Opinion Poll by GfK for EenVandaag, 15–18 December 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 19.3% 18.2–20.5% 17.8–20.8% 17.6–21.1% 17.1–21.7%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 14.0% 13.0–15.1% 12.7–15.4% 12.5–15.6% 12.1–16.2%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 10.0% 9.2–11.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.9%
Democraten 66 12.2% 10.0% 9.2–11.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.9%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 10.0% 9.2–11.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.7–11.4% 8.4–11.9%
GroenLinks 9.1% 8.7% 7.9–9.5% 7.7–9.8% 7.5–10.0% 7.1–10.4%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 7.3% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.4% 6.2–8.6% 5.9–9.0%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 6.7% 6.0–7.5% 5.8–7.7% 5.6–7.9% 5.3–8.3%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 3.4% 2.9–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.3% 2.4–4.6%
50Plus 3.1% 3.4% 2.9–3.9% 2.7–4.1% 2.6–4.3% 2.4–4.6%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.7% 1.3–3.0%
DENK 2.1% 1.3% 1.0–1.7% 0.9–1.8% 0.9–1.9% 0.8–2.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 30 30–31 30–31 30–31 27–32
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 21 19–22 19–22 19–22 18–24
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 16 14–16 13–16 13–16 13–18
Democraten 66 19 16 16–18 16–18 15–18 13–19
Socialistische Partij 14 16 15–16 15–16 14–16 13–17
GroenLinks 14 13 13 13 13 11–15
Partij van de Arbeid 9 9 9–11 9–11 9–12 8–13
Forum voor Democratie 2 10 9–10 9–10 8–10 8–11
ChristenUnie 5 6 5–6 5–6 5–6 4–7
Partij voor de Dieren 5 6 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
50Plus 4 4 4–6 4–6 4–6 4–6
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–4
DENK 3 1 1 1 1–2 1–2

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.9%  
28 0.7% 99.5%  
29 0.8% 98.8%  
30 87% 98% Median
31 11% 11%  
32 0.2% 0.6%  
33 0.1% 0.4% Last Result
34 0.1% 0.3%  
35 0.2% 0.2%  
36 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.6% 100%  
19 11% 99.4%  
20 1.4% 89% Last Result
21 74% 87% Median
22 11% 14%  
23 0.9% 2%  
24 1.2% 1.3%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0.1% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 8% 99.8%  
14 4% 92%  
15 3% 88%  
16 84% 85% Median
17 0.8% 2%  
18 0.6% 0.7%  
19 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
20 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.4% 100%  
13 0.4% 99.6%  
14 2% 99.2%  
15 2% 98%  
16 83% 96% Median
17 1.3% 13%  
18 11% 11%  
19 0.5% 0.5% Last Result
20 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.2% 100%  
13 1.0% 99.8%  
14 2% 98.8% Last Result
15 9% 97%  
16 86% 88% Median
17 2% 2%  
18 0.2% 0.2%  
19 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100%  
11 1.0% 99.9%  
12 0.8% 99.0%  
13 96% 98% Median
14 0.7% 2% Last Result
15 1.1% 2%  
16 0.4% 0.4%  
17 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.6% 100%  
9 76% 99.4% Last Result, Median
10 9% 24%  
11 12% 15%  
12 2% 3%  
13 0.4% 0.6%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.1% 100%  
8 4% 99.9%  
9 20% 96%  
10 74% 76% Median
11 1.2% 1.4%  
12 0.1% 0.2%  
13 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 1.2% 100%  
5 10% 98.8% Last Result
6 88% 89% Median
7 1.1% 1.2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.3% 100%  
4 14% 99.7%  
5 3% 85% Last Result
6 82% 82% Median
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.3% 100%  
4 74% 99.7% Last Result, Median
5 12% 26%  
6 13% 14%  
7 0.1% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.4% 100%  
2 89% 99.6% Median
3 10% 11% Last Result
4 0.5% 0.5%  
5 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 95% 100% Median
2 4% 5%  
3 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 90 81 99.7% 79–82 79–82 78–82 76–82
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 85 77 98% 76–80 76–80 76–80 73–81
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 79 98.7% 77–79 77–79 76–80 74–82
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 80 76 89% 74–78 74–78 74–78 72–80
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 77 77% 74–77 74–77 74–77 72–79
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 76 68 0% 66–69 66–69 65–69 62–69
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 72 67 0% 65–67 65–67 65–68 62–70
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 62 0% 60–64 60–64 60–64 59–65
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 71 62 0% 61–63 61–63 60–63 57–63
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 66 60 0% 59–62 59–62 59–62 58–64
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 60 0% 58–62 57–62 57–62 57–62
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 61 55 0% 55–58 55–58 55–58 53–59
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 58 0% 55–58 55–58 54–58 54–60
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 61 55 0% 53–58 53–58 53–58 53–60
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 56 0% 52–56 52–56 52–56 52–57
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 46 0% 44–47 43–47 43–47 43–48
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 47 41 0% 41–43 41–43 40–43 38–46
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 39 0% 39–42 39–42 39–42 38–44
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 33 31 0% 29–33 28–33 28–33 28–36
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 38 32 0% 31–32 31–32 30–32 27–34
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 28 25 0% 23–27 23–27 23–27 23–30

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.1% 100%  
74 0.1% 99.9%  
75 0.1% 99.8%  
76 0.8% 99.7% Majority
77 0.3% 98.9%  
78 2% 98.7%  
79 8% 97%  
80 1.0% 89%  
81 76% 88% Median
82 11% 11%  
83 0.1% 0.4%  
84 0% 0.3%  
85 0.2% 0.3%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0% 100%  
72 0.2% 99.9%  
73 0.4% 99.7%  
74 1.3% 99.3%  
75 0.1% 98%  
76 8% 98% Majority
77 76% 90% Median
78 0.9% 14%  
79 0.8% 13%  
80 11% 12%  
81 0.6% 0.9%  
82 0.3% 0.4%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
73 0.3% 100%  
74 0.4% 99.7%  
75 0.6% 99.3%  
76 3% 98.7% Majority
77 18% 95% Last Result
78 0.6% 77%  
79 73% 76% Median
80 0.7% 3%  
81 1.5% 2%  
82 0.7% 0.9%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.1% 100%  
72 0.5% 99.8%  
73 1.2% 99.3%  
74 9% 98%  
75 0.6% 89%  
76 77% 89% Median, Majority
77 0.6% 12%  
78 11% 12%  
79 0.6% 1.2%  
80 0.6% 0.6% Last Result
81 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 0.3% 100%  
72 0.5% 99.7%  
73 0.4% 99.2%  
74 12% 98.8% Last Result
75 10% 87%  
76 0.8% 77% Majority
77 74% 76% Median
78 0.6% 2%  
79 1.3% 2%  
80 0.3% 0.4%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.2% 100%  
61 0.1% 99.8%  
62 0.6% 99.7%  
63 1.0% 99.1%  
64 0.4% 98%  
65 0.4% 98%  
66 8% 97%  
67 1.1% 89%  
68 76% 88% Median
69 11% 12%  
70 0.2% 0.5%  
71 0.2% 0.3%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.3% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.7%  
63 0.3% 99.5%  
64 0.9% 99.2%  
65 8% 98%  
66 14% 90%  
67 73% 76% Median
68 0.4% 3%  
69 2% 2%  
70 0.2% 0.5%  
71 0.3% 0.4%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.2% 99.9%  
59 0.5% 99.7%  
60 11% 99.3%  
61 1.1% 88% Last Result
62 74% 87% Median
63 0.7% 13%  
64 11% 12%  
65 0.3% 0.6%  
66 0.2% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.3% 99.9%  
57 0.5% 99.6%  
58 0.6% 99.2%  
59 1.0% 98.5%  
60 0.4% 98%  
61 8% 97%  
62 77% 89% Median
63 11% 12%  
64 0.3% 0.4%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.4% 99.9%  
58 0.5% 99.5%  
59 10% 99.0%  
60 76% 90% Median
61 1.1% 13%  
62 11% 12%  
63 0.6% 1.3%  
64 0.5% 0.7%  
65 0.2% 0.2%  
66 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.2% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.7%  
57 8% 99.7%  
58 4% 91% Last Result
59 2% 88%  
60 74% 86% Median
61 1.1% 12%  
62 11% 11%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.3% 99.9%  
53 0.6% 99.6%  
54 0.4% 99.0%  
55 74% 98.6% Median
56 0.9% 25%  
57 4% 24%  
58 19% 20%  
59 1.2% 2%  
60 0.1% 0.4%  
61 0.3% 0.3% Last Result
62 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 3% 99.9%  
55 8% 96%  
56 1.3% 88%  
57 2% 87% Last Result
58 83% 85% Median
59 0.8% 2%  
60 0.5% 0.9%  
61 0.3% 0.4%  
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 11% 99.8%  
54 1.0% 89%  
55 74% 88% Median
56 2% 14%  
57 1.1% 13%  
58 11% 12%  
59 0.3% 1.0%  
60 0.7% 0.8%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0% 100%  
51 0.2% 99.9%  
52 11% 99.7%  
53 0.9% 89%  
54 2% 88% Last Result
55 1.2% 86%  
56 84% 85% Median
57 0.7% 1.0%  
58 0.3% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0.1% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.2% 99.8%  
43 8% 99.6%  
44 4% 91%  
45 2% 87%  
46 73% 85% Median
47 11% 12%  
48 0.5% 0.8%  
49 0.2% 0.3%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.1% 100%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0.6% 99.9%  
39 0.2% 99.3%  
40 2% 99.1%  
41 84% 97% Median
42 0.6% 13%  
43 11% 13%  
44 0.6% 2%  
45 0.7% 1.3%  
46 0.2% 0.6%  
47 0.2% 0.4% Last Result
48 0.2% 0.2%  
49 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.3% 100%  
38 0.4% 99.7%  
39 76% 99.2% Median
40 9% 23%  
41 2% 14%  
42 12% 13% Last Result
43 0.2% 0.8%  
44 0.2% 0.5%  
45 0.1% 0.3%  
46 0.2% 0.2%  
47 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 8% 100%  
29 3% 92%  
30 1.1% 88%  
31 74% 87% Median
32 1.0% 14%  
33 11% 13% Last Result
34 0.1% 2%  
35 0.7% 1.4%  
36 0.4% 0.7%  
37 0.2% 0.2%  
38 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.3% 100%  
27 0.4% 99.7%  
28 0.4% 99.4%  
29 1.4% 98.9%  
30 0.5% 98%  
31 8% 97%  
32 87% 89% Median
33 1.0% 2%  
34 0.4% 0.7%  
35 0.2% 0.3%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 11% 100%  
24 0.7% 89%  
25 73% 88% Median
26 2% 15%  
27 11% 13%  
28 0.7% 2% Last Result
29 0.3% 1.1%  
30 0.7% 0.9%  
31 0.2% 0.2%  
32 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations