Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 26–29 October 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 20.1% | 18.6–21.8% | 18.2–22.3% | 17.8–22.7% | 17.1–23.6% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.9–15.7% | 12.5–16.1% | 12.2–16.5% | 11.6–17.3% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.2–11.7% | 8.9–12.1% | 8.6–12.4% | 8.1–13.1% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.6% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 8.2% | 7.2–9.4% | 6.9–9.8% | 6.7–10.1% | 6.2–10.7% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9–7.9% | 5.6–8.3% | 5.4–8.5% | 5.0–9.1% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 6.3% | 5.4–7.4% | 5.2–7.7% | 5.0–8.0% | 4.6–8.6% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.5–5.7% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.5–5.7% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.3% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.3% | 1.1–2.5% | 1.1–2.7% | 0.9–3.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 31 | 29–34 | 28–35 | 27–35 | 25–37 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 20 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 18–25 | 18–26 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 16 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 15 | 13–17 | 12–17 | 11–18 | 11–19 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 12 | 10–15 | 10–15 | 10–16 | 9–16 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 10 | 9–12 | 8–13 | 8–15 | 7–15 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 11 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–13 | 7–14 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 10 | 8–11 | 7–12 | 7–12 | 7–13 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–9 | 4–10 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 6 | 4–8 | 4–9 | 4–9 | 4–10 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 | 4–9 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 | 1–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 1–4 | 1–5 | 1–5 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 27 | 2% | 98% | |
| 28 | 5% | 96% | |
| 29 | 9% | 91% | |
| 30 | 9% | 82% | |
| 31 | 35% | 73% | Median |
| 32 | 9% | 38% | |
| 33 | 6% | 29% | Last Result |
| 34 | 15% | 23% | |
| 35 | 6% | 8% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 37 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 18 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 7% | 97% | |
| 20 | 43% | 91% | Last Result, Median |
| 21 | 12% | 48% | |
| 22 | 9% | 36% | |
| 23 | 10% | 27% | |
| 24 | 12% | 17% | |
| 25 | 4% | 5% | |
| 26 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 6% | 98.7% | |
| 14 | 13% | 93% | Last Result |
| 15 | 18% | 80% | |
| 16 | 36% | 61% | Median |
| 17 | 19% | 25% | |
| 18 | 4% | 7% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 97% | |
| 13 | 6% | 95% | |
| 14 | 12% | 89% | |
| 15 | 37% | 76% | Median |
| 16 | 27% | 39% | |
| 17 | 8% | 12% | |
| 18 | 3% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 16% | 98% | |
| 11 | 10% | 82% | |
| 12 | 45% | 73% | Median |
| 13 | 7% | 27% | |
| 14 | 6% | 20% | |
| 15 | 11% | 14% | |
| 16 | 4% | 4% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 5% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 18% | 94% | |
| 10 | 42% | 77% | Median |
| 11 | 15% | 34% | |
| 12 | 12% | 19% | |
| 13 | 2% | 7% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 5% | Last Result |
| 15 | 5% | 5% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 9 | 27% | 96% | Last Result |
| 10 | 15% | 69% | |
| 11 | 20% | 53% | Median |
| 12 | 4% | 34% | |
| 13 | 29% | 30% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 7 | 7% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 18% | 93% | |
| 9 | 21% | 75% | |
| 10 | 14% | 53% | Median |
| 11 | 33% | 40% | |
| 12 | 6% | 7% | |
| 13 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 23% | 98% | Last Result |
| 6 | 19% | 75% | |
| 7 | 46% | 56% | Median |
| 8 | 6% | 10% | |
| 9 | 3% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 30% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 12% | 70% | |
| 6 | 27% | 58% | Median |
| 7 | 11% | 31% | |
| 8 | 13% | 19% | |
| 9 | 5% | 7% | |
| 10 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 18% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 17% | 81% | Last Result |
| 6 | 45% | 64% | Median |
| 7 | 16% | 19% | |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9% | 100% | |
| 2 | 57% | 91% | Median |
| 3 | 28% | 33% | Last Result |
| 4 | 5% | 5% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 55% | 94% | Median |
