Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 14 September 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
22.7% |
21.1–24.5% |
20.6–25.0% |
20.2–25.4% |
19.4–26.3% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
12.4% |
11.1–13.8% |
10.8–14.2% |
10.5–14.6% |
9.9–15.3% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
12.1% |
10.9–13.5% |
10.5–13.9% |
10.2–14.3% |
9.6–15.0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
10.3% |
9.2–11.6% |
8.8–12.0% |
8.6–12.3% |
8.0–13.0% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
8.5% |
7.5–9.7% |
7.2–10.1% |
6.9–10.4% |
6.4–11.0% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
5.8% |
5.0–6.9% |
4.7–7.2% |
4.5–7.4% |
4.1–8.0% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
5.6% |
4.8–6.6% |
4.5–7.0% |
4.3–7.2% |
4.0–7.7% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
5.1% |
4.3–6.1% |
4.1–6.4% |
3.9–6.6% |
3.6–7.2% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.2% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.7% |
2.9–6.2% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.7–5.9% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.4% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.1–5.0% |
DENK |
2.1% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.2% |
1.7–3.4% |
1.6–3.6% |
1.4–3.9% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.1% |
1.6–2.8% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.2% |
1.2–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
1.5% |
95% |
|
32 |
20% |
93% |
|
33 |
14% |
73% |
Last Result |
34 |
22% |
59% |
Median |
35 |
20% |
36% |
|
36 |
9% |
17% |
|
37 |
3% |
8% |
|
38 |
4% |
5% |
|
39 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.6% |
99.0% |
|
16 |
15% |
98% |
|
17 |
8% |
83% |
|
18 |
35% |
75% |
Median |
19 |
14% |
40% |
Last Result |
20 |
16% |
26% |
|
21 |
3% |
11% |
|
22 |
7% |
7% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
24 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
15 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
16 |
6% |
97% |
|
17 |
6% |
91% |
|
18 |
26% |
85% |
|
19 |
15% |
59% |
Median |
20 |
21% |
44% |
Last Result |
21 |
2% |
23% |
|
22 |
21% |
21% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
24 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
14 |
13% |
97% |
|
15 |
9% |
83% |
|
16 |
36% |
75% |
Median |
17 |
23% |
38% |
|
18 |
13% |
15% |
|
19 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
10 |
5% |
99.1% |
|
11 |
26% |
94% |
|
12 |
26% |
68% |
Median |
13 |
11% |
42% |
|
14 |
23% |
30% |
Last Result |
15 |
4% |
7% |
|
16 |
3% |
3% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
7% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
28% |
93% |
|
8 |
28% |
64% |
Median |
9 |
16% |
36% |
|
10 |
12% |
20% |
|
11 |
6% |
8% |
|
12 |
2% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
6 |
5% |
99.7% |
|
7 |
15% |
94% |
|
8 |
38% |
80% |
Median |
9 |
8% |
42% |
|
10 |
21% |
33% |
|
11 |
12% |
13% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
4% |
100% |
|
6 |
13% |
96% |
|
7 |
40% |
83% |
Median |
8 |
22% |
43% |
|
9 |
7% |
22% |
Last Result |
10 |
14% |
14% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
14% |
99.1% |
Last Result |
6 |
30% |
85% |
|
7 |
43% |
54% |
Median |
8 |
10% |
12% |
|
9 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
4 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
5 |
45% |
96% |
Last Result |
6 |
17% |
51% |
Median |
7 |
19% |
34% |
|
8 |
14% |
15% |
|
9 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
3 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
4 |
42% |
95% |
Last Result |
5 |
15% |
54% |
Median |
6 |
38% |
39% |
|
7 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.5% |
100% |
|
2 |
3% |
98.5% |
|
3 |
47% |
95% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
45% |
49% |
|
5 |
3% |
4% |
|
6 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
39% |
98.9% |
|
3 |
40% |
59% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
17% |
19% |
|
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
90 |
86 |
100% |
84–91 |
83–92 |
83–92 |
82–94 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
82 |
99.9% |
79–86 |
79–86 |
78–87 |
77–89 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
81 |
95% |
77–85 |
75–86 |
75–86 |
73–87 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
78 |
77% |
74–82 |
73–84 |
72–84 |
70–84 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
76 |
74 |
40% |
71–77 |
71–79 |
71–81 |
68–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
71 |
67 |
2% |
65–72 |
65–73 |
65–75 |
63–76 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
80 |
68 |
0.2% |
66–72 |
64–73 |
64–74 |
62–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
69 |
0.6% |
66–73 |
64–74 |
63–74 |
62–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
66 |
0% |
64–69 |
62–71 |
62–71 |
60–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
63 |
0% |
61–66 |
60–68 |
58–68 |
58–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
61 |
0% |
59–64 |
58–66 |
57–67 |
55–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
59 |
0% |
57–63 |
57–65 |
57–65 |
56–67 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
61 |
0% |
58–64 |
56–64 |
56–64 |
54–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
58 |
0% |
56–62 |
55–63 |
54–64 |
52–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
57 |
0% |
55–61 |
54–61 |
53–61 |
52–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
49 |
0% |
47–52 |
46–54 |
46–56 |
44–57 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
42 |
0% |
39–45 |
39–46 |
39–46 |
36–47 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
41 |
0% |
39–45 |
38–45 |
38–46 |
38–46 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
38 |
35 |
0% |
32–38 |
30–38 |
30–38 |
30–39 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
29 |
0% |
27–32 |
27–33 |
26–33 |
24–34 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
24 |
0% |
22–26 |
21–26 |
20–26 |
19–27 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
80 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
83 |
8% |
99.0% |
|
84 |
4% |
92% |
|
85 |
12% |
88% |
|
86 |
31% |
75% |
Median |
87 |
11% |
44% |
|
88 |
18% |
33% |
|
89 |
3% |
15% |
|
90 |
1.4% |
13% |
Last Result |
91 |
5% |
11% |
|
92 |
4% |
6% |
|
93 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
94 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
95 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
96 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
97 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
75 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
78 |
2% |
98% |
|
79 |
18% |
96% |
|
80 |
12% |
78% |
|
81 |
13% |
67% |
Median |
82 |
15% |
54% |
|
83 |
14% |
39% |
|
84 |
9% |
25% |
|
85 |
4% |
16% |
Last Result |
86 |
8% |
12% |
|
87 |
2% |
3% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
91 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
92 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
75 |
4% |
98.6% |
|
76 |
5% |
95% |
Majority |
77 |
1.4% |
90% |
Last Result |
78 |
4% |
89% |
|
79 |
20% |
85% |
|
80 |
7% |
64% |
Median |
81 |
24% |
58% |
|
82 |
18% |
34% |
|
83 |
4% |
16% |
|
84 |
1.4% |
12% |
|
85 |
2% |
10% |
|
86 |
7% |
8% |
|
87 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
72 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
73 |
5% |
97% |
|
74 |
5% |
91% |
Last Result |
75 |
10% |
87% |
|
76 |
15% |
77% |
Majority |
77 |
3% |
62% |
Median |
78 |
10% |
59% |
|
79 |
24% |
49% |
|
80 |
14% |
25% |
|
81 |
0.4% |
11% |
|
82 |
3% |
11% |
|
83 |
2% |
7% |
|
84 |
6% |
6% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
71 |
10% |
98% |
|
72 |
21% |
88% |
|
73 |
7% |
67% |
|
74 |
18% |
60% |
Median |
75 |
2% |
42% |
|
76 |
21% |
40% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
9% |
18% |
|
78 |
2% |
9% |
|
79 |
2% |
7% |
|
80 |
2% |
5% |
|
81 |
3% |
3% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
12% |
98% |
|
66 |
4% |
86% |
|
67 |
32% |
82% |
|
68 |
10% |
50% |
Median |
69 |
10% |
39% |
|
70 |
8% |
30% |
|
71 |
8% |
22% |
Last Result |
72 |
7% |
14% |
|
73 |
2% |
6% |
|
74 |
2% |
5% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
76 |
2% |
2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
64 |
6% |
99.0% |
|
65 |
3% |
93% |
|
66 |
3% |
91% |
|
67 |
9% |
88% |
Median |
68 |
35% |
79% |
|
69 |
11% |
43% |
|
70 |
6% |
32% |
|
71 |
15% |
26% |
|
72 |
4% |
11% |
|
73 |
4% |
7% |
|
74 |
2% |
3% |
|
75 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
64 |
3% |
96% |
|
65 |
2% |
93% |
|
66 |
5% |
91% |
|
67 |
13% |
86% |
|
68 |
3% |
73% |
|
69 |
26% |
70% |
Median |
70 |
13% |
44% |
|
71 |
18% |
31% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
12% |
Last Result |
73 |
2% |
12% |
|
74 |
8% |
9% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
62 |
5% |
99.2% |
|
63 |
2% |
95% |
|
64 |
10% |
92% |
|
65 |
25% |
83% |
|
66 |
16% |
58% |
Median |
67 |
16% |
42% |
|
68 |
9% |
26% |
|
69 |
10% |
17% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
8% |
|
71 |
5% |
7% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
2% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
59 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
60 |
5% |
96% |
|
61 |
9% |
91% |
|
62 |
9% |
82% |
|
63 |
29% |
73% |
Median |
64 |
19% |
44% |
|
65 |
2% |
25% |
|
66 |
14% |
23% |
|
67 |
3% |
9% |
|
68 |
5% |
6% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.2% |
|
57 |
2% |
99.0% |
Last Result |
58 |
5% |
97% |
|
59 |
22% |
92% |
|
60 |
5% |
70% |
|
61 |
17% |
65% |
Median |
62 |
14% |
47% |
|
63 |
19% |
33% |
|
64 |
6% |
14% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
8% |
|
66 |
3% |
7% |
|
67 |
4% |
5% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
27% |
99.1% |
|
58 |
4% |
72% |
|
59 |
23% |
68% |
Median |
60 |
8% |
45% |
|
61 |
14% |
37% |
Last Result |
62 |
3% |
23% |
|
63 |
11% |
20% |
|
64 |
2% |
10% |
|
65 |
6% |
8% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
56 |
6% |
98.8% |
|
57 |
3% |
93% |
|
58 |
11% |
91% |
|
59 |
5% |
80% |
Median |
60 |
15% |
75% |
|
61 |
37% |
60% |
|
62 |
9% |
23% |
|
63 |
2% |
14% |
|
64 |
10% |
12% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
66 |
1.5% |
2% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
99.4% |
|
54 |
2% |
98.7% |
Last Result |
55 |
2% |
97% |
|
56 |
9% |
94% |
|
57 |
29% |
85% |
|
58 |
9% |
56% |
Median |
59 |
5% |
46% |
|
60 |
26% |
42% |
|
61 |
2% |
16% |
|
62 |
6% |
13% |
|
63 |
3% |
7% |
|
64 |
4% |
4% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
53 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
54 |
5% |
97% |
|
55 |
3% |
92% |
|
56 |
25% |
89% |
|
57 |
22% |
64% |
Median |
58 |
9% |
42% |
|
59 |
15% |
33% |
|
60 |
5% |
19% |
|
61 |
12% |
14% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
45 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
46 |
6% |
98% |
|
47 |
5% |
93% |
|
48 |
2% |
88% |
|
49 |
40% |
86% |
|
50 |
11% |
46% |
Median |
51 |
11% |
36% |
|
52 |
16% |
25% |
Last Result |
53 |
1.3% |
9% |
|
54 |
4% |
8% |
|
55 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
56 |
2% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
38 |
0.6% |
98.8% |
|
39 |
10% |
98% |
|
40 |
12% |
88% |
|
41 |
11% |
77% |
Median |
42 |
34% |
66% |
|
43 |
12% |
32% |
|
44 |
3% |
20% |
|
45 |
7% |
17% |
|
46 |
8% |
10% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
2% |
Last Result |
48 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
6% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
17% |
94% |
|
40 |
6% |
77% |
|
41 |
34% |
71% |
Median |
42 |
12% |
37% |
Last Result |
43 |
6% |
26% |
|
44 |
3% |
19% |
|
45 |
14% |
16% |
|
46 |
2% |
3% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
7% |
99.7% |
|
31 |
0.8% |
92% |
|
32 |
6% |
92% |
|
33 |
10% |
86% |
|
34 |
25% |
76% |
Median |
35 |
28% |
51% |
|
36 |
7% |
23% |
|
37 |
4% |
16% |
|
38 |
10% |
12% |
Last Result |
39 |
2% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
24 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
26 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
27 |
11% |
96% |
|
28 |
14% |
86% |
|
29 |
23% |
72% |
Median |
30 |
10% |
49% |
|
31 |
21% |
39% |
|
32 |
9% |
18% |
|
33 |
8% |
9% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
19 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
2% |
98% |
|
21 |
3% |
96% |
|
22 |
14% |
93% |
|
23 |
11% |
79% |
Median |
24 |
49% |
68% |
|
25 |
9% |
20% |
|
26 |
9% |
11% |
|
27 |
2% |
2% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
29 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 14 September 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.18%