Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 27 February–4 March 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
20.0% |
18.5–21.6% |
18.0–22.1% |
17.7–22.5% |
17.0–23.3% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
10.6% |
9.5–11.9% |
9.2–12.3% |
8.9–12.6% |
8.4–13.3% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
10.6% |
9.5–11.9% |
9.2–12.3% |
8.9–12.6% |
8.4–13.3% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
10.6% |
9.5–11.9% |
9.2–12.3% |
8.9–12.6% |
8.4–13.3% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
10.0% |
8.9–11.3% |
8.6–11.7% |
8.4–12.0% |
7.8–12.7% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
10.0% |
8.9–11.3% |
8.6–11.7% |
8.4–12.0% |
7.8–12.7% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.0% |
5.2–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.7–7.6% |
4.4–8.2% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
6.0% |
5.2–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.7–7.6% |
4.4–8.2% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
3.0–5.4% |
2.7–5.9% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
3.0–5.4% |
2.7–5.9% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
3.0–5.4% |
2.7–5.9% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.6–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.4% |
DENK |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.6–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
2% |
96% |
|
29 |
3% |
94% |
|
30 |
19% |
91% |
|
31 |
2% |
72% |
|
32 |
65% |
70% |
Median |
33 |
3% |
5% |
Last Result |
34 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
36 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
14 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
15 |
2% |
95% |
|
16 |
3% |
93% |
|
17 |
69% |
90% |
Median |
18 |
1.2% |
21% |
|
19 |
19% |
20% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
14 |
4% |
98.9% |
Last Result |
15 |
2% |
95% |
|
16 |
3% |
94% |
|
17 |
83% |
90% |
Median |
18 |
2% |
7% |
|
19 |
4% |
4% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
14 |
3% |
99.1% |
Last Result |
15 |
3% |
96% |
|
16 |
68% |
93% |
Median |
17 |
22% |
26% |
|
18 |
3% |
4% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
20 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
14 |
66% |
96% |
Median |
15 |
6% |
31% |
|
16 |
3% |
24% |
|
17 |
2% |
21% |
|
18 |
19% |
20% |
|
19 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
13 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
14 |
3% |
96% |
|
15 |
23% |
94% |
|
16 |
3% |
71% |
|
17 |
0.5% |
68% |
|
18 |
67% |
68% |
Median |
19 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
7 |
66% |
99.7% |
Median |
8 |
21% |
34% |
|
9 |
6% |
12% |
Last Result |
10 |
3% |
6% |
|
11 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
12 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
13 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
7 |
21% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
69% |
79% |
Median |
9 |
3% |
10% |
|
10 |
4% |
8% |
|
11 |
2% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
2% |
100% |
|
4 |
3% |
98% |
|
5 |
85% |
95% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
3% |
10% |
|
7 |
7% |
8% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
18% |
100% |
|
5 |
4% |
82% |
Last Result |
6 |
73% |
78% |
Median |
7 |
4% |
5% |
|
8 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
4% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
5 |
6% |
96% |
|
6 |
84% |
90% |
Median |
7 |
4% |
6% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
1.2% |
|
9 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
2 |
93% |
99.3% |
Median |
3 |
2% |
7% |
Last Result |
4 |
4% |
4% |
|
5 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
2 |
86% |
99.5% |
Median |
3 |
11% |
13% |
Last Result |
4 |
2% |
3% |
|
5 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
86 |
100% |
82–86 |
80–86 |
77–89 |
77–89 |
GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
80 |
77 |
96% |
77–80 |
77–80 |
74–81 |
71–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
76 |
89% |
75–76 |
73–78 |
72–79 |
70–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
73 |
19% |
73–76 |
71–76 |
70–76 |
69–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
71 |
0.4% |
70–74 |
69–74 |
68–74 |
66–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
69 |
0% |
66–69 |
64–69 |
63–70 |
62–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
63 |
0% |
62–67 |
60–67 |
59–67 |
58–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
62 |
0% |
62–63 |
61–64 |
61–65 |
59–68 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
61 |
0% |
61–63 |
59–64 |
58–64 |
56–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
64 |
0% |
61–64 |
59–64 |
56–64 |
55–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
60 |
0% |
59–61 |
59–61 |
58–62 |
55–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
56 |
0% |
56–57 |
55–58 |
54–60 |
53–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
53 |
0% |
53–56 |
52–56 |
51–59 |
50–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
57 |
0% |
53–57 |
53–57 |
49–58 |
49–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
54 |
0% |
54–55 |
52–56 |
52–57 |
50–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
46 |
0% |
46–48 |
43–48 |
42–48 |
41–50 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
39 |
0% |
39–41 |
38–42 |
36–43 |
35–44 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
39 |
0% |
38–39 |
36–41 |
36–42 |
35–44 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
32 |
0% |
30–33 |
29–33 |
28–33 |
27–34 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
26 |
0% |
26–31 |
26–32 |
26–33 |
26–34 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
21 |
0% |
21–26 |
21–26 |
21–27 |
21–29 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
76 |
0% |
100% |
Majority |
77 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
79 |
2% |
97% |
|
80 |
1.0% |
95% |
|
81 |
2% |
94% |
|
82 |
3% |
93% |
|
83 |
2% |
90% |
|
84 |
0.7% |
87% |
|
85 |
19% |
87% |
|
86 |
65% |
68% |
Median |
87 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
89 |
3% |
3% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
70 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
98.9% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
97% |
|
76 |
0.6% |
96% |
Majority |
77 |
67% |
96% |
Median |
78 |
5% |
29% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
24% |
|
80 |
20% |
23% |
Last Result |
81 |
3% |
3% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
70 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
98.8% |
|
72 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
73 |
3% |
96% |
|
74 |
1.2% |
93% |
|
75 |
2% |
92% |
|
76 |
82% |
89% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
1.3% |
7% |
|
78 |
3% |
6% |
|
79 |
2% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
70 |
1.5% |
98.9% |
|
71 |
4% |
97% |
|
72 |
1.1% |
93% |
|
73 |
67% |
92% |
Median |
74 |
3% |
25% |
|
75 |
3% |
22% |
|
76 |
18% |
19% |
Majority |
77 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
69 |
6% |
97% |
|
70 |
3% |
92% |
|
71 |
65% |
89% |
Median |
72 |
1.4% |
24% |
|
73 |
4% |
22% |
|
74 |
17% |
18% |
Last Result |
75 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
Majority |
77 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
64 |
3% |
95% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
92% |
|
66 |
2% |
91% |
|
67 |
2% |
89% |
|
68 |
18% |
87% |
|
69 |
65% |
69% |
Median |
70 |
3% |
4% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
59 |
2% |
98% |
|
60 |
2% |
95% |
|
61 |
2% |
93% |
|
62 |
5% |
91% |
|
63 |
65% |
86% |
Median |
64 |
1.3% |
21% |
|
65 |
2% |
20% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
18% |
|
67 |
17% |
17% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
59 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
60 |
1.1% |
98.7% |
|
61 |
7% |
98% |
Last Result |
62 |
65% |
91% |
Median |
63 |
20% |
25% |
|
64 |
2% |
6% |
|
65 |
2% |
4% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
1.5% |
|
68 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
58 |
1.3% |
98.8% |
|
59 |
4% |
97% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
61 |
66% |
93% |
Median |
62 |
1.0% |
27% |
|
63 |
18% |
26% |
|
64 |
6% |
8% |
|
65 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
57 |
2% |
97% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
95% |
|
59 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
60 |
4% |
94% |
|
61 |
1.3% |
90% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
89% |
|
63 |
22% |
89% |
|
64 |
65% |
66% |
Median |
65 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
98.9% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
98% |
Last Result |
59 |
8% |
97% |
|
60 |
65% |
90% |
Median |
61 |
22% |
25% |
|
62 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
54 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
55 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
56 |
67% |
94% |
Median |
57 |
21% |
27% |
Last Result |
58 |
2% |
7% |
|
59 |
2% |
5% |
|
60 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
1.5% |
|
62 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
51 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
52 |
4% |
96% |
|
53 |
65% |
93% |
Median |
54 |
2% |
28% |
|
55 |
0.9% |
26% |
|
56 |
22% |
25% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
59 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
60 |
2% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
96% |
|
53 |
18% |
96% |
|
54 |
4% |
78% |
|
55 |
0.9% |
73% |
|
56 |
5% |
73% |
|
57 |
65% |
68% |
Median |
58 |
2% |
3% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
1.2% |
98.9% |
|
52 |
3% |
98% |
|
53 |
0.8% |
94% |
|
54 |
67% |
94% |
Last Result, Median |
55 |
20% |
26% |
|
56 |
3% |
6% |
|
57 |
2% |
3% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
42 |
3% |
99.2% |
|
43 |
4% |
96% |
|
44 |
2% |
93% |
|
45 |
0.7% |
91% |
|
46 |
65% |
90% |
Median |
47 |
2% |
25% |
|
48 |
22% |
23% |
|
49 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
37 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
38 |
5% |
96% |
|
39 |
65% |
91% |
Median |
40 |
2% |
26% |
|
41 |
18% |
24% |
|
42 |
3% |
6% |
|
43 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
44 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
36 |
4% |
98.7% |
|
37 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
38 |
19% |
94% |
|
39 |
65% |
75% |
Median |
40 |
3% |
9% |
|
41 |
4% |
7% |
|
42 |
1.0% |
3% |
Last Result |
43 |
2% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
27 |
1.3% |
99.5% |
|
28 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
29 |
3% |
97% |
|
30 |
5% |
94% |
|
31 |
1.4% |
89% |
|
32 |
66% |
88% |
Median |
33 |
20% |
21% |
|
34 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
26 |
65% |
99.7% |
Median |
27 |
1.0% |
35% |
|
28 |
3% |
34% |
|
29 |
3% |
30% |
|
30 |
5% |
28% |
|
31 |
18% |
23% |
|
32 |
2% |
5% |
|
33 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
35 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
36 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
21 |
65% |
99.6% |
Median |
22 |
2% |
34% |
|
23 |
4% |
32% |
|
24 |
4% |
28% |
|
25 |
3% |
25% |
|
26 |
18% |
22% |
|
27 |
2% |
4% |
|
28 |
0.8% |
2% |
Last Result |
29 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar Public
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 27 February–4 March 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1046
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.39%