Opinion Poll by Ipsos for EenVandaag, 22–24 February 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
18.4% |
16.9–20.1% |
16.5–20.5% |
16.2–20.9% |
15.5–21.7% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
12.4% |
11.1–13.8% |
10.8–14.2% |
10.5–14.5% |
9.9–15.2% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
10.6% |
9.5–12.0% |
9.1–12.3% |
8.9–12.7% |
8.4–13.3% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
9.9% |
8.8–11.2% |
8.5–11.6% |
8.2–11.9% |
7.7–12.6% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
9.2% |
8.1–10.4% |
7.8–10.8% |
7.5–11.1% |
7.1–11.7% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
8.6% |
7.5–9.8% |
7.3–10.2% |
7.0–10.5% |
6.5–11.1% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
7.4% |
6.4–8.6% |
6.2–8.9% |
6.0–9.2% |
5.5–9.8% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.1% |
5.3–7.2% |
5.0–7.5% |
4.8–7.8% |
4.4–8.3% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.2% |
3.5–5.1% |
3.3–5.4% |
3.1–5.6% |
2.8–6.1% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.3% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.7–6.0% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.3% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.7–6.0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.5% |
2.0–3.3% |
1.9–3.5% |
1.7–3.7% |
1.5–4.1% |
DENK |
2.1% |
2.1% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.5–3.0% |
1.4–3.2% |
1.2–3.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
24 |
35% |
98.9% |
|
25 |
2% |
64% |
|
26 |
12% |
62% |
|
27 |
6% |
51% |
Median |
28 |
20% |
44% |
|
29 |
8% |
24% |
|
30 |
8% |
17% |
|
31 |
5% |
9% |
|
32 |
4% |
4% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.6% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
15 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
8% |
93% |
|
17 |
3% |
85% |
|
18 |
49% |
81% |
Median |
19 |
6% |
32% |
|
20 |
19% |
26% |
Last Result |
21 |
7% |
7% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
23 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
13 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
14 |
3% |
98% |
Last Result |
15 |
10% |
95% |
|
16 |
8% |
84% |
|
17 |
41% |
76% |
Median |
18 |
23% |
35% |
|
19 |
11% |
12% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
12 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
13 |
10% |
98.5% |
|
14 |
5% |
88% |
|
15 |
24% |
84% |
|
16 |
51% |
59% |
Median |
17 |
6% |
8% |
|
18 |
2% |
2% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
0.5% |
|
20 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
11 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
12 |
20% |
97% |
|
13 |
4% |
77% |
|
14 |
20% |
73% |
|
15 |
43% |
53% |
Median |
16 |
3% |
10% |
|
17 |
7% |
7% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
2% |
94% |
|
12 |
51% |
92% |
Median |
13 |
19% |
40% |
|
14 |
18% |
21% |
|
15 |
2% |
4% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
17 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
8% |
99.6% |
|
10 |
13% |
92% |
|
11 |
14% |
79% |
|
12 |
51% |
65% |
Median |
13 |
12% |
14% |
|
14 |
1.4% |
1.5% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
7 |
7% |
99.7% |
|
8 |
15% |
93% |
|
9 |
5% |
78% |
Last Result |
10 |
26% |
73% |
Median |
11 |
44% |
47% |
|
12 |
3% |
3% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
5% |
100% |
|
5 |
18% |
95% |
Last Result |
6 |
51% |
76% |
Median |
7 |
17% |
26% |
|
8 |
8% |
9% |
|
9 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
4 |
8% |
99.6% |
|
5 |
8% |
91% |
Last Result |
6 |
69% |
84% |
Median |
7 |
12% |
14% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
7% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
5 |
27% |
93% |
|
6 |
55% |
66% |
Median |
7 |
8% |
11% |
|
8 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
9 |
2% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
19% |
100% |
|
3 |
16% |
81% |
Last Result |
4 |
48% |
65% |
Median |
5 |
15% |
16% |
|
6 |
1.1% |
1.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
2 |
11% |
99.4% |
|
3 |
78% |
88% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
9% |
10% |
|
5 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
6 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
90 |
75 |
44% |
74–81 |
74–82 |
73–82 |
71–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
77 |
51% |
74–80 |
74–81 |
74–81 |
73–84 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
74 |
73 |
24% |
70–78 |
70–78 |
70–78 |
69–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
68 |
4% |
67–75 |
66–75 |
66–76 |
65–76 |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
80 |
71 |
0% |
67–74 |
66–75 |
65–75 |
62–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
64 |
0% |
62–67 |
62–68 |
62–68 |
60–70 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
76 |
58 |
0% |
57–65 |
57–67 |
57–67 |
57–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus |
58 |
60 |
0% |
58–64 |
58–64 |
58–64 |
57–67 |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
61 |
0% |
57–62 |
56–63 |
54–63 |
52–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
57 |
0% |
54–62 |
54–63 |
54–63 |
54–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
59 |
0% |
56–61 |
56–62 |
56–62 |
54–64 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
71 |
52 |
0% |
51–59 |
51–60 |
51–60 |
50–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
54 |
55 |
0% |
52–58 |
52–58 |
52–58 |
50–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
50 |
0% |
48–55 |
47–56 |
46–56 |
45–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
48 |
0% |
47–53 |
47–54 |
46–55 |
44–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
40 |
0% |
36–43 |
36–45 |
36–45 |
35–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
35 |
0% |
34–40 |
34–42 |
34–42 |
31–42 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
38 |
0% |
34–38 |
33–39 |
33–40 |
31–41 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
29 |
0% |
27–30 |
27–30 |
25–30 |
23–32 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
38 |
27 |
0% |
24–29 |
24–30 |
23–30 |
22–31 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
23 |
0% |
21–24 |
20–24 |
19–25 |
18–26 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
1.4% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
98% |
|
73 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
74 |
37% |
97% |
|
75 |
16% |
60% |
|
76 |
2% |
44% |
Majority |
77 |
10% |
42% |
Median |
78 |
5% |
31% |
|
79 |
0.8% |
26% |
|
80 |
6% |
26% |
|
81 |
12% |
20% |
|
82 |
6% |
8% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
1.2% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
74 |
35% |
99.2% |
|
75 |
12% |
64% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
51% |
Majority |
77 |
9% |
51% |
Last Result, Median |
78 |
14% |
41% |
|
79 |
10% |
27% |
|
80 |
11% |
17% |
|
81 |
3% |
5% |
|
82 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.6% |
|
85 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
86 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.5% |
99.8% |
|
70 |
36% |
99.4% |
|
71 |
2% |
64% |
|
72 |
11% |
62% |
|
73 |
20% |
51% |
Median |
74 |
3% |
31% |
Last Result |
75 |
4% |
28% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
24% |
Majority |
77 |
11% |
23% |
|
78 |
11% |
12% |
|
79 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.6% |
|
81 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
82 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
5% |
99.3% |
|
67 |
13% |
94% |
|
68 |
43% |
81% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
38% |
|
70 |
11% |
37% |
Median |
71 |
2% |
26% |
|
72 |
3% |
24% |
|
73 |
11% |
22% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
11% |
|
75 |
6% |
10% |
|
76 |
4% |
4% |
Majority |
77 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
99.2% |
|
65 |
3% |
98.9% |
|
66 |
2% |
95% |
|
67 |
5% |
94% |
|
68 |
1.3% |
89% |
|
69 |
9% |
88% |
|
70 |
13% |
79% |
|
71 |
19% |
66% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
47% |
Median |
73 |
36% |
46% |
|
74 |
2% |
11% |
|
75 |
8% |
8% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
62 |
35% |
99.2% |
|
63 |
10% |
64% |
|
64 |
12% |
54% |
|
65 |
12% |
42% |
Median |
66 |
18% |
30% |
|
67 |
6% |
11% |
|
68 |
4% |
6% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
70 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
54 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
47% |
99.5% |
|
58 |
10% |
53% |
|
59 |
6% |
42% |
|
60 |
3% |
37% |
Median |
61 |
3% |
34% |
|
62 |
16% |
31% |
|
63 |
1.2% |
14% |
|
64 |
2% |
13% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
11% |
|
66 |
4% |
10% |
|
67 |
6% |
6% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
58 |
36% |
99.4% |
Last Result |
59 |
5% |
63% |
|
60 |
12% |
58% |
|
61 |
14% |
46% |
Median |
62 |
5% |
32% |
|
63 |
10% |
27% |
|
64 |
15% |
17% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
1.4% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
1.0% |
|
67 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
99.4% |
|
54 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
55 |
0.9% |
97% |
|
56 |
3% |
96% |
|
57 |
20% |
93% |
|
58 |
4% |
73% |
|
59 |
6% |
70% |
|
60 |
8% |
63% |
Median |
61 |
40% |
55% |
|
62 |
6% |
14% |
|
63 |
8% |
9% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
53 |
0% |
100% |
|
54 |
36% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
1.2% |
64% |
|
56 |
12% |
63% |
|
57 |
2% |
51% |
Median |
58 |
12% |
50% |
|
59 |
1.2% |
38% |
|
60 |
17% |
37% |
|
61 |
2% |
20% |
|
62 |
9% |
18% |
|
63 |
6% |
9% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
66 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
56 |
36% |
98.8% |
|
57 |
4% |
63% |
Last Result |
58 |
2% |
59% |
|
59 |
23% |
57% |
Median |
60 |
23% |
34% |
|
61 |
3% |
11% |
|
62 |
5% |
8% |
|
63 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
64 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
51 |
37% |
99.3% |
|
52 |
16% |
62% |
|
53 |
5% |
46% |
|
54 |
14% |
40% |
Median |
55 |
5% |
26% |
|
56 |
2% |
22% |
|
57 |
6% |
20% |
|
58 |
1.5% |
13% |
|
59 |
5% |
12% |
|
60 |
6% |
6% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
1.4% |
99.5% |
|
52 |
35% |
98% |
|
53 |
4% |
63% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
59% |
Last Result |
55 |
15% |
58% |
Median |
56 |
11% |
43% |
|
57 |
18% |
32% |
|
58 |
13% |
15% |
|
59 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
60 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
|
61 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
62 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
64 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
46 |
4% |
99.2% |
|
47 |
0.8% |
95% |
|
48 |
10% |
94% |
|
49 |
0.7% |
85% |
|
50 |
55% |
84% |
|
51 |
3% |
29% |
|
52 |
4% |
26% |
Median |
53 |
2% |
22% |
|
54 |
0.6% |
21% |
|
55 |
13% |
20% |
|
56 |
7% |
7% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.7% |
98.8% |
|
46 |
1.1% |
98% |
|
47 |
35% |
97% |
|
48 |
13% |
62% |
|
49 |
0.9% |
49% |
Median |
50 |
20% |
48% |
|
51 |
9% |
28% |
|
52 |
6% |
18% |
|
53 |
7% |
13% |
|
54 |
2% |
6% |
|
55 |
4% |
4% |
|
56 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
36 |
35% |
98.9% |
|
37 |
1.3% |
64% |
|
38 |
0.6% |
63% |
|
39 |
2% |
62% |
Median |
40 |
26% |
60% |
|
41 |
14% |
34% |
|
42 |
7% |
21% |
|
43 |
7% |
14% |
|
44 |
0.6% |
6% |
|
45 |
5% |
6% |
|
46 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
31 |
0% |
99.5% |
|
32 |
0.6% |
99.5% |
|
33 |
0.6% |
98.9% |
|
34 |
12% |
98% |
|
35 |
37% |
86% |
|
36 |
5% |
49% |
|
37 |
3% |
44% |
Median |
38 |
24% |
41% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
17% |
|
40 |
8% |
17% |
|
41 |
2% |
9% |
|
42 |
7% |
7% |
Last Result |
43 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
1.4% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
33 |
4% |
98% |
|
34 |
17% |
94% |
|
35 |
7% |
77% |
|
36 |
11% |
70% |
|
37 |
6% |
59% |
Median |
38 |
45% |
53% |
|
39 |
5% |
9% |
|
40 |
2% |
3% |
|
41 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
0.6% |
99.2% |
|
25 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
26 |
2% |
97% |
|
27 |
16% |
95% |
|
28 |
17% |
79% |
Median |
29 |
43% |
62% |
|
30 |
16% |
19% |
|
31 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
32 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
33 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
22 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
23 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
24 |
19% |
97% |
|
25 |
2% |
78% |
|
26 |
8% |
77% |
|
27 |
40% |
68% |
Median |
28 |
16% |
28% |
|
29 |
3% |
12% |
|
30 |
7% |
9% |
|
31 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
32 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
18 |
0.7% |
99.5% |
|
19 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
20 |
2% |
97% |
|
21 |
14% |
95% |
|
22 |
23% |
80% |
Median |
23 |
42% |
57% |
|
24 |
12% |
15% |
|
25 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
26 |
2% |
2% |
|
27 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): EenVandaag
- Fieldwork period: 22–24 February 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1026
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.58%