Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 23–26 November 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 18.7% 17.2–20.3% 16.8–20.8% 16.4–21.2% 15.7–22.0%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.9–15.4% 11.6–15.8% 11.0–16.5%
GroenLinks 9.1% 10.8% 9.6–12.1% 9.3–12.5% 9.0–12.8% 8.5–13.5%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 9.6% 8.5–10.9% 8.2–11.3% 8.0–11.6% 7.5–12.2%
Democraten 66 12.2% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.7% 6.6–10.0% 6.2–10.6%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 6.6% 5.7–7.7% 5.5–8.0% 5.2–8.3% 4.8–8.9%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 6.4% 5.5–7.5% 5.3–7.8% 5.1–8.1% 4.7–8.6%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 4.7% 3.9–5.6% 3.7–5.9% 3.5–6.1% 3.2–6.6%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 4.3% 3.6–5.2% 3.4–5.5% 3.2–5.7% 2.9–6.2%
50Plus 3.1% 3.6% 3.0–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.4%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.5% 2.0–3.3% 1.8–3.5% 1.7–3.7% 1.5–4.1%
DENK 2.1% 2.1% 1.7–2.9% 1.5–3.0% 1.4–3.2% 1.2–3.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 30 26–33 25–33 24–33 24–34
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 21 19–23 18–23 17–23 16–24
GroenLinks 14 16 14–18 14–19 14–19 12–20
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 15 12–16 12–17 12–17 11–18
Democraten 66 19 11 9–15 9–15 9–16 9–16
Socialistische Partij 14 12 11–14 10–14 10–15 9–16
Forum voor Democratie 2 9 9–11 9–12 8–12 7–13
Partij van de Arbeid 9 9 8–11 8–12 8–12 7–13
Partij voor de Dieren 5 7 6–9 6–9 5–9 5–10
ChristenUnie 5 6 5–8 5–8 5–9 4–9
50Plus 4 6 4–6 4–7 3–7 3–8
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 4 3–5 2–5 2–6 2–6
DENK 3 3 2–4 2–4 2–4 1–5

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.1% 100%  
23 0.2% 99.9%  
24 5% 99.7%  
25 5% 95%  
26 5% 90%  
27 3% 86%  
28 4% 83%  
29 16% 78%  
30 43% 62% Median
31 5% 19%  
32 0.9% 13%  
33 11% 13% Last Result
34 2% 2%  
35 0.1% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.5% 100%  
17 4% 99.5%  
18 2% 95%  
19 12% 93%  
20 18% 82% Last Result
21 29% 64% Median
22 22% 35%  
23 12% 13%  
24 1.0% 2%  
25 0.2% 0.5%  
26 0.3% 0.3%  
27 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.6% 100%  
13 0.5% 99.3%  
14 14% 98.8% Last Result
15 9% 85%  
16 41% 76% Median
17 17% 35%  
18 12% 18%  
19 4% 5%  
20 1.2% 2%  
21 0.4% 0.5%  
22 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.5% 100%  
11 0.6% 99.5%  
12 11% 98.9%  
13 6% 88%  
14 25% 82%  
15 37% 56% Median
16 13% 19%  
17 4% 6%  
18 2% 2%  
19 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
20 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 26% 99.9%  
10 15% 74%  
11 12% 59% Median
12 12% 47%  
13 16% 35%  
14 3% 19%  
15 12% 16%  
16 4% 4%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 0.5% 99.9%  
10 8% 99.4%  
11 6% 91%  
12 35% 85% Median
13 35% 50%  
14 12% 15% Last Result
15 3% 4%  
16 1.1% 1.2%  
17 0% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0.2% 100%  
7 1.0% 99.8%  
8 3% 98.8%  
9 59% 96% Median
10 23% 37%  
11 8% 14%  
12 4% 6%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0.1% 0.3%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 2% 99.9%  
8 46% 98%  
9 18% 52% Last Result, Median
10 22% 34%  
11 4% 12%  
12 6% 8%  
13 1.2% 1.2%  
14 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.2% 100%  
5 2% 99.8% Last Result
6 23% 97%  
7 55% 74% Median
8 4% 19%  
9 14% 15%  
10 0.6% 0.7%  
11 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 2% 100%  
5 16% 98% Last Result
6 39% 82% Median
7 5% 43%  
8 35% 39%  
9 3% 4%  
10 0.2% 0.2%  
11 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 3% 100%  
4 22% 97% Last Result
5 15% 75%  
6 54% 60% Median
7 5% 5%  
8 0.4% 0.5%  
9 0.1% 0.2%  
10 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.2% 100%  
2 6% 99.8%  
