Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 18 December 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 19.8% 18.2–21.5% 17.8–22.0% 17.4–22.4% 16.7–23.2%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 11.8% 10.6–13.2% 10.2–13.6% 9.9–14.0% 9.4–14.7%
Democraten 66 12.2% 10.7% 9.5–12.1% 9.2–12.4% 8.9–12.8% 8.4–13.5%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 9.4% 8.3–10.7% 8.0–11.1% 7.7–11.4% 7.2–12.0%
GroenLinks 9.1% 8.7% 7.7–10.0% 7.3–10.3% 7.1–10.6% 6.6–11.2%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 8.0% 7.0–9.2% 6.7–9.6% 6.5–9.9% 6.0–10.5%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.4–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.9%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 4.4% 3.7–5.3% 3.5–5.6% 3.3–5.9% 3.0–6.4%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 3.9% 3.2–4.8% 3.0–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
50Plus 3.1% 3.2% 2.6–4.0% 2.4–4.3% 2.3–4.5% 2.0–4.9%
DENK 2.1% 2.6% 2.1–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.6–4.2%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 31 28–33 27–35 26–35 26–37
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 17 15–19 15–21 15–21 14–21
Democraten 66 19 16 14–19 14–19 14–19 13–20
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 13 11–16 11–16 11–17 11–18
GroenLinks 14 13 12–15 12–15 11–15 10–16
Socialistische Partij 14 12 10–14 10–14 10–15 9–16
Forum voor Democratie 2 11 10–13 9–14 9–14 8–16
Partij van de Arbeid 9 10 7–12 7–14 7–14 6–14
Partij voor de Dieren 5 6 5–8 5–9 5–9 4–9
ChristenUnie 5 7 5–7 5–8 4–8 4–8
50Plus 4 5 4–6 4–6 3–7 3–7
DENK 3 3 3–5 3–5 2–5 2–6
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 4 2–4 2–5 2–5 2–6

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0% 99.9%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 5% 99.8%  
27 2% 95%  
28 30% 93%  
29 12% 63%  
30 1.1% 52%  
31 36% 50% Median
32 2% 15%  
33 6% 13% Last Result
34 0.5% 7%  
35 6% 6%  
36 0% 0.6%  
37 0.5% 0.5%  
38 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.2% 100%  
14 0.5% 99.8%  
15 10% 99.3%  
16 2% 89%  
17 44% 87% Median
18 27% 43%  
19 6% 16%  
20 3% 10% Last Result
21 7% 7%  
22 0.1% 0.2%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100%  
13 1.2% 99.9%  
14 9% 98.8%  
15 30% 89%  
16 13% 59% Median
17 15% 46%  
18 12% 31%  
19 18% 19% Last Result
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.3% 100%  
11 11% 99.7%  
12 10% 88%  
13 37% 79% Median
14 12% 42%  
15 18% 29%  
16 9% 12%  
17 2% 3%  
18 0.3% 0.7%  
19 0.4% 0.4% Last Result
20 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 0.5% 99.8%  
11 3% 99.3%  
12 10% 96%  
13 40% 86% Median
14 32% 46% Last Result
15 13% 14%  
16 1.0% 1.4%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0% 0%  

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.2% 100%  
9 2% 99.8%  
10 11% 98%  
11 12% 88%  
12 40% 76% Median
13 15% 35%  
14 17% 20% Last Result
15 2% 3%  
16 0.4% 0.8%  
17 0.4% 0.4%  
18 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.8% 100%  
9 8% 99.2%  
10 9% 91%  
11 36% 82% Median
12 23% 46%  
13 17% 23%  
14 4% 6%  
15 1.3% 2%  
16 0.5% 0.6%  
17 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.6% 100%  
7 10% 99.4%  
8 3% 89%  
9 28% 87% Last Result
10 15% 59% Median
11 29% 43%  
12 5% 14%  
13 1.5% 9%  
14 8% 8%  
15 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.8% 100%  
5 9% 99.2% Last Result
6 53% 90% Median
7 24% 37%  
8 8% 13%  
9 6% 6%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.2% 100%  
4 2% 99.7%  
5 17% 97% Last Result
6 29% 80%  
7 46% 52% Median
8 6% 6%  
9 0.1% 0.1%  
10 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 5% 99.9%  
4 36% 95% Last Result
5 39% 60% Median
6 18% 21%  
7 3% 3%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 4% 100%  
3 61% 96% Last Result, Median
4 21% 35%  
5 12% 14%  
6 1.4% 2%  
7 0.3% 0.3%  
8 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 22% 100%  
3 28% 78% Last Result
4 41% 50% Median
5 9% 10%  
6 0.7% 1.0%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie 90 80 95% 77–83 76–83 75–83 73–85
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 76 54% 73–81 72–81 71–82 71–85
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 85 76 70% 74–78 73–81 72–81 71–82
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 80 72 14% 68–76 68–76 67–78 65–78
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 72 24% 69–77 69–77 68–77 68–82
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 76 67 0% 64–68 62–70 62–70 61–71
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 63 0% 59–69 59–70 58–70 58–71
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 72 61 0% 59–64 58–65 56–66 56–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 58 0% 55–63 54–66 54–66 54–67
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 66 60 0% 57–64 55–64 55–65 53–65
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 60 0% 56–65 56–65 54–65 54–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 71 60 0% 57–63 56–64 56–64 55–66
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 54 0% 52–59 51–61 50–61 50–63
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 61 57 0% 54–59 53–59 52–59 51–62
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 61 54 0% 50–56 50–58 49–58 49–61
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 44 0% 40–47 39–48 39–48 39–51
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 47 39 0% 38–44 36–44 36–46 35–46
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 40 0% 37–43 37–44 36–44 34–46
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 38 30 0% 28–32 27–34 27–35 26–35
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 33 30 0% 27–34 26–34 26–34 25–35
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 28 24 0% 21–27 20–28 20–28 20–28

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
72 0% 100%  
73 0.7% 99.9%  
74 0.9% 99.2%  
75 3% 98%  
76 4% 95% Majority
77 4% 91%  
78 12% 87%  
79 23% 75%  
80 20% 52% Median
81 8% 32%  
82 12% 24%  
83 10% 12%  
84 0.8% 2%  
85 0.8% 1.1%  
86 0.1% 0.3%  
87 0.2% 0.2%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
71 4% 100%  
72 4% 96%  
73 29% 92%  
74 3% 63%  
75 5% 60%  
76 20% 54% Median, Majority
77 6% 34% Last Result
78 7% 29%  
79 4% 21%  
80 0.7% 18%  
81 14% 17%  
82 1.4% 3%  
83 0.7% 1.3%  
84 0.1% 0.6%  
85 0.1% 0.6%  
86 0.5% 0.5%  
87 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.1% 99.9%  
70 0.1% 99.9%  
71 2% 99.8%  
72 1.4% 98%  
73 4% 97%  
74 7% 93%  
75 16% 86%  
76 22% 70% Majority
77 26% 48% Median
78 14% 22%  
79 0.5% 8%  
80 2% 7%  
81 5% 6%  
82 0.2% 0.6%  
83 0.3% 0.3%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Last Result

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.3% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.6%  
66 0.3% 99.4%  
67 2% 99.1%  
68 19% 97%  
69 4% 78%  
70 2% 74%  
71 20% 72% Median
72 9% 52%  
73 8% 43%  
74 2% 35%  
75 19% 33%  
76 10% 14% Majority
77 0.1% 4%  
78 4% 4%  
79 0% 0.2%  
80 0% 0.2% Last Result
81 0.2% 0.2%  
82 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 4% 99.9%  
69 13% 96%  
70 14% 83%  
71 10% 69%  
72 19% 59% Median
73 7% 41%  
74 5% 34% Last Result
75 5% 29%  
76 12% 24% Majority
77 10% 12%  
78 1.3% 2%  
79 0.2% 0.8%  
80 0.1% 0.6%  
81 0% 0.6%  
82 0.5% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 2% 99.8%  
62 4% 98%  
63 2% 94%  
64 19% 92%  
65 0.8% 73%  
66 21% 72%  
67 22% 51% Median
68 20% 29%  
69 2% 9%  
70 5% 7%  
71 2% 2%  
72 0.3% 0.4%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0.1%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0.1% 100%  
58 3% 99.9%  
59 18% 97%  
60 10% 79%  
61 10% 69% Last Result
62 2% 59%  
63 9% 57%  
64 20% 48% Median
65 4% 28%  
66 6% 24%  
67 0.6% 17%  
68 0.9% 17%  
69 9% 16%  
70 5% 6%  
71 0.5% 1.0%  
72 0% 0.5%  
73 0% 0.5%  
74 0.5% 0.5%  
75 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 0% 99.9%  
56 4% 99.9%  
57 0.4% 96%  
58 5% 96%  
59 29% 91%  
60 6% 62%  
61 22% 56% Median
62 4% 34%  
63 8% 30%  
64 15% 22%  
65 2% 7%  
66 3% 5%  
67 0.9% 2%  
68 0.7% 0.9%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0% 99.9%  
54 9% 99.8%  
55 15% 90%  
56 17% 75%  
57 6% 58% Last Result
58 4% 52%  
59 19% 49% Median
60 3% 29%  
61 8% 27%  
62 2% 18%  
63 9% 17%  
64 0.7% 7%  
65 0.4% 7%  
66 6% 6%  
67 0% 0.5%  
68 0% 0.5%  
69 0.1% 0.5%  
70 0.4% 0.4%  
71 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0% 99.9%  
52 0.3% 99.9%  
53 0.1% 99.6%  
54 0.7% 99.4%  
55 7% 98.7%  
56 1.3% 92%  
57 9% 91%  
58 12% 82%  
59 19% 70% Median
60 7% 51%  
61 23% 44%  
62 2% 21%  
63 6% 19%  
64 8% 13%  
65 4% 4%  
66 0.1% 0.3% Last Result
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0% 0.2%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 3% 100%  
55 0.2% 97%  
56 23% 97%  
57 2% 74%  
58 7% 73% Last Result
59 12% 65%  
60 24% 53% Median
61 6% 30%  
62 2% 24%  
63 0.8% 22%  
64 6% 22%  
65 14% 16%  
66 0.6% 1.3%  
67 0.2% 0.7%  
68 0% 0.5%  
69 0% 0.5%  
70 0.5% 0.5%  
71 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0.1% 100%  
55 1.0% 99.9%  
56 4% 98.9%  
57 10% 95%  
58 11% 85%  
59 21% 74%  
60 22% 53% Median
61 3% 31%  
62 12% 29%  
63 10% 17%  
64 4% 6%  
65 1.2% 2%  
66 0.5% 0.7%  
67 0.1% 0.2%  
68 0.1% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 3% 99.9%  
51 4% 97%  
52 23% 93%  
53 3% 70%  
54 17% 67% Last Result
55 18% 50% Median
56 4% 32%  
57 3% 28%  
58 3% 24%  
59 14% 22%  
60 0.3% 7%  
61 6% 7%  
62 0.2% 0.7%  
63 0% 0.5%  
64 0% 0.5%  
65 0.1% 0.5%  
66 0.4% 0.4%  
67 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 2% 99.9%  
52 2% 98%  
53 2% 96%  
54 10% 94%  
55 11% 84%  
56 18% 74%  
57 29% 56% Median
58 14% 27%  
59 12% 13%  
60 0.3% 2%  
61 0.8% 1.3% Last Result
62 0.4% 0.6%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
47 0.1% 100%  
48 0.3% 99.9%  
49 4% 99.6%  
50 18% 96%  
51 7% 78%  
52 6% 70%  
53 10% 64%  
54 5% 54% Median
55 21% 49%  
56 18% 28%  
57 2% 10%  
58 7% 8%  
59 0.1% 0.9%  
60 0.3% 0.8%  
61 0.4% 0.5% Last Result
62 0.1% 0.1%  
63 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
38 0.2% 100%  
39 6% 99.8%  
40 5% 93%  
41 15% 88%  
42 16% 73%  
43 4% 58%  
44 20% 54% Median
45 10% 34%  
46 10% 24%  
47 6% 13%  
48 6% 8%  
49 0.4% 2%  
50 0.6% 1.3%  
51 0.6% 0.6%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
32 0.1% 100%  
33 0% 99.9%  
34 0.1% 99.9%  
35 0.6% 99.8%  
36 6% 99.2%  
37 2% 93%  
38 9% 91%  
39 35% 82% Median
40 8% 47%  
41 21% 39%  
42 2% 18%  
43 3% 16%  
44 8% 12%  
45 0.3% 4%  
46 4% 4%  
47 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
48 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.6% 99.9%  
35 1.2% 99.3%  
36 3% 98%  
37 17% 95%  
38 10% 78%  
39 9% 69%  
40 18% 59%  
41 3% 42% Median
42 25% 39% Last Result
43 7% 14%  
44 6% 7%  
45 0.3% 0.9%  
46 0.3% 0.6%  
47 0.1% 0.3%  
48 0.2% 0.2%  
49 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.1% 99.9%  
26 1.4% 99.8%  
27 6% 98%  
28 24% 92%  
29 16% 68% Median
30 14% 52%  
31 7% 38%  
32 24% 31%  
33 2% 7%  
34 1.2% 6%  
35 4% 4%  
36 0.2% 0.3%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.3% 100%  
25 0.9% 99.7%  
26 7% 98.8%  
27 11% 92%  
28 7% 81%  
29 20% 74%  
30 9% 54% Median
31 24% 45%  
32 2% 21%  
33 8% 19% Last Result
34 11% 11%  
35 0.2% 0.6%  
36 0.3% 0.4%  
37 0% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.1% 100%  
18 0.1% 99.9%  
19 0.3% 99.8%  
20 6% 99.5%  
21 8% 93%  
22 28% 86%  
23 7% 57% Median
24 22% 51%  
25 8% 29%  
26 6% 21%  
27 5% 15%  
28 9% 10% Last Result
29 0.2% 0.4%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations