Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 25–28 January 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 17.5% 16.0–19.1% 15.6–19.5% 15.2–20.0% 14.6–20.7%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 13.1% 11.8–14.5% 11.4–15.0% 11.1–15.3% 10.5–16.0%
GroenLinks 9.1% 11.4% 10.2–12.8% 9.8–13.2% 9.6–13.5% 9.0–14.2%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 9.1% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.5–11.0% 7.0–11.7%
Democraten 66 12.2% 8.5% 7.5–9.7% 7.1–10.1% 6.9–10.4% 6.4–11.0%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 8.2% 7.2–9.4% 6.9–9.8% 6.6–10.1% 6.2–10.7%
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 7.8% 6.8–9.0% 6.5–9.3% 6.3–9.6% 5.8–10.2%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 5.7% 4.8–6.8% 4.6–7.0% 4.4–7.3% 4.0–7.8%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 4.9% 4.1–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.7–6.4% 3.4–6.9%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 4.7% 3.9–5.7% 3.7–5.9% 3.5–6.2% 3.2–6.7%
50Plus 3.1% 3.6% 2.9–4.5% 2.8–4.7% 2.6–4.9% 2.3–5.4%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.7–3.4% 1.6–3.6% 1.4–3.9%
DENK 2.1% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 26 25–28 25–28 24–30 23–31
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 19 17–22 17–23 17–25 17–25
GroenLinks 14 19 15–20 15–21 14–21 13–22
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 14 13–15 12–15 11–16 10–17
Democraten 66 19 12 10–14 10–14 10–15 10–16
Socialistische Partij 14 11 10–13 9–15 9–15 9–15
Forum voor Democratie 2 12 10–13 10–13 10–14 9–15
Partij van de Arbeid 9 8 7–10 7–10 6–11 6–11
Partij voor de Dieren 5 8 6–9 6–9 6–10 5–10
ChristenUnie 5 6 6–8 6–8 5–8 4–9
50Plus 4 6 5–7 5–7 4–7 3–8
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 4 2–4 2–4 2–5 2–6
DENK 3 4 2–4 2–5 2–5 2–6

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0.2% 100%  
23 1.1% 99.7%  
24 3% 98.6%  
25 28% 95%  
26 32% 67% Median
27 10% 35%  
28 21% 25%  
29 1.0% 3%  
30 0.3% 3%  
31 2% 2%  
32 0.4% 0.5%  
33 0% 0% Last Result

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
16 0.3% 100%  
17 23% 99.6%  
18 3% 77%  
19 24% 73% Median
20 6% 49% Last Result
21 7% 44%  
22 32% 37%  
23 2% 5%  
24 0.7% 4%  
25 3% 3%  
26 0% 0.2%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
13 0.6% 100%  
14 4% 99.4% Last Result
15 6% 95%  
16 2% 89%  
17 10% 88%  
18 2% 78%  
19 49% 76% Median
20 21% 27%  
21 5% 6%  
22 1.3% 1.4%  
23 0.1% 0.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 2% 100%  
11 1.1% 98%  
12 4% 97%  
13 17% 93%  
14 59% 76% Median
15 14% 17%  
16 2% 3%  
17 0.7% 0.8%  
18 0.1% 0.1%  
19 0% 0% Last Result

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.1% 100%  
10 35% 99.9%  
11 11% 65%  
12 9% 54% Median
13 8% 45%  
14 34% 37%  
15 2% 4%  
16 1.1% 1.2%  
17 0.2% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
8 0.1% 100%  
9 9% 99.9%  
10 29% 91%  
11 46% 62% Median
12 3% 15%  
13 4% 12%  
14 3% 9% Last Result
15 6% 6%  
16 0.2% 0.4%  
17 0.1% 0.2%  
18 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.2% 100%  
9 2% 99.8%  
10 11% 98%  
11 35% 87%  
12 28% 52% Median
13 20% 24%  
14 2% 4%  
15 1.4% 2%  
16 0.2% 0.3%  
17 0% 0%  

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.1% 100%  
6 2% 99.9%  
7 21% 97%  
8 30% 76% Median
9 29% 46% Last Result
10 14% 17%  
11 3% 3%  
12 0.2% 0.3%  
13 0% 0%  

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 2% 99.9% Last Result
6 10% 98%  
7 32% 89%  
8 30% 57% Median
9 23% 27%  
10 3% 4%  
11 0.3% 0.4%  
12 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.6% 100%  
5 2% 99.4% Last Result
6 73% 97% Median
7 11% 24%  
8 11% 13%  
9 2% 2%  
10 0.3% 0.3%  
11 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.9% 100%  
4 3% 99.1% Last Result
5 39% 96%  
6 39% 56% Median
7 17% 18%  
8 1.1% 1.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 14% 100%  
3 9% 86% Last Result
4 74% 77% Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0.6% 0.7%  
7 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.3% 100%  
2 19% 99.7%  
3 20% 80% Last Result
4 55% 60% Median
5 5% 5%  
6 0.6% 0.6%  
7 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 90 77 64% 75–79 74–80 73–82 70–83
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 76 60% 73–78 71–79 71–79 69–82
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 74 72 5% 69–74 69–75 68–77 66–78
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 80 70 3% 68–73 68–74 68–76 65–77
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 85 67 0.1% 62–71 62–72 62–72 62–74
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 72 61 0% 57–63 57–63 57–67 55–67
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 61 0% 58–64 58–65 57–65 55–66
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 66 59 0% 57–62 57–64 55–64 53–66
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 76 58 0% 55–63 55–64 55–64 55–66
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus 58 58 0% 55–60 54–61 53–61 52–63
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 56 0% 53–57 52–58 51–59 49–61
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 71 52 0% 49–55 49–57 49–57 48–59
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie 54 52 0% 50–53 50–54 48–56 46–58
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 61 49 0% 46–51 46–52 45–52 44–53
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 61 47 0% 42–49 42–51 42–52 42–53
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 40 0% 38–42 38–43 37–44 36–46
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 35 0% 32–36 32–37 32–39 30–40
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid 47 34 0% 31–37 31–38 31–38 30–41
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 33 29 0% 27–31 26–31 26–32 25–33
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 38 26 0% 24–29 24–29 23–29 22–31
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 28 23 0% 21–24 20–24 19–25 18–25

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.8% 100%  
71 0.3% 99.1%  
72 0.7% 98.9%  
73 2% 98%  
74 5% 96%  
75 27% 91%  
76 2% 64% Majority
77 17% 62% Median
78 4% 45%  
79 31% 41%  
80 6% 10%  
81 1.3% 4%  
82 1.1% 3%  
83 2% 2%  
84 0.1% 0.3%  
85 0.1% 0.1%  
86 0% 0.1%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
68 0% 100%  
69 0.7% 99.9%  
70 1.5% 99.3%  
71 5% 98%  
72 2% 92%  
73 23% 91%  
74 2% 68%  
75 7% 66% Median
76 30% 60% Majority
77 5% 30% Last Result
78 19% 25%  
79 3% 6%  
80 1.4% 2%  
81 0.3% 0.8%  
82 0.4% 0.5%  
83 0.1% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
65 0.1% 100%  
66 2% 99.9%  
67 0.3% 98%  
68 2% 98%  
69 26% 96%  
70 2% 70%  
71 3% 67% Median
72 26% 64%  
73 13% 38%  
74 20% 25% Last Result
75 0.7% 6%  
76 1.5% 5% Majority
77 3% 3%  
78 0.5% 0.7%  
79 0.1% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0.1% 100%  
64 0.4% 99.9%  
65 0.7% 99.5%  
66 0.3% 98.9%  
67 0.9% 98.6%  
68 32% 98%  
69 8% 66%  
70 16% 57% Median
71 2% 41%  
72 27% 39%  
73 5% 12%  
74 3% 7%  
75 1.4% 4%  
76 1.1% 3% Majority
77 1.1% 1.5%  
78 0.4% 0.4%  
79 0% 0.1%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 18% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 82%  
64 0.7% 82%  
65 8% 81%  
66 22% 73% Median
67 3% 51%  
68 6% 48%  
69 27% 42%  
70 4% 15%  
71 2% 11%  
72 7% 9%  
73 1.3% 2%  
74 0.3% 0.6%  
75 0.2% 0.3%  
76 0.1% 0.1% Majority
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 2% 99.8%  
56 0.4% 98%  
57 29% 98%  
58 2% 69%  
59 3% 67% Median
60 2% 65%  
61 44% 63%  
62 7% 19%  
63 7% 12%  
64 1.1% 5%  
65 0.5% 4%  
66 0.6% 3%  
67 3% 3%  
68 0.1% 0.2%  
69 0% 0.1%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.3% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.7%  
55 0.9% 99.6%  
56 0.8% 98.7%  
57 2% 98%  
58 7% 96%  
59 13% 89%  
60 10% 77%  
61 22% 67% Last Result
62 23% 44% Median
63 2% 22%  
64 14% 19%  
65 5% 5%  
66 0.4% 0.8%  
67 0.3% 0.4%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0% 100%  
52 0.2% 99.9%  
53 0.6% 99.8%  
54 1.3% 99.2%  
55 1.1% 98%  
56 2% 97%  
57 35% 95%  
58 5% 60%  
59 10% 55% Median
60 13% 45%  
61 1.1% 31%  
62 23% 30%  
63 0.4% 7%  
64 5% 7%  
65 1.2% 2%  
66 0.7% 0.8% Last Result
67 0% 0.1%  
68 0% 0.1%  
69 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 19% 99.8%  
56 10% 81%  
57 6% 71%  
58 18% 65% Median
59 4% 47%  
60 24% 43%  
61 8% 19%  
62 1.3% 11%  
63 4% 10%  
64 5% 6%  
65 0.7% 1.3%  
66 0.3% 0.6%  
67 0.3% 0.3%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
50 0.3% 100%  
51 0.1% 99.7%  
52 0.9% 99.5%  
53 2% 98.7%  
54 2% 97%  
55 11% 95%  
56 11% 84%  
57 23% 74%  
58 29% 51% Last Result, Median
59 2% 22%  
60 13% 20%  
61 6% 7%  
62 0.5% 1.2%  
63 0.5% 0.7%  
64 0% 0.1%  
65 0.1% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.9% 99.9%  
50 0.2% 99.0%  
51 1.3% 98.8%  
52 6% 97%  
53 3% 92%  
54 20% 89%  
55 3% 69%  
56 44% 66% Median
57 14% 22% Last Result
58 5% 8%  
59 2% 3%  
60 0.4% 1.1%  
61 0.2% 0.7%  
62 0.1% 0.4%  
63 0.3% 0.3%  
64 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.3% 99.8%  
48 0.6% 99.5%  
49 19% 99.0%  
50 10% 80%  
51 11% 70%  
52 15% 59% Median
53 7% 44%  
54 26% 37%  
55 2% 11%  
56 4% 10%  
57 3% 5%  
58 0.2% 2%  
59 2% 2%  
60 0.3% 0.4%  
61 0.1% 0.1%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.1% 100%  
46 0.9% 99.9%  
47 0.2% 99.0%  
48 2% 98.7%  
49 2% 97%  
50 20% 96%  
51 4% 75%  
52 46% 72% Median
53 17% 25%  
54 5% 9% Last Result
55 1.0% 4%  
56 2% 3%  
57 0.4% 1.0%  
58 0.3% 0.6%  
59 0.3% 0.3%  
60 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
42 0.3% 100%  
43 0.2% 99.7%  
44 0.9% 99.5%  
45 3% 98.7%  
46 24% 96%  
47 2% 72%  
48 3% 70% Median
49 36% 67%  
50 18% 31%  
51 7% 13%  
52 4% 6%  
53 2% 2%  
54 0.3% 0.4%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0.1% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
41 0% 100%  
42 18% 99.9%  
43 0.4% 82%  
44 1.3% 82%  
45 1.4% 80%  
46 24% 79% Median
47 14% 55%  
48 4% 41%  
49 28% 37%  
50 3% 9%  
51 3% 6%  
52 1.2% 3%  
53 1.3% 2%  
54 0.2% 0.3%  
55 0.1% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.3% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.7%  
36 2% 99.6%  
37 2% 98%  
38 6% 95%  
39 33% 89%  
40 25% 56% Median
41 2% 31%  
42 20% 29%  
43 7% 10%  
44 0.7% 3%  
45 1.3% 2%  
46 0.5% 0.8%  
47 0.3% 0.3%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
30 0.8% 100%  
31 0.3% 99.2%  
32 21% 98.9%  
33 6% 78%  
34 2% 72% Median
35 32% 70%  
36 31% 38%  
37 3% 7%  
38 0.9% 4%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.3% 0.6%  
41 0.2% 0.3%  
42 0.2% 0.2% Last Result
43 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.4% 99.9%  
30 0.2% 99.5%  
31 18% 99.3%  
32 14% 81%  
33 9% 67%  
34 15% 58% Median
35 2% 43%  
36 9% 42%  
37 26% 32%  
38 4% 6%  
39 1.0% 2%  
40 0.4% 1.0%  
41 0.6% 0.6%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 0.4% 99.9%  
25 2% 99.6%  
26 3% 98%  
27 25% 95%  
28 16% 70% Median
29 31% 54%  
30 5% 23%  
31 15% 18%  
32 2% 3%  
33 2% 2% Last Result
34 0.1% 0.2%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.2% 100%  
22 0.8% 99.8%  
23 2% 99.1%  
24 40% 97%  
25 7% 57%  
26 12% 51% Median
27 5% 39%  
28 24% 34%  
29 8% 10%  
30 2% 2%  
31 0.5% 0.7%  
32 0.1% 0.2%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0.2% 100%  
18 2% 99.8%  
19 2% 98%  
20 3% 96%  
21 25% 94%  
22 16% 69% Median
23 39% 53%  
24 11% 14%  
25 2% 3%  
26 0.1% 0.5%  
27 0.3% 0.3%  
28 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations