Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 22–25 June 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
20.4% |
19.0–22.0% |
18.5–22.5% |
18.2–22.9% |
17.5–23.7% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
11.4% |
10.3–12.7% |
10.0–13.1% |
9.7–13.4% |
9.2–14.0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
10.8% |
9.7–12.1% |
9.4–12.4% |
9.1–12.7% |
8.6–13.4% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
10.7% |
9.6–12.0% |
9.3–12.3% |
9.0–12.6% |
8.5–13.3% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
9.9% |
8.9–11.1% |
8.6–11.5% |
8.3–11.8% |
7.8–12.4% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
7.4% |
6.5–8.5% |
6.2–8.8% |
6.0–9.0% |
5.6–9.6% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
6.0% |
5.2–7.0% |
4.9–7.3% |
4.7–7.5% |
4.4–8.0% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
5.1% |
4.3–6.0% |
4.1–6.3% |
3.9–6.5% |
3.6–7.0% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.7% |
4.0–5.7% |
3.8–5.9% |
3.6–6.1% |
3.3–6.6% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.3% |
3.2–5.5% |
2.9–6.0% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
3.7% |
3.0–4.5% |
2.9–4.7% |
2.7–5.0% |
2.5–5.4% |
DENK |
2.1% |
3.1% |
2.5–3.8% |
2.3–4.1% |
2.2–4.3% |
2.0–4.6% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.6–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.0% |
1.2–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
4% |
99.6% |
|
29 |
1.2% |
96% |
|
30 |
6% |
95% |
|
31 |
7% |
88% |
|
32 |
42% |
81% |
Median |
33 |
34% |
40% |
Last Result |
34 |
4% |
6% |
|
35 |
2% |
2% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
38 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
14 |
3% |
99.5% |
|
15 |
5% |
97% |
|
16 |
25% |
91% |
|
17 |
45% |
66% |
Median |
18 |
14% |
21% |
|
19 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
20 |
6% |
6% |
Last Result |
21 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
1.3% |
93% |
|
15 |
4% |
92% |
|
16 |
31% |
88% |
|
17 |
51% |
56% |
Median |
18 |
3% |
5% |
|
19 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
26% |
98.6% |
Last Result |
15 |
14% |
73% |
|
16 |
49% |
59% |
Median |
17 |
6% |
11% |
|
18 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
19 |
3% |
3% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
21 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
42% |
98% |
|
14 |
12% |
56% |
Median |
15 |
14% |
44% |
|
16 |
25% |
30% |
|
17 |
5% |
5% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
9 |
1.1% |
99.1% |
|
10 |
32% |
98% |
|
11 |
9% |
66% |
|
12 |
10% |
57% |
Median |
13 |
44% |
47% |
|
14 |
1.1% |
3% |
Last Result |
15 |
2% |
2% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
7 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
3% |
98% |
|
9 |
44% |
94% |
Median |
10 |
48% |
50% |
|
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
6 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
7 |
21% |
97% |
|
8 |
71% |
76% |
Median |
9 |
4% |
4% |
Last Result |
10 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
5 |
8% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
6 |
48% |
92% |
Median |
7 |
39% |
44% |
|
8 |
3% |
5% |
|
9 |
2% |
3% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
5 |
45% |
98.7% |
Last Result |
6 |
7% |
54% |
Median |
7 |
43% |
47% |
|
8 |
4% |
5% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
4 |
11% |
99.2% |
Last Result |
5 |
45% |
88% |
Median |
6 |
13% |
43% |
|
7 |
30% |
30% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
28% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
4 |
12% |
72% |
|
5 |
13% |
61% |
Median |
6 |
47% |
47% |
|
7 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
2 |
52% |
99.2% |
Median |
3 |
36% |
47% |
Last Result |
4 |
10% |
10% |
|
5 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
