Opinion Poll by GfK for EenVandaag, 27–30 October 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 20.0% 18.9–21.2% 18.6–21.5% 18.3–21.8% 17.8–22.4%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 14.0% 13.0–15.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.6% 12.1–16.1%
Democraten 66 12.2% 11.3% 10.5–12.3% 10.2–12.6% 10.0–12.8% 9.6–13.3%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 10.7% 9.8–11.6% 9.6–11.9% 9.4–12.1% 9.0–12.6%
GroenLinks 9.1% 8.7% 7.9–9.5% 7.7–9.8% 7.5–10.0% 7.1–10.4%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.1–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.6–9.7%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 8.0% 7.3–8.8% 7.1–9.1% 6.9–9.3% 6.6–9.7%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 5.3% 4.7–6.1% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.4% 4.2–6.8%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
50Plus 3.1% 2.7% 2.3–3.2% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5% 1.9–3.7%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.0% 1.6–2.4% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.7% 1.3–2.9%
DENK 2.1% 1.3% 1.1–1.7% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–2.0% 0.8–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 31 28–33 28–33 28–33 27–33
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 21 20–23 20–23 19–23 18–24
Democraten 66 19 17 15–19 15–19 15–20 14–21
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 16 15–19 15–19 15–19 14–19
GroenLinks 14 13 11–14 11–14 11–14 11–14
Socialistische Partij 14 12 11–14 11–14 10–14 10–14
Partij van de Arbeid 9 12 11–13 10–13 10–14 10–14
Forum voor Democratie 2 8 7–9 7–9 7–9 7–10
ChristenUnie 5 6 5–7 5–7 5–7 4–7
Partij voor de Dieren 5 5 5–6 5–7 5–7 5–8
50Plus 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
DENK 3 2 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 2% 100%  
28 14% 98%  
29 10% 85%  
30 14% 74%  
31 14% 60% Median
32 22% 46%  
33 24% 24% Last Result
34 0.2% 0.4%  
35 0.1% 0.2%  
36 0% 0.1%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 2% 100%  
19 1.1% 98%  
20 36% 97% Last Result
21 16% 61% Median
22 30% 45%  
23 14% 15%  
24 0.6% 0.7%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 1.0% 100%  
15 17% 98.9%  
16 27% 82%  
17 35% 55% Median
18 2% 20%  
19 15% 17% Last Result
20 0.9% 3%  
21 2% 2%  
22 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.1% 100%  
14 1.0% 99.9%  
15 13% 98.8%  
16 39% 85% Median
17 24% 46%  
18 12% 23%  
19 10% 10% Last Result
20 0.1% 0.1%  
21 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.2% 100%  
11 15% 99.8%  
12 7% 85%  
13 41% 79% Median
14 37% 37% Last Result
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 3% 100%  
11 20% 97%  
12 40% 77% Median
13 21% 37%  
14 16% 17% Last Result
15 0.3% 0.3%  
16 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 6% 100%  
11 24% 94%  
12 36% 70% Median
13 31% 34%  
14 2% 3%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.5% 100%  
7 24% 99.5%  
8 40% 76% Median
9 34% 36%  
10 2% 2%  
11 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100%  
5 35% 98% Last Result
6 52% 63% Median
7 11% 11%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 71% 99.8% Last Result, Median
6 19% 29%  
7 8% 10%  
8 2% 2%  
9 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 16% 99.9%  
4 81% 84% Last Result, Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 47% 99.9%  
3 52% 53% Last Result, Median
4 0.3% 0.3%  
5 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.3% 100%  
1 42% 99.7%  
2 57% 58% Median
3 0.9% 0.9% Last Result
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 90 83 100% 81–86 79–86 79–86 79–86
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 85 81 100% 80–84 80–85 80–85 79–85
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 79 98.5% 76–82 76–83 76–83 74–83
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie 80 77 67% 73–81 73–81 73–81 73–81
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 76 80% 74–80 74–80 73–80 72–80
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 76 70 0.2% 68–72 68–73 67–73 65–73
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 72 69 0% 66–71 65–71 64–71 63–71
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 66 64 0% 62–67 62–67 61–67 61–67
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 71 64 0% 63–66 62–66 61–66 58–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 62 0% 60–64 60–64 58–64 58–65
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 61 60 0% 57–62 56–62 56–62 56–64
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 61 59 0% 57–61 57–61 57–61 55–62
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 60 0% 58–61 57–61 56–61 55–62
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 58 0% 56–60 56–60 54–61 54–61
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 56 0% 54–57 53–57 52–58 51–58
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 47 45 0% 44–48 44–48 43–49 43–49
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 48 0% 46–49 45–49 43–49 42–50
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 42 0% 40–45 40–45 40–46 40–46
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 33 34 0% 33–37 30–37 30–37 30–37
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 38 33 0% 31–36 31–36 30–36 30–36
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 28 29 0% 27–31 25–31 25–31 25–31

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.2% 100%  
78 0.1% 99.8%  
79 5% 99.7%  
80 2% 95%  
81 17% 93%  
82 25% 76%  
83 6% 52% Median
84 26% 46%  
85 0.9% 20%  
86 19% 19%  
87 0.2% 0.3%  
88 0.1% 0.1%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
77 0.1% 100%  
78 0.2% 99.9%  
79 2% 99.7%  
80 16% 98%  
81 33% 82%  
82 16% 49% Median
83 2% 33%  
84 22% 30%  
85 8% 8% Last Result
86 0.3% 0.4%  
87 0% 0.1%  
88 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.6% 99.9%  
75 0.8% 99.3%  
76 15% 98.5% Majority
77 0.5% 84% Last Result
78 22% 83%  
79 17% 61% Median
80 15% 45%  
81 4% 29%  
82 15% 25%  
83 9% 9%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.3% 99.9%  
73 16% 99.7%  
74 6% 83%  
75 10% 77%  
76 12% 67% Median, Majority
77 31% 55%  
78 12% 25%  
79 0.1% 12%  
80 0.8% 12% Last Result
81 11% 11%  
82 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.6% 99.9%  
73 3% 99.3%  
74 13% 97% Last Result
75 4% 83%  
76 34% 80% Median, Majority
77 5% 46%  
78 16% 41%  
79 15% 25%  
80 10% 11%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0.1%  
83 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 2% 99.9%  
66 0.2% 98%  
67 0.7% 98%  
68 21% 97%  
69 24% 76%  
70 15% 52% Median
71 6% 37%  
72 22% 31%  
73 9% 9%  
74 0.1% 0.4%  
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.2% Last Result, Majority
77 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.5% 100%  
64 2% 99.5%  
65 3% 97%  
66 14% 94%  
67 1.4% 81%  
68 15% 79% Median
69 22% 64%  
70 31% 42%  
71 11% 11%  
72 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
73 0.1% 0.3%  
74 0.1% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.1% 100%  
61 4% 99.9%  
62 25% 96%  
63 5% 71%  
64 23% 66% Median
65 20% 43%  
66 8% 23% Last Result
67 14% 15%  
68 0.2% 0.5%  
69 0.2% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 1.5% 100%  
59 0.1% 98.5%  
60 0.3% 98%  
61 1.3% 98%  
62 3% 97%  
63 32% 94%  
64 23% 62% Median
65 1.1% 39%  
66 36% 38%  
67 0.6% 2%  
68 0.9% 1.0%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.3% 100%  
58 4% 99.7%  
59 0.8% 96%  
60 16% 95%  
61 8% 79% Last Result
62 38% 71% Median
63 3% 32%  
64 29% 30%  
65 0.5% 0.6%  
66 0.2% 0.2%  
67 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 10% 99.9%  
57 3% 90%  
58 26% 88%  
59 3% 61%  
60 19% 59% Median
61 16% 40% Last Result
62 22% 24%  
63 0.9% 2%  
64 1.4% 1.4%  
65 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 2% 99.9%  
56 0.3% 98%  
57 8% 98%  
58 5% 90%  
59 45% 85% Median
60 1.4% 41%  
61 38% 39% Last Result
62 1.3% 2%  
63 0.2% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.2% 100%  
55 2% 99.8%  
56 2% 98%  
57 5% 96%  
58 21% 91% Last Result
59 8% 71% Median
60 32% 62%  
61 29% 31%  
62 1.2% 2%  
63 0.5% 0.5%  
64 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 4% 99.8%  
55 0.8% 96%  
56 12% 95%  
57 4% 83% Last Result
58 47% 79% Median
59 2% 31%  
60 26% 30%  
61 3% 4%  
62 0.4% 0.4%  
63 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 2% 99.9%  
52 2% 98%  
53 2% 96%  
54 15% 94% Last Result
55 17% 79% Median
56 32% 62%  
57 25% 30%  
58 5% 5%  
59 0.2% 0.4%  
60 0.2% 0.2%  
61 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0.2% 99.9%  
43 5% 99.7%  
44 34% 95%  
45 25% 61% Median
46 12% 36%  
47 3% 24% Last Result
48 19% 22%  
49 2% 3%  
50 0.3% 0.4%  
51 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 2% 100%  
43 2% 98%  
44 1.1% 96%  
45 1.2% 95%  
46 14% 94%  
47 19% 80% Median
48 37% 61%  
49 23% 24%  
50 0.7% 1.0%  
51 0.1% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.2% Last Result
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.1% 100%  
39 0.1% 99.9%  
40 11% 99.7%  
41 13% 88%  
42 31% 76% Last Result
43 5% 45% Median
44 1.1% 39%  
45 36% 38%  
46 2% 3%  
47 0.2% 0.2%  
48 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 5% 100%  
31 0.2% 95%  
32 4% 94%  
33 3% 91% Last Result
34 53% 88% Median
35 12% 34%  
36 11% 22%  
37 12% 12%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 3% 99.9%  
31 18% 97%  
32 1.4% 79%  
33 38% 78% Median
34 7% 40%  
35 21% 33%  
36 11% 12%  
37 0.4% 0.5%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 5% 99.9%  
26 1.3% 95%  
27 4% 93%  
28 37% 89% Last Result, Median
29 29% 52%  
30 10% 23%  
31 13% 13%  
32 0% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations