Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 8–14 January 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 18.0% | 17.1–18.9% | 16.9–19.2% | 16.7–19.4% | 16.2–19.9% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.5% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 10.0% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.5% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 27 | 27–29 | 26–29 | 26–30 | 25–30 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 14 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–17 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 14 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–17 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–17 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 15 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 13–17 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 14 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 14 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 3% | 98% | |
| 27 | 74% | 95% | Median |
| 28 | 6% | 21% | |
| 29 | 12% | 15% | |
| 30 | 3% | 4% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 14 | 72% | 99.5% | Median |
| 15 | 9% | 28% | |
| 16 | 14% | 19% | |
| 17 | 5% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 72% | 99.5% | Median |
| 15 | 5% | 28% | |
| 16 | 16% | 23% | |
| 17 | 7% | 7% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 15% | 99.6% | |
| 14 | 16% | 84% | |
| 15 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 16 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 16% | 98% | |
| 14 | 15% | 82% | |
| 15 | 66% | 67% | Median |
| 16 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 25% | 96% | Last Result |
| 15 | 69% | 71% | Median |
| 16 | 0% | 2% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 83% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 15 | 11% | 13% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 3% | 100% | |
| 13 | 10% | 97% | |
| 14 | 68% | 86% | Median |
| 15 | 8% | 19% | |
| 16 | 11% | 11% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 27% | 99.2% | |
| 7 | 69% | 72% | Median |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 18% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 69% | 82% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 13% | 13% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 11% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 5 | 84% | 89% | Median |
| 6 | 5% | 5% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 84% | 100% | Median |
| 3 | 16% | 16% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 20% | 100% | |
| 3 | 79% | 80% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 77 | 82% | 75–79 | 75–80 | 75–80 | 73–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 76 | 91% | 76–77 | 74–77 | 73–78 | 73–79 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 75 | 29% | 75–77 | 74–78 | 73–78 | 73–79 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 73 | 7% | 71–74 | 71–77 | 71–77 | 70–77 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 74 | 71 | 0% | 69–72 | 69–74 | 67–75 | 67–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 63 | 0% | 62–66 | 62–66 | 62–66 | 62–69 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 63 | 0% | 61–65 | 61–65 | 60–65 | 59–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 61 | 0% | 60–63 | 60–64 | 59–64 | 59–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 76 | 61 | 0% | 61–63 | 59–63 | 59–64 | 59–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 58 | 0% | 57–61 | 57–62 | 57–62 | 57–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 56 | 0% | 55–58 | 55–59 | 55–60 | 54–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 71 | 56 | 0% | 56–57 | 55–59 | 54–59 | 54–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 55 | 0% | 55–59 | 55–59 | 54–59 | 53–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 72 | 57 | 0% | 55–57 | 53–58 | 52–59 | 52–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 56 | 0% | 55–57 | 54–57 | 53–57 | 52–58 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 43 | 0% | 41–45 | 41–46 | 41–46 | 39–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 42 | 0% | 41–42 | 40–44 | 39–44 | 39–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 41 | 0% | 41–43 | 40–43 | 39–43 | 39–45 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 34 | 0% | 32–34 | 31–34 | 31–34 | 30–34 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 38 | 29 | 0% | 28–30 | 27–30 | 27–30 | 27–32 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 29 | 0% | 27–30 | 26–30 | 25–30 | 25–30 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 75 | 17% | 98% | |
| 76 | 6% | 82% | Majority |
| 77 | 61% | 76% | Median |
| 78 | 3% | 15% | |
| 79 | 2% | 12% | |
| 80 | 10% | 10% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 2% | 95% | |
| 75 | 2% | 94% | |
| 76 | 79% | 91% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 8% | 12% | |
| 78 | 3% | 4% | |
| 79 | 2% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 3% | 95% | |
| 75 | 63% | 93% | Median |
| 76 | 13% | 29% | Majority |
| 77 | 11% | 17% | |
| 78 | 5% | 5% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 2% | 100% | |
| 71 | 14% | 98% | |
| 72 | 1.3% | 84% | |
| 73 | 61% | 83% | Median |
| 74 | 13% | 22% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 7% | Majority |
| 77 | 6% | 6% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 97% | |
| 69 | 13% | 96% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 84% | |
| 71 | 69% | 82% | Median |
| 72 | 5% | 13% | |
| 73 | 2% | 8% | |
| 74 | 3% | 7% | Last Result |
| 75 | 4% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 62 | 13% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 60% | 86% | Median |
| 64 | 9% | 27% | |
| 65 | 3% | 18% | |
| 66 | 14% | 15% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 61 | 13% | 97% | |
| 62 | 9% | 84% | |
| 63 | 61% | 75% | Median |
| 64 | 2% | 14% | |
| 65 | 12% | 12% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 59 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 10% | 96% | |
| 61 | 61% | 86% | Median |
| 62 | 8% | 25% | |
| 63 | 12% | 18% | |
| 64 | 5% | 6% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 59 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 2% | 95% | |
| 61 | 72% | 93% | Median |
| 62 | 10% | 22% | |
| 63 | 9% | 12% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 65 | 2% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 12% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 58 | 64% | 88% | Median |
| 59 | 4% | 24% | |
| 60 | 4% | 20% | |
| 61 | 9% | 16% | |
| 62 | 6% | 7% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 55 | 11% | 98% | |
| 56 | 63% | 86% | Median |
| 57 | 5% | 23% | |
| 58 | 10% | 18% | |
| 59 | 4% | 8% | |
| 60 | 5% | 5% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 54 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 3% | 96% | |
| 56 | 67% | 92% | Median |
| 57 | 16% | 25% | |
| 58 | 3% | 10% | |
| 59 | 4% | 6% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 61 | 2% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98% | |
| 55 | 62% | 96% | Median |
| 56 | 4% | 34% | |
| 57 | 11% | 31% | |
| 58 | 1.4% | 19% | |
| 59 | 16% | 18% | |
| 60 | 2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 52 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 55 | 23% | 93% | |
| 56 | 2% | 70% | |
| 57 | 59% | 68% | Median |
| 58 | 4% | 9% | |
| 59 | 4% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 54 | 5% | 97% | |
| 55 | 6% | 92% | |
| 56 | 68% | 86% | Median |
| 57 | 16% | 18% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 41 | 8% | 98% | |
| 42 | 5% | 89% | |
| 43 | 67% | 85% | Median |
| 44 | 3% | 18% | |
| 45 | 5% | 15% | |
| 46 | 10% | 10% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 39 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 5% | 97% | |
| 41 | 13% | 91% | |
| 42 | 69% | 78% | Median |
| 43 | 2% | 8% | |
| 44 | 6% | 6% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 39 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 4% | 97% | |
| 41 | 63% | 94% | Median |
| 42 | 8% | 30% | Last Result |
| 43 | 21% | 22% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 1.3% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 4% | 98% | |
| 32 | 5% | 94% | |
| 33 | 14% | 89% | Last Result |
| 34 | 74% | 74% | Median |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 9% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 6% | 91% | |
| 29 | 64% | 86% | Median |
| 30 | 19% | 21% | |
| 31 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 2% | 96% | |
| 27 | 10% | 95% | |
| 28 | 11% | 85% | Last Result |
| 29 | 64% | 74% | Median |
| 30 | 10% | 10% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 8–14 January 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.27%