83 |
100% |
83–87 |
81–87 |
81–89 |
79–89 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
78 |
89% |
75–79 |
74–80 |
72–80 |
72–82 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
75 |
46% |
74–80 |
72–80 |
71–80 |
71–81 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
80 |
72 |
4% |
70–73 |
69–75 |
68–78 |
65–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
76 |
52% |
73–76 |
71–77 |
70–77 |
69–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
67 |
0.1% |
67–72 |
65–72 |
64–72 |
64–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
66 |
0% |
63–68 |
63–68 |
61–68 |
59–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
66 |
0% |
63–67 |
62–68 |
61–68 |
61–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
62 |
0% |
61–65 |
58–65 |
57–66 |
57–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
64 |
0% |
60–65 |
59–65 |
59–65 |
57–67 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
59 |
0% |
59–63 |
58–63 |
56–63 |
55–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
61 |
0% |
58–62 |
57–62 |
55–63 |
54–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
59 |
0% |
55–59 |
53–59 |
53–60 |
52–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
57 |
0% |
54–57 |
51–57 |
50–59 |
50–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
53 |
0% |
52–57 |
51–57 |
49–58 |
49–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
49 |
0% |
46–50 |
44–50 |
43–51 |
43–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
40 |
0% |
37–41 |
37–41 |
35–41 |
35–43 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
38 |
0% |
37–40 |
34–40 |
34–41 |
34–44 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
30 |
0% |
30–32 |
28–33 |
27–34 |
27–36 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
30 |
0% |
28–31 |
27–32 |
27–33 |
26–34 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
24 |
0% |
22–25 |
20–26 |
20–26 |
20–28 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
78 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
80 |
1.1% |
99.3% |
|
81 |
5% |
98% |
|
82 |
2% |
94% |
|
83 |
43% |
92% |
|
84 |
4% |
49% |
|
85 |
3% |
44% |
Median |
86 |
31% |
41% |
|
87 |
7% |
11% |
|
88 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
89 |
2% |
3% |
|
90 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
91 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
75 |
5% |
95% |
|
76 |
8% |
89% |
Majority |
77 |
28% |
82% |
Last Result, Median |
78 |
43% |
54% |
|
79 |
2% |
11% |
|
80 |
7% |
9% |
|
81 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
82 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
3% |
96% |
|
73 |
0.7% |
93% |
|
74 |
3% |
92% |
|
75 |
43% |
89% |
|
76 |
3% |
46% |
Majority |
77 |
3% |
43% |
Median |
78 |
7% |
41% |
|
79 |
8% |
34% |
|
80 |
24% |
26% |
|
81 |
2% |
2% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
99.4% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
68 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
69 |
4% |
97% |
|
70 |
6% |
94% |
|
71 |
25% |
88% |
|
72 |
49% |
63% |
|
73 |
6% |
14% |
Median |
74 |
2% |
8% |
|
75 |
3% |
6% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
4% |
Majority |
77 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
78 |
3% |
3% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
70 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
71 |
5% |
97% |
|
72 |
2% |
92% |
|
73 |
7% |
90% |
|
74 |
29% |
83% |
Last Result |
75 |
2% |
54% |
Median |
76 |
43% |
52% |
Majority |
77 |
8% |
9% |
|
78 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
4% |
99.6% |
|
65 |
4% |
95% |
|
66 |
2% |
92% |
|
67 |
42% |
90% |
|
68 |
3% |
48% |
|
69 |
2% |
45% |
Median |
70 |
6% |
42% |
|
71 |
4% |
36% |
|
72 |
30% |
32% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
74 |
2% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result, Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
61 |
3% |
98.5% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.5% |
96% |
|
63 |
5% |
95% |
|
64 |
5% |
90% |
|
65 |
2% |
85% |
Median |
66 |
52% |
83% |
|
67 |
4% |
31% |
|
68 |
25% |
26% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
61 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
62 |
5% |
97% |
|
63 |
6% |
91% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
85% |
|
65 |
27% |
84% |
|
66 |
47% |
57% |
Median |
67 |
1.5% |
10% |
|
68 |
7% |
9% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
3% |
96% |
|
59 |
0.8% |
93% |
|
60 |
2% |
92% |
|
61 |
2% |
90% |
|
62 |
48% |
89% |
|
63 |
2% |
41% |
Median |
64 |
5% |
39% |
|
65 |
30% |
34% |
|
66 |
2% |
4% |
|
67 |
2% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
Last Result |
59 |
7% |
98% |
|
60 |
2% |
91% |
|
61 |
1.4% |
90% |
|
62 |
5% |
88% |
|
63 |
12% |
83% |
Median |
64 |
46% |
72% |
|
65 |
24% |
26% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
67 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
58 |
5% |
97% |
|
59 |
45% |
91% |
|
60 |
3% |
46% |
|
61 |
30% |
43% |
Median |
62 |
2% |
13% |
|
63 |
9% |
11% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
3% |
99.4% |
|
56 |
1.3% |
97% |
|
57 |
5% |
96% |
Last Result |
58 |
4% |
90% |
|
59 |
3% |
86% |
|
60 |
6% |
83% |
Median |
61 |
65% |
77% |
|
62 |
9% |
12% |
|
63 |
1.5% |
3% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
66 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
8% |
99.5% |
|
54 |
1.3% |
92% |
Last Result |
55 |
1.1% |
91% |
|
56 |
8% |
89% |
|
57 |
3% |
81% |
|
58 |
25% |
78% |
Median |
59 |
48% |
53% |
|
60 |
4% |
5% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
3% |
96% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
93% |
|
53 |
2% |
92% |
|
54 |
4% |
90% |
|
55 |
6% |
86% |
|
56 |
2% |
80% |
|
57 |
74% |
78% |
Median |
58 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
59 |
2% |
3% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
51 |
7% |
97% |
|
52 |
1.2% |
90% |
|
53 |
44% |
89% |
|
54 |
6% |
45% |
Median |
55 |
9% |
39% |
|
56 |
2% |
30% |
|
57 |
24% |
28% |
|
58 |
4% |
4% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
3% |
96% |
|
45 |
1.4% |
92% |
|
46 |
2% |
91% |
|
47 |
8% |
89% |
|
48 |
5% |
81% |
|
49 |
65% |
77% |
Median |
50 |
8% |
12% |
|
51 |
2% |
4% |
|
52 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
53 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
36 |
1.2% |
97% |
|
37 |
7% |
96% |
|
38 |
3% |
89% |
|
39 |
4% |
86% |
|
40 |
50% |
82% |
Median |
41 |
30% |
32% |
|
42 |
0.9% |
2% |
Last Result |
43 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
0.9% |
95% |
|
36 |
0.8% |
94% |
|
37 |
8% |
93% |
|
38 |
42% |
85% |
|
39 |
12% |
43% |
Median |
40 |
26% |
31% |
|
41 |
3% |
5% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
27 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
1.5% |
95% |
|
29 |
2% |
94% |
|
30 |
48% |
92% |
|
31 |
7% |
44% |
Median |
32 |
32% |
37% |
|
33 |
1.0% |
5% |
|
34 |
3% |
4% |
|
35 |
0.6% |
1.1% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
27 |
8% |
98.7% |
|
28 |
1.5% |
91% |
|
29 |
4% |
89% |
|
30 |
45% |
86% |
|
31 |
31% |
40% |
Median |
32 |
6% |
9% |
|
33 |
3% |
4% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
20 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
21 |
0.6% |
93% |
|
22 |
4% |
92% |
|
23 |
5% |
88% |
|
24 |
35% |
83% |
|
25 |
43% |
49% |
Median |
26 |
4% |
6% |
|
27 |
0.8% |
1.5% |
|
28 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
Last Result |
29 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 22–25 June 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1140
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.18%