Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 13–16 September 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 18.0% | 16.5–19.6% | 16.1–20.0% | 15.8–20.4% | 15.1–21.2% | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.1–14.8% | 11.7–15.2% | 11.4–15.6% | 10.8–16.3% | 
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 12.7% | 11.4–14.1% | 11.1–14.5% | 10.8–14.9% | 10.2–15.6% | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.3–10.6% | 8.0–10.9% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% | 
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.3–10.6% | 8.0–10.9% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–11.9% | 
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.5% | 6.5–9.8% | 6.0–10.4% | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.5–8.0% | 5.3–8.3% | 4.9–8.9% | 
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.9% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% | 
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.2–5.1% | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% | 
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0–1.9% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.6% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 28 | 28 | 28–29 | 25–29 | 23–30 | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 22 | 21–22 | 21–22 | 21–22 | 19–23 | 
| GroenLinks | 14 | 17 | 17 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–22 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 14 | 14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13–14 | 12–15 | 
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 11 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 11–12 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 11 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–12 | 
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 10 | 10 | 9–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 8 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 7 | 7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 
| 50Plus | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 98% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 28 | 88% | 96% | Median | 
| 29 | 8% | 8% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 98.9% | Last Result | 
| 21 | 9% | 98% | |
| 22 | 88% | 89% | Median | 
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 93% | 99.9% | Median | 
| 18 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 6% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 21 | 4% | 6% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 4% | 98% | |
| 14 | 88% | 94% | Median | 
| 15 | 6% | 6% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 96% | 99.3% | Median | 
| 14 | 2% | 4% | Last Result | 
| 15 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | 
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 88% | 99.5% | Median | 
| 12 | 11% | 12% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 6% | 98% | Last Result | 
| 10 | 3% | 92% | |
| 11 | 88% | 89% | Median | 
| 12 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | 
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 9 | 6% | 97% | |
| 10 | 90% | 91% | Median | 
| 11 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | 
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 88% | 99.4% | Median | 
| 9 | 2% | 12% | |
| 10 | 10% | 10% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 95% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 3% | 94% | |
| 7 | 91% | 91% | Median | 
| 8 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | 
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 99.8% | Last Result | 
| 5 | 96% | 98.6% | Median | 
| 6 | 3% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | 
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 94% | 100% | Median | 
| 3 | 0.7% | 6% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 5% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 98% | 98% | Median | 
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 80 | 100% | 80 | 80–82 | 79–82 | 78–83 | 
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 80 | 76 | 93% | 76 | 75–76 | 75–80 | 74–80 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 74 | 6% | 74 | 74–79 | 69–79 | 69–79 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 72 | 0.1% | 72 | 72–75 | 67–75 | 67–75 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 74 | 0.6% | 74 | 70–74 | 68–74 | 68–76 | 
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 63 | 0% | 63 | 62–63 | 62–66 | 61–66 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 63 | 0% | 63 | 61–65 | 58–65 | 58–65 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 64 | 0% | 64 | 62–65 | 57–65 | 57–66 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 57 | 0% | 57 | 57–63 | 54–63 | 54–63 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 55 | 0% | 55 | 55–59 | 52–59 | 52–59 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 52 | 0% | 52 | 52–58 | 48–58 | 48–58 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 53 | 0% | 53 | 53–56 | 49–56 | 48–56 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 50 | 0% | 50 | 50–54 | 46–54 | 46–55 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 53 | 0% | 53 | 49–53 | 47–53 | 46–56 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 50 | 0% | 50 | 49–50 | 46–50 | 45–52 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 42 | 0% | 42 | 41–44 | 37–44 | 36–44 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 39 | 0% | 38–39 | 37–39 | 35–39 | 33–41 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 36 | 0% | 36 | 35–36 | 34–36 | 32–39 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 35 | 0% | 33–35 | 33–35 | 29–35 | 28–35 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 25 | 0% | 25 | 25–27 | 24–27 | 24–27 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 25 | 0% | 24–25 | 23–25 | 22–25 | 20–27 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 77 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 79 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 80 | 88% | 97% | Median | 
| 81 | 0.5% | 9% | |
| 82 | 7% | 8% | |
| 83 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 5% | 98% | |
| 76 | 89% | 93% | Median, Majority | 
| 77 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 80 | 3% | 3% | Last Result | 
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 69 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 0% | 97% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 74 | 90% | 97% | Median | 
| 75 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 6% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.5% | 6% | Last Result | 
| 78 | 0% | 5% | |
| 79 | 5% | 5% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 72 | 90% | 96% | Median | 
| 73 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 6% | Last Result | 
| 75 | 5% | 5% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 2% | 97% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 95% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 93% | |
| 74 | 93% | 93% | Median | 
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.6% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 62 | 5% | 98% | |
| 63 | 88% | 93% | Median | 
| 64 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 66 | 2% | 3% | Last Result | 
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 61 | 3% | 97% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 63 | 88% | 93% | Median | 
| 64 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 65 | 5% | 6% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 57 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 62 | 2% | 96% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 94% | |
| 64 | 89% | 94% | Median | 
| 65 | 5% | 6% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 54 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 0% | 97% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 57 | 88% | 97% | Median | 
| 58 | 2% | 8% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 6% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 0.1% | 5% | |
| 63 | 5% | 5% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 52 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 55 | 88% | 97% | Median | 
| 56 | 2% | 8% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 6% | Last Result | 
| 59 | 5% | 5% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 50 | 0% | 97% | |
| 51 | 0% | 97% | |
| 52 | 88% | 97% | Median | 
| 53 | 3% | 9% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 6% | |
| 56 | 0% | 6% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 6% | Last Result | 
| 58 | 5% | 5% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 96% | |
| 52 | 0% | 96% | |
| 53 | 90% | 96% | Median | 
| 54 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 6% | |
| 56 | 5% | 6% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 48 | 0% | 97% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 50 | 88% | 97% | Median | 
| 51 | 3% | 8% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 53 | 0% | 6% | |
| 54 | 5% | 6% | Last Result | 
| 55 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 48 | 0% | 97% | |
| 49 | 2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 53 | 93% | 93% | Median | 
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 49 | 2% | 96% | |
| 50 | 93% | 94% | Median | 
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 98% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 41 | 2% | 96% | |
| 42 | 88% | 94% | Median | 
| 43 | 0% | 6% | |
| 44 | 5% | 6% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 37 | 2% | 96% | |
| 38 | 6% | 94% | |
| 39 | 88% | 88% | Median | 
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.4% | Last Result | 
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 34 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 35 | 2% | 96% | |
| 36 | 93% | 94% | Median | 
| 37 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 30 | 0.4% | 97% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 97% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 33 | 8% | 97% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 0.5% | 89% | |
| 35 | 88% | 88% | Median | 
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 25 | 91% | 97% | Median | 
| 26 | 0.1% | 6% | |
| 27 | 6% | 6% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 23 | 2% | 97% | |
| 24 | 6% | 94% | |
| 25 | 88% | 89% | Median | 
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result | 
| 29 | 0% | 0% | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar Public
 - Commissioner(s): —
 - Fieldwork period: 13–16 September 2018
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 1040
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 2.07%