Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 21–27 January 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 14.7% | 13.9–15.5% | 13.6–15.8% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.1–16.4% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.3–12.8% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 10.0% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.5% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 23 | 21–24 | 20–25 | 20–25 | 19–25 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 18 | 17–19 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–22 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 16 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 15–20 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 17 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 15–18 | 15–19 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 14 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 12–17 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 10 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–12 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 8–12 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 8 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 |
| DENK | 3 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 1–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 2% | 100% | |
| 20 | 5% | 98% | |
| 21 | 4% | 93% | |
| 22 | 20% | 89% | |
| 23 | 54% | 69% | Median |
| 24 | 8% | 15% | |
| 25 | 7% | 8% | |
| 26 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 29% | 97% | |
| 18 | 50% | 69% | Median |
| 19 | 10% | 19% | |
| 20 | 6% | 9% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0.6% | 3% | |
| 22 | 2% | 2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 57% | 98.7% | Median |
| 17 | 22% | 42% | |
| 18 | 5% | 20% | |
| 19 | 13% | 16% | |
| 20 | 3% | 3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 13% | 97% | |
| 17 | 47% | 84% | Median |
| 18 | 35% | 37% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 59% | 98% | Median |
| 15 | 22% | 39% | |
| 16 | 12% | 18% | |
| 17 | 5% | 5% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 12 | 13% | 96% | |
| 13 | 24% | 82% | |
| 14 | 16% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 15 | 42% | 42% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 16% | 98% | |
| 10 | 49% | 81% | Median |
| 11 | 15% | 32% | |
| 12 | 17% | 17% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 11% | 100% | |
| 9 | 55% | 89% | Median |
| 10 | 15% | 34% | |
| 11 | 15% | 19% | |
| 12 | 4% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 6% | 100% | |
| 7 | 21% | 94% | |
| 8 | 32% | 74% | Median |
| 9 | 41% | 42% | |
| 10 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 18% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 70% | 82% | Median |
| 8 | 10% | 11% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3% | 100% | |
| 5 | 62% | 97% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 16% | 36% | |
| 7 | 19% | 19% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 22% | 96% | |
| 4 | 61% | 75% | Last Result, Median |
| 5 | 14% | 14% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 2 | 23% | 98.6% | |
| 3 | 73% | 76% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 2% | 2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 80 | 70 | 0.1% | 69–73 | 69–74 | 69–74 | 68–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 71 | 0% | 69–72 | 69–72 | 68–74 | 67–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 74 | 68 | 0% | 67–69 | 66–70 | 65–71 | 64–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 64 | 0% | 63–68 | 63–68 | 62–68 | 62–69 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 63 | 0% | 61–65 | 61–66 | 61–66 | 59–66 |
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 57 | 0% | 54–60 | 54–61 | 54–62 | 54–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 57 | 0% | 53–59 | 53–59 | 52–60 | 51–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 54 | 0% | 51–56 | 50–57 | 50–57 | 48–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 53 | 0% | 50–55 | 49–55 | 49–56 | 48–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 51 | 0% | 50–53 | 49–53 | 49–53 | 47–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 50 | 0% | 48–52 | 47–52 | 47–53 | 45–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 48 | 0% | 47–50 | 46–51 | 46–51 | 45–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 47 | 0% | 45–49 | 45–50 | 44–51 | 43–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 46 | 0% | 45–49 | 45–50 | 44–51 | 44–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 42 | 0% | 42–44 | 40–45 | 40–46 | 39–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 37 | 0% | 37–39 | 34–40 | 34–40 | 33–41 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 47 | 33 | 0% | 33–36 | 33–37 | 32–38 | 31–39 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 33 | 0% | 31–34 | 30–35 | 30–35 | 29–35 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 33 | 30 | 0% | 29–32 | 28–33 | 28–34 | 27–35 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 28 | 24 | 0% | 24–27 | 23–28 | 23–28 | 21–28 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 19 | 0% | 19–21 | 18–22 | 18–22 | 17–23 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 1.0% | 99.8% | Median |
| 69 | 45% | 98.8% | |
| 70 | 8% | 54% | |
| 71 | 22% | 46% | |
| 72 | 11% | 24% | |
| 73 | 6% | 13% | |
| 74 | 4% | 7% | |
| 75 | 2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 69 | 10% | 96% | |
| 70 | 9% | 85% | |
| 71 | 44% | 76% | Median |
| 72 | 28% | 32% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 66 | 5% | 96% | |
| 67 | 11% | 91% | |
| 68 | 40% | 80% | Median |
| 69 | 30% | 40% | |
| 70 | 7% | 10% | |
| 71 | 3% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 41% | 97% | Median |
| 64 | 15% | 56% | |
| 65 | 6% | 42% | |
| 66 | 8% | 36% | |
| 67 | 9% | 28% | |
| 68 | 18% | 19% | |
| 69 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 38% | 99.1% | Median |
| 62 | 7% | 61% | |
| 63 | 34% | 54% | |
| 64 | 3% | 20% | |
| 65 | 8% | 17% | |
| 66 | 9% | 9% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 35% | 99.9% | Median |
| 55 | 4% | 65% | |
| 56 | 5% | 61% | |
| 57 | 21% | 56% | |
| 58 | 9% | 35% | |
| 59 | 13% | 26% | |
| 60 | 7% | 13% | |
| 61 | 2% | 6% | |
| 62 | 4% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 52 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 53 | 9% | 96% | |
| 54 | 3% | 87% | |
| 55 | 5% | 84% | |
| 56 | 4% | 79% | |
| 57 | 38% | 75% | Median |
| 58 | 16% | 37% | |
| 59 | 18% | 21% | |
| 60 | 3% | 3% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 50 | 5% | 98% | |
| 51 | 7% | 93% | |
| 52 | 6% | 86% | |
| 53 | 3% | 81% | |
| 54 | 39% | 77% | Median |
| 55 | 14% | 38% | |
| 56 | 16% | 24% | |
| 57 | 8% | 9% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 49 | 7% | 99.0% | |
| 50 | 3% | 92% | |
| 51 | 7% | 89% | |
| 52 | 5% | 82% | |
| 53 | 47% | 77% | Median |
| 54 | 8% | 31% | |
| 55 | 20% | 23% | |
| 56 | 3% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 49 | 7% | 98% | |
| 50 | 13% | 91% | |
| 51 | 59% | 79% | Median |
| 52 | 7% | 19% | |
| 53 | 11% | 12% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 2% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 98% | |
| 47 | 5% | 98% | |
| 48 | 9% | 93% | |
| 49 | 5% | 84% | |
| 50 | 42% | 79% | Median |
| 51 | 8% | 37% | |
| 52 | 26% | 29% | |
| 53 | 3% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 55 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 47 | 40% | 93% | Median |
| 48 | 19% | 53% | |
| 49 | 20% | 34% | |
| 50 | 8% | 14% | |
| 51 | 6% | 6% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 44 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 5% | 95% | |
| 46 | 3% | 90% | |
| 47 | 40% | 87% | Median |
| 48 | 19% | 47% | |
| 49 | 21% | 29% | |
| 50 | 4% | 8% | |
| 51 | 4% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 10% | 97% | |
| 46 | 52% | 87% | Median |
| 47 | 7% | 35% | |
| 48 | 10% | 28% | |
| 49 | 10% | 18% | |
| 50 | 4% | 9% | |
| 51 | 4% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 40 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 41 | 3% | 94% | |
| 42 | 54% | 91% | Median |
| 43 | 20% | 36% | |
| 44 | 12% | 17% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 46 | 4% | 4% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 2% | 100% | |
| 34 | 4% | 98% | |
| 35 | 0.4% | 94% | |
| 36 | 2% | 93% | |
| 37 | 62% | 91% | Median |
| 38 | 10% | 29% | |
| 39 | 13% | 20% | |
| 40 | 6% | 7% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 47% | 97% | Median |
| 34 | 6% | 50% | |
| 35 | 10% | 44% | |
| 36 | 29% | 34% | |
| 37 | 3% | 5% | |
| 38 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 39 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 6% | 98% | |
| 31 | 6% | 93% | |
| 32 | 11% | 87% | |
| 33 | 38% | 76% | Median |
| 34 | 27% | 37% | |
| 35 | 10% | 10% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 4% | 98% | |
| 29 | 39% | 94% | Median |
| 30 | 10% | 56% | |
| 31 | 12% | 46% | |
| 32 | 28% | 34% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 6% | Last Result |
| 34 | 3% | 5% | |
| 35 | 2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 98.9% | |
| 23 | 7% | 98% | |
| 24 | 41% | 91% | Median |
| 25 | 23% | 50% | |
| 26 | 9% | 27% | |
| 27 | 12% | 17% | |
| 28 | 5% | 5% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 18 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 19 | 54% | 94% | Median |
| 20 | 10% | 40% | |
| 21 | 22% | 31% | |
| 22 | 9% | 9% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 21–27 January 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.98%