Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 13–16 September 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
18.0% |
16.5–19.6% |
16.1–20.0% |
15.8–20.4% |
15.1–21.2% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
13.4% |
12.1–14.8% |
11.7–15.2% |
11.4–15.6% |
10.8–16.3% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
12.7% |
11.4–14.1% |
11.1–14.5% |
10.8–14.9% |
10.2–15.6% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
9.3% |
8.3–10.6% |
8.0–10.9% |
7.7–11.3% |
7.2–11.9% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
9.3% |
8.3–10.6% |
8.0–10.9% |
7.7–11.3% |
7.2–11.9% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.2% |
6.7–9.5% |
6.5–9.8% |
6.0–10.4% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.6% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.5–8.0% |
5.3–8.3% |
4.9–8.9% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.0% |
4.9–7.3% |
4.7–7.6% |
4.3–8.1% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.0% |
4.9–7.3% |
4.7–7.6% |
4.3–8.1% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.0% |
3.4–4.9% |
3.2–5.2% |
3.0–5.4% |
2.7–5.9% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
3.4% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.6–4.4% |
2.4–4.6% |
2.2–5.1% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.6–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.4% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.3% |
1.0–1.9% |
0.9–2.1% |
0.8–2.3% |
0.7–2.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
2% |
100% |
|
24 |
0% |
98% |
|
25 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
26 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
28 |
88% |
96% |
Median |
29 |
8% |
8% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
31 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
19 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
20 |
0.5% |
98.9% |
Last Result |
21 |
9% |
98% |
|
22 |
88% |
89% |
Median |
23 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
25 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
26 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
17 |
93% |
99.9% |
Median |
18 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
19 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
21 |
4% |
6% |
|
22 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
13 |
4% |
98% |
|
14 |
88% |
94% |
Median |
15 |
6% |
6% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
96% |
99.3% |
Median |
14 |
2% |
4% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
17 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
88% |
99.5% |
Median |
12 |
11% |
12% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
6% |
98% |
Last Result |
10 |
3% |
92% |
|
11 |
88% |
89% |
Median |
12 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
9 |
6% |
97% |
|
10 |
90% |
91% |
Median |
11 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
88% |
99.4% |
Median |
9 |
2% |
12% |
|
10 |
10% |
10% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
5% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.6% |
95% |
Last Result |
6 |
3% |
94% |
|
7 |
91% |
91% |
Median |
8 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
1.2% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
5 |
96% |
98.6% |
Median |
6 |
3% |
3% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
94% |
100% |
Median |
3 |
0.7% |
6% |
Last Result |
4 |
5% |
5% |
|
5 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
1.4% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
98% |
98% |
Median |
3 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
80 |
100% |
80 |
80–82 |
79–82 |
78–83 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
80 |
76 |
93% |
76 |
75–76 |
75–80 |
74–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
74 |
6% |
74 |
74–79 |
69–79 |
69–79 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
72 |
0.1% |
72 |
72–75 |
67–75 |
67–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
74 |
0.6% |
74 |
70–74 |
68–74 |
68–76 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
63 |
0% |
63 |
62–63 |
62–66 |
61–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
63 |
0% |
63 |
61–65 |
58–65 |
58–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
64 |
0% |
64 |
62–65 |
57–65 |
57–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
57 |
0% |
57 |
57–63 |
54–63 |
54–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
55 |
0% |
55 |
55–59 |
52–59 |
52–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
52 |
0% |
52 |
52–58 |
48–58 |
48–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
53 |
0% |
53 |
53–56 |
49–56 |
48–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
50 |
0% |
50 |
50–54 |
46–54 |
46–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
53 |
0% |
53 |
49–53 |
47–53 |
46–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
50 |
0% |
50 |
49–50 |
46–50 |
45–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
42 |
0% |
42 |
41–44 |
37–44 |
36–44 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
39 |
0% |
38–39 |
37–39 |
35–39 |
33–41 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
36 |
0% |
36 |
35–36 |
34–36 |
32–39 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
35 |
0% |
33–35 |
33–35 |
29–35 |
28–35 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
25 |
0% |
25 |
25–27 |
24–27 |
24–27 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
25 |
0% |
24–25 |
23–25 |
22–25 |
20–27 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
77 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
79 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
80 |
88% |
97% |
Median |
81 |
0.5% |
9% |
|
82 |
7% |
8% |
|
83 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
5% |
98% |
|
76 |
89% |
93% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
80 |
3% |
3% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
68 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
70 |
0% |
97% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
74 |
90% |
97% |
Median |
75 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
6% |
Majority |
77 |
0.5% |
6% |
Last Result |
78 |
0% |
5% |
|
79 |
5% |
5% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
66 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
72 |
90% |
96% |
Median |
73 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
6% |
Last Result |
75 |
5% |
5% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
2% |
97% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
95% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
94% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
93% |
|
74 |
93% |
93% |
Median |
75 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
Majority |
77 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
62 |
5% |
98% |
|
63 |
88% |
93% |
Median |
64 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
66 |
2% |
3% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
97% |
|
61 |
3% |
97% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
63 |
88% |
93% |
Median |
64 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
65 |
5% |
6% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
57 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
62 |
2% |
96% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
94% |
|
64 |
89% |
94% |
Median |
65 |
5% |
6% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
54 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
55 |
0% |
97% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
57 |
88% |
97% |
Median |
58 |
2% |
8% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
6% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
63 |
5% |
5% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
51 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
52 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
55 |
88% |
97% |
Median |
56 |
2% |
8% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
6% |
Last Result |
59 |
5% |
5% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
48 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
50 |
0% |
97% |
|
51 |
0% |
97% |
|
52 |
88% |
97% |
Median |
53 |
3% |
9% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
6% |
|
56 |
0% |
6% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
6% |
Last Result |
58 |
5% |
5% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
2% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
50 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
96% |
|
52 |
0% |
96% |
|
53 |
90% |
96% |
Median |
54 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
55 |
0.3% |
6% |
|
56 |
5% |
6% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
45 |
0% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
48 |
0% |
97% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
50 |
88% |
97% |
Median |
51 |
3% |
8% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
53 |
0% |
6% |
|
54 |
5% |
6% |
Last Result |
55 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
2% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
48 |
0% |
97% |
|
49 |
2% |
97% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
94% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
53 |
93% |
93% |
Median |
54 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0% |
100% |
|
45 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
48 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
49 |
2% |
96% |
|
50 |
93% |
94% |
Median |
51 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
53 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
2% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
97% |
|
41 |
2% |
96% |
|
42 |
88% |
94% |
Median |
43 |
0% |
6% |
|
44 |
5% |
6% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
2% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
98% |
|
36 |
1.1% |
97% |
|
37 |
2% |
96% |
|
38 |
6% |
94% |
|
39 |
88% |
88% |
Median |
40 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
42 |
0% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
43 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
34 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
35 |
2% |
96% |
|
36 |
93% |
94% |
Median |
37 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.7% |
|
39 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
40 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
2% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
30 |
0.4% |
97% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
97% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
33 |
8% |
97% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.5% |
89% |
|
35 |
88% |
88% |
Median |
36 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
25 |
91% |
97% |
Median |
26 |
0.1% |
6% |
|
27 |
6% |
6% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
2% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.5% |
98% |
|
22 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
23 |
2% |
97% |
|
24 |
6% |
94% |
|
25 |
88% |
89% |
Median |
26 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
27 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar Public
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 13–16 September 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1040
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.07%