Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 28 May–3 June 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 17.3% 16.5–18.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.2%
GroenLinks 9.1% 10.7% 10.0–11.4% 9.8–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 10.7% 10.0–11.4% 9.8–11.6% 9.6–11.8% 9.3–12.2%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
Democraten 66 12.2% 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 8.7% 8.0–9.4% 7.8–9.6% 7.7–9.7% 7.4–10.1%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 8.0% 7.4–8.7% 7.2–8.9% 7.1–9.0% 6.8–9.4%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 5.3% 4.8–5.9% 4.7–6.1% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.5%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 4.0% 3.6–4.5% 3.4–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.0%
50Plus 3.1% 4.0% 3.6–4.5% 3.4–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.0%
DENK 2.1% 4.0% 3.6–4.5% 3.4–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.0%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 26 26 26–27 26–28 24–28
GroenLinks 14 17 17 17–18 15–18 15–18
Forum voor Democratie 2 16 16 15–16 15–17 15–18
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 14 14 14 14–15 12–15
Democraten 66 19 13 13 13 12–13 12–14
Socialistische Partij 14 13 13 13 13 11–15
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 13 13 12–13 12–13 12–14
Partij van de Arbeid 9 11 11 11 11–12 9–12
Partij voor de Dieren 5 8 8 8–9 8–9 7–9
ChristenUnie 5 6 6 6 4–6 4–7
50Plus 4 6 6 5–6 5–6 5–7
DENK 3 5 5 5–6 5–6 5–7
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 2 2 2 2–3 2–3

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 1.2% 100%  
25 0.8% 98.8%  
26 93% 98% Median
27 1.1% 5%  
28 4% 4%  
29 0.3% 0.3%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0% Last Result

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0.5% 100% Last Result
15 3% 99.5%  
16 1.0% 96%  
17 90% 95% Median
18 5% 5%  
19 0.3% 0.3%  
20 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0.2% 100%  
15 6% 99.8%  
16 90% 94% Median
17 3% 4%  
18 0.5% 0.5%  
19 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.6% 100%  
13 0.5% 99.4%  
14 96% 98.9% Median
15 3% 3%  
16 0.2% 0.2%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0% Last Result

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.4% 100%  
12 4% 99.6%  
13 95% 96% Median
14 0.6% 0.7%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.7% 100%  
12 0.9% 99.3%  
13 97% 98% Median
14 1.3% 2% Last Result
15 0.6% 0.6%  
16 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.4% 100%  
12 8% 99.6%  
13 91% 92% Median
14 0.9% 0.9%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0% Last Result

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 1.0% 100% Last Result
10 0.9% 99.0%  
11 95% 98% Median
12 3% 3%  
13 0.3% 0.3%  
14 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100% Last Result
6 0.2% 100%  
7 0.4% 99.8%  
8 92% 99.4% Median
9 7% 7%  
10 0.4% 0.4%  
11 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 4% 100%  
5 0.9% 96% Last Result
6 94% 95% Median
7 2% 2%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100% Last Result
5 6% 100%  
6 93% 94% Median
7 1.0% 1.0%  
8 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0% 100% Last Result
4 0.1% 100%  
5 93% 99.9% Median
6 6% 7%  
7 0.9% 0.9%  
8 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 97% 99.9% Median
3 3% 3% Last Result
4 0.1% 0.1%  
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 90 75 0.5% 75 74–75 71–75 71–76
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 80 73 0% 73 71–73 70–73 69–74
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 71 0% 71 71 71–72 69–73
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 74 69 0% 69 69 68–70 66–71
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 85 69 0% 69 68–69 68–69 65–71
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 63 0% 63 62–63 62–63 61–65
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus 58 61 0% 61 60–61 60–61 59–63
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 66 60 0% 60 58–60 57–60 56–61
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie 76 58 0% 58 57–58 56–58 56–59
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 57 0% 57 57 57 55–59
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 54 55 0% 55 55 54–55 52–57
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 72 53 0% 53 53 53–54 51–55
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 71 52 0% 52 52 50–53 50–53
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 61 50 0% 50 50 50–52 46–52
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 61 50 0% 50 50–51 50–51 46–51
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 39 0% 39 39 38–40 36–41
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 37 0% 37 37–38 37–39 33–39
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 47 37 0% 37 36–37 35–37 34–39
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 33 30 0% 30 28–30 27–30 27–32
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 38 26 0% 26 25–26 24–26 24–27
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 28 24 0% 24 23–24 23–24 22–25

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.3% 100%  
71 2% 99.7%  
72 0.2% 97%  
73 1.3% 97%  
74 1.2% 96%  
75 94% 95% Median
76 0.4% 0.5% Majority
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result

GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
67 0.1% 100%  
68 0.1% 99.9%  
69 0.4% 99.8%  
70 3% 99.4%  
71 4% 96%  
72 0.7% 92%  
73 90% 91% Median
74 0.8% 1.0%  
75 0.2% 0.2%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0.1% 100%  
69 0.8% 99.9%  
70 1.0% 99.1%  
71 94% 98% Median
72 3% 4%  
73 0.7% 1.1%  
74 0.4% 0.5%  
75 0.1% 0.1%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.8% 99.9%  
67 0.7% 99.1%  
68 1.3% 98%  
69 94% 97% Median
70 3% 4%  
71 0.3% 0.7%  
72 0.3% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.2% 100%  
64 0.1% 99.8%  
65 0.8% 99.7%  
66 0.2% 99.0%  
67 0.4% 98.7%  
68 6% 98%  
69 90% 92% Median
70 1.0% 2%  
71 0.7% 0.7%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
60 0.3% 100%  
61 0.3% 99.6% Last Result
62 6% 99.4%  
63 92% 94% Median
64 0.7% 1.4%  
65 0.3% 0.7%  
66 0.4% 0.4%  
67 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100%  
58 0.4% 99.9% Last Result
59 2% 99.5%  
60 4% 98%  
61 92% 93% Median
62 0.3% 0.9%  
63 0.5% 0.6%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0.1% 100%  
56 0.6% 99.9%  
57 3% 99.3%  
58 4% 96%  
59 2% 92%  
60 90% 91% Median
61 0.5% 0.9%  
62 0.2% 0.3%  
63 0.1% 0.1%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.2% 100%  
54 0.2% 99.8%  
55 0% 99.6%  
56 3% 99.5%  
57 4% 96%  
58 90% 92% Median
59 2% 2%  
60 0.1% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 1.0% 99.9%  
56 0.6% 98.9%  
57 96% 98% Last Result, Median
58 1.0% 2%  
59 0.8% 1.1%  
60 0.2% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.2%  
62 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.8% 99.9%  
53 0.7% 99.2%  
54 1.0% 98.5% Last Result
55 96% 97% Median
56 1.0% 2%  
57 0.3% 0.5%  
58 0.3% 0.3%  
59 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0% 100%  
50 0.4% 99.9%  
51 1.4% 99.5%  
52 0.3% 98%  
53 93% 98% Median
54 4% 5%  
55 0.3% 0.6%  
56 0.3% 0.3%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.3% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.7%  
50 3% 99.5%  
51 0.9% 96%  
52 91% 95% Median
53 4% 5%  
54 0.2% 0.2%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.7% 100%  
47 0.3% 99.3%  
48 0.5% 99.0%  
49 0.8% 98.5%  
50 93% 98% Median
51 0.5% 5%  
52 4% 4%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.2% 100%  
46 0.8% 99.8%  
47 0.2% 99.0%  
48 0.1% 98.8%  
49 0.5% 98.7%  
50 93% 98% Median
51 5% 5%  
52 0.2% 0.3%  
53 0.1% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.3% 100%  
36 0.2% 99.7%  
37 0.9% 99.5%  
38 3% 98.6%  
39 91% 96% Median
40 4% 5%  
41 0.5% 0.5%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.7% 100%  
34 0.3% 99.3%  
35 0.2% 99.0%  
36 0.5% 98.8%  
37 90% 98% Median
38 4% 8%  
39 4% 4%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0% Last Result

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.3% 100%  
34 0.5% 99.6%  
35 2% 99.2%  
36 6% 97%  
37 90% 91% Median
38 0.5% 1.3%  
39 0.7% 0.7%  
40 0% 0%  
41 0% 0%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.2% 100%  
27 4% 99.8%  
28 1.2% 96%  
29 0.4% 95%  
30 93% 94% Median
31 0.6% 2%  
32 0.8% 1.0%  
33 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
34 0% 0%  

Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.3% 100%  
24 4% 99.7%  
25 4% 96%  
26 91% 92% Median
27 1.1% 1.1%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.5% 100%  
22 1.4% 99.5%  
23 5% 98%  
24 92% 94% Median
25 1.4% 2%  
26 0.3% 0.3%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations