Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 23–26 November 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
18.7% |
17.2–20.3% |
16.8–20.8% |
16.4–21.2% |
15.7–22.0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
13.5% |
12.2–15.0% |
11.9–15.4% |
11.6–15.8% |
11.0–16.5% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
10.8% |
9.6–12.1% |
9.3–12.5% |
9.0–12.8% |
8.5–13.5% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
9.6% |
8.5–10.9% |
8.2–11.3% |
8.0–11.6% |
7.5–12.2% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
8.2% |
7.2–9.4% |
6.9–9.7% |
6.6–10.0% |
6.2–10.6% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
8.2% |
7.2–9.4% |
6.9–9.7% |
6.6–10.0% |
6.2–10.6% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
6.6% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.5–8.0% |
5.2–8.3% |
4.8–8.9% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.4% |
5.5–7.5% |
5.3–7.8% |
5.1–8.1% |
4.7–8.6% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.7% |
3.9–5.6% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.5–6.1% |
3.2–6.6% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.3% |
3.6–5.2% |
3.4–5.5% |
3.2–5.7% |
2.9–6.2% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
3.6% |
3.0–4.5% |
2.8–4.7% |
2.6–4.9% |
2.3–5.4% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.8–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
DENK |
2.1% |
2.1% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.2% |
1.2–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
5% |
99.7% |
|
25 |
5% |
95% |
|
26 |
5% |
90% |
|
27 |
3% |
86% |
|
28 |
4% |
83% |
|
29 |
16% |
78% |
|
30 |
43% |
62% |
Median |
31 |
5% |
19% |
|
32 |
0.9% |
13% |
|
33 |
11% |
13% |
Last Result |
34 |
2% |
2% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
17 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
18 |
2% |
95% |
|
19 |
12% |
93% |
|
20 |
18% |
82% |
Last Result |
21 |
29% |
64% |
Median |
22 |
22% |
35% |
|
23 |
12% |
13% |
|
24 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
26 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.5% |
99.3% |
|
14 |
14% |
98.8% |
Last Result |
15 |
9% |
85% |
|
16 |
41% |
76% |
Median |
17 |
17% |
35% |
|
18 |
12% |
18% |
|
19 |
4% |
5% |
|
20 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
21 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
12 |
11% |
98.9% |
|
13 |
6% |
88% |
|
14 |
25% |
82% |
|
15 |
37% |
56% |
Median |
16 |
13% |
19% |
|
17 |
4% |
6% |
|
18 |
2% |
2% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
26% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
15% |
74% |
|
11 |
12% |
59% |
Median |
12 |
12% |
47% |
|
13 |
16% |
35% |
|
14 |
3% |
19% |
|
15 |
12% |
16% |
|
16 |
4% |
4% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
8% |
99.4% |
|
11 |
6% |
91% |
|
12 |
35% |
85% |
Median |
13 |
35% |
50% |
|
14 |
12% |
15% |
Last Result |
15 |
3% |
4% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
7 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
8 |
3% |
98.8% |
|
9 |
59% |
96% |
Median |
10 |
23% |
37% |
|
11 |
8% |
14% |
|
12 |
4% |
6% |
|
13 |
2% |
2% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
46% |
98% |
|
9 |
18% |
52% |
Last Result, Median |
10 |
22% |
34% |
|
11 |
4% |
12% |
|
12 |
6% |
8% |
|
13 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
5 |
2% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
6 |
23% |
97% |
|
7 |
55% |
74% |
Median |
8 |
4% |
19% |
|
9 |
14% |
15% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
16% |
98% |
Last Result |
6 |
39% |
82% |
Median |
7 |
5% |
43% |
|
8 |
35% |
39% |
|
9 |
3% |
4% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
3% |
100% |
|
4 |
22% |
97% |
Last Result |
5 |
15% |
75% |
|
6 |
54% |
60% |
Median |
7 |
5% |
5% |
|
8 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
2 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
3 |
21% |
93% |
Last Result |
4 |
60% |
73% |
Median |
5 |
9% |
12% |
|
6 |
3% |
4% |
|
7 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
2 |
32% |
99.4% |
|
3 |
52% |
68% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
14% |
16% |
|
5 |
2% |
2% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
79 |
80% |
75–82 |
73–83 |
72–85 |
71–85 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
78 |
90% |
75–81 |
73–81 |
73–82 |
72–84 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
75 |
21% |
71–78 |
70–78 |
69–80 |
68–80 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
80 |
69 |
6% |
68–75 |
68–76 |
67–77 |
65–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
70 |
2% |
68–75 |
68–75 |
67–75 |
66–78 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
65 |
0% |
61–69 |
60–69 |
59–69 |
58–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
64 |
0% |
59–65 |
58–67 |
57–67 |
55–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
62 |
0% |
59–66 |
56–66 |
56–66 |
56–68 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
57 |
0% |
56–61 |
55–63 |
55–63 |
53–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
58 |
0% |
53–61 |
53–62 |
52–63 |
50–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
60 |
0% |
55–61 |
55–62 |
54–62 |
52–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
54 |
0% |
51–60 |
51–60 |
51–60 |
49–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
54 |
0% |
50–56 |
49–58 |
49–58 |
47–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
53 |
0% |
51–56 |
50–56 |
48–57 |
47–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
49 |
0% |
47–55 |
47–55 |
46–55 |
45–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
45 |
0% |
41–47 |
39–47 |
39–47 |
38–49 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
38 |
0% |
36–42 |
35–42 |
34–42 |
33–44 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
35 |
0% |
32–39 |
32–40 |
32–40 |
30–43 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
30 |
0% |
28–32 |
28–33 |
27–34 |
24–35 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
27 |
0% |
23–29 |
22–31 |
22–31 |
21–32 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
23 |
0% |
22–27 |
22–27 |
21–28 |
19–28 |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
73 |
1.1% |
96% |
|
74 |
4% |
95% |
|
75 |
11% |
91% |
|
76 |
15% |
80% |
Majority |
77 |
3% |
66% |
Last Result |
78 |
11% |
62% |
|
79 |
28% |
51% |
Median |
80 |
2% |
23% |
|
81 |
4% |
21% |
|
82 |
11% |
16% |
|
83 |
1.5% |
5% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
4% |
|
85 |
4% |
4% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
73 |
5% |
98.5% |
|
74 |
2% |
94% |
|
75 |
2% |
92% |
|
76 |
13% |
90% |
Majority |
77 |
7% |
76% |
|
78 |
30% |
70% |
Median |
79 |
1.5% |
40% |
|
80 |
13% |
38% |
|
81 |
21% |
25% |
|
82 |
3% |
4% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
84 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
99.6% |
|
69 |
4% |
99.0% |
|
70 |
3% |
95% |
|
71 |
9% |
92% |
|
72 |
4% |
84% |
|
73 |
15% |
80% |
|
74 |
12% |
64% |
Last Result |
75 |
31% |
52% |
Median |
76 |
2% |
21% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
19% |
|
78 |
12% |
16% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
4% |
|
80 |
4% |
4% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
1.2% |
99.1% |
|
67 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
68 |
20% |
97% |
|
69 |
37% |
77% |
Median |
70 |
2% |
40% |
|
71 |
13% |
38% |
|
72 |
5% |
25% |
|
73 |
1.4% |
20% |
|
74 |
5% |
19% |
|
75 |
8% |
14% |
|
76 |
1.1% |
6% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
5% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
66 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
2% |
98% |
|
68 |
7% |
96% |
|
69 |
16% |
89% |
|
70 |
27% |
73% |
|
71 |
10% |
46% |
Median |
72 |
3% |
36% |
|
73 |
11% |
33% |
|
74 |
5% |
23% |
|
75 |
16% |
18% |
|
76 |
0.7% |
2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
|
79 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
1.2% |
99.6% |
|
59 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
60 |
3% |
97% |
|
61 |
9% |
94% |
|
62 |
4% |
84% |
|
63 |
3% |
80% |
|
64 |
25% |
77% |
|
65 |
6% |
52% |
|
66 |
29% |
46% |
Median |
67 |
2% |
17% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
15% |
|
69 |
15% |
15% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
71 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
73 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
1.2% |
99.2% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
58 |
3% |
97% |
|
59 |
7% |
94% |
|
60 |
7% |
87% |
|
61 |
9% |
79% |
Last Result |
62 |
12% |
71% |
|
63 |
7% |
59% |
|
64 |
40% |
52% |
