Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 8–14 October 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
16.0% |
15.2–16.9% |
14.9–17.1% |
14.7–17.4% |
14.3–17.8% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
12.0% |
11.3–12.8% |
11.1–13.0% |
10.9–13.2% |
10.5–13.6% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
12.0% |
11.3–12.8% |
11.1–13.0% |
10.9–13.2% |
10.5–13.6% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
9.3% |
8.7–10.1% |
8.5–10.3% |
8.3–10.4% |
8.0–10.8% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
9.3% |
8.7–10.1% |
8.5–10.3% |
8.3–10.4% |
8.0–10.8% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
8.7% |
8.0–9.4% |
7.8–9.6% |
7.7–9.7% |
7.4–10.1% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
7.3% |
6.8–8.0% |
6.6–8.2% |
6.4–8.3% |
6.2–8.6% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
6.0% |
5.5–6.6% |
5.3–6.8% |
5.2–6.9% |
5.0–7.2% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
5.3% |
4.8–5.9% |
4.7–6.1% |
4.6–6.2% |
4.4–6.5% |
DENK |
2.1% |
4.7% |
4.2–5.2% |
4.1–5.3% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.7–5.8% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.0% |
3.6–4.5% |
3.4–4.6% |
3.4–4.8% |
3.2–5.0% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
3.3% |
2.9–3.8% |
2.8–3.9% |
2.7–4.0% |
2.6–4.3% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.7–2.4% |
1.6–2.5% |
1.6–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
24 |
11% |
99.2% |
|
25 |
82% |
88% |
Median |
26 |
3% |
6% |
|
27 |
2% |
3% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
18 |
1.3% |
99.2% |
|
19 |
85% |
98% |
Median |
20 |
10% |
12% |
Last Result |
21 |
3% |
3% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
17 |
15% |
99.4% |
|
18 |
8% |
84% |
|
19 |
75% |
76% |
Median |
20 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
21 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
1.4% |
100% |
|
14 |
94% |
98.5% |
Median |
15 |
4% |
4% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
99.7% |
|
13 |
10% |
99.7% |
|
14 |
1.2% |
90% |
|
15 |
15% |
88% |
|
16 |
74% |
74% |
Median |
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
12 |
92% |
99.5% |
Median |
13 |
7% |
7% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
10 |
88% |
99.5% |
Median |
11 |
11% |
12% |
|
12 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
80% |
99.9% |
Median |
9 |
8% |
20% |
|
10 |
8% |
12% |
|
11 |
4% |
4% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
7% |
100% |
|
8 |
87% |
93% |
Median |
9 |
6% |
6% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
75% |
100% |
Median |
7 |
20% |
25% |
|
8 |
5% |
5% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
9% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
87% |
91% |
Median |
7 |
4% |
4% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
93% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
5 |
6% |
7% |
|
6 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
12% |
100% |
|
3 |
87% |
88% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
73 |
0% |
72–73 |
69–73 |
68–73 |
67–73 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
80 |
69 |
0% |
69–70 |
68–72 |
67–72 |
67–73 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
74 |
70 |
0% |
69–70 |
67–71 |
66–71 |
64–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
68 |
0% |
67–69 |
67–70 |
66–70 |
66–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
63 |
0% |
63–65 |
63–65 |
63–66 |
63–67 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
57 |
0% |
57–58 |
55–60 |
55–60 |
55–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
58 |
0% |
56–58 |
56–58 |
53–58 |
53–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
54 |
0% |
54–55 |
53–56 |
53–58 |
51–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus |
58 |
55 |
0% |
53–55 |
53–55 |
51–56 |
51–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
54 |
0% |
52–54 |
50–54 |
49–54 |
49–54 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
49 |
0% |
49–51 |
49–51 |
49–52 |
48–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
61 |
49 |
0% |
48–50 |
48–51 |
48–52 |
47–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
54 |
51 |
0% |
49–51 |
48–51 |
47–51 |
47–51 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
47 |
0% |
47–48 |
47–49 |
47–50 |
47–51 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
43 |
0% |
43–45 |
43–45 |
43–46 |
43–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
39 |
0% |
38–39 |
38–40 |
38–41 |
37–42 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
35 |
0% |
34–36 |
34–37 |
34–37 |
33–37 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
47 |
32 |
0% |
32–34 |
32–35 |
32–35 |
32–36 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
33 |
30 |
0% |
30–31 |
30–31 |
30–31 |
29–33 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
28 |
24 |
0% |
24–25 |
24–25 |
24–25 |
23–27 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
18 |
0% |
18–20 |
18–20 |
18–21 |
18–21 |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
68 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
69 |
1.4% |
95% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
71 |
2% |
94% |
|
72 |
9% |
92% |
|
73 |
83% |
83% |
Median |
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
3% |
100% |
|
68 |
3% |
97% |
|
69 |
83% |
94% |
Median |
70 |
4% |
11% |
|
71 |
2% |
7% |
|
72 |
5% |
5% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
66 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
67 |
1.3% |
95% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
94% |
|
69 |
10% |
93% |
|
70 |
77% |
83% |
Median |
71 |
6% |
6% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
9% |
96% |
|
68 |
76% |
87% |
Median |
69 |
4% |
10% |
|
70 |
5% |
6% |
|
71 |
2% |
2% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
78% |
99.9% |
Median |
64 |
7% |
22% |
|
65 |
10% |
15% |
|
66 |
4% |
5% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
5% |
100% |
|
56 |
3% |
95% |
|
57 |
80% |
91% |
Median |
58 |
5% |
11% |
|
59 |
1.4% |
6% |
|
60 |
5% |
5% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
4% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
96% |
|
55 |
0.9% |
96% |
|
56 |
10% |
95% |
|
57 |
4% |
85% |
|
58 |
81% |
81% |
Median |
59 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.1% |
|
53 |
4% |
98.8% |
|
54 |
82% |
95% |
Median |
55 |
4% |
13% |
|
56 |
5% |
8% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
3% |
|
58 |
3% |
3% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
4% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
96% |
|
53 |
8% |
96% |
|
54 |
6% |
88% |
|
55 |
79% |
83% |
Median |
56 |
4% |
4% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
59 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
4% |
100% |
|
50 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
51 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
52 |
11% |
94% |
|
53 |
6% |
83% |
|
54 |
77% |
78% |
Median |
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
77% |
99.5% |
Median |
50 |
10% |
22% |
|
51 |
8% |
12% |
|
52 |
4% |
4% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
48 |
11% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
74% |
88% |
Median |
50 |
8% |
14% |
|
51 |
3% |
6% |
|
52 |
3% |
3% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
47 |
4% |
99.6% |
|
48 |
2% |
96% |
|
49 |
7% |
94% |
|
50 |
7% |
87% |
|
51 |
80% |
81% |
Median |
52 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
78% |
99.8% |
Median |
48 |
12% |
22% |
|
49 |
7% |
10% |
|
50 |
2% |
3% |
|
51 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
74% |
99.5% |
Median |
44 |
11% |
25% |
|
45 |
11% |
14% |
|
46 |
3% |
3% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
38 |
12% |
99.4% |
|
39 |
81% |
87% |
Median |
40 |
4% |
7% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
42 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
43 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
34 |
10% |
99.3% |
|
35 |
76% |
89% |
Median |
36 |
7% |
13% |
|
37 |
5% |
5% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
75% |
100% |
Median |
33 |
6% |
25% |
|
34 |
14% |
19% |
|
35 |
5% |
5% |
|
36 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
37 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
30 |
89% |
98.7% |
Median |
31 |
9% |
10% |
|
32 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
34 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
24 |
84% |
98.7% |
Median |
25 |
14% |
15% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
29 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
76% |
100% |
Median |
19 |
5% |
24% |
|
20 |
14% |
19% |
|
21 |
5% |
5% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 8–14 October 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.17%