Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 18–24 June 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 18.0% | 17.1–18.9% | 16.9–19.2% | 16.7–19.4% | 16.2–19.9% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 10.7% | 10.0–11.4% | 9.8–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 27 | 27–31 | 26–31 | 25–31 | 24–31 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 17 | 15–18 | 15–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 17 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 14–18 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 13 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 12–16 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 12 | 12–13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 10–14 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 10 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 6–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 5 | 5–6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 4–7 |
| DENK | 3 | 7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–7 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 26 | 5% | 96% | |
| 27 | 64% | 91% | Median |
| 28 | 15% | 28% | |
| 29 | 2% | 13% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 11% | |
| 31 | 10% | 10% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 10% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 11% | 90% | |
| 17 | 63% | 79% | Median |
| 18 | 10% | 16% | |
| 19 | 3% | 6% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 15 | 18% | 98.5% | |
| 16 | 4% | 81% | |
| 17 | 66% | 76% | Median |
| 18 | 10% | 10% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 13 | 71% | 99.3% | Median |
| 14 | 8% | 29% | |
| 15 | 16% | 21% | |
| 16 | 4% | 4% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 12 | 8% | 99.1% | |
| 13 | 85% | 91% | Median |
| 14 | 0.9% | 6% | |
| 15 | 6% | 6% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 11 | 6% | 99.3% | |
| 12 | 75% | 94% | Median |
| 13 | 16% | 19% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 10 | 11% | 99.4% | |
| 11 | 72% | 89% | Median |
| 12 | 6% | 16% | |
| 13 | 10% | 10% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 10% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 10 | 75% | 90% | Median |
| 11 | 5% | 15% | |
| 12 | 9% | 10% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 7 | 20% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 76% | 80% | Median |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 23% | 98.6% | Last Result |
| 6 | 18% | 76% | |
| 7 | 58% | 58% | Median |
| 8 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 74% | 98% | Median |
| 6 | 18% | 23% | |
| 7 | 5% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 16% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 10% | 84% | |
| 7 | 74% | 74% | Median |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 9% | 100% | |
| 3 | 87% | 91% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 4% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 90 | 76 | 80% | 74–78 | 74–78 | 73–78 | 73–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 72 | 11% | 72–76 | 71–78 | 70–78 | 68–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 74 | 69 | 0% | 68–73 | 68–75 | 67–75 | 65–75 |
| GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 70 | 0% | 68–72 | 67–72 | 67–73 | 67–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 69 | 0% | 68–72 | 68–72 | 67–72 | 66–73 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 64 | 0% | 63–67 | 62–71 | 61–71 | 61–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 61 | 0% | 60–64 | 59–68 | 58–68 | 58–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 59 | 0% | 58–62 | 56–65 | 55–65 | 55–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 76 | 59 | 0% | 57–61 | 57–63 | 56–63 | 55–63 |
| GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 59 | 0% | 56–60 | 56–62 | 56–62 | 56–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 56 | 0% | 54–59 | 53–62 | 52–62 | 52–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 71 | 52 | 0% | 52–56 | 51–57 | 51–57 | 49–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 52 | 0% | 52–57 | 51–57 | 51–57 | 49–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 50 | 0% | 50–53 | 50–53 | 49–53 | 49–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 49 | 0% | 49–53 | 49–53 | 48–53 | 47–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 39 | 0% | 39–43 | 37–44 | 37–44 | 36–44 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 37 | 0% | 37–40 | 37–40 | 36–40 | 36–42 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 35 | 0% | 35–36 | 35–38 | 35–39 | 33–39 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 29 | 0% | 27–29 | 27–30 | 27–31 | 26–32 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 38 | 25 | 0% | 25–26 | 24–26 | 23–27 | 22–27 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 22 | 0% | 22–23 | 22–24 | 22–25 | 20–26 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 12% | 96% | |
| 75 | 5% | 84% | |
| 76 | 66% | 80% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 78 | 11% | 14% | |
| 79 | 2% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 98.6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 6% | 96% | |
| 72 | 60% | 91% | Median |
| 73 | 10% | 30% | |
| 74 | 8% | 20% | |
| 75 | 2% | 12% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 11% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 10% | Last Result |
| 78 | 9% | 9% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 8% | 96% | |
| 69 | 56% | 89% | Median |
| 70 | 14% | 33% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 19% | |
| 72 | 7% | 18% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 11% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 10% | Last Result |
| 75 | 9% | 9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 10% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 5% | 90% | |
| 69 | 18% | 85% | |
| 70 | 56% | 68% | Median |
| 71 | 2% | 12% | |
| 72 | 6% | 10% | |
| 73 | 3% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 20% | 95% | |
| 69 | 59% | 75% | Median |
| 70 | 3% | 16% | |
| 71 | 0.7% | 13% | |
| 72 | 11% | 13% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 61 | 4% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 62 | 3% | 95% | |
| 63 | 11% | 92% | |
| 64 | 65% | 82% | Median |
| 65 | 4% | 16% | |
| 66 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 67 | 2% | 12% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 70 | 0% | 9% | |
| 71 | 9% | 9% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 59 | 3% | 95% | |
| 60 | 10% | 93% | |
| 61 | 62% | 83% | Median |
| 62 | 8% | 21% | |
| 63 | 3% | 13% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 10% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 10% | |
| 67 | 0% | 9% | |
| 68 | 9% | 9% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 3% | 96% | |
| 57 | 2% | 93% | Last Result |
| 58 | 16% | 92% | |
| 59 | 62% | 76% | Median |
| 60 | 0.7% | 14% | |
| 61 | 3% | 13% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 10% | |
| 63 | 0% | 10% | |
| 64 | 0% | 10% | |
| 65 | 9% | 9% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 57 | 9% | 95% | |
| 58 | 17% | 87% | |
| 59 | 55% | 70% | Median |
| 60 | 2% | 14% | |
| 61 | 3% | 13% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 10% | |
| 63 | 9% | 10% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 19% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 5% | 81% | |
| 58 | 1.3% | 76% | |
| 59 | 63% | 74% | Median |
| 60 | 3% | 11% | |
| 61 | 2% | 8% | |
| 62 | 5% | 6% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 3% | 97% | |
| 54 | 4% | 94% | Last Result |
| 55 | 13% | 90% | |
| 56 | 56% | 77% | Median |
| 57 | 9% | 21% | |
| 58 | 2% | 12% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 10% | |
| 60 | 0% | 10% | |
| 61 | 0% | 10% | |
| 62 | 9% | 9% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 51 | 8% | 98.9% | |
| 52 | 61% | 91% | Median |
| 53 | 16% | 30% | |
| 54 | 2% | 14% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 12% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 11% | |
| 57 | 10% | 10% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 51 | 4% | 98% | |
| 52 | 55% | 95% | Median |
| 53 | 8% | 39% | |
| 54 | 2% | 31% | |
| 55 | 16% | 29% | |
| 56 | 2% | 13% | |
| 57 | 11% | 11% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 61% | 95% | Median |
| 51 | 14% | 34% | |
| 52 | 6% | 20% | |
| 53 | 13% | 14% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 49 | 60% | 95% | Median |
| 50 | 15% | 35% | |
| 51 | 5% | 20% | |
| 52 | 3% | 14% | |
| 53 | 10% | 11% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 38 | 4% | 95% | |
| 39 | 59% | 90% | Median |
| 40 | 17% | 31% | |
| 41 | 2% | 14% | |
| 42 | 1.0% | 12% | |
| 43 | 2% | 11% | |
| 44 | 10% | 10% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 64% | 95% | Median |
| 38 | 13% | 32% | |
| 39 | 3% | 19% | |
| 40 | 13% | 15% | |
| 41 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 35 | 83% | 98% | Median |
| 36 | 7% | 15% | |
| 37 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 38 | 4% | 7% | |
| 39 | 3% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 27 | 12% | 99.1% | |
| 28 | 23% | 87% | |
| 29 | 58% | 64% | Median |
| 30 | 2% | 6% | |
| 31 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 32 | 2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 3% | 96% | |
| 25 | 69% | 93% | Median |
| 26 | 19% | 24% | |
| 27 | 5% | 5% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 22 | 79% | 98.6% | Median |
| 23 | 13% | 20% | |
| 24 | 4% | 7% | |
| 25 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 1.4% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 18–24 June 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.63%