Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 29 October 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 19.3% | 18.4–20.3% | 18.2–20.6% | 18.0–20.8% | 17.5–21.3% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 12.0% | 11.3–12.8% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 10.7% | 10.0–11.4% | 9.8–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 29 | 27–30 | 27–31 | 27–31 | 27–32 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 19 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 17–20 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 17 | 16–18 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 17 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–19 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 14 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–14 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 11 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 12 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 20% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 2% | 80% | |
| 29 | 58% | 77% | Median |
| 30 | 11% | 19% | |
| 31 | 7% | 9% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 11% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 12% | 88% | |
| 19 | 64% | 77% | Last Result, Median |
| 20 | 12% | 13% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 8% | 100% | |
| 16 | 7% | 92% | |
| 17 | 75% | 86% | Median |
| 18 | 3% | 10% | |
| 19 | 7% | 7% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 12% | 98% | |
| 16 | 7% | 87% | |
| 17 | 71% | 79% | Median |
| 18 | 8% | 9% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 13% | 94% | |
| 14 | 57% | 81% | Last Result, Median |
| 15 | 11% | 24% | |
| 16 | 12% | 13% | |
| 17 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 11 | 20% | 99.3% | |
| 12 | 67% | 79% | Median |
| 13 | 11% | 12% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6% | 100% | |
| 10 | 6% | 94% | |
| 11 | 69% | 88% | Median |
| 12 | 18% | 20% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 6% | 95% | |
| 11 | 24% | 89% | |
| 12 | 16% | 65% | Median |
| 13 | 49% | 49% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 54% | 100% | Median |
| 5 | 30% | 46% | Last Result |
| 6 | 16% | 17% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 61% | 99.8% | Median |
| 5 | 32% | 39% | Last Result |
| 6 | 7% | 7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 10% | 98% | Last Result |
| 5 | 73% | 88% | Median |
| 6 | 14% | 15% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 64% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 23% | 36% | Last Result |
| 4 | 12% | 12% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 89% | 96% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 7% | 7% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 83 | 100% | 82–85 | 80–85 | 79–87 | 79–87 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 81 | 100% | 79–83 | 78–83 | 78–84 | 77–84 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 77 | 89% | 75–78 | 75–79 | 74–79 | 74–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 78 | 74% | 75–78 | 73–79 | 73–79 | 73–79 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 76 | 54% | 72–76 | 70–76 | 70–76 | 70–77 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 76 | 69 | 0% | 67–71 | 67–72 | 67–72 | 66–72 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 66 | 0% | 65–67 | 64–67 | 63–69 | 62–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 66 | 0% | 62–67 | 61–67 | 61–68 | 61–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 71 | 65 | 0% | 62–67 | 61–67 | 61–67 | 61–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 63 | 0% | 61–63 | 59–64 | 59–65 | 59–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 64 | 0% | 60–64 | 58–64 | 58–65 | 58–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 61 | 0% | 58–62 | 56–63 | 56–63 | 56–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 60 | 0% | 57–61 | 56–61 | 56–63 | 56–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 58 | 0% | 56–59 | 53–59 | 53–61 | 53–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 59 | 0% | 55–59 | 53–59 | 53–59 | 53–60 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 48 | 0% | 45–48 | 45–48 | 45–49 | 43–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 46 | 0% | 44–47 | 42–48 | 42–48 | 42–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 41 | 0% | 39–42 | 38–43 | 38–44 | 38–44 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 38 | 36 | 0% | 34–36 | 34–37 | 33–37 | 32–37 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 33 | 0% | 32–35 | 32–35 | 31–35 | 29–35 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 29 | 0% | 26–30 | 26–30 | 26–30 | 25–30 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 79 | 4% | 100% | |
