Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 23–26 February 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 19.9% | 18.4–21.6% | 17.9–22.0% | 17.5–22.5% | 16.8–23.3% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.3–11.8% | 9.0–12.1% | 8.7–12.5% | 8.2–13.1% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.0–11.4% | 8.7–11.8% | 8.4–12.1% | 7.9–12.8% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 9.7% | 8.6–11.0% | 8.3–11.4% | 8.1–11.7% | 7.6–12.4% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.2–10.5% | 7.9–10.9% | 7.6–11.2% | 7.1–11.8% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.0–9.8% | 6.8–10.1% | 6.3–10.7% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 7.7% | 6.7–8.9% | 6.4–9.2% | 6.2–9.5% | 5.8–10.1% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.1–6.4% | 4.0–6.7% | 3.6–7.2% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.4% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.2–4.4% | 2.0–4.8% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.6–3.5% | 1.4–3.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 29 | 28–33 | 27–33 | 27–35 | 26–38 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 16 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 12–20 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 16 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 12–19 | 11–19 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 15 | 12–17 | 12–18 | 12–18 | 11–19 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 13 | 12–15 | 12–17 | 11–17 | 11–18 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 9–15 | 9–17 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 11 | 10–12 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 5–10 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 5–10 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 3–8 |
| DENK | 3 | 4 | 3–6 | 3–6 | 2–6 | 2–7 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 2–6 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 28 | 5% | 92% | |
| 29 | 44% | 87% | Median |
| 30 | 4% | 43% | |
| 31 | 8% | 39% | |
| 32 | 16% | 31% | |
| 33 | 10% | 14% | Last Result |
| 34 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 35 | 2% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 4% | 98.5% | |
| 14 | 12% | 94% | |
| 15 | 19% | 82% | |
| 16 | 45% | 63% | Median |
| 17 | 10% | 18% | |
| 18 | 4% | 8% | |
| 19 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 13 | 6% | 95% | |
| 14 | 10% | 89% | |
| 15 | 14% | 78% | |
| 16 | 42% | 64% | Median |
| 17 | 14% | 22% | |
| 18 | 4% | 8% | |
| 19 | 4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 12 | 12% | 99.3% | |
| 13 | 13% | 88% | |
| 14 | 12% | 74% | |
| 15 | 35% | 62% | Median |
| 16 | 9% | 27% | |
| 17 | 12% | 18% | |
| 18 | 4% | 5% | |
| 19 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 35% | 97% | |
| 13 | 13% | 63% | Median |
| 14 | 22% | 49% | Last Result |
| 15 | 18% | 28% | |
| 16 | 5% | 10% | |
| 17 | 4% | 5% | |
| 18 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 11 | 14% | 95% | |
| 12 | 26% | 82% | |
| 13 | 11% | 55% | Median |
| 14 | 11% | 44% | Last Result |
| 15 | 32% | 34% | |
| 16 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 17 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 9 | 7% | 99.6% | |
| 10 | 11% | 93% | |
| 11 | 57% | 82% | Median |
| 12 | 16% | 25% | |
| 13 | 4% | 9% | |
| 14 | 5% | 6% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 9% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 18% | 90% | |
| 8 | 10% | 72% | |
| 9 | 19% | 62% | Median |
| 10 | 42% | 43% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 6 | 21% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 18% | 79% | |
| 8 | 52% | 61% | Median |
| 9 | 5% | 8% | Last Result |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 5 | 18% | 98% | |
| 6 | 63% | 80% | Median |
| 7 | 9% | 17% | |
| 8 | 8% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 43% | 98% | |
| 5 | 22% | 55% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 24% | 32% | |
| 7 | 7% | 8% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 44% | 96% | Last Result |
| 4 | 18% | 52% | Median |
| 5 | 22% | 35% | |
| 6 | 12% | 13% | |
| 7 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 20% | 99.7% | |
| 3 | 28% | 79% | Last Result |
| 4 | 49% | 51% | Median |
| 5 | 2% | 3% | |
| 6 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie | 90 | 80 | 96% | 77–84 | 77–85 | 75–85 | 75–88 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 75 | 30% | 72–78 | 71–80 | 70–80 | 69–82 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 73 | 25% | 71–78 | 71–78 | 70–79 | 68–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 71 | 7% | 68–75 | 68–76 | 67–76 | 65–79 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 80 | 71 | 2% | 67–74 | 66–75 | 66–75 | 63–77 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 76 | 65 | 0% | 63–71 | 63–72 | 62–72 | 61–73 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 66 | 0% | 63–70 | 62–72 | 61–72 | 61–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 62 | 0% | 61–66 | 59–68 | 58–69 | 57–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 71 | 61 | 0% | 58–65 | 57–67 | 57–67 | 56–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 60 | 0% | 57–64 | 56–66 | 55–66 | 55–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 72 | 60 | 0% | 57–64 | 57–65 | 55–65 | 55–66 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 57 | 0% | 55–61 | 54–62 | 53–63 | 50–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 56 | 0% | 54–60 | 53–62 | 52–63 | 51–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 53 | 0% | 49–56 | 49–58 | 49–59 | 48–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 53 | 0% | 51–57 | 49–58 | 49–58 | 47–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 45 | 0% | 43–49 | 42–52 | 41–52 | 41–52 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 40 | 0% | 36–41 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 34–44 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 37 | 0% | 35–41 | 35–41 | 34–42 | 33–44 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 38 | 32 | 0% | 29–34 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 27–37 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 28 | 0% | 26–30 | 25–32 | 24–33 | 22–33 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 24 | 0% | 20–25 | 20–26 | 19–26 | 18–27 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 96% | Majority |
| 77 | 33% | 95% | |
| 78 | 6% | 62% | |
| 79 | 5% | 57% | Median |
| 80 | 11% | 52% | |
| 81 | 3% | 41% | |
| 82 | 13% | 38% | |
| 83 | 9% | 25% | |
| 84 | 9% | 16% | |
| 85 | 7% | 8% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 88 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 71 | 3% | 97% | |
| 72 | 10% | 95% | |
| 73 | 13% | 85% | |
| 74 | 5% | 71% | |
| 75 | 37% | 67% | Median |
| 76 | 4% | 30% | Majority |
| 77 | 10% | 26% | Last Result |
| 78 | 9% | 16% | |
| 79 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 80 | 5% | 6% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 71 | 16% | 97% | |
| 72 | 2% | 81% | |
| 73 | 37% | 78% | |
| 74 | 10% | 41% | Median |
| 75 | 6% | 31% | |
| 76 | 4% | 25% | Majority |
| 77 | 7% | 21% | |
| 78 | 10% | 14% | |
| 79 | 3% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 68 | 7% | 97% | |
| 69 | 5% | 89% | |
| 70 | 3% | 84% | |
| 71 | 45% | 81% | Median |
| 72 | 5% | 36% | |
| 73 | 5% | 31% | |
| 74 | 13% | 26% | Last Result |
| 75 | 6% | 13% | |
| 76 | 5% | 7% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 6% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 92% | |
| 68 | 5% | 89% | |
| 69 | 20% | 84% | |
| 70 | 7% | 64% | |
| 71 | 39% | 57% | Median |
| 72 | 5% | 18% | |
| 73 | 2% | 13% | |
| 74 | 2% | 11% | |
| 75 | 7% | 10% | |
| 76 | 2% | 2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 8% | 97% | |
| 64 | 4% | 89% | |
| 65 | 42% | 84% | |
| 66 | 3% | 42% | Median |
| 67 | 5% | 39% | |
| 68 | 14% | 34% | |
| 69 | 3% | 20% | |
| 70 | 6% | 17% | |
| 71 | 5% | 10% | |
| 72 | 5% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 4% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 62 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 63 | 5% | 94% | |
| 64 | 8% | 89% | |
| 65 | 11% | 82% | |
| 66 | 44% | 71% | Median |
| 67 | 6% | 27% | |
| 68 | 4% | 21% | |
| 69 | 4% | 17% | |
| 70 | 5% | 14% | |
| 71 | 2% | 8% | |
| 72 | 5% | 6% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 3% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 59 | 4% | 96% | |
| 60 | 2% | 93% | |
| 61 | 8% | 90% | |
| 62 | 38% | 82% | Median |
| 63 | 13% | 44% | |
| 64 | 8% | 30% | |
| 65 | 6% | 22% | |
| 66 | 7% | 16% | |
| 67 | 2% | 9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 7% | |
| 69 | 4% | 5% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 5% | 98% | |
| 58 | 5% | 93% | |
| 59 | 2% | 88% | |
| 60 | 11% | 85% | |
| 61 | 38% | 74% | Median |
| 62 | 16% | 36% | |
| 63 | 4% | 20% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 16% | |
| 65 | 6% | 15% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 67 | 8% | 9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 5% | 97% | |
| 57 | 3% | 92% | Last Result |
| 58 | 8% | 89% | |
| 59 | 9% | 81% | |
| 60 | 45% | 72% | Median |
| 61 | 7% | 27% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 20% | |
| 63 | 5% | 18% | |
| 64 | 6% | 13% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 7% | |
| 66 | 5% | 6% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 7% | 95% | |
| 58 | 8% | 89% | |
| 59 | 10% | 81% | |
| 60 | 34% | 70% | Median |
| 61 | 3% | 36% | |
| 62 | 8% | 34% | |
| 63 | 13% | 26% | |
| 64 | 7% | 13% | |
| 65 | 5% | 6% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 54 | 4% | 95% | |
| 55 | 3% | 91% | |
| 56 | 33% | 88% | |
| 57 | 21% | 55% | |
| 58 | 9% | 34% | Median |
| 59 | 12% | 26% | |
| 60 | 2% | 14% | |
| 61 | 4% | 12% | |
| 62 | 3% | 8% | |
| 63 | 3% | 5% | |
| 64 | 2% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 10% | 94% | Last Result |
| 55 | 4% | 84% | |
| 56 | 36% | 80% | Median |
| 57 | 12% | 44% | |
| 58 | 10% | 32% | |
| 59 | 5% | 22% | |
| 60 | 10% | 18% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 62 | 2% | 7% | |
| 63 | 4% | 5% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 10% | 99.1% | |
| 50 | 2% | 89% | |
| 51 | 5% | 87% | |
| 52 | 7% | 82% | |
| 53 | 32% | 75% | Median |
| 54 | 22% | 43% | |
| 55 | 6% | 22% | |
| 56 | 6% | 15% | |
| 57 | 3% | 9% | |
| 58 | 2% | 7% | |
| 59 | 3% | 5% | |
| 60 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 49 | 4% | 98% | |
| 50 | 2% | 94% | |
| 51 | 5% | 93% | |
| 52 | 21% | 87% | |
| 53 | 37% | 66% | Median |
| 54 | 9% | 30% | |
| 55 | 4% | 21% | |
| 56 | 6% | 17% | |
| 57 | 4% | 10% | |
| 58 | 4% | 6% | |
| 59 | 2% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 2% | 96% | |
| 43 | 7% | 94% | |
| 44 | 5% | 87% | |
| 45 | 39% | 82% | Median |
| 46 | 23% | 43% | |
| 47 | 3% | 20% | |
| 48 | 1.4% | 17% | |
| 49 | 9% | 16% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 7% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 6% | |
| 52 | 6% | 6% | Last Result |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 35 | 2% | 96% | |
| 36 | 11% | 94% | |
| 37 | 14% | 83% | |
| 38 | 12% | 69% | |
| 39 | 5% | 57% | |
| 40 | 39% | 52% | Median |
| 41 | 4% | 13% | |
| 42 | 5% | 9% | |
| 43 | 4% | 4% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 35 | 14% | 97% | |
| 36 | 3% | 83% | |
| 37 | 38% | 80% | Median |
| 38 | 8% | 42% | |
| 39 | 20% | 33% | |
| 40 | 2% | 13% | |
| 41 | 7% | 11% | |
| 42 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 44 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 28 | 5% | 97% | |
| 29 | 5% | 92% | |
| 30 | 24% | 87% | |
| 31 | 12% | 63% | |
| 32 | 32% | 51% | Median |
| 33 | 6% | 19% | |
| 34 | 8% | 13% | |
| 35 | 3% | 5% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 25 | 5% | 97% | |
| 26 | 12% | 92% | |
| 27 | 11% | 80% | |
| 28 | 40% | 69% | |
| 29 | 10% | 29% | Median |
| 30 | 10% | 19% | |
| 31 | 3% | 9% | |
| 32 | 3% | 7% | |
| 33 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 20 | 13% | 97% | |
| 21 | 6% | 84% | |
| 22 | 3% | 78% | |
| 23 | 17% | 74% | |
| 24 | 45% | 57% | Median |
| 25 | 5% | 12% | |
| 26 | 6% | 7% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 23–26 February 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1026
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.91%