Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 12 January 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
18.6% |
17.0–20.3% |
16.6–20.7% |
16.2–21.2% |
15.5–22.0% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
12.6% |
11.3–14.1% |
11.0–14.5% |
10.7–14.9% |
10.1–15.6% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
11.3% |
10.0–12.7% |
9.7–13.1% |
9.4–13.4% |
8.9–14.1% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
10.6% |
9.4–12.0% |
9.1–12.4% |
8.8–12.8% |
8.3–13.4% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
9.9% |
8.8–11.2% |
8.4–11.6% |
8.2–12.0% |
7.7–12.6% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
7.9% |
6.9–9.2% |
6.6–9.5% |
6.4–9.8% |
5.9–10.4% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
7.9% |
6.9–9.2% |
6.6–9.5% |
6.4–9.8% |
5.9–10.4% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.7% |
5.7–7.8% |
5.5–8.2% |
5.3–8.4% |
4.8–9.0% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.6% |
3.8–5.6% |
3.6–5.9% |
3.4–6.1% |
3.1–6.6% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.3% |
2.7–4.2% |
2.5–4.5% |
2.4–4.7% |
2.1–5.1% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
2.6% |
2.1–3.4% |
1.9–3.6% |
1.8–3.8% |
1.5–4.2% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.5% |
DENK |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
26 |
59% |
99.2% |
Median |
27 |
0.7% |
40% |
|
28 |
4% |
40% |
|
29 |
11% |
36% |
|
30 |
1.3% |
25% |
|
31 |
22% |
24% |
|
32 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
35 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.2% |
100% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
16 |
5% |
99.7% |
|
17 |
68% |
94% |
Median |
18 |
7% |
27% |
|
19 |
3% |
20% |
|
20 |
1.1% |
17% |
|
21 |
14% |
16% |
|
22 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
14 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
15 |
1.2% |
98.7% |
|
16 |
83% |
98% |
Median |
17 |
7% |
15% |
|
18 |
2% |
7% |
|
19 |
5% |
6% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
12% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
88% |
|
13 |
0.7% |
88% |
|
14 |
7% |
87% |
|
15 |
7% |
80% |
|
16 |
70% |
73% |
Median |
17 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
19 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
21 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
3% |
94% |
|
14 |
12% |
91% |
|
15 |
17% |
79% |
|
16 |
3% |
62% |
|
17 |
57% |
58% |
Median |
18 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
19 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
10 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
11 |
5% |
97% |
|
12 |
14% |
92% |
|
13 |
5% |
78% |
|
14 |
58% |
73% |
Last Result, Median |
15 |
5% |
15% |
|
16 |
10% |
10% |
|
17 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
10 |
65% |
99.1% |
Median |
11 |
12% |
34% |
|
12 |
13% |
23% |
|
13 |
1.3% |
9% |
|
14 |
7% |
8% |
|
15 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
16 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
9 |
29% |
98.7% |
Last Result |
10 |
66% |
70% |
Median |
11 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
12 |
2% |
2% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
14 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
15 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
5 |
1.5% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
6 |
4% |
98% |
|
7 |
33% |
94% |
|
8 |
60% |
61% |
Median |
9 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
10 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
4 |
5% |
99.0% |
|
5 |
65% |
94% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
28% |
29% |
|
7 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
2% |
100% |
|
3 |
18% |
98% |
|
4 |
14% |
79% |
Last Result |
5 |
65% |
66% |
Median |
6 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
7 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
2 |
21% |
99.9% |
|
3 |
71% |
79% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
7% |
8% |
|
5 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
2 |
14% |
99.3% |
|
3 |
77% |
85% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
1.2% |
9% |
|
5 |
5% |
7% |
|
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
84 |
100% |
83–85 |
79–85 |
79–87 |
79–90 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
80 |
82 |
77% |
75–82 |
74–82 |
74–82 |
73–84 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
77 |
75% |
73–77 |
73–77 |
73–78 |
71–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
71 |
24% |
71–76 |
71–77 |
71–77 |
71–82 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
68 |
1.1% |
68–74 |
68–75 |
68–75 |
68–79 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
68 |
0% |
63–68 |
61–68 |
60–71 |
60–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
67 |
0% |
64–68 |
63–68 |
63–68 |
61–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
60 |
0% |
60–63 |
60–65 |
60–65 |
58–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
58 |
0% |
58–63 |
58–63 |
58–63 |
57–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
57 |
0% |
57–61 |
57–63 |
56–63 |
55–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
59 |
0% |
57–61 |
56–61 |
56–61 |
54–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
55 |
0% |
55–60 |
55–60 |
55–61 |
55–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
52 |
0% |
52–58 |
52–58 |
52–58 |
52–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
52 |
0% |
51–56 |
51–56 |
51–56 |
49–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
53 |
0% |
53–55 |
51–55 |
50–56 |
49–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
42 |
0% |
42–47 |
42–47 |
42–47 |
40–50 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
43 |
0% |
35–43 |
35–43 |
35–43 |
35–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
36 |
0% |
36–40 |
36–40 |
36–40 |
34–44 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
34 |
0% |
27–34 |
27–34 |
27–36 |
27–38 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
33 |
0% |
26–33 |
26–33 |
26–33 |
26–34 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
26 |
0% |
20–26 |
20–26 |
20–29 |
20–30 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
78 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
79 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
95% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
94% |
|
82 |
2% |
94% |
|
83 |
5% |
92% |
|
84 |
59% |
87% |
Median |
85 |
23% |
28% |
|
86 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
87 |
2% |
4% |
|
88 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
89 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