3 21% 93% Last Result
4 60% 73% Median
5 9% 12%  
6 3% 4%  
7 0.2% 0.2%  
8 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.6% 100%  
2 32% 99.4%  
3 52% 68% Last Result, Median
4 14% 16%  
5 2% 2%  
6 0.2% 0.2%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 79 80% 75–82 73–83 72–85 71–85
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 90 78 90% 75–81 73–81 73–82 72–84
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 75 21% 71–78 70–78 69–80 68–80
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 80 69 6% 68–75 68–76 67–77 65–77
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 85 70 2% 68–75 68–75 67–75 66–78
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 72 65 0% 61–69 60–69 59–69 58–69
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 64 0% 59–65 58–67 57–67 55–68
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 76 62 0% 59–66 56–66 56–66 56–68
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 66 57 0% 56–61 55–63 55–63 53–67
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 58 0% 53–61 53–62 52–63 50–63
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 60 0% 55–61 55–62 54–62 52–64
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 71 54 0% 51–60 51–60 51–60 49–61
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 54 0% 50–56 49–58 49–58 47–59
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 61 53 0% 51–56 50–56 48–57 47–58
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 61 49 0% 47–55 47–55 46–55 45–58
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 45 0% 41–47 39–47 39–47 38–49
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 38 0% 36–42 35–42 34–42 33–44
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 47 35 0% 32–39 32–40 32–40 30–43
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 33 30 0% 28–32 28–33 27–34 24–35
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 38 27 0% 23–29 22–31 22–31 21–32
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 28 23 0% 22–27 22–27 21–28 19–28

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.2% 100%  
70 0.1% 99.8%  
71 0.6% 99.7%  
72 3% 99.1%  
73 1.1% 96%  
74 4% 95%  
75 11% 91%  
76 15% 80% Majority
77 3% 66% Last Result
78 11% 62%  
79 28% 51% Median
80 2% 23%  
81 4% 21%  
82 11% 16%  
83 1.5% 5%  
84 0.1% 4%  
85 4% 4%  
86 0% 0%  

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.2% 99.9%  
72 1.2% 99.7%  
73 5% 98.5%  
74 2% 94%  
75 2% 92%  
76 13% 90% Majority
77 7% 76%  
78 30% 70% Median
79 1.5% 40%  
80 13% 38%  
81 21% 25%  
82 3% 4%  
83 0.3% 1.0%  
84 0.5% 0.7%  
85 0% 0.1%  
86 0.1% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 0.6% 99.6%  
69 4% 99.0%  
70 3% 95%  
71 9% 92%  
72 4% 84%  
73 15% 80%  
74 12% 64% Last Result
75 31% 52% Median
76 2% 21% Majority
77 2% 19%  
78 12% 16%  
79 0.3% 4%  
80 4% 4%  
81 0% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 0% 99.9%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.7% 99.7%  
66 1.2% 99.1%  
67 1.0% 98%  
68 20% 97%  
69 37% 77% Median
70 2% 40%  
71 13% 38%  
72 5% 25%  
73 1.4% 20%  
74 5% 19%  
75 8% 14%  
76 1.1% 6% Majority
77 5% 5%  
78 0.1% 0.4%  
79 0.2% 0.3%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100%  
64 0.2% 99.9%  
65 0.1% 99.8%  
66 2% 99.6%  
67 2% 98%  
68 7% 96%  
69 16% 89%  
70 27% 73%  
71 10% 46% Median
72 3% 36%  
73 11% 33%  
74 5% 23%  
75 16% 18%  
76 0.7% 2% Majority
77 0.6% 1.2%  
78 0.2% 0.6%  
79 0.2% 0.4%  
80 0.2% 0.2%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.2% 99.8%  
58 1.2% 99.6%  
59 1.2% 98%  
60 3% 97%  
61 9% 94%  
62 4% 84%  
63 3% 80%  
64 25% 77%  
65 6% 52%  
66 29% 46% Median
67 2% 17%  
68 0.2% 15%  
69 15% 15%  
70 0.1% 0.3%  
71 0% 0.2%  
72 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
73 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.8% 99.9%  
56 1.2% 99.2%  
57 0.6% 98%  
58 3% 97%  
59 7% 94%  
60 7% 87%  
61 9% 79% Last Result
