Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 15 October 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 19.3% | 18.4–20.3% | 18.2–20.6% | 18.0–20.8% | 17.5–21.3% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.3–12.8% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.3–12.8% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.0–11.4% | 9.8–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 29 | 28–31 | 28–31 | 28–31 | 28–33 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 18 | 16–19 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 15–21 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 18 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 16–21 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 16 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–18 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 15 | 13–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–14 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–14 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 6 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 28% | 99.8% | |
| 29 | 23% | 72% | Median |
| 30 | 29% | 49% | |
| 31 | 18% | 19% | |
| 32 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 19% | 98.9% | |
| 17 | 19% | 80% | |
| 18 | 23% | 61% | Median |
| 19 | 28% | 38% | |
| 20 | 2% | 10% | Last Result |
| 21 | 8% | 8% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 20% | 100% | |
| 17 | 16% | 80% | |
| 18 | 19% | 65% | Median |
| 19 | 3% | 46% | Last Result |
| 20 | 27% | 43% | |
| 21 | 16% | 16% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 26% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 36% | 74% | Median |
| 17 | 36% | 38% | |
| 18 | 2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 6% | 100% | |
| 13 | 4% | 94% | |
| 14 | 29% | 90% | Last Result |
| 15 | 52% | 61% | Median |
| 16 | 9% | 9% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 11 | 11% | 99.1% | |
| 12 | 32% | 88% | |
| 13 | 54% | 55% | Median |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 9% | 99.0% | |
| 11 | 72% | 90% | Median |
| 12 | 16% | 18% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 37% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 36% | 63% | Median |
| 11 | 26% | 27% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 8% | 100% | |
| 5 | 19% | 92% | Last Result |
| 6 | 71% | 73% | Median |
| 7 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 55% | 99.5% | Median |
| 5 | 33% | 44% | Last Result |
| 6 | 11% | 11% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 72% | 99.8% | Last Result, Median |
| 5 | 17% | 28% | |
| 6 | 11% | 11% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 44% | 100% | |
| 3 | 53% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 4% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 24% | 100% | |
| 3 | 75% | 76% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 83 | 100% | 81–87 | 81–87 | 80–87 | 79–87 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 81 | 100% | 79–84 | 79–84 | 79–84 | 76–84 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 78 | 73% | 74–80 | 74–80 | 74–80 | 73–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 76 | 50% | 74–79 | 74–79 | 74–79 | 74–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 73 | 34% | 71–76 | 71–76 | 71–76 | 71–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 76 | 69 | 0% | 66–72 | 66–72 | 65–72 | 65–72 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 66 | 0% | 63–69 | 63–69 | 63–69 | 62–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 71 | 65 | 0% | 61–67 | 61–67 | 61–67 | 60–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 63 | 0% | 61–65 | 61–67 | 61–67 | 61–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 62 | 0% | 61–65 | 61–66 | 61–66 | 60–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 60 | 0% | 58–63 | 58–63 | 58–63 | 58–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 61 | 0% | 58–62 | 58–62 | 58–62 | 57–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 58 | 0% | 57–60 | 56–61 | 56–61 | 56–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 57 | 0% | 57–59 | 57–60 | 57–60 | 55–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 55 | 0% | 54–58 | 54–58 | 54–58 | 53–59 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 48 | 0% | 44–50 | 44–50 | 44–50 | 43–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 46 | 0% | 44–47 | 44–47 | 44–48 | 43–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 42 | 0% | 40–44 | 40–44 | 40–44 | 40–45 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 38 | 35 | 0% | 31–37 | 31–37 | 31–37 | 31–37 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 33 | 0% | 32–35 | 32–35 | 31–35 | 30–36 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 29 | 0% | 28–29 | 28–30 | 27–30 | 26–30 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 80 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 81 | 33% | 97% | |