| 80 | 2% | 96% | |
| 81 | 2% | 94% | |
| 82 | 15% | 92% | |
| 83 | 61% | 78% | Median |
| 84 | 6% | 17% | |
| 85 | 8% | 11% | |
| 86 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 87 | 3% | 3% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 0.2% | 100% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 78 | 7% | 99.0% | |
| 79 | 10% | 92% | |
| 80 | 10% | 82% | |
| 81 | 57% | 72% | Median |
| 82 | 5% | 16% | |
| 83 | 8% | 10% | |
| 84 | 3% | 3% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 74 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 7% | 97% | |
| 76 | 2% | 89% | Majority |
| 77 | 66% | 87% | Median |
| 78 | 12% | 21% | |
| 79 | 8% | 9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 7% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 93% | |
| 75 | 19% | 93% | |
| 76 | 4% | 74% | Majority |
| 77 | 5% | 70% | Last Result, Median |
| 78 | 59% | 65% | |
| 79 | 6% | 7% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 7% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 93% | |
| 72 | 10% | 93% | |
| 73 | 12% | 83% | |
| 74 | 12% | 71% | Last Result |
| 75 | 5% | 58% | Median |
| 76 | 52% | 54% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 22% | 99.3% | |
| 68 | 8% | 77% | |
| 69 | 54% | 69% | Median |
| 70 | 2% | 16% | |
| 71 | 6% | 13% | |
| 72 | 8% | 8% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 63 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 11% | 93% | |
| 66 | 61% | 82% | Last Result, Median |
| 67 | 18% | 22% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 69 | 3% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 7% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 62 | 5% | 93% | |
| 63 | 8% | 89% | |
| 64 | 17% | 80% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 64% | Median |
| 66 | 51% | 63% | |
| 67 | 9% | 13% | |
| 68 | 3% | 4% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 13% | 93% | |
| 63 | 5% | 80% | |
| 64 | 9% | 75% | |
| 65 | 52% | 65% | Median |
| 66 | 3% | 13% | |
| 67 | 10% | 10% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 7% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 61 | 4% | 93% | |
| 62 | 21% | 89% | |
| 63 | 59% | 68% | Median |
| 64 | 6% | 9% | |
| 65 | 3% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 59 | 3% | 93% | |
| 60 | 11% | 91% | |
| 61 | 6% | 80% | |
| 62 | 11% | 74% | |
| 63 | 8% | 63% | Median |
| 64 | 53% | 55% | |
| 65 | 2% | 3% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 7% | 100% | |
| 57 | 3% | 93% | Last Result |
| 58 | 16% | 90% | |
| 59 | 11% | 74% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 64% | Median |
| 61 | 49% | 63% | |
| 62 | 6% | 14% | |
| 63 | 8% | 8% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 8% | 100% | |
| 57 | 7% | 92% | |
| 58 | 7% | 85% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 78% | |
| 60 | 59% | 77% | Median |
| 61 | 15% | 18% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 63 | 2% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 7% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 55 | 2% | 93% | |
| 56 | 1.2% | 91% | |
| 57 | 21% | 89% | |
| 58 | 58% | 69% | Median |
| 59 | 7% | 11% | |
| 60 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 7% | 100% | |
| 54 | 2% | 93% | Last Result |
| 55 | 10% | 91% | |
| 56 | 13% | 81% | |
| 57 | 5% | 68% | |
| 58 | 3% | 63% | Median |
| 59 | 58% | 60% | |
| 60 | 2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 45 | 11% | 99.0% | |
| 46 | 6% | 88% | |
| 47 | 11% | 81% | Last Result |
| 48 | 66% | 70% | Median |
| 49 | 3% | 4% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 7% | 100% | |
| 43 | 2% | 93% | |
| 44 | 8% | 91% | |
| 45 | 14% | 83% | |
| 46 | 53% | 69% | Median |
| 47 | 11% | 16% | |
| 48 | 4% | 5% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 9% | 93% | |
| 40 | 8% | 84% | |
| 41 | 60% | 76% | Median |
| 42 | 10% | 16% | Last Result |
| 43 | 3% | 6% | |
| 44 | 3% | 3% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 11% | 95% | |
| 35 | 21% | 84% | |
| 36 | 55% | 64% | Median |
| 37 | 8% | 8% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98% | |
| 32 | 12% | 96% | |
| 33 | 63% | 84% | Last Result, Median |
| 34 | 9% | 21% | |
| 35 | 12% | 12% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 26 | 10% | 99.5% | |
| 27 | 3% | 90% | |
| 28 | 16% | 87% | Last Result |
| 29 | 51% | 70% | Median |
| 30 | 19% | 19% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 29 October 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.13%