62 12% 71%  
63 7% 59%  
64 40% 52% Median
65 3% 12%  
66 1.0% 9%  
67 7% 8%  
68 0.3% 0.8%  
69 0.3% 0.5%  
70 0.2% 0.2%  
71 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 5% 99.8%  
57 0.7% 94%  
58 3% 94%  
59 14% 91%  
60 3% 76%  
61 7% 74%  
62 27% 66% Median
63 7% 39%  
64 6% 32%  
65 10% 26%  
66 15% 16%  
67 0.5% 1.0%  
68 0.4% 0.5%  
69 0.1% 0.2%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.1% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.9%  
52 0.1% 99.8%  
53 0.3% 99.7%  
54 2% 99.5%  
55 4% 98%  
56 39% 94%  
57 12% 55% Median
58 6% 44%  
59 14% 37%  
60 4% 24%  
61 12% 20%  
62 2% 8%  
63 4% 6%  
64 0.3% 2%  
65 0.4% 2%  
66 0.2% 2% Last Result
67 1.5% 2%  
68 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
49 0.1% 100%  
50 0.8% 99.9%  
51 0.9% 99.1%  
52 1.4% 98%  
53 8% 97%  
54 2% 89%  
55 13% 87%  
56 14% 74%  
57 6% 60% Last Result
58 27% 53% Median
59 3% 26%  
60 13% 23%  
61 3% 10%  
62 3% 8%  
63 4% 4%  
64 0% 0.3%  
65 0.3% 0.3%  
66 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.2% 100%  
52 0.7% 99.7%  
53 1.3% 99.1%  
54 0.6% 98%  
55 9% 97%  
56 4% 88%  
57 10% 84%  
58 5% 74% Last Result
59 16% 69%  
60 40% 53% Median
61 5% 12%  
62 6% 8%  
63 1.2% 2%  
64 0.4% 0.7%  
65 0.1% 0.3%  
66 0.1% 0.1%  
67 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.5% 99.9%  
50 1.2% 99.4%  
51 14% 98%  
52 1.3% 84%  
53 6% 83%  
54 29% 78%  
55 8% 49%  
56 4% 41% Median
57 4% 37%  
58 7% 32%  
59 10% 26%  
60 15% 16%  
61 0.6% 0.9%  
62 0% 0.3%  
63 0.3% 0.3%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.2% 100%  
47 0.4% 99.7%  
48 2% 99.3%  
49 5% 98%  
50 3% 92%  
51 11% 89%  
52 6% 78%  
53 18% 72%  
54 27% 55% Last Result, Median
55 3% 27%  
56 18% 24%  
57 2% 7%  
58 4% 5%  
59 0.2% 0.5%  
60 0.2% 0.3%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.3% 99.9%  
47 0.7% 99.5%  
48 1.5% 98.8%  
49 2% 97%  
50 2% 95%  
51 18% 93%  
52 12% 75%  
53 33% 63%  
54 5% 30% Median
55 8% 24%  
56 13% 17%  
57 2% 3%  
58 0.8% 1.3%  
59 0.2% 0.4%  
60 0% 0.3%  
61 0% 0.2% Last Result
62 0.2% 0.2%  
63 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.2% 99.9%  
45 1.2% 99.7%  
46 2% 98%  
47 30% 96%  
48 8% 66%  
49 10% 59%  
50 12% 49% Median
51 4% 37%  
52 4% 33%  
53 13% 29%  
54 4% 16%  
55 11% 13%  
56 0.2% 2%  
57 0.8% 1.4%  
58 0.4% 0.7%  
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
36 0.2% 100%  
37 0.2% 99.8%  
38 1.1% 99.6%  
39 5% 98%  
40 1.4% 93%  
41 15% 92%  
42 4% 77%  
43 6% 73%  
44 17% 67%  
45 28% 50% Median
46 5% 22%  
47 16% 17%  
48 0.4% 0.9%  
49 0.2% 0.5%  
50 0.3% 0.3%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.1% 99.9%  
33 0.5% 99.7%  
34 2% 99.2%  
35 6% 97%  
36 7% 91%  
37 4% 85%  
38 42% 81%  
39 15% 38% Median
40 8% 23%  
41 1.2% 16%  
42 12% 14% Last Result
43 1.1% 2%  
44 0.6% 0.9%  
45 0.1% 0.3%  
46 0.2% 0.2%  
47 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.5% 100%  
31 1.3% 99.5%  
32 36% 98%  
33 0.6% 62%  
34 1.4% 61%  
35 10% 60% Median
36 16% 50%  
37 15% 34%  
38 5% 19%  
39 7% 13%  
40 4% 7%  
41 0.4% 2%  
42 0.2% 2%  
43 2% 2%  
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.6% 100%  
25 0.5% 99.4%  
26 0.5% 98.8%  
27 3% 98%  
28 12% 95%  
29 19% 83%  
30 15% 64% Median
31 32% 50%  
32 9% 18%  
33 4% 9% Last Result
34 3% 5%  
35 1.1% 1.4%  
36 0.1% 0.3%  
37 0.2% 0.2%  
38 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.5% 100%  
22 9% 99.5%  
23 1.2% 91%  
24 30% 89%  
25 4% 59%  
26 6% 56% Median
27 26% 50%  
28 4% 24%  
29 13% 20%  
30 0.9% 6%  
31 4% 6%  
32 2% 2%  
33 0% 0.1%  
34 0.1% 0.1%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
18 0.4% 100%  
19 0.3% 99.6%  
20 1.3% 99.4%  
21 3% 98%  
22 21% 95%  
23 41% 75%  
24 13% 33% Median
25 1.2% 21%  
26 8% 19%  
27 7% 12%  
28 4% 4% Last Result
29 0.1% 0.3%  
30 0.1% 0.2%  
31 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations