Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 26 March–1 April 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 16.0% | 15.2–16.9% | 14.9–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.0–11.4% | 9.8–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 10.7% | 10.0–11.4% | 9.8–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 10.0% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.5% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 24 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 22–27 | 22–27 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–18 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 15 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 14–18 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 15 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 14–16 | 13–17 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 14 | 14–15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 12 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 11–13 | 10–14 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 9–13 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| DENK | 3 | 5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 3% | 100% | |
| 23 | 20% | 97% | |
| 24 | 43% | 77% | Median |
| 25 | 21% | 34% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 13% | |
| 27 | 13% | 13% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 19% | 99.1% | |
| 16 | 1.2% | 80% | |
| 17 | 32% | 79% | Median |
| 18 | 46% | 46% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 15 | 65% | 99.4% | Median |
| 16 | 20% | 34% | |
| 17 | 14% | 14% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 14 | 43% | 99.3% | |
| 15 | 26% | 56% | Median |
| 16 | 29% | 31% | |
| 17 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 14 | 78% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 15 | 18% | 19% | |
| 16 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 20% | 100% | |
| 12 | 55% | 80% | Median |
| 13 | 4% | 25% | |
| 14 | 21% | 22% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 13% | 99.0% | |
| 12 | 81% | 86% | Median |
| 13 | 4% | 5% | |
| 14 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 16% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 84% | |
| 11 | 62% | 83% | Median |
| 12 | 2% | 21% | |
| 13 | 19% | 19% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 18% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 78% | 82% | Median |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 14% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 83% | 86% | Median |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 21% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 6 | 36% | 79% | Median |
| 7 | 44% | 44% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 6% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 74% | 94% | Median |
| 6 | 19% | 19% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 31% | 100% | |
| 3 | 67% | 69% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 80 | 77 | 79% | 75–77 | 75–78 | 75–78 | 73–79 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 75 | 16% | 72–78 | 72–78 | 72–78 | 71–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 69 | 0% | 67–72 | 67–72 | 67–72 | 67–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 69 | 0% | 67–71 | 67–71 | 67–71 | 66–73 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 74 | 66 | 0% | 64–69 | 64–69 | 64–69 | 64–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 63 | 0% | 63–68 | 63–68 | 63–68 | 63–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 60 | 0% | 60–66 | 60–66 | 60–66 | 60–66 |
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 62 | 0% | 61–63 | 61–64 | 61–64 | 59–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 56 | 0% | 56–62 | 56–62 | 56–62 | 55–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 57 | 0% | 55–61 | 55–61 | 55–61 | 55–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 53 | 0% | 53–60 | 53–60 | 53–60 | 53–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 50 | 0% | 49–55 | 49–55 | 49–55 | 49–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 50 | 0% | 50–54 | 50–54 | 50–54 | 48–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 72 | 50 | 0% | 49–52 | 49–52 | 48–52 | 47–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 48 | 0% | 46–51 | 46–51 | 46–51 | 46–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 38 | 0% | 38–43 | 38–43 | 37–43 | 37–43 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 38 | 0% | 38–42 | 38–42 | 38–42 | 38–43 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 36 | 0% | 35–38 | 35–38 | 35–38 | 32–39 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 33 | 0% | 33 | 32–34 | 32–34 | 31–35 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 26 | 0% | 26–30 | 26–30 | 26–30 | 26–30 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 27 | 0% | 26–28 | 26–28 | 26–28 | 25–29 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 20% | 98% | |
| 76 | 13% | 79% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 59% | 66% | |
| 78 | 6% | 7% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 19% | 98% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 79% | |
| 74 | 2% | 78% | Median |
| 75 | 60% | 76% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 16% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 16% | |
| 78 | 12% | 12% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 67 | 19% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 81% | |
| 69 | 45% | 80% | Median |
| 70 | 1.0% | 35% | |
| 71 | 5% | 34% | |
| 72 | 28% | 30% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 67 | 45% | 98.7% | |
| 68 | 3% | 53% | Median |
| 69 | 20% | 51% | |
| 70 | 17% | 31% | |
| 71 | 12% | 14% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 64 | 47% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 53% | Median |
| 66 | 20% | 51% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 31% | |
| 68 | 17% | 30% | |
| 69 | 13% | 13% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 62% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 38% | Median |
| 65 | 5% | 36% | |
| 66 | 17% | 31% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 14% | |
| 68 | 12% | 13% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 61% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 4% | 39% | Median |
| 62 | 4% | 35% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 31% | |
| 64 | 17% | 30% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 13% | |
| 66 | 12% | 12% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 20% | 98.8% | |
| 62 | 30% | 79% | Median |
| 63 | 43% | 49% | |
| 64 | 4% | 5% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 61% | 98.6% | |
| 57 | 2% | 38% | Last Result, Median |
| 58 | 5% | 37% | |
| 59 | 18% | 31% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 14% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 13% | |
| 62 | 12% | 12% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 19% | 99.7% | |
| 56 | 2% | 81% | |
| 57 | 43% | 78% | Median |
| 58 | 1.4% | 36% | |
| 59 | 5% | 34% | |
| 60 | 17% | 29% | |
| 61 | 12% | 13% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 53 | 62% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 2% | 38% | Last Result, Median |
| 55 | 5% | 36% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 31% | |
| 57 | 18% | 30% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 60 | 12% | 12% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 19% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 45% | 81% | |
| 51 | 0.5% | 36% | Median |
| 52 | 2% | 36% | |
| 53 | 1.5% | 34% | |
| 54 | 4% | 33% | |
| 55 | 28% | 29% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 63% | 99.1% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 36% | Median |
| 52 | 5% | 35% | |
| 53 | 17% | 30% | |
| 54 | 13% | 13% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 49 | 46% | 97% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 51% | Median |
| 51 | 20% | 50% | |
| 52 | 28% | 30% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 19% | 100% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 81% | |
| 48 | 45% | 80% | Median |
| 49 | 0.8% | 35% | |
| 50 | 13% | 34% | |
| 51 | 20% | 21% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 61% | 97% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 36% | Median |
| 40 | 5% | 35% | |
| 41 | 18% | 30% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 12% | |
| 43 | 12% | 12% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 38 | 61% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 13% | 39% | Median |
| 40 | 2% | 26% | |
| 41 | 6% | 23% | |
| 42 | 17% | 17% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 22% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 43% | 77% | Median |
| 37 | 21% | 34% | |
| 38 | 12% | 13% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 32 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 89% | 95% | Last Result, Median |
| 34 | 3% | 5% | |
| 35 | 2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 61% | 99.5% | |
| 27 | 2% | 39% | Median |
| 28 | 14% | 37% | |
| 29 | 6% | 23% | |
| 30 | 17% | 17% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 43% | 99.4% | |
| 27 | 35% | 56% | Median |
| 28 | 20% | 21% | Last Result |
| 29 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 26 March–1 April 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.37%