| 82 | 7% | 65% | Median |
| 83 | 25% | 57% | |
| 84 | 3% | 32% | |
| 85 | 9% | 28% | |
| 86 | 0.6% | 19% | |
| 87 | 18% | 18% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 1.4% | 100% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 98.6% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 79 | 31% | 98% | |
| 80 | 12% | 67% | Median |
| 81 | 11% | 54% | |
| 82 | 18% | 44% | |
| 83 | 7% | 26% | |
| 84 | 19% | 19% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 19% | 99.4% | |
| 75 | 8% | 81% | |
| 76 | 13% | 73% | Majority |
| 77 | 6% | 60% | Median |
| 78 | 11% | 54% | |
| 79 | 24% | 43% | |
| 80 | 18% | 18% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 39% | 99.6% | |
| 75 | 11% | 61% | |
| 76 | 9% | 50% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 7% | 41% | Last Result |
| 78 | 18% | 34% | |
| 79 | 16% | 16% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 16% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 33% | 84% | |
| 73 | 12% | 50% | Median |
| 74 | 3% | 39% | Last Result |
| 75 | 2% | 35% | |
| 76 | 33% | 34% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 3% | 100% | |
| 66 | 22% | 97% | |
| 67 | 10% | 76% | Median |
| 68 | 11% | 66% | |
| 69 | 26% | 55% | |
| 70 | 9% | 28% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 20% | |
| 72 | 19% | 19% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 18% | 98% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 80% | |
| 65 | 25% | 80% | |
| 66 | 12% | 55% | Last Result, Median |
| 67 | 0.3% | 43% | |
| 68 | 24% | 43% | |
| 69 | 18% | 18% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 15% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 18% | 84% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 66% | Median |
| 64 | 12% | 65% | |
| 65 | 33% | 53% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 20% | |
| 67 | 19% | 19% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 16% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 16% | 84% | |
| 63 | 20% | 67% | Median |
| 64 | 12% | 47% | |
| 65 | 25% | 35% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 67 | 9% | 9% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 29% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 62 | 30% | 71% | Median |
| 63 | 28% | 40% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 13% | |
| 65 | 2% | 12% | |
| 66 | 8% | 9% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 26% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 59 | 16% | 74% | Median |
| 60 | 27% | 58% | |
| 61 | 19% | 31% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 63 | 10% | 10% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 21% | 98% | |
| 59 | 6% | 77% | |
| 60 | 19% | 71% | Median |
| 61 | 16% | 52% | Last Result |
| 62 | 35% | 36% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 36% | 95% | Last Result |
| 58 | 28% | 59% | Median |
| 59 | 19% | 31% | |
| 60 | 2% | 11% | |
| 61 | 8% | 10% | |
| 62 | 2% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 57 | 49% | 98% | |
| 58 | 3% | 48% | Median |
| 59 | 37% | 46% | |
| 60 | 9% | 9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 39% | 98% | Last Result |
| 55 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 56 | 18% | 48% | |
| 57 | 19% | 30% | |
| 58 | 9% | 10% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 18% | 98% | |
| 45 | 5% | 80% | |
| 46 | 22% | 75% | |
| 47 | 3% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 48 | 16% | 51% | |
| 49 | 18% | 34% | |
| 50 | 16% | 16% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 32% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 11% | 68% | Median |
| 46 | 27% | 56% | |
| 47 | 27% | 29% | |
| 48 | 2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 13% | 99.6% | |
| 41 | 34% | 87% | |
| 42 | 27% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 43 | 7% | 26% | |
| 44 | 18% | 19% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17% | 100% | |
| 32 | 7% | 83% | |
| 33 | 11% | 76% | |
| 34 | 3% | 65% | Median |
| 35 | 17% | 62% | |
| 36 | 10% | 45% | |
| 37 | 34% | 34% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 31 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 32 | 36% | 97% | |
| 33 | 24% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
| 34 | 19% | 37% | |
| 35 | 17% | 18% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 2% | 98% | |
| 28 | 40% | 95% | Last Result |
| 29 | 46% | 55% | Median |
| 30 | 9% | 9% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 15 October 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.06%