Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 25–28 January 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
17.5% |
16.0–19.1% |
15.6–19.5% |
15.2–20.0% |
14.6–20.7% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
13.1% |
11.8–14.5% |
11.4–15.0% |
11.1–15.3% |
10.5–16.0% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
11.4% |
10.2–12.8% |
9.8–13.2% |
9.6–13.5% |
9.0–14.2% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
9.1% |
8.0–10.3% |
7.7–10.7% |
7.5–11.0% |
7.0–11.7% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
8.5% |
7.5–9.7% |
7.1–10.1% |
6.9–10.4% |
6.4–11.0% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
8.2% |
7.2–9.4% |
6.9–9.8% |
6.6–10.1% |
6.2–10.7% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
7.8% |
6.8–9.0% |
6.5–9.3% |
6.3–9.6% |
5.8–10.2% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
5.7% |
4.8–6.8% |
4.6–7.0% |
4.4–7.3% |
4.0–7.8% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.9% |
4.1–5.9% |
3.9–6.2% |
3.7–6.4% |
3.4–6.9% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.7% |
3.9–5.7% |
3.7–5.9% |
3.5–6.2% |
3.2–6.7% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
3.6% |
2.9–4.5% |
2.8–4.7% |
2.6–4.9% |
2.3–5.4% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.4% |
1.9–3.1% |
1.7–3.4% |
1.6–3.6% |
1.4–3.9% |
DENK |
2.1% |
2.2% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.6–3.1% |
1.4–3.3% |
1.2–3.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
23 |
1.1% |
99.7% |
|
24 |
3% |
98.6% |
|
25 |
28% |
95% |
|
26 |
32% |
67% |
Median |
27 |
10% |
35% |
|
28 |
21% |
25% |
|
29 |
1.0% |
3% |
|
30 |
0.3% |
3% |
|
31 |
2% |
2% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
17 |
23% |
99.6% |
|
18 |
3% |
77% |
|
19 |
24% |
73% |
Median |
20 |
6% |
49% |
Last Result |
21 |
7% |
44% |
|
22 |
32% |
37% |
|
23 |
2% |
5% |
|
24 |
0.7% |
4% |
|
25 |
3% |
3% |
|
26 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
13 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
14 |
4% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
15 |
6% |
95% |
|
16 |
2% |
89% |
|
17 |
10% |
88% |
|
18 |
2% |
78% |
|
19 |
49% |
76% |
Median |
20 |
21% |
27% |
|
21 |
5% |
6% |
|
22 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
23 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
24 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
2% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
12 |
4% |
97% |
|
13 |
17% |
93% |
|
14 |
59% |
76% |
Median |
15 |
14% |
17% |
|
16 |
2% |
3% |
|
17 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
35% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
11% |
65% |
|
12 |
9% |
54% |
Median |
13 |
8% |
45% |
|
14 |
34% |
37% |
|
15 |
2% |
4% |
|
16 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
9% |
99.9% |
|
10 |
29% |
91% |
|
11 |
46% |
62% |
Median |
12 |
3% |
15% |
|
13 |
4% |
12% |
|
14 |
3% |
9% |
Last Result |
15 |
6% |
6% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
9 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
11% |
98% |
|
11 |
35% |
87% |
|
12 |
28% |
52% |
Median |
13 |
20% |
24% |
|
14 |
2% |
4% |
|
15 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
6 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
7 |
21% |
97% |
|
8 |
30% |
76% |
Median |
9 |
29% |
46% |
Last Result |
10 |
14% |
17% |
|
11 |
3% |
3% |
|
12 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
5 |
2% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
6 |
10% |
98% |
|
7 |
32% |
89% |
|
8 |
30% |
57% |
Median |
9 |
23% |
27% |
|
10 |
3% |
4% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
5 |
2% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
6 |
73% |
97% |
Median |
7 |
11% |
24% |
|
8 |
11% |
13% |
|
9 |
2% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
4 |
3% |
99.1% |
Last Result |
5 |
39% |
96% |
|
6 |
39% |
56% |
Median |
7 |
17% |
18% |
|
8 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
14% |
100% |
|
3 |
9% |
86% |
Last Result |
4 |
74% |
77% |
Median |
5 |
3% |
3% |
|
6 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
2 |
19% |
99.7% |
|
3 |
20% |
80% |
Last Result |
4 |
55% |
60% |
Median |
5 |
5% |
5% |
|
6 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
77 |
64% |
75–79 |
74–80 |
73–82 |
70–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
76 |
60% |
73–78 |
71–79 |
71–79 |
69–82 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
74 |
72 |
5% |
69–74 |
69–75 |
68–77 |
66–78 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
80 |
70 |
3% |
68–73 |
68–74 |
68–76 |
65–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
67 |
0.1% |
62–71 |
62–72 |
62–72 |
62–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
61 |
0% |
57–63 |
57–63 |
57–67 |
55–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
61 |
0% |
58–64 |
58–65 |
57–65 |
55–66 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
59 |
0% |
57–62 |
57–64 |
55–64 |
53–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
58 |
0% |
55–63 |
55–64 |
55–64 |
55–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus |
58 |
58 |
0% |
55–60 |
54–61 |
53–61 |
52–63 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
56 |
0% |
53–57 |
52–58 |
51–59 |
49–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
52 |
0% |
49–55 |
49–57 |
49–57 |
48–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie |
54 |
52 |
0% |
50–53 |
50–54 |
48–56 |
46–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
49 |
0% |
46–51 |
46–52 |
45–52 |
44–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
47 |
0% |
42–49 |
42–51 |
42–52 |
42–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
40 |
0% |
38–42 |
38–43 |
37–44 |
36–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
35 |
0% |
32–36 |
32–37 |
32–39 |
30–40 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
34 |
0% |
31–37 |
31–38 |
31–38 |
30–41 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
29 |
0% |
27–31 |
26–31 |
26–32 |
25–33 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
26 |
0% |
24–29 |
24–29 |
23–29 |
22–31 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
23 |
0% |
21–24 |
20–24 |
19–25 |
18–25 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
73 |
2% |
98% |
|
74 |
5% |
96% |
|
75 |
27% |
91% |
|
76 |
2% |
64% |
Majority |
77 |
17% |
62% |
Median |
78 |
4% |
45% |
|
79 |
31% |
41% |
|
80 |
6% |
10% |
|
81 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
82 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
83 |
2% |
2% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
1.5% |
99.3% |
|
71 |
5% |
98% |
|
72 |
2% |
92% |
|
73 |
23% |
91% |
|
74 |
2% |
68% |
|
75 |
7% |
66% |
Median |
76 |
30% |
60% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
30% |
Last Result |
78 |
19% |
25% |
|
79 |
3% |
6% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.8% |
|
82 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
83 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
98% |
|
68 |
2% |
98% |
|
69 |
26% |
96% |
|
70 |
2% |
70% |
|
71 |
3% |
67% |
Median |
72 |
26% |
64% |
|
73 |
13% |
38% |
|
74 |
20% |
25% |
Last Result |
75 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
76 |
1.5% |
5% |
Majority |
77 |
3% |
3% |
|
78 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
98.9% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
98.6% |
|
68 |
32% |
98% |
|
69 |
8% |
66% |
|
70 |
16% |
57% |
Median |
71 |
2% |
41% |
|
72 |
27% |
39% |
|
73 |
5% |
12% |
|
74 |
3% |
7% |
|
75 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
76 |
1.1% |
3% |
Majority |
77 |
1.1% |
1.5% |
|
78 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
18% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
82% |
|
64 |
0.7% |
82% |
|
65 |
8% |
81% |
|
66 |
22% |
73% |
Median |
67 |
3% |
51% |
|
68 |
6% |
48% |
|
69 |
27% |
42% |
|
70 |
4% |
15% |
|
71 |
2% |
11% |
|
72 |
7% |
9% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
57 |
29% |
98% |
|
58 |
2% |
69% |
|
59 |
3% |
67% |
Median |
60 |
2% |
65% |
|
61 |
44% |
63% |
|
62 |
7% |
19% |
|
63 |
7% |
12% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
4% |
|
66 |
0.6% |
3% |
|
67 |
3% |
3% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
0.9% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
98.7% |
|
57 |
2% |
98% |
|
58 |
7% |
96% |
|
59 |
13% |
89% |
|
60 |
10% |
77% |
|
61 |
22% |
67% |
Last Result |
62 |
23% |
44% |
Median |
63 |
2% |
22% |
|
64 |
14% |
19% |
|
65 |
5% |
5% |
|
66 |
0.4% |
0.8% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
1.3% |
99.2% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
56 |
2% |
97% |
|
57 |
35% |
95% |
|
58 |
5% |
60% |
|
59 |
10% |
55% |
Median |
60 |
13% |
45% |
|
61 |
1.1% |
31% |
|
62 |
23% |
30% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
7% |
|
64 |
5% |
7% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
67 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
19% |
99.8% |
|
56 |
10% |
81% |
|
57 |
6% |
71% |
|
58 |
18% |
65% |
Median |
59 |
4% |
47% |
|
60 |
24% |
43% |
|
61 |
8% |
19% |
|
62 |
1.3% |
11% |
|
63 |
4% |
10% |
|
64 |
5% |
6% |
|
65 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
53 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
54 |
2% |
97% |
|
55 |
11% |
95% |
|
56 |
11% |
84% |
|
57 |
23% |
74% |
|
58 |
29% |
51% |
Last Result, Median |
59 |
2% |
22% |
|
60 |
13% |
20% |
|
61 |
6% |
7% |
|
62 |
0.5% |
1.2% |
|
63 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
51 |
1.3% |
98.8% |
|
52 |
6% |
97% |
|
53 |
3% |
92% |
|
54 |
20% |
89% |
|
55 |
3% |
69% |
|
56 |
44% |
66% |
Median |
57 |
14% |
22% |
Last Result |
58 |
5% |
8% |
|
59 |
2% |
3% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
46 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
48 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
49 |
19% |
99.0% |
|
50 |
10% |
80% |
|
51 |
11% |
70% |
|
52 |
15% |
59% |
Median |
53 |
7% |
44% |
|
54 |
26% |
37% |
|
55 |
2% |
11% |
|
56 |
4% |
10% |
|
57 |
3% |
5% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
59 |
2% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Forum voor Democratie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
99.0% |
|
48 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
49 |
2% |
97% |
|
50 |
20% |
96% |
|
51 |
4% |
75% |
|
52 |
46% |
72% |
Median |
53 |
17% |
25% |
|
54 |
5% |
9% |
Last Result |
55 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
56 |
2% |
3% |
|
57 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
58 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
59 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
44 |
0.9% |
99.5% |
|
45 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
46 |
24% |
96% |
|
47 |
2% |
72% |
|
48 |
3% |
70% |
Median |
49 |
36% |
67% |
|
50 |
18% |
31% |
|
51 |
7% |
13% |
|
52 |
4% |
6% |
|
53 |
2% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0% |
100% |
|
42 |
18% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.4% |
82% |
|
44 |
1.3% |
82% |
|
45 |
1.4% |
80% |
|
46 |
24% |
79% |
Median |
47 |
14% |
55% |
|
48 |
4% |
41% |
|
49 |
28% |
37% |
|
50 |
3% |
9% |
|
51 |
3% |
6% |
|
52 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
53 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
36 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
37 |
2% |
98% |
|
38 |
6% |
95% |
|
39 |
33% |
89% |
|
40 |
25% |
56% |
Median |
41 |
2% |
31% |
|
42 |
20% |
29% |
|
43 |
7% |
10% |
|
44 |
0.7% |
3% |
|
45 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
32 |
21% |
98.9% |
|
33 |
6% |
78% |
|
34 |
2% |
72% |
Median |
35 |
32% |
70% |
|
36 |
31% |
38% |
|
37 |
3% |
7% |
|
38 |
0.9% |
4% |
|
39 |
2% |
3% |
|
40 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
41 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
29 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
31 |
18% |
99.3% |
|
32 |
14% |
81% |
|
33 |
9% |
67% |
|
34 |
15% |
58% |
Median |
35 |
2% |
43% |
|
36 |
9% |
42% |
|
37 |
26% |
32% |
|
38 |
4% |
6% |
|
39 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
40 |
0.4% |
1.0% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
26 |
3% |
98% |
|
27 |
25% |
95% |
|
28 |
16% |
70% |
Median |
29 |
31% |
54% |
|
30 |
5% |
23% |
|
31 |
15% |
18% |
|
32 |
2% |
3% |
|
33 |
2% |
2% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.8% |
99.8% |
|
23 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
24 |
40% |
97% |
|
25 |
7% |
57% |
|
26 |
12% |
51% |
Median |
27 |
5% |
39% |
|
28 |
24% |
34% |
|
29 |
8% |
10% |
|
30 |
2% |
2% |
|
31 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
18 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
19 |
2% |
98% |
|
20 |
3% |
96% |
|
21 |
25% |
94% |
|
22 |
16% |
69% |
Median |
23 |
39% |
53% |
|
24 |
11% |
14% |
|
25 |
2% |
3% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 25–28 January 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1002
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.03%