Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 3–9 December 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 14.7% | 13.9–15.5% | 13.6–15.8% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.1–16.4% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.3–12.8% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 10.7% | 10.0–11.4% | 9.8–11.6% | 9.6–11.8% | 9.3–12.2% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 10.0% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.5% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 22 | 21–23 | 21–23 | 21–24 | 20–24 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 18 | 17–18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–20 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 18 | 17–18 | 15–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 15 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–17 | 15–18 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 17 | 15–17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 13–18 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 10 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 10 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 9 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| DENK | 3 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 12% | 98% | |
| 22 | 69% | 86% | Median |
| 23 | 13% | 17% | |
| 24 | 3% | 3% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 10% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 83% | 89% | Median |
| 19 | 5% | 6% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 7% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.2% | 92% | |
| 17 | 10% | 91% | |
| 18 | 79% | 81% | Median |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 70% | 99.8% | Median |
| 16 | 13% | 29% | |
| 17 | 16% | 17% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 15 | 6% | 94% | |
| 16 | 13% | 88% | |
| 17 | 67% | 75% | Median |
| 18 | 8% | 8% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 66% | 100% | Median |
| 11 | 9% | 34% | |
| 12 | 18% | 25% | |
| 13 | 7% | 7% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 71% | 99.9% | Median |
| 11 | 15% | 29% | |
| 12 | 14% | 14% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 16% | 99.9% | |
| 10 | 74% | 84% | Median |
| 11 | 10% | 10% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 7 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 8 | 11% | 94% | |
| 9 | 83% | 83% | Median |
| 10 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 12% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 10% | 88% | |
| 7 | 74% | 77% | Median |
| 8 | 3% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 23% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 70% | 76% | Median |
| 8 | 6% | 6% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 97% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 9% | 100% | |
| 3 | 88% | 91% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 68 | 0% | 68–71 | 68–71 | 68–75 | 67–75 |
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 80 | 72 | 1.1% | 72–74 | 70–74 | 68–74 | 68–76 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 74 | 65 | 0% | 65–68 | 65–68 | 65–71 | 64–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 66 | 0% | 63–66 | 63–69 | 63–69 | 62–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 67 | 0% | 65–68 | 65–68 | 65–68 | 64–71 |
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 62 | 0% | 60–62 | 57–63 | 56–63 | 56–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 54 | 0% | 54–57 | 54–57 | 54–60 | 54–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 51 | 0% | 51–54 | 51–54 | 51–56 | 51–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 50 | 0% | 50–53 | 50–53 | 50–56 | 50–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 50 | 0% | 50–51 | 50–52 | 50–54 | 48–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 47 | 0% | 47–50 | 47–50 | 47–52 | 47–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 49 | 0% | 49 | 48–52 | 47–52 | 45–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 49 | 0% | 46–49 | 46–52 | 46–52 | 45–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 49 | 0% | 47–51 | 47–51 | 47–51 | 47–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 42 | 0% | 42–44 | 42–45 | 42–45 | 41–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 39 | 0% | 37–39 | 37–41 | 36–41 | 34–41 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 47 | 37 | 0% | 36–37 | 35–40 | 34–40 | 34–40 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 33 | 34 | 0% | 33–34 | 32–35 | 32–35 | 31–36 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 32 | 0% | 32–34 | 32–34 | 32–35 | 30–35 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 28 | 27 | 0% | 25–28 | 25–29 | 25–29 | 24–29 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 20 | 0% | 20–22 | 20–22 | 20–22 | 19–22 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 66% | 98.8% | Median |
| 69 | 13% | 33% | |
| 70 | 2% | 20% | |
| 71 | 14% | 18% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 3% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 3% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 97% | |
| 70 | 5% | 97% | |
| 71 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 72 | 78% | 91% | Median |
| 73 | 1.0% | 13% | |
| 74 | 10% | 12% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 76 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 66% | 98.9% | Median |
| 66 | 5% | 33% | |
| 67 | 9% | 28% | |
| 68 | 14% | 18% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 71 | 3% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 12% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 1.5% | 87% | |
| 65 | 9% | 85% | |
| 66 | 67% | 76% | Median |
| 67 | 0.7% | 9% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 69 | 8% | 8% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 17% | 99.2% | |
| 66 | 4% | 82% | |
| 67 | 66% | 78% | Median |
| 68 | 9% | 12% | |
| 69 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 71 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 3% | 100% | |
| 57 | 5% | 97% | |
| 58 | 0.7% | 92% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 92% | |
| 60 | 13% | 91% | |
| 61 | 2% | 78% | |
| 62 | 67% | 76% | Median |
| 63 | 9% | 9% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 67% | 99.7% | Median |
| 55 | 6% | 32% | |
| 56 | 9% | 26% | |
| 57 | 14% | 17% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 60 | 3% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 67% | 99.8% | Median |
| 52 | 6% | 33% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 27% | |
| 54 | 22% | 26% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 56 | 3% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 67% | 99.7% | Median |
| 51 | 5% | 33% | |
| 52 | 10% | 27% | |
| 53 | 14% | 18% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 3% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 50 | 66% | 98% | Median |
| 51 | 25% | 32% | |
| 52 | 2% | 6% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 4% | |
| 54 | 4% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 67% | 99.8% | Median |
| 48 | 5% | 33% | |
| 49 | 1.2% | 27% | |
| 50 | 22% | 26% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 4% | |
| 52 | 3% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 6% | 97% | |
| 49 | 82% | 90% | Median |
| 50 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 52 | 8% | 8% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 12% | 98% | |
| 47 | 6% | 85% | |
| 48 | 5% | 80% | |
| 49 | 66% | 74% | Median |
| 50 | 0.3% | 9% | |
| 51 | 0% | 8% | |
| 52 | 8% | 8% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0% | 100% | |
| 47 | 12% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 87% | |
| 49 | 67% | 86% | Median |
| 50 | 6% | 19% | |
| 51 | 11% | 13% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 78% | 98% | Median |
| 43 | 5% | 20% | |
| 44 | 5% | 14% | |
| 45 | 9% | 9% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 37 | 14% | 97% | |
| 38 | 8% | 83% | |
| 39 | 66% | 75% | Median |
| 40 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 41 | 8% | 8% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | |
| 34 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 6% | 97% | |
| 36 | 2% | 90% | |
| 37 | 78% | 88% | Median |
| 38 | 2% | 10% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 8% | |
| 40 | 8% | 8% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 8% | 98% | |
| 33 | 14% | 90% | Last Result |
| 34 | 67% | 76% | Median |
| 35 | 8% | 10% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 31 | 1.4% | 99.4% | |
| 32 | 66% | 98% | Median |
| 33 | 19% | 32% | |
| 34 | 10% | 13% | |
| 35 | 4% | 4% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 10% | 99.3% | |
| 26 | 2% | 90% | |
| 27 | 67% | 88% | Median |
| 28 | 13% | 22% | Last Result |
| 29 | 8% | 8% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 74% | 99.4% | Median |
| 21 | 14% | 26% | |
| 22 | 11% | 11% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 3–9 December 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.11%