Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 26–29 January 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
20.7% |
19.1–22.3% |
18.7–22.8% |
18.3–23.2% |
17.6–24.1% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
10.7% |
9.5–12.0% |
9.2–12.4% |
8.9–12.7% |
8.4–13.4% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
10.7% |
9.5–12.0% |
9.2–12.4% |
8.9–12.7% |
8.4–13.4% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
10.0% |
8.9–11.3% |
8.6–11.6% |
8.3–12.0% |
7.8–12.6% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
9.3% |
8.2–10.6% |
8.0–10.9% |
7.7–11.2% |
7.2–11.9% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
8.6% |
7.6–9.9% |
7.3–10.2% |
7.1–10.5% |
6.6–11.1% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.7–9.5% |
6.5–9.8% |
6.0–10.4% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.0% |
4.9–7.3% |
4.7–7.6% |
4.3–8.1% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.7% |
4.0–5.7% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.6–6.2% |
3.2–6.7% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.4% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.6–4.4% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.2–5.1% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
3.4% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.6–4.4% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.2–5.1% |
DENK |
2.1% |
2.7% |
2.1–3.5% |
2.0–3.7% |
1.9–3.9% |
1.6–4.3% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.6–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
2% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
28 |
2% |
98% |
|
29 |
15% |
96% |
|
30 |
8% |
81% |
|
31 |
1.3% |
73% |
|
32 |
64% |
71% |
Median |
33 |
3% |
7% |
Last Result |
34 |
2% |
5% |
|
35 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
36 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
4% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
13 |
6% |
96% |
|
14 |
5% |
90% |
|
15 |
54% |
85% |
Median |
16 |
3% |
31% |
|
17 |
18% |
28% |
|
18 |
5% |
11% |
|
19 |
4% |
6% |
|
20 |
0.9% |
1.4% |
Last Result |
21 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
14 |
58% |
99.1% |
Median |
15 |
12% |
41% |
|
16 |
13% |
29% |
|
17 |
7% |
16% |
|
18 |
1.2% |
9% |
|
19 |
8% |
8% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
13 |
4% |
97% |
|
14 |
3% |
93% |
|
15 |
4% |
90% |
|
16 |
73% |
86% |
Median |
17 |
10% |
13% |
|
18 |
2% |
3% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
11 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
12 |
4% |
96% |
|
13 |
16% |
92% |
|
14 |
16% |
76% |
Last Result |
15 |
53% |
60% |
Median |
16 |
4% |
8% |
|
17 |
2% |
4% |
|
18 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
10 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
11 |
6% |
97% |
|
12 |
13% |
91% |
|
13 |
15% |
78% |
|
14 |
57% |
64% |
Last Result, Median |
15 |
5% |
6% |
|
16 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
18 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
2% |
98% |
|
11 |
10% |
96% |
|
12 |
14% |
86% |
|
13 |
12% |
72% |
|
14 |
52% |
60% |
Median |
15 |
8% |
8% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
17 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
7 |
5% |
98.6% |
|
8 |
5% |
93% |
|
9 |
23% |
88% |
Last Result |
10 |
53% |
65% |
Median |
11 |
6% |
12% |
|
12 |
5% |
6% |
|
13 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
5% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
68% |
95% |
Median |
7 |
5% |
27% |
|
8 |
14% |
22% |
|
9 |
5% |
8% |
|
10 |
2% |
2% |
|
11 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
3 |
13% |
98.7% |
|
4 |
13% |
86% |
|
5 |
65% |
73% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
7% |
8% |
|
7 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
3% |
100% |
|
4 |
61% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
5 |
13% |
36% |
|
6 |
22% |
24% |
|
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
63% |
99.0% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
25% |
36% |
|
5 |
7% |
11% |
|
6 |
5% |
5% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
6% |
100% |
|
2 |
60% |
94% |
Median |
3 |
18% |
35% |
Last Result |
4 |
16% |
17% |
|
5 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
6 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie |
90 |
82 |
99.5% |
78–83 |
77–84 |
77–85 |
76–87 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
79 |
87% |
75–81 |
73–81 |
71–83 |
71–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
77 |
