Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 14–20 May 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 16.7% | 15.8–17.6% | 15.6–17.8% | 15.4–18.0% | 15.0–18.5% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 10.7% | 10.0–11.4% | 9.8–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 26 | 24–26 | 23–26 | 23–27 | 23–27 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 19 | 17–19 | 16–19 | 15–19 | 15–19 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 16 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 15–18 | 14–20 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 12–16 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 14 | 13–14 | 13–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 12 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 12 | 12 | 12–13 | 12–13 | 11–13 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 6–10 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 6 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| DENK | 3 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 25 | 10% | 90% | |
| 26 | 77% | 80% | Median |
| 27 | 3% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 2% | 95% | |
| 17 | 7% | 93% | |
| 18 | 19% | 87% | |
| 19 | 67% | 67% | Median |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 16 | 73% | 97% | Median |
| 17 | 10% | 23% | |
| 18 | 11% | 13% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 13% | 98.6% | |
| 14 | 83% | 85% | Last Result, Median |
| 15 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 97% | |
| 13 | 27% | 95% | |
| 14 | 67% | 68% | Median |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 77% | 97% | Median |
| 13 | 2% | 20% | |
| 14 | 17% | 18% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 91% | 98% | Median |
| 13 | 7% | 7% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 8% | 100% | |
| 11 | 4% | 92% | |
| 12 | 75% | 88% | Median |
| 13 | 2% | 13% | |
| 14 | 11% | 11% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 7 | 12% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 85% | 87% | Median |
| 9 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 6 | 72% | 99.5% | Median |
| 7 | 13% | 27% | |
| 8 | 13% | 14% | |
| 9 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 15% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 75% | 85% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 9% | 9% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 81% | 99.8% | Median |
| 5 | 14% | 19% | |
| 6 | 5% | 5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 88% | 99.9% | Median |
| 3 | 8% | 12% | Last Result |
| 4 | 4% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 80 | 74 | 0.7% | 73–74 | 72–74 | 71–74 | 68–76 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 74 | 0.1% | 72–74 | 71–74 | 71–74 | 70–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 70 | 0% | 69–71 | 69–71 | 68–73 | 67–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 74 | 68 | 0% | 67–69 | 66–69 | 66–70 | 64–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 67 | 0% | 65–68 | 65–69 | 65–69 | 63–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 62 | 0% | 62–65 | 62–66 | 62–67 | 61–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 60 | 0% | 60–63 | 60–63 | 60–64 | 58–66 |
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 60 | 0% | 59–60 | 59–60 | 57–60 | 55–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 56 | 0% | 56–58 | 56–59 | 55–60 | 55–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 55 | 0% | 54–55 | 54–57 | 54–57 | 52–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 54 | 0% | 54–56 | 54–56 | 53–57 | 52–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 72 | 52 | 0% | 50–52 | 50–52 | 49–53 | 49–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 50 | 0% | 49–51 | 49–52 | 49–52 | 48–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 50 | 0% | 48–52 | 47–52 | 47–52 | 47–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 50 | 0% | 48–52 | 45–52 | 45–52 | 45–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 38 | 0% | 37–39 | 37–39 | 37–40 | 36–41 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 38 | 0% | 36–40 | 33–40 | 33–40 | 33–40 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 36 | 0% | 36–38 | 36–39 | 34–39 | 34–40 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 29 | 0% | 29–31 | 29–31 | 26–31 | 26–33 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 24 | 0% | 24–26 | 24–27 | 23–27 | 23–27 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 24 | 0% | 24–26 | 24–26 | 22–26 | 22–28 |
GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 2% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 1.5% | 96% | |
| 73 | 16% | 95% | |
| 74 | 77% | 79% | Median |
| 75 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 0.7% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 72 | 15% | 95% | |
| 73 | 12% | 79% | |
| 74 | 66% | 67% | Median |
| 75 | 2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 69 | 9% | 97% | |
| 70 | 69% | 88% | Median |
| 71 | 15% | 19% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 73 | 3% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 66 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 10% | 94% | |
| 68 | 71% | 84% | Median |
| 69 | 11% | 14% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 71 | 2% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 65 | 10% | 98% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 88% | |
| 67 | 66% | 87% | Median |
| 68 | 14% | 21% | |
| 69 | 5% | 6% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 62 | 67% | 99.4% | Median |
| 63 | 1.1% | 32% | |
| 64 | 13% | 31% | |
| 65 | 11% | 18% | |
| 66 | 2% | 7% | |
| 67 | 3% | 5% | |
| 68 | 2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 60 | 67% | 99.0% | Median |
| 61 | 6% | 32% | |
| 62 | 10% | 26% | |
| 63 | 13% | 16% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 2% | |
| 66 | 2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 2% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 96% | |
| 59 | 6% | 95% | |
| 60 | 88% | 90% | Median |
| 61 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 74% | 97% | Median |
| 57 | 3% | 24% | Last Result |
| 58 | 15% | 21% | |
| 59 | 3% | 6% | |
| 60 | 2% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 54 | 13% | 98% | |
| 55 | 75% | 84% | Median |
| 56 | 3% | 10% | |
| 57 | 5% | 7% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 54 | 75% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 55 | 8% | 22% | |
| 56 | 11% | 14% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 11% | 97% | |
| 51 | 12% | 86% | |
| 52 | 70% | 73% | Median |
| 53 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 54 | 2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 10% | 98% | |
| 50 | 78% | 88% | Median |
| 51 | 3% | 10% | |
| 52 | 6% | 7% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 49 | 3% | 90% | |
| 50 | 67% | 87% | Median |
| 51 | 7% | 20% | |
| 52 | 11% | 13% | |
| 53 | 2% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 8% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 47 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 48 | 2% | 91% | |
| 49 | 5% | 89% | |
| 50 | 72% | 84% | Median |
| 51 | 1.4% | 13% | |
| 52 | 11% | 11% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 10% | 98% | |
| 38 | 78% | 88% | Median |
| 39 | 8% | 10% | |
| 40 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 8% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 36 | 3% | 91% | |
| 37 | 8% | 88% | |
| 38 | 68% | 80% | Median |
| 39 | 1.1% | 12% | |
| 40 | 11% | 11% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 3% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 36 | 74% | 96% | Median |
| 37 | 1.3% | 22% | |
| 38 | 14% | 21% | |
| 39 | 6% | 7% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 3% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 96% | |
| 29 | 66% | 96% | Median |
| 30 | 19% | 30% | |
| 31 | 9% | 11% | |
| 32 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 76% | 96% | Median |
| 25 | 1.4% | 20% | |
| 26 | 13% | 19% | |
| 27 | 6% | 6% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 3% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 24 | 74% | 96% | Median |
| 25 | 1.0% | 22% | |
| 26 | 19% | 21% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 28 | 1.0% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 14–20 May 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.66%