Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 12 January 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 18.6% | 17.0–20.3% | 16.6–20.7% | 16.2–21.2% | 15.5–22.0% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 12.6% | 11.3–14.1% | 11.0–14.5% | 10.7–14.9% | 10.1–15.6% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.0–12.7% | 9.7–13.1% | 9.4–13.4% | 8.9–14.1% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.4–12.0% | 9.1–12.4% | 8.8–12.8% | 8.3–13.4% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 9.9% | 8.8–11.2% | 8.4–11.6% | 8.2–12.0% | 7.7–12.6% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.6–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 5.9–10.4% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 7.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.6–9.5% | 6.4–9.8% | 5.9–10.4% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.8–9.0% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8–5.6% | 3.6–5.9% | 3.4–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.5–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.1% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.1–3.4% | 1.9–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% | 1.5–4.2% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.5% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 26 | 26–31 | 26–31 | 26–31 | 25–33 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 17 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 16–22 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 16 | 16–17 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 14–19 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 16 | 11–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 | 11–19 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 17 | 14–17 | 12–17 | 12–17 | 12–19 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 14 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 10–16 | 9–16 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 10 | 10–12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 10 | 9–10 | 9–10 | 9–11 | 8–12 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 8 | 7–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–10 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 5 | 5–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–7 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–6 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 1–6 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 59% | 99.2% | Median |
| 27 | 0.7% | 40% | |
| 28 | 4% | 40% | |
| 29 | 11% | 36% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 25% | |
| 31 | 22% | 24% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 16 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 17 | 68% | 94% | Median |
| 18 | 7% | 27% | |
| 19 | 3% | 20% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 17% | |
| 21 | 14% | 16% | |
| 22 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 1.2% | 98.7% | |
| 16 | 83% | 98% | Median |
| 17 | 7% | 15% | |
| 18 | 2% | 7% | |
| 19 | 5% | 6% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 12% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 88% | |
| 13 | 0.7% | 88% | |
| 14 | 7% | 87% | |
| 15 | 7% | 80% | |
| 16 | 70% | 73% | Median |
| 17 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 3% | 94% | |
| 14 | 12% | 91% | |
| 15 | 17% | 79% | |
| 16 | 3% | 62% | |
| 17 | 57% | 58% | Median |
| 18 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 11 | 5% | 97% | |
| 12 | 14% | 92% | |
| 13 | 5% | 78% | |
| 14 | 58% | 73% | Last Result, Median |
| 15 | 5% | 15% | |
| 16 | 10% | 10% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 10 | 65% | 99.1% | Median |
| 11 | 12% | 34% | |
| 12 | 13% | 23% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 9% | |
| 14 | 7% | 8% | |
| 15 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.1% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 29% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 10 | 66% | 70% | Median |
| 11 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 6 | 4% | 98% | |
| 7 | 33% | 94% | |
| 8 | 60% | 61% | Median |
| 9 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 5 | 65% | 94% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 28% | 29% | |
| 7 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 18% | 98% | |
| 4 | 14% | 79% | Last Result |
| 5 | 65% | 66% | Median |
| 6 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 21% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 71% | 79% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 7% | 8% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 2 | 14% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 77% | 85% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 5 | 5% | 7% | |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 84 | 100% | 83–85 | 79–85 | 79–87 | 79–90 |
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 80 | 82 | 77% | 75–82 | 74–82 | 74–82 | 73–84 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 77 | 75% | 73–77 | 73–77 | 73–78 | 71–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 71 | 24% | 71–76 | 71–77 | 71–77 | 71–82 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 74 | 68 | 1.1% | 68–74 | 68–75 | 68–75 | 68–79 |
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 68 | 0% | 63–68 | 61–68 | 60–71 | 60–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 67 | 0% | 64–68 | 63–68 | 63–68 | 61–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 60 | 0% | 60–63 | 60–65 | 60–65 | 58–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 58 | 0% | 58–63 | 58–63 | 58–63 | 57–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus | 58 | 57 | 0% | 57–61 | 57–63 | 56–63 | 55–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 59 | 0% | 57–61 | 56–61 | 56–61 | 54–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 55 | 0% | 55–60 | 55–60 | 55–61 | 55–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie | 54 | 52 | 0% | 52–58 | 52–58 | 52–58 | 52–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 52 | 0% | 51–56 | 51–56 | 51–56 | 49–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 53 | 0% | 53–55 | 51–55 | 50–56 | 49–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 42 | 0% | 42–47 | 42–47 | 42–47 | 40–50 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 43 | 0% | 35–43 | 35–43 | 35–43 | 35–45 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 36 | 0% | 36–40 | 36–40 | 36–40 | 34–44 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 34 | 0% | 27–34 | 27–34 | 27–36 | 27–38 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 33 | 0% | 26–33 | 26–33 | 26–33 | 26–34 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 26 | 0% | 20–26 | 20–26 | 20–29 | 20–30 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 78 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 79 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 94% | |
| 82 | 2% | 94% | |
| 83 | 5% | 92% | |
| 84 | 59% | 87% | Median |
| 85 | 23% | 28% | |
| 86 | 0.7% | 5% | |
| 87 | 2% | 4% | |
| 88 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 89 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 90 | 0.6% | 0.8% | Last Result |
| 91 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 92 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 93 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 74 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 75 | 17% | 95% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 77% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.8% | 76% | |
| 78 | 2% | 75% | |
| 79 | 13% | 74% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 61% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0.8% | 60% | |
| 82 | 57% | 59% | Median |
| 83 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 84 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 72 | 0.9% | 99.2% | |
| 73 | 18% | 98% | |
| 74 | 4% | 80% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 76% | |
| 76 | 4% | 75% | Majority |
| 77 | 68% | 71% | Median |
| 78 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 57% | 99.8% | Median |
| 72 | 2% | 43% | |
| 73 | 12% | 41% | |
| 74 | 2% | 28% | |
| 75 | 2% | 26% | |
| 76 | 16% | 24% | Majority |
| 77 | 6% | 8% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.8% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 57% | 99.8% | Median |
| 69 | 0.5% | 43% | |
| 70 | 14% | 43% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 28% | |
| 72 | 8% | 27% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 19% | |
| 74 | 11% | 18% | Last Result |
| 75 | 6% | 7% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 1.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 1.0% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 95% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 95% | |
| 63 | 27% | 94% | |
| 64 | 1.0% | 67% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 66% | |
| 66 | 4% | 65% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0.4% | 61% | |
| 68 | 57% | 61% | Median |
| 69 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 3% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 6% | 98.9% | |
| 64 | 13% | 93% | |
| 65 | 5% | 80% | |
| 66 | 4% | 75% | |
| 67 | 58% | 70% | Median |
| 68 | 11% | 13% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 60 | 62% | 98.7% | Median |
| 61 | 14% | 36% | Last Result |
| 62 | 1.2% | 22% | |
| 63 | 13% | 21% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 8% | |
| 65 | 6% | 7% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 68 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 70% | 98.9% | Median |
| 59 | 1.2% | 29% | |
| 60 | 4% | 28% | |
| 61 | 5% | 24% | |
| 62 | 6% | 19% | |
| 63 | 11% | 13% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 57% | 95% | Median |
| 58 | 15% | 38% | Last Result |
| 59 | 4% | 23% | |
| 60 | 0.7% | 19% | |
| 61 | 12% | 19% | |
| 62 | 0.8% | 7% | |
| 63 | 5% | 6% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 6% | 98.6% | |
| 57 | 13% | 93% | |
| 58 | 6% | 80% | |
| 59 | 58% | 74% | Median |
| 60 | 3% | 15% | |
| 61 | 11% | 13% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 57% | 99.7% | Median |
| 56 | 3% | 43% | |
| 57 | 18% | 40% | Last Result |
| 58 | 1.0% | 22% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 21% | |
| 60 | 16% | 20% | |
| 61 | 2% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 1.4% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 57% | 99.7% | Median |
| 53 | 5% | 43% | |
| 54 | 15% | 38% | Last Result |
| 55 | 2% | 23% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 21% | |
| 57 | 3% | 20% | |
| 58 | 15% | 17% | |
| 59 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 99.2% | |
| 51 | 12% | 98.9% | |
| 52 | 62% | 87% | Median |
| 53 | 1.4% | 25% | |
| 54 | 8% | 23% | |
| 55 | 2% | 15% | |
| 56 | 12% | 13% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 1.5% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 1.2% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 49 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 51 | 6% | 97% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 91% | |
| 53 | 62% | 90% | Median |
| 54 | 14% | 29% | |
| 55 | 13% | 15% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.2% | |
| 42 | 70% | 98.9% | Median |
| 43 | 6% | 29% | |
| 44 | 9% | 23% | |
| 45 | 2% | 15% | |
| 46 | 0.8% | 12% | |
| 47 | 11% | 11% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 50 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 13% | 99.8% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 87% | |
| 37 | 6% | 87% | |
| 38 | 5% | 81% | |
| 39 | 12% | 77% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 65% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 63% | |
| 42 | 4% | 63% | |
| 43 | 57% | 59% | Median |
| 44 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 36 | 58% | 98.9% | Median |
| 37 | 0.7% | 40% | |
| 38 | 8% | 40% | |
| 39 | 5% | 32% | |
| 40 | 24% | 26% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.9% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 27 | 12% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 0.5% | 88% | |
| 29 | 0.7% | 87% | |
| 30 | 5% | 87% | |
| 31 | 3% | 82% | |
| 32 | 17% | 79% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 61% | Last Result |
| 34 | 57% | 60% | Median |
| 35 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 37 | 2% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 13% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 5% | 87% | |
| 28 | 2% | 82% | |
| 29 | 5% | 80% | |
| 30 | 11% | 75% | |
| 31 | 1.4% | 64% | |
| 32 | 4% | 63% | |
| 33 | 57% | 58% | Median |
| 34 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 12% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 88% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 88% | |
| 23 | 6% | 87% | |
| 24 | 3% | 82% | |
| 25 | 15% | 79% | |
| 26 | 60% | 64% | Median |
| 27 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 3% | Last Result |
| 29 | 2% | 3% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.6% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar Public
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 12 January 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 959
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.75%