79% |
73–79 |
72–80 |
71–81 |
70–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
77 |
72% |
72–77 |
72–79 |
69–80 |
68–80 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
80 |
74 |
6% |
69–74 |
69–76 |
68–77 |
66–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
76 |
67 |
0% |
64–70 |
64–70 |
62–72 |
61–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
68 |
0% |
64–70 |
62–70 |
61–70 |
57–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
63 |
0% |
59–65 |
59–67 |
57–68 |
56–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
66 |
0% |
62–66 |
60–67 |
58–67 |
54–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
71 |
62 |
0% |
60–65 |
60–66 |
57–67 |
55–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
64 |
0% |
60–64 |
59–64 |
56–64 |
53–67 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
60 |
0% |
57–61 |
56–62 |
55–62 |
54–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
62 |
0% |
57–62 |
56–62 |
53–62 |
50–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
56 |
0% |
53–58 |
53–60 |
52–61 |
51–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
58 |
0% |
54–58 |
51–60 |
50–60 |
47–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
48 |
0% |
45–49 |
43–49 |
42–51 |
38–53 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
40 |
0% |
39–44 |
38–44 |
37–44 |
34–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
42 |
0% |
38–43 |
36–43 |
35–44 |
35–46 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
38 |
30 |
0% |
30–33 |
29–35 |
29–35 |
26–37 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
31 |
0% |
28–31 |
26–31 |
25–32 |
24–34 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
26 |
0% |
23–27 |
21–28 |
20–28 |
20–30 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
Majority |
77 |
8% |
99.1% |
|
78 |
7% |
91% |
|
79 |
5% |
84% |
|
80 |
4% |
79% |
|
81 |
7% |
75% |
|
82 |
53% |
68% |
Median |
83 |
9% |
15% |
|
84 |
2% |
6% |
|
85 |
2% |
4% |
|
86 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
90 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
91 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
73 |
4% |
97% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
93% |
|
75 |
5% |
92% |
|
76 |
7% |
87% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
80% |
Last Result |
78 |
6% |
76% |
|
79 |
55% |
70% |
Median |
80 |
2% |
15% |
|
81 |
8% |
13% |
|
82 |
0.8% |
5% |
|
83 |
4% |
4% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
70 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
72 |
3% |
97% |
|
73 |
9% |
94% |
|
74 |
4% |
85% |
|
75 |
2% |
81% |
|
76 |
8% |
79% |
Majority |
77 |
52% |
71% |
Median |
78 |
6% |
19% |
|
79 |
8% |
14% |
|
80 |
2% |
5% |
|
81 |
2% |
3% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
68 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
72 |
13% |
96% |
|
73 |
1.2% |
83% |
|
74 |
5% |
82% |
Last Result |
75 |
5% |
77% |
|
76 |
6% |
72% |
Majority |
77 |
61% |
66% |
Median |
78 |
0.2% |
5% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
80 |
4% |
4% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
98.9% |
|
68 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
69 |
13% |
96% |
|
70 |
2% |
83% |
|
71 |
6% |
81% |
|
72 |
3% |
74% |
|
73 |
6% |
71% |
|
74 |
57% |
66% |
Median |
75 |
3% |
9% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
6% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
63 |
2% |
97% |
|
64 |
13% |
96% |
|
65 |
6% |
83% |
|
66 |
1.1% |
77% |
|
67 |
57% |
76% |
Median |
68 |
3% |
19% |
|
69 |
2% |
16% |
|
70 |
10% |
14% |
|
71 |
2% |
4% |
|
72 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
2% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
61 |
1.4% |
98% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
96% |
|
63 |
2% |
95% |
|
64 |
5% |
93% |
|
65 |
4% |
88% |
|
66 |
6% |
85% |
|
67 |
2% |
79% |
|
68 |
59% |
77% |
Median |
69 |
5% |
18% |
|
70 |
12% |
14% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
2% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
58 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
59 |
9% |
96% |
|
60 |
5% |
88% |
|
61 |
3% |
82% |
|
62 |
9% |
79% |
|
63 |
52% |
70% |
Median |
64 |
4% |
18% |
|
65 |
6% |
14% |
|
66 |
2% |
8% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
68 |
3% |
4% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
2% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
98% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
58 |
1.3% |
98% |
Last Result |
59 |
1.5% |
97% |
