |
| 81 | 13% | 67% | Median | 
| 82 | 15% | 54% | |
| 83 | 14% | 39% | |
| 84 | 9% | 25% | |
| 85 | 4% | 16% | Last Result | 
| 86 | 8% | 12% | |
| 87 | 2% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 76 | 5% | 95% | Majority | 
| 77 | 1.4% | 90% | Last Result | 
| 78 | 4% | 89% | |
| 79 | 20% | 85% | |
| 80 | 7% | 64% | Median | 
| 81 | 24% | 58% | |
| 82 | 18% | 34% | |
| 83 | 4% | 16% | |
| 84 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 85 | 2% | 10% | |
| 86 | 7% | 8% | |
| 87 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 73 | 5% | 97% | |
| 74 | 5% | 91% | Last Result | 
| 75 | 10% | 87% | |
| 76 | 15% | 77% | Majority | 
| 77 | 3% | 62% | Median | 
| 78 | 10% | 59% | |
| 79 | 24% | 49% | |
| 80 | 14% | 25% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 11% | |
| 82 | 3% | 11% | |
| 83 | 2% | 7% | |
| 84 | 6% | 6% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 99.1% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 71 | 10% | 98% | |
| 72 | 21% | 88% | |
| 73 | 7% | 67% | |
| 74 | 18% | 60% | Median | 
| 75 | 2% | 42% | |
| 76 | 21% | 40% | Last Result, Majority | 
| 77 | 9% | 18% | |
| 78 | 2% | 9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 7% | |
| 80 | 2% | 5% | |
| 81 | 3% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 12% | 98% | |
| 66 | 4% | 86% | |
| 67 | 32% | 82% | |
| 68 | 10% | 50% | Median | 
| 69 | 10% | 39% | |
| 70 | 8% | 30% | |
| 71 | 8% | 22% | Last Result | 
| 72 | 7% | 14% | |
| 73 | 2% | 6% | |
| 74 | 2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 76 | 2% | 2% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 65 | 3% | 93% | |
| 66 | 3% | 91% | |
| 67 | 9% | 88% | Median | 
| 68 | 35% | 79% | |
| 69 | 11% | 43% | |
| 70 | 6% | 32% | |
| 71 | 15% | 26% | |
| 72 | 4% | 11% | |
| 73 | 4% | 7% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 64 | 3% | 96% | |
| 65 | 2% | 93% | |
| 66 | 5% | 91% | |
| 67 | 13% | 86% | |
| 68 | 3% | 73% | |
| 69 | 26% | 70% | Median | 
| 70 | 13% | 44% | |
| 71 | 18% | 31% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 12% | Last Result | 
| 73 | 2% | 12% | |
| 74 | 8% | 9% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.3% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 2% | 95% | |
| 64 | 10% | 92% | |
| 65 | 25% | 83% | |
| 66 | 16% | 58% | Median | 
| 67 | 16% | 42% | |
| 68 | 9% | 26% | |
| 69 | 10% | 17% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 71 | 5% | 7% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.5% | Last Result | 
| 59 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 5% | 96% | |
| 61 | 9% | 91% | |
| 62 | 9% | 82% | |
| 63 | 29% | 73% | Median | 
| 64 | 19% | 44% | |
| 65 | 2% | 25% | |
| 66 | 14% | 23% | |
| 67 | 3% | 9% | |
| 68 | 5% | 6% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.0% | Last Result | 
| 58 | 5% | 97% | |
| 59 | 22% | 92% | |
| 60 | 5% | 70% | |
| 61 | 17% | 65% | Median | 
| 62 | 14% | 47% | |
| 63 | 19% | 33% | |
| 64 | 6% | 14% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 66 | 3% | 7% | |
| 67 | 4% | 5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 27% | 99.1% | |
| 58 | 4% | 72% | |
| 59 | 23% | 68% | Median | 
| 60 | 8% | 45% | |
| 61 | 14% | 37% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 3% | 23% | |
| 63 | 11% | 20% | |
| 64 | 2% | 10% | |
| 65 | 6% | 8% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 56 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 3% | 93% | |
| 58 | 11% | 91% | |
| 59 | 5% | 80% | Median | 
| 60 | 15% | 75% | |
| 61 | 37% | 60% | |
| 62 | 9% | 23% | |
| 63 | 2% | 14% | |
| 64 | 10% | 12% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 66 | 1.5% | 2% | Last Result | 
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98.7% | Last Result | 
| 55 | 2% | 97% | |
| 56 | 9% | 94% | |
| 57 | 29% | 85% | |
| 58 | 9% | 56% | Median | 
| 59 | 5% | 46% | |
| 60 | 26% | 42% | |
| 61 | 2% | 16% | |
| 62 | 6% | 13% | |
| 63 | 3% | 7% | |
| 64 | 4% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 54 | 5% | 97% | |
| 55 | 3% | 92% | |
| 56 | 25% | 89% | |
| 57 | 22% | 64% | Median | 
| 58 | 9% | 42% | |
| 59 | 15% | 33% | |
| 60 | 5% | 19% | |
| 61 | 12% | 14% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 6% | 98% | |
| 47 | 5% | 93% | |
| 48 | 2% | 88% | |
| 49 | 40% | 86% | |
| 50 | 11% | 46% | Median | 
| 51 | 11% | 36% | |
| 52 | 16% | 25% | Last Result | 
| 53 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 54 | 4% | 8% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 56 | 2% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 98.8% | |
| 39 | 10% | 98% | |
| 40 | 12% | 88% | |
| 41 | 11% | 77% | Median | 
| 42 | 34% | 66% | |
| 43 | 12% | 32% | |
| 44 | 3% | 20% | |
| 45 | 7% | 17% | |
| 46 | 8% | 10% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 2% | Last Result | 
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 17% | 94% | |
| 40 | 6% | 77% | |
| 41 | 34% | 71% | Median | 
| 42 | 12% | 37% | Last Result | 
| 43 | 6% | 26% | |
| 44 | 3% | 19% | |
| 45 | 14% | 16% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 32 | 6% | 92% | |
| 33 | 10% | 86% | |
| 34 | 25% | 76% | Median | 
| 35 | 28% | 51% | |
| 36 | 7% | 23% | |
| 37 | 4% | 16% | |
| 38 | 10% | 12% | Last Result | 
| 39 | 2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 27 | 11% | 96% | |
| 28 | 14% | 86% | |
| 29 | 23% | 72% | Median | 
| 30 | 10% | 49% | |
| 31 | 21% | 39% | |
| 32 | 9% | 18% | |
| 33 | 8% | 9% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 2% | 98% | |
| 21 | 3% | 96% | |
| 22 | 14% | 93% | |
| 23 | 11% | 79% | Median | 
| 24 | 49% | 68% | |
| 25 | 9% | 20% | |
| 26 | 9% | 11% | |
| 27 | 2% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Last Result | 
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
 - Commissioner(s): —
 - Fieldwork period: 14 September 2017
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 2.18%