Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 14–17 December 2018
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 18.6% | 17.1–20.2% | 16.6–20.7% | 16.3–21.1% | 15.6–21.9% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.3–14.0% | 10.9–14.4% | 10.6–14.7% | 10.1–15.4% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.4–11.9% | 9.1–12.3% | 8.8–12.6% | 8.3–13.3% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 9.6% | 8.5–10.9% | 8.2–11.2% | 7.9–11.6% | 7.4–12.2% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.3–10.7% | 8.0–11.0% | 7.7–11.3% | 7.2–12.0% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.6–8.8% | 6.4–9.1% | 6.1–9.4% | 5.7–10.0% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.2% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.7–7.2% | 4.5–7.5% | 4.2–8.0% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.7% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7–5.4% | 3.5–5.7% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0–4.5% | 2.8–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.4–5.5% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9–3.2% | 1.8–3.4% | 1.7–3.6% | 1.4–4.0% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4–2.6% | 1.3–2.7% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 29 | 26–29 | 24–31 | 24–31 | 23–33 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 20 | 18–21 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 16–23 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 19 | 16–20 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 13–20 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 13 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 | 11–18 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 13 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 | 11–17 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 8–15 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 9 | 9–10 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 9 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 8 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 4 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 3–7 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 1–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 25 | 3% | 95% | |
| 26 | 8% | 92% | |
| 27 | 4% | 84% | |
| 28 | 5% | 81% | |
| 29 | 68% | 76% | Median |
| 30 | 1.4% | 8% | |
| 31 | 4% | 6% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 17 | 6% | 97% | |
| 18 | 18% | 90% | |
| 19 | 8% | 73% | |
| 20 | 49% | 64% | Last Result, Median |
| 21 | 12% | 15% | |
| 22 | 3% | 4% | |
| 23 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 14 | 2% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 15 | 5% | 97% | |
| 16 | 24% | 92% | |
| 17 | 12% | 67% | |
| 18 | 4% | 55% | |
| 19 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 20 | 42% | 43% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 13 | 49% | 97% | Median |
| 14 | 8% | 47% | |
| 15 | 13% | 39% | |
| 16 | 10% | 26% | |
| 17 | 13% | 16% | |
| 18 | 3% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 12 | 16% | 97% | |
| 13 | 46% | 81% | Median |
| 14 | 13% | 36% | |
| 15 | 11% | 22% | |
| 16 | 7% | 11% | |
| 17 | 4% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.3% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 11% | 97% | |
| 11 | 15% | 86% | |
| 12 | 59% | 71% | Median |
| 13 | 10% | 13% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 6% | 98% | |
| 9 | 65% | 92% | Median |
| 10 | 18% | 27% | |
| 11 | 5% | 10% | |
| 12 | 4% | 5% | |
| 13 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 19% | 98.9% | |
| 8 | 12% | 80% | |
| 9 | 61% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 4% | 7% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 7 | 18% | 94% | |
| 8 | 47% | 76% | Median |
| 9 | 19% | 29% | |
| 10 | 8% | 10% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 8% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 6 | 20% | 91% | |
| 7 | 57% | 71% | Median |
| 8 | 12% | 14% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 4 | 53% | 99.3% | Last Result, Median |
| 5 | 21% | 46% | |
| 6 | 22% | 25% | |
| 7 | 3% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 6% | 100% | |
| 3 | 63% | 94% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 22% | 31% | |
| 5 | 9% | 10% | |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 2 | 53% | 99.2% | Median |
| 3 | 37% | 46% | Last Result |
| 4 | 9% | 10% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 82 | 98% | 77–83 | 77–85 | 76–85 | 74–85 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 74 | 32% | 72–79 | 70–79 | 70–79 | 70–81 |
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 80 | 74 | 10% | 69–75 | 68–77 | 68–78 | 65–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 71 | 3% | 70–73 | 69–74 | 67–77 | 67–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 71 | 11% | 68–76 | 67–76 | 66–76 | 66–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 62 | 0% | 62–66 | 60–66 | 59–67 | 58–70 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 62 | 0% | 59–67 | 58–67 | 56–67 | 56–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 58 | 0% | 58–65 | 57–65 | 57–65 | 56–68 |
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 62 | 0% | 58–64 | 57–65 | 56–65 | 53–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 55 | 0% | 55–60 | 54–61 | 54–62 | 52–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 55 | 0% | 55–60 | 54–60 | 52–61 | 50–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 54 | 0% | 54–59 | 52–59 | 52–60 | 51–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 51 | 0% | 50–55 | 49–56 | 49–57 | 48–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 51 | 0% | 49–53 | 49–54 | 47–55 | 45–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 51 | 0% | 49–51 | 47–53 | 46–55 | 45–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 42 | 0% | 40–46 | 40–46 | 39–47 | 38–49 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 36 | 0% | 35–39 | 35–42 | 33–42 | 33–42 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 38 | 0% | 34–38 | 33–39 | 33–40 | 31–42 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 29 | 0% | 29–32 | 27–32 | 26–34 | 26–35 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 27 | 0% | 26–31 | 26–33 | 26–33 | 24–34 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 22 | 0% | 21–25 | 20–26 | 20–27 | 19–28 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 75 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 98% | Majority |
| 77 | 7% | 96% | |
| 78 | 4% | 90% | |
| 79 | 3% | 86% | |
| 80 | 14% | 83% | |
| 81 | 6% | 69% | Median |
| 82 | 53% | 63% | |
| 83 | 4% | 10% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 7% | |
| 85 | 6% | 6% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 93% | |
| 72 | 6% | 92% | |
| 73 | 2% | 85% | |
| 74 | 44% | 83% | Median |
| 75 | 7% | 39% | |
| 76 | 5% | 32% | Majority |
| 77 | 13% | 27% | Last Result |
| 78 | 3% | 15% | |
| 79 | 9% | 11% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 5% | 98.5% | |
| 69 | 6% | 94% | |
| 70 | 11% | 88% | |
| 71 | 9% | 78% | |
| 72 | 4% | 69% | |
| 73 | 4% | 65% | Median |
| 74 | 45% | 61% | |
| 75 | 7% | 16% | |
| 76 | 3% | 10% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 6% | |
| 78 | 4% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 69 | 2% | 96% | |
| 70 | 8% | 93% | |
| 71 | 45% | 85% | Median |
| 72 | 12% | 40% | |
| 73 | 21% | 28% | |
| 74 | 2% | 7% | |
| 75 | 2% | 5% | |
| 76 | 0.7% | 3% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 4% | 97% | |
| 68 | 6% | 93% | |
| 69 | 2% | 87% | |
| 70 | 2% | 85% | |
| 71 | 48% | 83% | Median |
| 72 | 11% | 35% | |
| 73 | 6% | 23% | |
| 74 | 3% | 17% | Last Result |
| 75 | 3% | 14% | |
| 76 | 9% | 11% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 3% | 96% | |
| 61 | 3% | 94% | |
| 62 | 48% | 91% | Median |
| 63 | 10% | 43% | |
| 64 | 11% | 33% | |
| 65 | 4% | 22% | |
| 66 | 14% | 19% | |
| 67 | 3% | 5% | |
| 68 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 97% | |
| 58 | 5% | 96% | |
| 59 | 2% | 91% | |
| 60 | 5% | 88% | |
| 61 | 5% | 83% | |
| 62 | 52% | 78% | Median |
| 63 | 9% | 26% | |
| 64 | 4% | 17% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 13% | |
| 66 | 0.6% | 12% | |
| 67 | 9% | 11% | |
| 68 | 2% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 58 | 47% | 94% | Median |
| 59 | 4% | 47% | |
| 60 | 3% | 43% | |
| 61 | 8% | 40% | Last Result |
| 62 | 5% | 32% | |
| 63 | 10% | 27% | |
| 64 | 4% | 16% | |
| 65 | 10% | 12% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 4% | 99.2% | |
| 57 | 4% | 95% | |
| 58 | 4% | 91% | |
| 59 | 3% | 87% | |
| 60 | 18% | 84% | |
| 61 | 3% | 66% | Median |
| 62 | 46% | 63% | |
| 63 | 7% | 17% | |
| 64 | 5% | 11% | |
| 65 | 5% | 6% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 54 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 55 | 47% | 92% | Median |
| 56 | 3% | 45% | |
| 57 | 8% | 41% | |
| 58 | 5% | 34% | Last Result |
| 59 | 3% | 29% | |
| 60 | 21% | 27% | |
| 61 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 62 | 2% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 98.6% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 54 | 2% | 96% | |
| 55 | 44% | 94% | Median |
| 56 | 16% | 50% | |
| 57 | 12% | 34% | |
| 58 | 8% | 22% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 14% | |
| 60 | 9% | 13% | |
| 61 | 4% | 5% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 53 | 3% | 94% | |
| 54 | 47% | 90% | Median |
| 55 | 10% | 44% | |
| 56 | 3% | 34% | |
| 57 | 4% | 31% | Last Result |
| 58 | 12% | 26% | |
| 59 | 10% | 14% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 1.4% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 50 | 4% | 92% | |
| 51 | 52% | 88% | Median |
| 52 | 4% | 36% | |
| 53 | 3% | 32% | |
| 54 | 14% | 29% | Last Result |
| 55 | 11% | 16% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 5% | |
| 57 | 2% | 4% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 49 | 12% | 96% | |
| 50 | 7% | 84% | |
| 51 | 47% | 77% | Median |
| 52 | 1.3% | 30% | |
| 53 | 22% | 28% | |
| 54 | 3% | 6% | |
| 55 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 57 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98% | |
| 47 | 2% | 96% | |
| 48 | 3% | 94% | |
| 49 | 6% | 91% | |
| 50 | 22% | 85% | |
| 51 | 55% | 64% | Median |
| 52 | 1.4% | 9% | |
| 53 | 3% | 7% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 56 | 2% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 40 | 7% | 97% | |
| 41 | 7% | 90% | |
| 42 | 46% | 83% | Median |
| 43 | 7% | 37% | |
| 44 | 10% | 30% | |
| 45 | 7% | 19% | |
| 46 | 9% | 13% | |
| 47 | 2% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 35 | 44% | 96% | Median |
| 36 | 23% | 52% | |
| 37 | 4% | 28% | |
| 38 | 12% | 25% | |
| 39 | 4% | 13% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 9% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 42 | 7% | 7% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 33 | 6% | 98% | |
| 34 | 3% | 92% | |
| 35 | 4% | 89% | |
| 36 | 19% | 84% | |
| 37 | 7% | 65% | |
| 38 | 52% | 59% | Median |
| 39 | 3% | 6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 4% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 2% | 96% | |
| 28 | 3% | 94% | |
| 29 | 56% | 91% | Median |
| 30 | 12% | 35% | |
| 31 | 11% | 23% | |
| 32 | 8% | 12% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 4% | Last Result |
| 34 | 2% | 4% | |
| 35 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 26 | 44% | 98% | Median |
| 27 | 11% | 53% | |
| 28 | 11% | 42% | |
| 29 | 9% | 32% | |
| 30 | 5% | 23% | |
| 31 | 10% | 18% | |
| 32 | 2% | 7% | |
| 33 | 4% | 6% | |
| 34 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 21 | 8% | 94% | |
| 22 | 44% | 86% | Median |
| 23 | 6% | 42% | |
| 24 | 23% | 36% | |
| 25 | 7% | 14% | |
| 26 | 3% | 7% | |
| 27 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 28 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 14–17 December 2018
Calculations
- Sample size: 1013
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.41%