Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 13 June 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
21.3% |
19.7–23.1% |
19.2–23.6% |
18.8–24.0% |
18.1–24.9% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
14.0% |
12.6–15.5% |
12.2–15.9% |
11.9–16.3% |
11.3–17.1% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
10.0% |
8.8–11.3% |
8.5–11.7% |
8.2–12.0% |
7.7–12.7% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
10.0% |
8.8–11.3% |
8.5–11.7% |
8.2–12.0% |
7.7–12.7% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
9.3% |
8.2–10.7% |
7.9–11.0% |
7.7–11.4% |
7.1–12.0% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
7.3% |
6.4–8.6% |
6.1–8.9% |
5.9–9.2% |
5.4–9.8% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.7% |
5.8–7.9% |
5.5–8.2% |
5.3–8.5% |
4.9–9.1% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.1% |
4.8–7.4% |
4.6–7.7% |
4.3–8.2% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
5.4% |
4.5–6.4% |
4.3–6.7% |
4.1–7.0% |
3.7–7.5% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.6–5.9% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.4% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.5–4.5% |
2.4–4.7% |
2.1–5.2% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
1.4% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.2% |
0.8–2.3% |
0.7–2.7% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.4% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.2% |
0.8–2.3% |
0.7–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
27 |
10% |
99.2% |
|
28 |
0.8% |
90% |
|
29 |
6% |
89% |
|
30 |
30% |
83% |
|
31 |
23% |
53% |
Median |
32 |
2% |
29% |
|
33 |
5% |
27% |
Last Result |
34 |
11% |
22% |
|
35 |
3% |
11% |
|
36 |
6% |
8% |
|
37 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
38 |
0% |
2% |
|
39 |
2% |
2% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
17 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
18 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
19 |
4% |
94% |
|
20 |
12% |
90% |
Last Result |
21 |
15% |
78% |
|
22 |
25% |
62% |
Median |
23 |
3% |
37% |
|
24 |
34% |
34% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
26 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
4% |
97% |
|
14 |
43% |
93% |
|
15 |
10% |
50% |
Median |
16 |
5% |
40% |
|
17 |
13% |
36% |
|
18 |
22% |
22% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
19% |
99.0% |
|
13 |
4% |
80% |
|
14 |
34% |
76% |
Last Result, Median |
15 |
24% |
42% |
|
16 |
8% |
18% |
|
17 |
6% |
10% |
|
18 |
3% |
5% |
|
19 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
20 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.1% |
99.4% |
|
12 |
12% |
98% |
|
13 |
27% |
86% |
|
14 |
31% |
60% |
Median |
15 |
9% |
29% |
|
16 |
5% |
20% |
|
17 |
13% |
15% |
|
18 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
19 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
2% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
9 |
7% |
97% |
|
10 |
10% |
91% |
|
11 |
25% |
81% |
|
12 |
50% |
56% |
Median |
13 |
4% |
7% |
|
14 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
7% |
96% |
|
9 |
16% |
90% |
Last Result |
10 |
49% |
74% |
Median |
11 |
5% |
25% |
|
12 |
2% |
20% |
|
13 |
18% |
19% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
6 |
1.3% |
99.1% |
|
7 |
46% |
98% |
|
8 |
7% |
52% |
Median |
9 |
30% |
45% |
|
10 |
11% |
15% |
|
11 |
3% |
5% |
|
12 |
2% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
4% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
5% |
96% |
|
7 |
43% |
91% |
Median |
8 |
28% |
49% |
|
9 |
12% |
20% |
|
10 |
5% |
8% |
|
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
4% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
5 |
10% |
96% |
|
6 |
55% |
86% |
Median |
7 |
21% |
31% |
|
8 |
9% |
10% |
|
9 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
8% |
100% |
|
4 |
26% |
92% |
|
5 |
29% |
66% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
34% |
38% |
|
7 |
3% |
4% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
22% |
98% |
|
2 |
56% |
77% |
Median |
3 |
18% |
20% |
Last Result |
4 |
3% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
2% |
100% |
|
1 |
19% |
98% |
|
2 |
41% |
80% |
Median |
3 |
7% |
38% |
Last Result |
4 |
31% |
31% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
82 |
100% |
79–88 |
79–90 |
79–91 |
78–91 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
78 |
86% |
74–82 |
74–84 |
74–85 |
72–87 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
78 |
65% |
75–83 |
75–84 |
75–84 |