90 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
91 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
92 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
93 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
74 |
5% |
99.3% |
|
75 |
17% |
95% |
|
76 |
1.4% |
77% |
Majority |
77 |
0.8% |
76% |
|
78 |
2% |
75% |
|
79 |
13% |
74% |
|
80 |
1.0% |
61% |
Last Result |
81 |
0.8% |
60% |
|
82 |
57% |
59% |
Median |
83 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
84 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
72 |
0.9% |
99.2% |
|
73 |
18% |
98% |
|
74 |
4% |
80% |
|
75 |
1.2% |
76% |
|
76 |
4% |
75% |
Majority |
77 |
68% |
71% |
Median |
78 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
79 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
57% |
99.8% |
Median |
72 |
2% |
43% |
|
73 |
12% |
41% |
|
74 |
2% |
28% |
|
75 |
2% |
26% |
|
76 |
16% |
24% |
Majority |
77 |
6% |
8% |
Last Result |
78 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
79 |
0.3% |
1.3% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
82 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
57% |
99.8% |
Median |
69 |
0.5% |
43% |
|
70 |
14% |
43% |
|
71 |
0.8% |
28% |
|
72 |
8% |
27% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
19% |
|
74 |
11% |
18% |
Last Result |
75 |
6% |
7% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
5% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
95% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
95% |
|
63 |
27% |
94% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
67% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
66% |
|
66 |
4% |
65% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.4% |
61% |
|
68 |
57% |
61% |
Median |
69 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
70 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
71 |
2% |
3% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
63 |
6% |
98.9% |
|
64 |
13% |
93% |
|
65 |
5% |
80% |
|
66 |
4% |
75% |
|
67 |
58% |
70% |
Median |
68 |
11% |
13% |
|
69 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
71 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
59 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
|
60 |
62% |
98.7% |
Median |
61 |
14% |
36% |
Last Result |
62 |
1.2% |
22% |
|
63 |
13% |
21% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
8% |
|
65 |
6% |
7% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
68 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
58 |
70% |
98.9% |
Median |
59 |
1.2% |
29% |
|
60 |
4% |
28% |
|
61 |
5% |
24% |
|
62 |
6% |
19% |
|
63 |
11% |
13% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
1.3% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.9% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
57 |
57% |
95% |
Median |
58 |
15% |
38% |
Last Result |
59 |
4% |
23% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
19% |
|
61 |
12% |
19% |
|
62 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
63 |
5% |
6% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
55 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
56 |
6% |
98.6% |
|
57 |
13% |
93% |
|
58 |
6% |
80% |
|
59 |
58% |
74% |
Median |
60 |
3% |
15% |
|
61 |
11% |
13% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
57% |
99.7% |
Median |
56 |
3% |
43% |
|
57 |
18% |
40% |
Last Result |
58 |
1.0% |
22% |
|
59 |
1.2% |
21% |
|
60 |
16% |
20% |
|
61 |
2% |
3% |
|
62 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
52 |
57% |
99.7% |
Median |
53 |
5% |
43% |
|
54 |
15% |
38% |
Last Result |
55 |
2% |
23% |
|
56 |
1.4% |
21% |
|
57 |
3% |
20% |
|
58 |
15% |
17% |
|
59 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
51 |
12% |
98.9% |
|
52 |
62% |
87% |
Median |
53 |
1.4% |
25% |
|
54 |
8% |
23% |
|
55 |
2% |
15% |
|
56 |
12% |
13% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
1.5% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
1.2% |
|
59 |
0.6% |
1.0% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
50 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
51 |
6% |
97% |
|
52 |
0.8% |
91% |
|
53 |
62% |
90% |
Median |
54 |
14% |
29% |
|
55 |
13% |
15% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
58 |
0.6% |
1.2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.6% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
61 |
0% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
62 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
38 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
40 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
42 |
70% |
98.9% |
Median |
43 |
6% |
29% |
|
44 |
9% |
23% |
|
45 |
2% |
15% |
|
46 |
0.8% |
12% |
|
47 |
11% |
11% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
51 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
35 |
13% |
99.8% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
87% |
|
37 |
6% |
87% |
|
38 |
5% |
81% |
|
39 |
12% |
77% |
|
40 |
1.1% |
65% |
|
41 |
0.8% |
63% |
|
42 |
4% |
63% |
|
43 |
57% |
59% |
Median |
44 |
0.7% |
1.4% |
|
45 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
48 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
35 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
36 |
58% |
98.9% |
Median |
37 |
0.7% |
40% |
|
38 |
8% |
40% |
|
39 |
5% |
32% |
|
40 |
24% |
26% |
|
41 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
43 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
27 |
12% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
0.5% |
88% |
|
29 |
0.7% |
87% |
|
30 |
5% |
87% |
|
31 |
3% |
82% |
|
32 |
17% |
79% |
|
33 |
1.2% |
61% |
Last Result |
34 |
57% |
60% |
Median |
35 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
37 |
2% |
2% |
|
38 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
39 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0% |
100% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
13% |
99.8% |
|
27 |
5% |
87% |
|
28 |
2% |
82% |
|
29 |
5% |
80% |
|
30 |
11% |
75% |
|
31 |
1.4% |
64% |
|
32 |
4% |
63% |
|
33 |
57% |
58% |
Median |
34 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
12% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.4% |
88% |
|
22 |
0.5% |
88% |
|
23 |
6% |
87% |
|
24 |
3% |
82% |
|
25 |
15% |
79% |
|
26 |
60% |
64% |
Median |
27 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
3% |
Last Result |
29 |
2% |
3% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar Public
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 12 January 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 959
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.75%