Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 30 November 2017
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 20.3% | 18.7–22.0% | 18.3–22.5% | 17.9–22.9% | 17.2–23.7% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.1–13.8% | 10.8–14.2% | 10.5–14.6% | 9.9–15.3% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 11.6% | 10.4–13.0% | 10.0–13.4% | 9.8–13.7% | 9.2–14.4% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.3% | 7.9–11.6% | 7.4–12.2% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.0–11.1% | 7.7–11.4% | 7.2–12.0% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 7.5% | 6.5–8.7% | 6.2–9.0% | 6.0–9.3% | 5.6–9.9% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–5.0% | 2.3–5.4% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6–2.8% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.4–3.2% | 1.2–3.6% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 32 | 28–36 | 27–36 | 26–36 | 26–37 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 20 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 15–22 | 15–24 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 16 | 15–19 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 13–24 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 15 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 10–19 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 13 | 12–16 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 10–18 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 8–14 | 7–16 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 9 | 8–11 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 6–13 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 7 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 3–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 3–9 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 3–7 | 3–8 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 1–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–5 | 1–5 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 26 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 2% | 97% | |
| 28 | 6% | 95% | |
| 29 | 8% | 89% | |
| 30 | 9% | 81% | |
| 31 | 9% | 72% | |
| 32 | 34% | 63% | Median |
| 33 | 5% | 29% | Last Result |
| 34 | 11% | 23% | |
| 35 | 2% | 12% | |
| 36 | 9% | 10% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 4% | 97% | |
| 17 | 9% | 93% | |
| 18 | 17% | 84% | |
| 19 | 10% | 67% | |
| 20 | 43% | 57% | Last Result, Median |
| 21 | 7% | 14% | |
| 22 | 5% | 6% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 24 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 14 | 6% | 99.2% | |
| 15 | 14% | 94% | |
| 16 | 34% | 80% | Median |
| 17 | 16% | 46% | |
| 18 | 14% | 29% | |
| 19 | 5% | 15% | Last Result |
| 20 | 5% | 9% | |
| 21 | 2% | 4% | |
| 22 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 12 | 11% | 98% | |
| 13 | 13% | 87% | |
| 14 | 10% | 75% | Last Result |
| 15 | 16% | 65% | Median |
| 16 | 27% | 49% | |
| 17 | 19% | 22% | |
| 18 | 2% | 3% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 12 | 36% | 96% | |
| 13 | 13% | 61% | Median |
| 14 | 21% | 48% | |
| 15 | 11% | 27% | |
| 16 | 11% | 16% | |
| 17 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 18 | 4% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 98% | |
| 9 | 7% | 96% | |
| 10 | 18% | 89% | |
| 11 | 22% | 71% | Median |
| 12 | 10% | 49% | |
| 13 | 32% | 39% | |
| 14 | 5% | 7% | |
| 15 | 2% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 32% | 98.8% | |
| 9 | 18% | 67% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 26% | 48% | |
| 11 | 13% | 23% | |
| 12 | 4% | 9% | |
| 13 | 4% | 5% | |
| 14 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 7 | 15% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 12% | 84% | |
| 9 | 22% | 72% | Median |
| 10 | 18% | 50% | |
| 11 | 29% | 32% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 12% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 16% | 88% | Last Result |
| 6 | 14% | 72% | |
| 7 | 48% | 58% | Median |
| 8 | 9% | 10% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 4 | 18% | 99.1% | |
| 5 | 12% | 81% | Last Result |
| 6 | 42% | 69% | Median |
| 7 | 15% | 27% | |
| 8 | 10% | 12% | |
| 9 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 38% | 97% | Last Result |
| 5 | 20% | 59% | Median |
| 6 | 30% | 38% | |
| 7 | 7% | 9% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 57% | 98.9% | Median |
| 3 | 19% | 42% | Last Result |
| 4 | 19% | 22% | |
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 17% | 97% | |
| 3 | 57% | 80% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 20% | 23% | |
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 90 | 82 | 99.8% | 80–87 | 80–89 | 78–89 | 76–89 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 77 | 58% | 74–83 | 74–83 | 73–84 | 72–85 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 79 | 87% | 75–82 | 74–82 | 73–83 | 71–86 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 77 | 63% | 72–79 | 71–80 | 69–81 | 68–83 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 69 | 7% | 67–74 | 67–76 | 65–78 | 63–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 76 | 67 | 0.2% | 65–72 | 64–73 | 63–73 | 62–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 64 | 0% | 61–68 | 60–70 | 59–71 | 58–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 64 | 0% | 61–68 | 60–69 | 58–69 | 57–71 |
| Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 61 | 0% | 57–65 | 57–66 | 57–68 | 54–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 71 | 61 | 0% | 60–66 | 58–67 | 57–68 | 55–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 61 | 0% | 58–65 | 57–67 | 56–67 | 55–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 59 | 0% | 56–63 | 55–65 | 54–65 | 52–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 57 | 0% | 55–62 | 54–64 | 53–64 | 52–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 57 | 0% | 53–60 | 51–61 | 51–62 | 49–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 54 | 0% | 52–60 | 50–60 | 50–61 | 49–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 44 | 0% | 42–50 | 41–50 | 40–52 | 39–52 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 40 | 0% | 36–45 | 36–46 | 36–47 | 36–48 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 41 | 0% | 38–46 | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–48 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 38 | 30 | 0% | 28–34 | 28–35 | 27–36 | 25–39 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 29 | 0% | 26–32 | 25–34 | 25–36 | 24–36 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 23 | 0% | 20–26 | 20–27 | 20–29 | 19–29 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 74 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 99.8% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 78 | 2% | 98% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 80 | 10% | 95% | |
| 81 | 8% | 85% | |
| 82 | 31% | 77% | Median |
| 83 | 10% | 46% | |
| 84 | 16% | 36% | |
| 85 | 4% | 20% | |
| 86 | 5% | 16% | |
| 87 | 2% | 10% | |
| 88 | 1.2% | 8% | |
| 89 | 7% | 7% | |
| 90 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 91 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 73 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 74 | 31% | 97% | |
| 75 | 8% | 65% | |
| 76 | 3% | 58% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 6% | 54% | |
| 78 | 7% | 49% | |
| 79 | 13% | 41% | |
| 80 | 6% | 28% | |
| 81 | 2% | 23% | |
| 82 | 10% | 20% | |
| 83 | 6% | 10% | |
| 84 | 2% | 4% | |
| 85 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 3% | 96% | |
| 75 | 6% | 92% | |
| 76 | 4% | 87% | Majority |
| 77 | 14% | 83% | Last Result |
| 78 | 6% | 69% | Median |
| 79 | 31% | 63% | |
| 80 | 8% | 32% | |
| 81 | 7% | 24% | |
| 82 | 12% | 17% | |
| 83 | 3% | 5% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 86 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 71 | 4% | 96% | |
| 72 | 5% | 92% | |
| 73 | 5% | 87% | |
| 74 | 6% | 82% | Last Result |
| 75 | 14% | 77% | |
| 76 | 7% | 63% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 29% | 55% | |
| 78 | 12% | 26% | |
| 79 | 5% | 14% | |
| 80 | 6% | 9% | |
| 81 | 2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 67 | 10% | 97% | |
| 68 | 7% | 87% | Median |
| 69 | 34% | 80% | |
| 70 | 10% | 46% | |
| 71 | 12% | 36% | |
| 72 | 7% | 24% | |
| 73 | 5% | 17% | |
| 74 | 4% | 13% | |
| 75 | 2% | 8% | |
| 76 | 3% | 7% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 78 | 2% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 3% | 97% | |
| 65 | 10% | 94% | |
| 66 | 33% | 84% | |
| 67 | 4% | 51% | Median |
| 68 | 3% | 47% | |
| 69 | 15% | 44% | |
| 70 | 5% | 29% | |
| 71 | 3% | 23% | |
| 72 | 13% | 20% | |
| 73 | 5% | 7% | |
| 74 | 2% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result, Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 60 | 4% | 97% | |
| 61 | 4% | 93% | Last Result |
| 62 | 4% | 89% | |
| 63 | 34% | 84% | Median |
| 64 | 7% | 51% | |
| 65 | 12% | 43% | |
| 66 | 6% | 31% | |
| 67 | 4% | 25% | |
| 68 | 12% | 21% | |
| 69 | 4% | 9% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 5% | |
| 71 | 3% | 5% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 60 | 4% | 96% | |
| 61 | 5% | 92% | |
| 62 | 8% | 87% | |
| 63 | 5% | 79% | |
| 64 | 33% | 74% | |
| 65 | 5% | 41% | Median |
| 66 | 15% | 36% | |
| 67 | 6% | 22% | |
| 68 | 7% | 16% | |
| 69 | 7% | 9% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 10% | 98.6% | |
| 58 | 24% | 89% | |
| 59 | 7% | 65% | Median |
| 60 | 8% | 59% | |
| 61 | 11% | 50% | |
| 62 | 12% | 39% | |
| 63 | 9% | 28% | |
| 64 | 5% | 19% | |
| 65 | 7% | 14% | |
| 66 | 4% | 7% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 68 | 2% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 2% | 94% | |
| 60 | 30% | 93% | |
| 61 | 18% | 62% | Median |
| 62 | 10% | 44% | |
| 63 | 4% | 35% | |
| 64 | 3% | 30% | |
| 65 | 9% | 27% | |
| 66 | 13% | 18% | |
| 67 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 68 | 2% | 4% | |
| 69 | 2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 57 | 2% | 96% | |
| 58 | 4% | 94% | Last Result |
| 59 | 5% | 89% | |
| 60 | 5% | 84% | |
| 61 | 34% | 80% | Median |
| 62 | 11% | 45% | |
| 63 | 6% | 34% | |
| 64 | 10% | 28% | |
| 65 | 10% | 18% | |
| 66 | 2% | 9% | |
| 67 | 4% | 6% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 55 | 6% | 97% | |
| 56 | 2% | 91% | |
| 57 | 16% | 89% | Last Result |
| 58 | 7% | 74% | Median |
| 59 | 29% | 67% | |
| 60 | 5% | 38% | |
| 61 | 6% | 33% | |
| 62 | 11% | 27% | |
| 63 | 8% | 17% | |
| 64 | 3% | 8% | |
| 65 | 4% | 5% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 54 | 3% | 96% | |
| 55 | 8% | 93% | |
| 56 | 24% | 85% | |
| 57 | 12% | 61% | Median |
| 58 | 7% | 49% | |
| 59 | 14% | 42% | |
| 60 | 7% | 28% | |
| 61 | 5% | 20% | Last Result |
| 62 | 9% | 15% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 64 | 3% | 5% | |
| 65 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 2% | |
| 67 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 3% | 98% | |
| 52 | 1.4% | 95% | |
| 53 | 5% | 94% | |
| 54 | 5% | 88% | Last Result |
| 55 | 14% | 84% | |
| 56 | 8% | 69% | Median |
| 57 | 27% | 61% | |
| 58 | 11% | 34% | |
| 59 | 1.5% | 23% | |
| 60 | 13% | 21% | |
| 61 | 5% | 8% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 3% | 95% | |
| 52 | 28% | 92% | |
| 53 | 5% | 64% | |
| 54 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 55 | 11% | 48% | |
| 56 | 9% | 37% | |
| 57 | 6% | 28% | |
| 58 | 4% | 22% | |
| 59 | 5% | 18% | |
| 60 | 9% | 13% | |
| 61 | 4% | 5% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 41 | 4% | 97% | |
| 42 | 7% | 93% | |
| 43 | 4% | 85% | |
| 44 | 34% | 82% | |
| 45 | 6% | 48% | Median |
| 46 | 10% | 41% | |
| 47 | 9% | 31% | |
| 48 | 9% | 22% | |
| 49 | 3% | 13% | |
| 50 | 6% | 10% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 52 | 4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 26% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 2% | 74% | |
| 38 | 5% | 72% | Median |
| 39 | 16% | 67% | |
| 40 | 12% | 51% | |
| 41 | 10% | 39% | |
| 42 | 7% | 28% | |
| 43 | 7% | 22% | |
| 44 | 4% | 15% | |
| 45 | 4% | 11% | |
| 46 | 4% | 6% | |
| 47 | 1.3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 48 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 37 | 6% | 97% | |
| 38 | 3% | 91% | |
| 39 | 7% | 88% | |
| 40 | 30% | 81% | |
| 41 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 42 | 19% | 44% | Last Result |
| 43 | 4% | 24% | |
| 44 | 5% | 20% | |
| 45 | 5% | 16% | |
| 46 | 7% | 10% | |
| 47 | 3% | 4% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 27 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 28 | 30% | 97% | |
| 29 | 10% | 67% | Median |
| 30 | 19% | 57% | |
| 31 | 7% | 38% | |
| 32 | 11% | 31% | |
| 33 | 8% | 20% | |
| 34 | 4% | 12% | |
| 35 | 4% | 8% | |
| 36 | 2% | 4% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 26 | 26% | 94% | |
| 27 | 4% | 69% | |
| 28 | 10% | 64% | Median |
| 29 | 6% | 54% | |
| 30 | 18% | 48% | |
| 31 | 11% | 30% | |
| 32 | 9% | 18% | |
| 33 | 4% | 9% | Last Result |
| 34 | 2% | 5% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 4% | |
| 36 | 3% | 3% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 23% | 99.0% | |
| 21 | 7% | 76% | |
| 22 | 15% | 69% | Median |
| 23 | 6% | 54% | |
| 24 | 18% | 48% | |
| 25 | 16% | 30% | |
| 26 | 6% | 14% | |
| 27 | 4% | 9% | |
| 28 | 1.0% | 5% | Last Result |
| 29 | 4% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 30 November 2017
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.36%