74–86 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
76 |
54% |
73–80 |
73–82 |
72–84 |
70–86 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
80 |
71 |
20% |
69–80 |
68–80 |
67–80 |
66–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
68 |
4% |
65–72 |
65–74 |
65–77 |
64–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
68 |
0.1% |
64–71 |
64–73 |
63–74 |
61–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
64 |
0% |
59–68 |
59–68 |
59–69 |
57–70 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
61 |
0% |
57–68 |
57–68 |
57–68 |
56–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
60 |
0% |
58–65 |
58–66 |
58–67 |
56–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
62 |
0% |
57–65 |
57–67 |
57–67 |
55–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
57 |
0% |
53–61 |
53–63 |
53–64 |
52–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
56 |
0% |
54–62 |
54–62 |
54–63 |
52–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
55 |
0% |
51–59 |
51–61 |
51–63 |
50–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
55 |
0% |
54–59 |
54–61 |
52–61 |
51–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
46 |
0% |
44–50 |
44–52 |
44–53 |
41–54 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
41 |
0% |
37–44 |
37–45 |
37–47 |
37–49 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
38 |
0% |
36–44 |
35–44 |
35–44 |
34–45 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
32 |
0% |
30–39 |
29–39 |
28–39 |
27–39 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
28 |
0% |
26–34 |
26–34 |
26–35 |
25–35 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
24 |
0% |
23–31 |
22–31 |
22–31 |
21–31 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
78 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
79 |
28% |
98.6% |
|
80 |
0.9% |
71% |
|
81 |
4% |
70% |
Median |
82 |
28% |
66% |
|
83 |
3% |
38% |
|
84 |
6% |
35% |
|
85 |
12% |
29% |
|
86 |
3% |
16% |
|
87 |
3% |
14% |
|
88 |
2% |
11% |
|
89 |
3% |
9% |
|
90 |
0.8% |
5% |
Last Result |
91 |
4% |
5% |
|
92 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
1.0% |
98.7% |
|
74 |
10% |
98% |
|
75 |
2% |
87% |
|
76 |
1.4% |
86% |
Majority |
77 |
34% |
85% |
Last Result |
78 |
2% |
51% |
Median |
79 |
3% |
49% |
|
80 |
20% |
46% |
|
81 |
12% |
26% |
|
82 |
5% |
14% |
|
83 |
2% |
8% |
|
84 |
2% |
6% |
|
85 |
3% |
4% |
|
86 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
87 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
74 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
75 |
32% |
98% |
|
76 |
11% |
65% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
54% |
Median |
78 |
2% |
52% |
|
79 |
2% |
50% |
|
80 |
19% |
48% |
|
81 |
2% |
29% |
|
82 |
1.2% |
27% |
|
83 |
20% |
26% |
|
84 |
4% |
7% |
|
85 |
1.3% |
2% |
Last Result |
86 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
71 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
73 |
11% |
97% |
|
74 |
4% |
86% |
Last Result |
75 |
28% |
82% |
|
76 |
4% |
54% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
5% |
50% |
|
78 |
29% |
45% |
|
79 |
4% |
16% |
|
80 |
2% |
11% |
|
81 |
4% |
10% |
|
82 |
2% |
6% |
|
83 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
84 |
2% |
3% |
|
85 |
0% |
1.1% |
|
86 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
68 |
3% |
96% |
|
69 |
8% |
93% |
|
70 |
4% |
84% |
|
71 |
31% |
80% |
|
72 |
3% |
49% |
Median |
73 |
3% |
46% |
|
74 |
5% |
43% |
|
75 |
18% |
38% |
|
76 |
4% |
20% |
Majority |
77 |
0.5% |
16% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
15% |
|
79 |
3% |
15% |
|
80 |
11% |
12% |
Last Result |
81 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
32% |
99.2% |
|
66 |
4% |
67% |
|
67 |
12% |
64% |
Median |
68 |
2% |
52% |
|
69 |
4% |
49% |
|
70 |
29% |
45% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
16% |
|
72 |
5% |
15% |
|
73 |
3% |
10% |
|
74 |
2% |
7% |
|
75 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
4% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
3% |
3% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
63 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
64 |
13% |
97% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
84% |
|
66 |
2% |
83% |
|
67 |
3% |
81% |
|
68 |
32% |
78% |
Median |
69 |
14% |
45% |
|
70 |
4% |
32% |
|
71 |
18% |
28% |
|
72 |
5% |
10% |
Last Result |
73 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
74 |
3% |
4% |
|
75 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
99.1% |
|
59 |
27% |
98% |
|
60 |
12% |
71% |
|
61 |
3% |
58% |
Last Result |
62 |
3% |
56% |
Median |
63 |
3% |
53% |
|
64 |
5% |
50% |
|
65 |
21% |
45% |
|
66 |
5% |
25% |
|
67 |
6% |
19% |
|
68 |
10% |
13% |
|
69 |
2% |
3% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
11% |
98% |
|
58 |
1.4% |
88% |
|
59 |
31% |
86% |
|
60 |
4% |
56% |
Median |
61 |
4% |
52% |
|
62 |
5% |
48% |
|
63 |
4% |
43% |
|
64 |
20% |
39% |
|
65 |
3% |
19% |
|
66 |
2% |
16% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.4% |
14% |
|
68 |
13% |
14% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
99.0% |
|
58 |
29% |
98.5% |
|
59 |
6% |
69% |
|
60 |
16% |
63% |
Median |
61 |
11% |
47% |
|
62 |
19% |
36% |
|
63 |
4% |
17% |
|
64 |
3% |
14% |
|
65 |
4% |
11% |
|
66 |
2% |
6% |
|
67 |
4% |
5% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.2% |
|
57 |
28% |
99.1% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
71% |
Last Result |
59 |
14% |
70% |
|
60 |
4% |
56% |
Median |
61 |
2% |
52% |
|
62 |
7% |
50% |
|
63 |
23% |
43% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
20% |
|
65 |
10% |
19% |
|
66 |
3% |
9% |
|
67 |
5% |
6% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
28% |
98.7% |
|
54 |
11% |
71% |
|
55 |
4% |
60% |
|
56 |
3% |
56% |
Median |
57 |
3% |
53% |
Last Result |
58 |
21% |
49% |
|
59 |
5% |
29% |
|
60 |
14% |
24% |
|
61 |
3% |
10% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
7% |
|
63 |
1.5% |
6% |
|
64 |
4% |
5% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
98.6% |
|
54 |
40% |
98% |
|
55 |
7% |
57% |
|
56 |
8% |
50% |
Median |
57 |
9% |
42% |
|
58 |
5% |
33% |
|
59 |
2% |
27% |
|
60 |
2% |
26% |
|
61 |
3% |
24% |
Last Result |
62 |
18% |
21% |
|
63 |
2% |
3% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
28% |
99.1% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
71% |
|
53 |
14% |
71% |
|
54 |
3% |
57% |
Last Result, Median |
55 |
4% |
54% |
|
56 |
24% |
49% |
|
57 |
12% |
26% |
|
58 |
3% |
13% |
|
59 |
2% |
11% |
|
60 |
4% |
9% |
|
61 |
0.5% |
5% |
|
62 |
2% |
5% |
|
63 |
3% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
52 |
3% |
99.0% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
96% |
|
54 |
45% |
95% |
|
55 |
14% |
50% |
Median |
56 |
3% |
37% |
|
57 |
18% |
34% |
|
58 |
5% |
15% |
|
59 |
3% |
11% |
|
60 |
2% |
7% |
|
61 |
4% |
5% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.8% |
1.5% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
43 |
0.9% |
98.8% |
|
44 |
37% |
98% |
|
45 |
5% |
60% |
|
46 |
8% |
55% |
Median |
47 |
7% |
46% |
|
48 |
10% |
40% |
|
49 |
19% |
30% |
|
50 |
2% |
11% |
|
51 |
3% |
8% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
5% |
Last Result |
53 |
4% |
4% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
37 |
13% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
1.1% |
87% |
|
39 |
5% |
86% |
|
40 |
31% |
81% |
|
41 |
3% |
50% |
Median |
42 |
5% |
47% |
Last Result |
43 |
12% |
41% |
|
44 |
22% |
30% |
|
45 |
3% |
7% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
47 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
48 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
49 |
2% |
2% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
35 |
9% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
9% |
91% |
|
37 |
2% |
82% |
|
38 |
36% |
80% |
|
39 |
3% |
44% |
Median |
40 |
1.1% |
41% |
|
41 |
4% |
40% |
|
42 |
3% |
35% |
|
43 |
3% |
32% |
|
44 |
28% |
29% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
48 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
2% |
98% |
|
29 |
2% |
97% |
|
30 |
12% |
95% |
|
31 |
30% |
83% |
|
32 |
10% |
53% |
Median |
33 |
2% |
43% |
Last Result |
34 |
4% |
41% |
|
35 |
3% |
36% |
|
36 |
15% |
33% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
18% |
|
38 |
1.1% |
18% |
|
39 |
17% |
17% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
26 |
13% |
99.2% |
|
27 |
4% |
86% |
|
28 |
33% |
82% |
|
29 |
5% |
49% |
Median |
30 |
3% |
44% |
|
31 |
24% |
41% |
|
32 |
1.3% |
17% |
|
33 |
3% |
16% |
|
34 |
11% |
13% |
|
35 |
3% |
3% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
22 |
6% |
98% |
|
23 |
13% |
92% |
|
24 |
32% |
79% |
|
25 |
5% |
47% |
Median |
26 |
9% |
41% |
|
27 |
11% |
33% |
|
28 |
3% |
22% |
Last Result |
29 |
2% |
19% |
|
30 |
0.6% |
17% |
|
31 |
17% |
17% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar Public
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 13 June 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 953
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.44%