|
60 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
61 |
4% |
94% |
|
62 |
0.9% |
90% |
|
63 |
7% |
89% |
|
64 |
8% |
83% |
|
65 |
6% |
75% |
|
66 |
63% |
69% |
Median |
67 |
4% |
6% |
|
68 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
2% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
57 |
0.7% |
98% |
|
58 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
96% |
|
60 |
10% |
95% |
|
61 |
7% |
85% |
|
62 |
56% |
78% |
Median |
63 |
2% |
22% |
|
64 |
5% |
20% |
|
65 |
9% |
15% |
|
66 |
3% |
6% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
69 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
2% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
57 |
1.1% |
97% |
Last Result |
58 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
59 |
3% |
95% |
|
60 |
9% |
93% |
|
61 |
4% |
83% |
|
62 |
8% |
79% |
|
63 |
2% |
71% |
|
64 |
67% |
69% |
Median |
65 |
2% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
67 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
99.6% |
|
55 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
56 |
6% |
97% |
|
57 |
9% |
91% |
|
58 |
3% |
82% |
|
59 |
3% |
79% |
|
60 |
59% |
76% |
Median |
61 |
10% |
17% |
|
62 |
6% |
7% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
2% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
97% |
Last Result |
55 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
56 |
3% |
95% |
|
57 |
3% |
92% |
|
58 |
8% |
89% |
|
59 |
10% |
81% |
|
60 |
9% |
71% |
|
61 |
8% |
62% |
|
62 |
53% |
54% |
Median |
63 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
52 |
2% |
98% |
|
53 |
10% |
96% |
|
54 |
4% |
87% |
|
55 |
5% |
82% |
|
56 |
52% |
77% |
Median |
57 |
9% |
25% |
|
58 |
9% |
16% |
|
59 |
2% |
7% |
|
60 |
3% |
5% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
3% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
2% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
2% |
100% |
|
48 |
0% |
98% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
50 |
3% |
98% |
|
51 |
2% |
95% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
93% |
|
53 |
2% |
92% |
|
54 |
9% |
91% |
|
55 |
6% |
82% |
|
56 |
5% |
76% |
|
57 |
8% |
71% |
|
58 |
57% |
63% |
Median |
59 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
60 |
4% |
6% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
2% |
Last Result |
62 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.9% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
2% |
100% |
|
39 |
0% |
98% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
43 |
4% |
97% |
|
44 |
1.0% |
93% |
|
45 |
15% |
92% |
|
46 |
4% |
77% |
|
47 |
4% |
73% |
|
48 |
57% |
69% |
Median |
49 |
8% |
12% |
|
50 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
51 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
Last Result |
53 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
36 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
37 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
38 |
5% |
96% |
|
39 |
5% |
90% |
|
40 |
60% |
85% |
Median |
41 |
3% |
25% |
|
42 |
5% |
23% |
|
43 |
6% |
17% |
|
44 |
10% |
12% |
|
45 |
2% |
2% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
35 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
2% |
97% |
|
37 |
3% |
95% |
|
38 |
8% |
92% |
|
39 |
6% |
84% |
|
40 |
4% |
78% |
|
41 |
13% |
74% |
|
42 |
51% |
61% |
Last Result, Median |
43 |
7% |
10% |
|
44 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
45 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
46 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
27 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
28 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
29 |
3% |
98% |
|
30 |
59% |
95% |
Median |
31 |
10% |
36% |
|
32 |
12% |
26% |
|
33 |
7% |
14% |
|
34 |
2% |
8% |
|
35 |
4% |
6% |
|
36 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
37 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
2% |
100% |
|
25 |
3% |
98% |
|
26 |
2% |
96% |
|
27 |
3% |
94% |
|
28 |
6% |
91% |
|
29 |
10% |
85% |
|
30 |
8% |
75% |
|
31 |
63% |
67% |
Median |
32 |
2% |
3% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
3% |
97% |
|
22 |
4% |
94% |
|
23 |
2% |
90% |
|
24 |
5% |
88% |
|
25 |
16% |
83% |
|
26 |
55% |
67% |
Median |
27 |
2% |
12% |
|
28 |
8% |
10% |
Last Result |
29 |
0.9% |
1.5% |
|
30 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 26–29 January 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1041
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.06%