| 3 | 30% | 38% | Last Result |
| 4 | 4% | 8% | |
| 5 | 4% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 81 | 96% | 78–83 | 77–85 | 75–88 | 74–88 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 79 | 97% | 77–84 | 76–84 | 75–84 | 73–85 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 77 | 82% | 74–81 | 74–82 | 73–82 | 70–82 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 76 | 66% | 71–79 | 70–80 | 70–81 | 68–81 |
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 80 | 71 | 4% | 66–73 | 66–75 | 65–76 | 64–77 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 66 | 0% | 65–73 | 64–74 | 64–74 | 61–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 65 | 0% | 61–68 | 61–70 | 59–72 | 58–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 64 | 0% | 62–68 | 61–70 | 60–70 | 58–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 61 | 0% | 59–66 | 58–67 | 58–67 | 55–69 |
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 61 | 0% | 57–63 | 56–64 | 55–65 | 54–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 58 | 0% | 56–62 | 54–64 | 53–65 | 52–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 59 | 0% | 56–61 | 55–63 | 53–64 | 51–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 57 | 0% | 53–59 | 51–60 | 51–61 | 48–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 59 | 0% | 54–60 | 52–61 | 51–61 | 49–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 56 | 0% | 49–57 | 49–58 | 47–59 | 47–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 46 | 0% | 44–50 | 42–51 | 42–52 | 39–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 43 | 0% | 38–44 | 38–45 | 37–46 | 35–47 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 39 | 0% | 35–41 | 34–41 | 34–42 | 33–43 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 33 | 0% | 29–35 | 28–35 | 27–35 | 26–37 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 27 | 0% | 25–31 | 24–31 | 23–32 | 23–32 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 26 | 0% | 23–28 | 22–28 | 22–29 | 21–30 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0% | 100% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 3% | 98.5% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 96% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 95% | |
| 78 | 15% | 93% | |
| 79 | 7% | 78% | |
| 80 | 3% | 72% | |
| 81 | 34% | 69% | Median |
| 82 | 16% | 35% | |
| 83 | 9% | 19% | |
| 84 | 2% | 10% | |
| 85 | 4% | 8% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 88 | 4% | 4% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 74 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 76 | 4% | 97% | Majority |
| 77 | 13% | 94% | Last Result |
| 78 | 9% | 81% | Median |
| 79 | 31% | 72% | |
| 80 | 4% | 41% | |
| 81 | 9% | 37% | |
| 82 | 11% | 27% | |
| 83 | 5% | 16% | |
| 84 | 10% | 11% | |
| 85 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 86 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 99.1% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 73 | 2% | 98% | |
| 74 | 9% | 96% | Last Result |
| 75 | 6% | 88% | |
| 76 | 13% | 82% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 33% | 69% | |
| 78 | 4% | 36% | |
| 79 | 7% | 32% | |
| 80 | 13% | 25% | |
| 81 | 4% | 12% | |
| 82 | 8% | 8% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 70 | 7% | 98% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 91% | |
| 72 | 2% | 89% | |
| 73 | 3% | 87% | |
| 74 | 12% | 84% | |
| 75 | 6% | 72% | |
| 76 | 17% | 66% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 7% | 48% | |
| 78 | 30% | 41% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 11% | |
| 80 | 5% | 9% | |
| 81 | 3% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 7% | 97% | |
| 67 | 6% | 89% | |
| 68 | 12% | 83% | |
| 69 | 3% | 71% | |
| 70 | 16% | 68% | |
| 71 | 5% | 52% | Median |
| 72 | 8% | 47% | |
| 73 | 33% | 39% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 7% | |
| 75 | 3% | 6% | |
| 76 | 2% | 4% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 98.9% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 5% | 94% | |
| 66 | 41% | 89% | Median |
| 67 | 14% | 48% | |
| 68 | 4% | 34% | |
| 69 | 4% | 31% | |
| 70 | 7% | 27% | |
| 71 | 3% | 19% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 16% | Last Result |
| 73 | 7% | 14% | |
| 74 | 7% | 7% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 97% | |
| 61 | 9% | 96% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 63 | 2% | 87% | |
| 64 | 9% | 85% | |
| 65 | 48% | 76% | Median |
| 66 | 6% | 28% | |
| 67 | 7% | 22% | |
| 68 | 5% | 15% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 10% | |
| 70 | 5% | 9% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 72 | 3% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 5% | 96% | Last Result |
| 62 | 9% | 91% | |
| 63 | 30% | 82% | |
| 64 | 14% | 52% | Median |
| 65 | 9% | 38% | |
| 66 | 7% | 29% | |
| 67 | 7% | 22% | |
| 68 | 7% | 15% | |
| 69 | 2% | 8% | |
| 70 | 4% | 5% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 72 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 58 | 3% | 98% | Last Result |
| 59 | 6% | 95% | |
| 60 | 5% | 89% | |
| 61 | 47% | 84% | |
| 62 | 3% | 38% | Median |
| 63 | 11% | 34% | |
| 64 | 2% | 23% | |
| 65 | 4% | 21% | |
| 66 | 11% | 17% | |
| 67 | 5% | 6% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 69 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 55 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 57 | 23% | 94% | |
| 58 | 10% | 71% | |
| 59 | 2% | 62% | |
| 60 | 8% | 59% | |
| 61 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 62 | 7% | 44% | |
| 63 | 30% | 37% | |
| 64 | 4% | 6% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 66 | 1.4% | 2% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 2% | 96% | |
| 55 | 2% | 94% | |
| 56 | 8% | 92% | |
| 57 | 4% | 84% | |
| 58 | 43% | 80% | Median |
| 59 | 2% | 37% | |
| 60 | 17% | 35% | |
| 61 | 6% | 18% | |
| 62 | 3% | 12% | |
| 63 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 64 | 4% | 8% | |
| 65 | 2% | 4% | |
| 66 | 0% | 2% | |
| 67 | 2% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 2% | 98% | |
| 54 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 55 | 4% | 95% | |
| 56 | 7% | 91% | |
| 57 | 13% | 84% | Last Result |
| 58 | 7% | 71% | Median |
| 59 | 40% | 64% | |
| 60 | 13% | 24% | |
| 61 | 4% | 11% | |
| 62 | 1.3% | 7% | |
| 63 | 2% | 6% | |
| 64 | 3% | 4% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 51 | 3% | 98% | |
| 52 | 2% | 95% | |
| 53 | 5% | 93% | |
| 54 | 7% | 88% | Last Result |
| 55 | 14% | 81% | |
| 56 | 9% | 67% | Median |
| 57 | 39% | 57% | |
| 58 | 7% | 18% | |
| 59 | 2% | 11% | |
| 60 | 5% | 9% | |
| 61 | 3% | 4% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 51 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 52 | 3% | 97% | |
| 53 | 4% | 95% | |
| 54 | 9% | 91% | |
| 55 | 8% | 82% | |
| 56 | 3% | 74% | |
| 57 | 14% | 70% | Median |
| 58 | 4% | 56% | |
| 59 | 41% | 52% | |
| 60 | 5% | 11% | |
| 61 | 5% | 7% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 49 | 7% | 97% | |
| 50 | 3% | 90% | |
| 51 | 2% | 87% | |
| 52 | 3% | 85% | |
| 53 | 19% | 82% | |
| 54 | 7% | 64% | Median |
| 55 | 6% | 57% | |
| 56 | 35% | 51% | |
| 57 | 7% | 15% | |
| 58 | 4% | 8% | |
| 59 | 3% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 41 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 42 | 4% | 98% | |
| 43 | 3% | 93% | |
| 44 | 5% | 90% | |
| 45 | 10% | 85% | |
| 46 | 46% | 75% | Median |
| 47 | 2% | 29% | |
| 48 | 4% | 27% | |
| 49 | 2% | 24% | |
| 50 | 17% | 22% | |
| 51 | 2% | 6% | |
| 52 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 53 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 35 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 0.7% | 98.6% | |
| 37 | 2% | 98% | |
| 38 | 8% | 96% | |
| 39 | 6% | 88% | |
| 40 | 4% | 82% | |
| 41 | 10% | 78% | |
| 42 | 5% | 67% | Last Result, Median |
| 43 | 23% | 62% | |
| 44 | 34% | 40% | |
| 45 | 2% | 6% | |
| 46 | 3% | 4% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 5% | 98% | |
| 35 | 15% | 93% | |
| 36 | 9% | 78% | |
| 37 | 11% | 70% | |
| 38 | 4% | 59% | Median |
| 39 | 10% | 54% | |
| 40 | 33% | 44% | |
| 41 | 7% | 12% | |
| 42 | 3% | 4% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 26 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 2% | 98% | |
| 28 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 29 | 6% | 95% | |
| 30 | 19% | 89% | |
| 31 | 9% | 69% | |
| 32 | 10% | 60% | |
| 33 | 10% | 50% | Last Result, Median |
| 34 | 5% | 41% | |
| 35 | 33% | 35% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 3% | 97% | |
| 25 | 4% | 94% | |
| 26 | 22% | 90% | |
| 27 | 38% | 67% | Median |
| 28 | 9% | 29% | |
| 29 | 3% | 20% | |
| 30 | 4% | 17% | |
| 31 | 10% | 14% | |
| 32 | 3% | 3% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 22 | 6% | 98% | |
| 23 | 2% | 92% | |
| 24 | 12% | 89% | |
| 25 | 24% | 77% | |
| 26 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 27 | 14% | 47% | |
| 28 | 29% | 32% | Last Result |
| 29 | 2% | 3% | |
| 30 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 26–29 October 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1013
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.41%