Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 5–11 November 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 16.0% | 15.2–16.9% | 14.9–17.1% | 14.7–17.4% | 14.3–17.8% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.9–13.5% | 11.7–13.7% | 11.5–13.9% | 11.2–14.3% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.0–11.4% | 9.8–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 10.0% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.5% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 23 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 23–26 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 19 | 18–19 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 17–22 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 14–18 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–17 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 15 | 14–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 9 | 9–10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–11 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 |
| DENK | 3 | 6 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 23 | 56% | 99.7% | Median |
| 24 | 9% | 44% | |
| 25 | 23% | 35% | |
| 26 | 11% | 12% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 18 | 8% | 94% | |
| 19 | 76% | 86% | Median |
| 20 | 6% | 9% | Last Result |
| 21 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 22 | 2% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.8% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 24% | 99.2% | |
| 16 | 16% | 76% | |
| 17 | 58% | 59% | Median |
| 18 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 21% | 98% | |
| 15 | 20% | 77% | |
| 16 | 1.1% | 57% | |
| 17 | 56% | 56% | Median |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 21% | 91% | Last Result |
| 15 | 69% | 70% | Median |
| 16 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 10% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 2% | 90% | |
| 13 | 25% | 87% | |
| 14 | 62% | 63% | Median |
| 15 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 10 | 10% | 99.2% | |
| 11 | 7% | 89% | |
| 12 | 50% | 82% | Median |
| 13 | 32% | 32% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 71% | 98.9% | Median |
| 10 | 19% | 28% | |
| 11 | 9% | 9% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 51% | 99.7% | Median |
| 8 | 40% | 48% | |
| 9 | 8% | 8% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 6 | 60% | 99.4% | Median |
| 7 | 15% | 39% | |
| 8 | 24% | 24% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 71% | 99.9% | Median |
| 5 | 27% | 29% | Last Result |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 82% | 99.8% | Last Result, Median |
| 5 | 17% | 17% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 17% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 81% | 82% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 80 | 73 | 0% | 70–74 | 70–74 | 68–74 | 67–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 71 | 0% | 70–73 | 68–73 | 68–73 | 68–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 65 | 0% | 65–68 | 65–71 | 65–71 | 63–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 74 | 68 | 0% | 67–70 | 65–70 | 65–70 | 65–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 65 | 0% | 65–67 | 64–69 | 63–69 | 62–69 |
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 59 | 0% | 55–59 | 55–60 | 55–60 | 53–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 56 | 0% | 54–58 | 54–58 | 54–58 | 53–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 54 | 0% | 54–57 | 51–58 | 51–58 | 51–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 53 | 0% | 52–55 | 51–56 | 51–56 | 50–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 52 | 0% | 50–54 | 50–54 | 50–54 | 48–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 52 | 0% | 50–52 | 50–54 | 49–54 | 48–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 48 | 0% | 48–52 | 48–54 | 48–54 | 48–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 49 | 0% | 48–51 | 48–51 | 48–51 | 47–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 49 | 0% | 47–51 | 47–51 | 47–51 | 45–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 44 | 0% | 44–47 | 44–49 | 43–49 | 43–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 40 | 0% | 39–41 | 39–41 | 39–41 | 38–43 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 35 | 0% | 34–38 | 33–39 | 33–39 | 33–39 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 47 | 38 | 0% | 36–38 | 34–38 | 34–38 | 33–38 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 33 | 33 | 0% | 31–33 | 30–33 | 29–33 | 27–33 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 28 | 28 | 0% | 26–29 | 25–29 | 25–29 | 23–29 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 21 | 0% | 21–23 | 20–23 | 19–23 | 19–23 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 70 | 25% | 97% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 72% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 71% | |
| 73 | 21% | 70% | |
| 74 | 49% | 49% | Median |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 92% | |
| 70 | 12% | 92% | |
| 71 | 57% | 80% | Median |
| 72 | 1.0% | 23% | |
| 73 | 20% | 22% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 58% | 98% | Median |
| 66 | 20% | 40% | |
| 67 | 5% | 20% | |
| 68 | 6% | 14% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 71 | 7% | 7% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 92% | |
| 67 | 4% | 92% | |
| 68 | 58% | 89% | Median |
| 69 | 8% | 30% | |
| 70 | 20% | 22% | |
| 71 | 2% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 2% | 96% | |
| 65 | 68% | 94% | Median |
| 66 | 7% | 26% | |
| 67 | 10% | 18% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 8% | |
| 69 | 7% | 7% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 55 | 21% | 98% | |
| 56 | 6% | 78% | |
| 57 | 1.3% | 72% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 70% | |
| 59 | 62% | 69% | Median |
| 60 | 8% | 8% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 10% | 98.9% | |
| 55 | 3% | 89% | |
| 56 | 50% | 86% | Median |
| 57 | 11% | 36% | |
| 58 | 25% | 25% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 7% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 93% | |
| 54 | 57% | 92% | Median |
| 55 | 1.4% | 35% | |
| 56 | 2% | 34% | |
| 57 | 24% | 32% | |
| 58 | 8% | 8% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 7% | 99.0% | |
| 52 | 6% | 92% | |
| 53 | 51% | 86% | Median |
| 54 | 2% | 35% | |
| 55 | 27% | 33% | |
| 56 | 6% | 6% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 12% | 98.9% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 86% | |
| 52 | 58% | 85% | Median |
| 53 | 8% | 27% | |
| 54 | 19% | 19% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 50 | 9% | 96% | |
| 51 | 2% | 87% | |
| 52 | 77% | 85% | Median |
| 53 | 0.5% | 8% | |
| 54 | 7% | 8% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 48 | 52% | 99.7% | Median |
| 49 | 8% | 48% | |
| 50 | 0.6% | 39% | |
| 51 | 21% | 39% | |
| 52 | 10% | 18% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 54 | 8% | 8% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 23% | 98.9% | |
| 49 | 56% | 76% | Median |
| 50 | 1.1% | 20% | |
| 51 | 18% | 19% | |
| 52 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 9% | 98.9% | |
| 48 | 4% | 90% | |
| 49 | 52% | 85% | Median |
| 50 | 9% | 34% | |
| 51 | 25% | 25% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 57% | 97% | Median |
| 45 | 1.1% | 40% | |
| 46 | 2% | 39% | |
| 47 | 29% | 37% | |
| 48 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 49 | 7% | 7% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 29% | 98% | |
| 40 | 57% | 69% | Median |
| 41 | 11% | 12% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 8% | 100% | |
| 34 | 3% | 92% | |
| 35 | 50% | 90% | Median |
| 36 | 3% | 40% | |
| 37 | 9% | 36% | |
| 38 | 20% | 27% | |
| 39 | 7% | 7% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 34 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 35 | 1.1% | 95% | |
| 36 | 23% | 93% | |
| 37 | 2% | 70% | |
| 38 | 68% | 69% | Median |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 29 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 30 | 2% | 96% | |
| 31 | 24% | 94% | |
| 32 | 8% | 70% | |
| 33 | 63% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 25 | 4% | 98% | |
| 26 | 4% | 94% | |
| 27 | 27% | 89% | |
| 28 | 13% | 62% | Last Result |
| 29 | 49% | 49% | Median |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 21 | 60% | 95% | Median |
| 22 | 21% | 34% | |
| 23 | 13% | 13% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 5–11 November 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.14%