Median |
65 |
3% |
12% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
9% |
|
67 |
7% |
8% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
58 |
3% |
94% |
|
59 |
14% |
91% |
|
60 |
3% |
76% |
|
61 |
7% |
74% |
|
62 |
27% |
66% |
Median |
63 |
7% |
39% |
|
64 |
6% |
32% |
|
65 |
10% |
26% |
|
66 |
15% |
16% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
54 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
55 |
4% |
98% |
|
56 |
39% |
94% |
|
57 |
12% |
55% |
Median |
58 |
6% |
44% |
|
59 |
14% |
37% |
|
60 |
4% |
24% |
|
61 |
12% |
20% |
|
62 |
2% |
8% |
|
63 |
4% |
6% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
2% |
Last Result |
67 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.9% |
99.1% |
|
52 |
1.4% |
98% |
|
53 |
8% |
97% |
|
54 |
2% |
89% |
|
55 |
13% |
87% |
|
56 |
14% |
74% |
|
57 |
6% |
60% |
Last Result |
58 |
27% |
53% |
Median |
59 |
3% |
26% |
|
60 |
13% |
23% |
|
61 |
3% |
10% |
|
62 |
3% |
8% |
|
63 |
4% |
4% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.7% |
99.7% |
|
53 |
1.3% |
99.1% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
55 |
9% |
97% |
|
56 |
4% |
88% |
|
57 |
10% |
84% |
|
58 |
5% |
74% |
Last Result |
59 |
16% |
69% |
|
60 |
40% |
53% |
Median |
61 |
5% |
12% |
|
62 |
6% |
8% |
|
63 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
1.2% |
99.4% |
|
51 |
14% |
98% |
|
52 |
1.3% |
84% |
|
53 |
6% |
83% |
|
54 |
29% |
78% |
|
55 |
8% |
49% |
|
56 |
4% |
41% |
Median |
57 |
4% |
37% |
|
58 |
7% |
32% |
|
59 |
10% |
26% |
|
60 |
15% |
16% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
2% |
99.3% |
|
49 |
5% |
98% |
|
50 |
3% |
92% |
|
51 |
11% |
89% |
|
52 |
6% |
78% |
|
53 |
18% |
72% |
|
54 |
27% |
55% |
Last Result, Median |
55 |
3% |
27% |
|
56 |
18% |
24% |
|
57 |
2% |
7% |
|
58 |
4% |
5% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
60 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
48 |
1.5% |
98.8% |
|
49 |
2% |
97% |
|
50 |
2% |
95% |
|
51 |
18% |
93% |
|
52 |
12% |
75% |
|
53 |
33% |
63% |
|
54 |
5% |
30% |
Median |
55 |
8% |
24% |
|
56 |
13% |
17% |
|
57 |
2% |
3% |
|
58 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
60 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
46 |
2% |
98% |
|
47 |
30% |
96% |
|
48 |
8% |
66% |
|
49 |
10% |
59% |
|
50 |
12% |
49% |
Median |
51 |
4% |
37% |
|
52 |
4% |
33% |
|
53 |
13% |
29% |
|
54 |
4% |
16% |
|
55 |
11% |
13% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
38 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
39 |
5% |
98% |
|
40 |
1.4% |
93% |
|
41 |
15% |
92% |
|
42 |
4% |
77% |
|
43 |
6% |
73% |
|
44 |
17% |
67% |
|
45 |
28% |
50% |
Median |
46 |
5% |
22% |
|
47 |
16% |
17% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
34 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
35 |
6% |
97% |
|
36 |
7% |
91% |
|
37 |
4% |
85% |
|
38 |
42% |
81% |
|
39 |
15% |
38% |
Median |
40 |
8% |
23% |
|
41 |
1.2% |
16% |
|
42 |
12% |
14% |
Last Result |
43 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
0.9% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
31 |
1.3% |
99.5% |
|
32 |
36% |
98% |
|
33 |
0.6% |
62% |
|
34 |
1.4% |
61% |
|
35 |
10% |
60% |
Median |
36 |
16% |
50% |
|
37 |
15% |
34% |
|
38 |
5% |
19% |
|
39 |
7% |
13% |
|
40 |
4% |
7% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
43 |
2% |
2% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
26 |
0.5% |
98.8% |
|
27 |
3% |
98% |
|
28 |
12% |
95% |
|
29 |
19% |
83% |
|
30 |
15% |
64% |
Median |
31 |
32% |
50% |
|
32 |
9% |
18% |
|
33 |
4% |
9% |
Last Result |
34 |
3% |
5% |
|
35 |
1.1% |
1.4% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
22 |
9% |
99.5% |
|
23 |
1.2% |
91% |
|
24 |
30% |
89% |
|
25 |
4% |
59% |
|
26 |
6% |
56% |
Median |
27 |
26% |
50% |
|
28 |
4% |
24% |
|
29 |
13% |
20% |
|
30 |
0.9% |
6% |
|
31 |
4% |
6% |
|
32 |
2% |
2% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
20 |
1.3% |
99.4% |
|
21 |
3% |
98% |
|
22 |
21% |
95% |
|
23 |
41% |
75% |
|
24 |
13% |
33% |
Median |
25 |
1.2% |
21% |
|
26 |
8% |
19% |
|
27 |
7% |
12% |
|
28 |
4% |
4% |
Last Result |
29 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 23–26 November 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1028
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.86%