Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 5 November 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 19.3% 18.4–20.3% 18.2–20.6% 18.0–20.8% 17.5–21.3%
Democraten 66 12.2% 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 10.7% 10.0–11.4% 9.8–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 10.7% 10.0–11.4% 9.8–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
GroenLinks 9.1% 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 4.0% 3.6–4.5% 3.4–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.0%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.3%
50Plus 3.1% 3.3% 2.9–3.8% 2.8–3.9% 2.7–4.0% 2.6–4.3%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
DENK 2.1% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 30 29–30 29–31 29–31 28–33
Democraten 66 19 18 17–20 17–20 17–20 16–20
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 16 15–17 14–17 14–17 14–18
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 17 15–19 15–19 15–19 14–19
GroenLinks 14 13 13–14 13–15 12–15 11–15
Partij van de Arbeid 9 13 11–14 11–14 11–14 11–14
Socialistische Partij 14 11 11–12 11–13 10–13 10–14
Forum voor Democratie 2 12 10–12 10–13 10–13 9–13
Partij voor de Dieren 5 5 5–7 5–7 5–7 4–7
ChristenUnie 5 5 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
50Plus 4 4 4–5 4–5 4–6 4–6
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 2 2–3 2–3 2–4 2–4
DENK 3 3 2–3 2–3 2–4 1–4

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.3% 100%  
28 1.3% 99.7%  
29 26% 98%  
30 63% 73% Median
31 7% 9%  
32 0.8% 2%  
33 2% 2% Last Result
34 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 2% 100%  
17 14% 98%  
18 39% 84% Median
19 1.3% 45% Last Result
20 43% 43%  
21 0.3% 0.3%  
22 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 6% 100%  
15 4% 94%  
16 69% 90% Median
17 20% 21%  
18 0.9% 0.9%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 2% 100%  
15 31% 98%  
16 13% 67%  
17 40% 55% Median
18 1.2% 15%  
19 14% 14% Last Result
20 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 1.1% 99.9%  
12 2% 98.8%  
13 71% 97% Median
14 21% 27% Last Result
15 5% 5%  
16 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0% 100%  
11 15% 100%  
12 21% 85%  
13 18% 63% Median
14 45% 45%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 5% 100%  
11 53% 95% Median
12 36% 42%  
13 5% 6%  
14 0.7% 0.7% Last Result
15 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0.8% 100%  
10 9% 99.2%  
11 34% 90%  
12 50% 55% Median
13 5% 5%  
14 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.2% 100%  
5 59% 98.8% Last Result, Median
6 25% 40%  
7 14% 14%  
8 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.3% 100%  
4 14% 99.7%  
5 66% 86% Last Result, Median
6 20% 20%  
7 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 64% 100% Last Result, Median
5 33% 36%  
6 3% 3%  
7 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 81% 100% Median
3 15% 19% Last Result
4 4% 4%  
5 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 2% 100%  
2 47% 98%  
3 49% 52% Last Result, Median
4 3% 3%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 85 83 100% 82–84 81–84 80–85 80–85
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 90 83 100% 82–85 82–85 79–85 78–85
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie 80 78 97% 77–79 77–80 75–80 73–80
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 75 43% 75–79 75–79 75–79 73–81
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie 74 73 16% 72–77 72–77 71–77 71–78
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 76 70 0% 68–72 68–72 67–72 66–72
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 66 67 0% 66–67 65–68 64–68 61–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 71 65 0% 63–67 63–67 63–68 61–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 65 0% 63–66 63–66 62–66 61–70
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid 72 62 0% 61–66 59–66 59–66 59–67
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 62 0% 61–64 61–64 60–64 59–67
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 61 60 0% 59–64 59–64 59–64 59–64
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 60 0% 59–62 59–62 58–62 56–65
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 61 59 0% 58–60 58–61 58–61 57–63
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 57 0% 57–60 56–60 55–60 54–62
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 47 48 0% 47–49 47–49 46–50 44–50
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 46 0% 45–49 45–49 45–49 44–50
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 43 0% 41–44 41–44 41–45 40–46
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 38 35 0% 34–37 34–37 32–37 31–38
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 33 35 0% 34–36 33–36 32–36 30–36
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 28 29 0% 29–31 29–31 27–31 26–31

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 0% 100%  
79 0.2% 99.9%  
80 3% 99.8%  
81 4% 97%  
82 19% 94%  
83 40% 74% Median
84 30% 35%  
85 5% 5% Last Result
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
78 1.1% 100%  
79 2% 98.8%  
80 0.9% 97%  
81 0.6% 96%  
82 14% 96%  
83 32% 82% Median
84 31% 50%  
85 19% 19%  
86 0.2% 0.2%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.6% 100%  
74 0% 99.4%  
75 3% 99.4%  
76 0.2% 97% Majority
77 27% 96% Median
78 45% 69%  
79 17% 24%  
80 7% 7% Last Result
81 0.3% 0.3%  
82 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.3% 99.7%  
74 0.4% 99.4%  
75 56% 99.0%  
76 6% 43% Majority
77 21% 37% Last Result, Median
78 0.1% 16%  
79 15% 16%  
80 0% 1.1%  
81 1.1% 1.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0% 100%  
70 0.2% 99.9%  
71 4% 99.7%  
72 10% 96%  
73 44% 86%  
74 6% 42% Last Result
75 20% 36% Median
76 0.7% 16% Majority
77 14% 15%  
78 1.1% 1.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 2% 99.8%  
67 1.2% 98%  
68 14% 97%  
69 9% 83%  
70 36% 75% Median
71 20% 39%  
72 19% 19%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0% 100%  
61 1.2% 99.9%  
62 0.8% 98.7%  
63 0.2% 98%  
64 3% 98%  
65 1.5% 95%  
66 38% 94% Last Result, Median
67 47% 56%  
68 9% 9%  
69 0.2% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.2% 100%  
61 2% 99.8%  
62 0.2% 98%  
63 14% 98%  
64 4% 84%  
65 60% 80% Median
66 0.9% 20%  
67 15% 19%  
68 5% 5%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0.1% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.4% 99.8% Last Result
62 2% 99.4%  
63 41% 97%  
64 4% 56%  
65 16% 52% Median
66 34% 36%  
67 0.4% 2%  
68 0.1% 1.2%  
69 0% 1.1%  
70 1.1% 1.1%  
71 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0% 99.9%  
59 6% 99.9%  
60 4% 94%  
61 30% 91%  
62 19% 60%  
63 20% 42% Median
64 5% 21%  
65 0.2% 16%  
66 15% 16%  
67 0.6% 0.6%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
59 2% 99.7%  
60 0.4% 98%  
61 47% 97%  
62 10% 50%  
63 5% 40% Median
64 33% 35%  
65 0.1% 1.2%  
66 0% 1.1%  
67 1.1% 1.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.3% 100%  
59 17% 99.7%  
60 34% 82%  
61 2% 49% Last Result, Median
62 9% 47%  
63 5% 38%  
64 33% 33%  
65 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 0.3% 99.8%  
57 0.1% 99.5% Last Result
58 4% 99.3%  
59 43% 95%  
60 12% 53%  
61 25% 41% Median
62 14% 16%  
63 0.4% 2%  
64 0% 1.1%  
65 1.1% 1.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.8%  
57 1.4% 99.7%  
58 13% 98%  
59 51% 86%  
60 27% 35% Median
61 5% 7% Last Result
62 0.7% 2%  
63 1.1% 1.1%  
64 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.2% 100%  
54 0.4% 99.8% Last Result
55 2% 99.3%  
56 7% 97%  
57 45% 90%  
58 10% 45%  
59 20% 35% Median
60 14% 15%  
61 0% 1.1%  
62 1.1% 1.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.6% 100%  
45 2% 99.4%  
46 2% 98%  
47 22% 96% Last Result
48 32% 74% Median
49 38% 42%  
50 4% 4%  
51 0.2% 0.2%  
52 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0% 100%  
43 0.4% 99.9%  
44 0.4% 99.6%  
45 41% 99.1%  
46 16% 58%  
47 22% 41% Median
48 4% 19%  
49 15% 16%  
50 1.1% 1.1%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.2% 100%  
40 0.6% 99.8%  
41 16% 99.2%  
42 30% 84% Last Result
43 17% 53% Median
44 32% 36%  
45 2% 4%  
46 2% 2%  
47 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.6% 100%  
32 2% 99.4%  
33 0.2% 97%  
34 16% 97%  
35 54% 81% Median
36 9% 27%  
37 18% 18%  
38 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
39 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.8% 100%  
31 0.8% 99.2%  
32 2% 98%  
33 5% 96% Last Result
34 40% 91%  
35 38% 51% Median
36 13% 13%  
37 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.9% 100%  
27 2% 99.1%  
28 2% 97% Last Result
29 58% 95%  
30 23% 37% Median
31 14% 14%  
32 0.1% 0.1%  
33 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations