Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 7–13 January 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
14.7% |
13.9–15.5% |
13.6–15.8% |
13.4–16.0% |
13.1–16.4% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
12.0% |
11.3–12.8% |
11.1–13.0% |
10.9–13.2% |
10.5–13.6% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
11.3% |
10.6–12.1% |
10.4–12.3% |
10.2–12.5% |
9.9–12.9% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
10.7% |
10.0–11.4% |
9.8–11.6% |
9.6–11.8% |
9.3–12.2% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
10.0% |
9.3–10.7% |
9.1–10.9% |
9.0–11.1% |
8.7–11.5% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
8.0% |
7.4–8.7% |
7.2–8.9% |
7.1–9.0% |
6.8–9.4% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
7.3% |
6.8–8.0% |
6.6–8.2% |
6.4–8.3% |
6.2–8.6% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
6.7% |
6.1–7.3% |
6.0–7.5% |
5.8–7.6% |
5.6–7.9% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
5.3% |
4.8–5.9% |
4.7–6.1% |
4.6–6.2% |
4.4–6.5% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.7% |
4.2–5.2% |
4.1–5.3% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.7–5.8% |
DENK |
2.1% |
4.7% |
4.2–5.2% |
4.1–5.3% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.7–5.8% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.1% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.7–2.4% |
1.6–2.5% |
1.6–2.6% |
1.4–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
2% |
100% |
|
21 |
12% |
98% |
|
22 |
69% |
86% |
Median |
23 |
13% |
17% |
|
24 |
3% |
3% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
17 |
10% |
99.7% |
|
18 |
83% |
89% |
Median |
19 |
5% |
6% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
21 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
15 |
7% |
100% |
|
16 |
1.2% |
92% |
|
17 |
10% |
91% |
|
18 |
79% |
81% |
Median |
19 |
2% |
2% |
|
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
15 |
70% |
99.8% |
Median |
16 |
13% |
29% |
|
17 |
16% |
17% |
|
18 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
19 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
5% |
98.7% |
|
15 |
6% |
94% |
|
16 |
13% |
88% |
|
17 |
67% |
75% |
Median |
18 |
8% |
8% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
66% |
100% |
Median |
11 |
9% |
34% |
|
12 |
18% |
25% |
|
13 |
7% |
7% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
71% |
99.9% |
Median |
11 |
15% |
29% |
|
12 |
14% |
14% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
16% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
74% |
84% |
Median |
11 |
10% |
10% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
7 |
5% |
99.2% |
|
8 |
11% |
94% |
|
9 |
83% |
83% |
Median |
10 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
12% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
10% |
88% |
|
7 |
74% |
77% |
Median |
8 |
3% |
3% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
6 |
23% |
99.8% |
|
7 |
70% |
76% |
Median |
8 |
6% |
6% |
|
9 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
3% |
100% |
|
4 |
97% |
97% |
Last Result, Median |
5 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
9% |
100% |
|
3 |
88% |
91% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
3% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
68 |
0% |
68–71 |
68–71 |
68–75 |
67–75 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
80 |
72 |
1.1% |
72–74 |
70–74 |
68–74 |
68–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
74 |
65 |
0% |
65–68 |
65–68 |
65–71 |
64–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
66 |
0% |
63–66 |
63–69 |
63–69 |
62–69 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
67 |
0% |
65–68 |
65–68 |
65–68 |
64–71 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
62 |
0% |
60–62 |
57–63 |
56–63 |
56–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
54 |
0% |
54–57 |
54–57 |
54–60 |
54–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus |
58 |
51 |
0% |
51–54 |
51–54 |
51–56 |
51–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
50 |
0% |
50–53 |
50–53 |
50–56 |
50–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
50 |
0% |
50–51 |
50–52 |
50–54 |
48–54 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
54 |
47 |
0% |
47–50 |
47–50 |
47–52 |
47–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
61 |
49 |
0% |
49 |
48–52 |
47–52 |
45–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
49 |
0% |
46–49 |
46–52 |
46–52 |
45–52 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
49 |
0% |
47–51 |
47–51 |
47–51 |
47–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
42 |
0% |
42–44 |
42–45 |
42–45 |
41–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
39 |
0% |
37–39 |
37–41 |
36–41 |
34–41 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
47 |
37 |
0% |
36–37 |
35–40 |
34–40 |
34–40 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
33 |
34 |
0% |
33–34 |
32–35 |
32–35 |
31–36 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
32 |
0% |
32–34 |
32–34 |
32–35 |
30–35 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
28 |
27 |
0% |
25–28 |
25–29 |
25–29 |
24–29 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
20 |
0% |
20–22 |
20–22 |
20–22 |
19–22 |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
1.2% |
100% |
|
68 |
66% |
98.8% |
Median |
69 |
13% |
33% |
|
70 |
2% |
20% |
|
71 |
14% |
18% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
75 |
3% |
3% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
3% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
97% |
|
70 |
5% |
97% |
|
71 |
0.9% |
92% |
|
72 |
78% |
91% |
Median |
73 |
1.0% |
13% |
|
74 |
10% |
12% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
76 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
66% |
98.9% |
Median |
66 |
5% |
33% |
|
67 |
9% |
28% |
|
68 |
14% |
18% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
71 |
3% |
3% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
12% |
99.2% |
|
64 |
1.5% |
87% |
|
65 |
9% |
85% |
|
66 |
67% |
76% |
Median |
67 |
0.7% |
9% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
69 |
8% |
8% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
17% |
99.2% |
|
66 |
4% |
82% |
|
67 |
66% |
78% |
Median |
68 |
9% |
12% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
70 |
0.8% |
2% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
3% |
100% |
|
57 |
5% |
97% |
|
58 |
0.7% |
92% |
|
59 |
0.5% |
92% |
|
60 |
13% |
91% |
|
61 |
2% |
78% |
|
62 |
67% |
76% |
Median |
63 |
9% |
9% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
67% |
99.7% |
Median |
55 |
6% |
32% |
|
56 |
9% |
26% |
|
57 |
14% |
17% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
60 |
3% |
3% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
51 |
67% |
99.8% |
Median |
52 |
6% |
33% |
|
53 |
1.2% |
27% |
|
54 |
22% |
26% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
56 |
3% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
67% |
99.7% |
Median |
51 |
5% |
33% |
|
52 |
10% |
27% |
|
53 |
14% |
18% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
56 |
3% |
3% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
48 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
49 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
|
50 |
66% |
98% |
Median |
51 |
25% |
32% |
|
52 |
2% |
6% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
4% |
|
54 |
4% |
4% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
47 |
67% |
99.8% |
Median |
48 |
5% |
33% |
|
49 |
1.2% |
27% |
|
50 |
22% |
26% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
4% |
|
52 |
3% |
3% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
47 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
48 |
6% |
97% |
|
49 |
82% |
90% |
Median |
50 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
52 |
8% |
8% |
|
53 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
45 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
46 |
12% |
98% |
|
47 |
6% |
85% |
|
48 |
5% |
80% |
|
49 |
66% |
74% |
Median |
50 |
0.3% |
9% |
|
51 |
0% |
8% |
|
52 |
8% |
8% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0% |
100% |
|
47 |
12% |
99.9% |
|
48 |
1.2% |
87% |
|
49 |
67% |
86% |
Median |
50 |
6% |
19% |
|
51 |
11% |
13% |
|
52 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
53 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
54 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
40 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
41 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
42 |
78% |
98% |
Median |
43 |
5% |
20% |
|
44 |
5% |
14% |
|
45 |
9% |
9% |
|
46 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
35 |
1.4% |
99.4% |
|
36 |
1.3% |
98% |
|
37 |
14% |
97% |
|
38 |
8% |
83% |
|
39 |
66% |
75% |
Median |
40 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
41 |
8% |
8% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0% |
100% |
|
34 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
6% |
97% |
|
36 |
2% |
90% |
|
37 |
78% |
88% |
Median |
38 |
2% |
10% |
|
39 |
0.1% |
8% |
|
40 |
8% |
8% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
1.5% |
99.8% |
|
32 |
8% |
98% |
|
33 |
14% |
90% |
Last Result |
34 |
67% |
76% |
Median |
35 |
8% |
10% |
|
36 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
31 |
1.4% |
99.4% |
|
32 |
66% |
98% |
Median |
33 |
19% |
32% |
|
34 |
10% |
13% |
|
35 |
4% |
4% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
41 |
0% |
0% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
10% |
99.3% |
|
26 |
2% |
90% |
|
27 |
67% |
88% |
Median |
28 |
13% |
22% |
Last Result |
29 |
8% |
8% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
74% |
99.4% |
Median |
21 |
14% |
26% |
|
22 |
11% |
11% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 7–13 January 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.11%