Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 18–24 February 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 14.7% | 13.9–15.5% | 13.6–15.8% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.1–16.4% | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.3–12.8% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% | 
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.3–12.8% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 12.0% | 11.3–12.8% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% | 
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% | 
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% | 
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% | 
| DENK | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% | 
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 23 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 21–25 | 20–25 | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 16–20 | 
| GroenLinks | 14 | 18 | 18–19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 16–21 | 
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 19 | 18–20 | 18–20 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 7 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 
| DENK | 3 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 | 
| 50Plus | 4 | 4 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 22 | 45% | 97% | |
| 23 | 18% | 52% | Median | 
| 24 | 3% | 34% | |
| 25 | 30% | 30% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 17 | 42% | 98.8% | |
| 18 | 43% | 57% | Median | 
| 19 | 11% | 13% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | Last Result | 
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 8% | 99.1% | |
| 18 | 47% | 91% | Median | 
| 19 | 42% | 44% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | 
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 18 | 41% | 96% | |
| 19 | 30% | 55% | Median | 
| 20 | 25% | 25% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 3% | 100% | |
| 13 | 36% | 97% | |
| 14 | 39% | 61% | Median | 
| 15 | 21% | 22% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 17 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | 
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 30% | 98% | |
| 12 | 40% | 68% | Median | 
| 13 | 25% | 28% | |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | Last Result | 
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 32% | 96% | |
| 9 | 53% | 65% | Median | 
| 10 | 12% | 12% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 33% | 99.7% | |
| 9 | 54% | 67% | Median | 
| 10 | 11% | 13% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 48% | 98% | Median | 
| 8 | 43% | 49% | |
| 9 | 6% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | 
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 31% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 28% | 69% | Median | 
| 8 | 41% | 41% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% | 
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 20% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 38% | 78% | Median | 
| 8 | 39% | 40% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | 
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 55% | 99.9% | Last Result, Median | 
| 5 | 42% | 45% | |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% | 
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 56% | 99.9% | Median | 
| 3 | 42% | 44% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 71 | 0.1% | 70–72 | 68–72 | 67–72 | 66–73 | 
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 80 | 69 | 0% | 67–71 | 67–71 | 67–71 | 65–73 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 74 | 68 | 0% | 67–70 | 65–70 | 64–70 | 64–70 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 66 | 0% | 65–67 | 65–67 | 64–67 | 63–70 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 62 | 0% | 60–63 | 60–63 | 59–64 | 58–64 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 58 | 0% | 56–58 | 56–58 | 55–59 | 53–60 | 
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 57 | 0% | 56–58 | 56–58 | 55–58 | 53–60 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 55 | 0% | 54–56 | 53–56 | 53–56 | 50–58 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 54 | 0% | 51–54 | 50–54 | 50–55 | 48–55 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 51 | 0% | 49–52 | 48–52 | 47–52 | 45–53 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 50 | 0% | 48–51 | 47–51 | 47–52 | 46–53 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 48 | 0% | 47–48 | 46–48 | 46–49 | 44–50 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 45 | 0% | 44–47 | 44–47 | 42–49 | 42–49 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 46 | 0% | 43–48 | 43–48 | 43–48 | 42–50 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 40 | 0% | 40–42 | 39–42 | 38–42 | 38–43 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 37 | 0% | 35–39 | 35–39 | 34–40 | 33–41 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 32 | 0% | 31–33 | 30–33 | 30–34 | 28–34 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 47 | 31 | 0% | 31–33 | 30–33 | 29–33 | 29–34 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 33 | 30 | 0% | 28–32 | 28–32 | 28–32 | 27–32 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 28 | 22 | 0% | 22–24 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 20–25 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 17 | 0% | 17–18 | 17–19 | 15–19 | 15–20 | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 95% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 70 | 35% | 94% | |
| 71 | 27% | 59% | Median | 
| 72 | 30% | 32% | |
| 73 | 2% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 30% | 98% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 68% | |
| 69 | 41% | 68% | Median | 
| 70 | 9% | 26% | |
| 71 | 16% | 17% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.9% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 0.4% | 95% | |
| 67 | 14% | 94% | |
| 68 | 46% | 80% | |
| 69 | 4% | 34% | Median | 
| 70 | 30% | 31% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 3% | 98% | |
| 65 | 13% | 96% | |
| 66 | 50% | 83% | Median | 
| 67 | 31% | 33% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 1.2% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 15% | 96% | |
| 61 | 25% | 82% | |
| 62 | 39% | 57% | Median | 
| 63 | 15% | 18% | |
| 64 | 3% | 3% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 98.5% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98% | |
| 56 | 10% | 95% | |
| 57 | 17% | 85% | Median | 
| 58 | 64% | 68% | |
| 59 | 2% | 4% | |
| 60 | 2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 55 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 56 | 31% | 95% | |
| 57 | 44% | 65% | Median | 
| 58 | 18% | 20% | |
| 59 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 98.7% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 98% | |
| 53 | 6% | 98% | |
| 54 | 8% | 92% | |
| 55 | 51% | 84% | Median | 
| 56 | 31% | 33% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | Last Result | 
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 98.8% | |
| 50 | 3% | 98% | |
| 51 | 9% | 95% | |
| 52 | 17% | 86% | |
| 53 | 13% | 69% | Median | 
| 54 | 53% | 56% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result | 
| 58 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 98.9% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 48 | 6% | 97% | |
| 49 | 8% | 92% | |
| 50 | 28% | 84% | |
| 51 | 24% | 56% | Median | 
| 52 | 31% | 32% | |
| 53 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result | 
| 55 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 4% | 98.7% | |
| 48 | 24% | 95% | |
| 49 | 14% | 71% | |
| 50 | 25% | 57% | Median | 
| 51 | 29% | 32% | |
| 52 | 2% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 46 | 4% | 98% | |
| 47 | 15% | 93% | |
| 48 | 74% | 78% | Median | 
| 49 | 3% | 5% | |
| 50 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 44 | 26% | 96% | |
| 45 | 21% | 70% | |
| 46 | 2% | 49% | Median | 
| 47 | 44% | 47% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 11% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 26% | 88% | |
| 45 | 4% | 62% | |
| 46 | 25% | 59% | Median | 
| 47 | 4% | 34% | |
| 48 | 29% | 30% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.7% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 39 | 3% | 97% | |
| 40 | 52% | 94% | |
| 41 | 10% | 42% | Median | 
| 42 | 30% | 32% | |
| 43 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 35% | 97% | |
| 36 | 11% | 62% | |
| 37 | 4% | 51% | Median | 
| 38 | 16% | 48% | |
| 39 | 29% | 31% | |
| 40 | 2% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result | 
| 43 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 30 | 6% | 98% | |
| 31 | 32% | 92% | |
| 32 | 27% | 60% | Median | 
| 33 | 29% | 33% | |
| 34 | 3% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 29 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 3% | 97% | |
| 31 | 63% | 94% | |
| 32 | 20% | 31% | Median | 
| 33 | 9% | 11% | |
| 34 | 2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 27 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 29% | 98% | |
| 29 | 5% | 68% | |
| 30 | 45% | 63% | Median | 
| 31 | 3% | 18% | |
| 32 | 15% | 15% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 4% | 98% | |
| 22 | 53% | 94% | |
| 23 | 20% | 41% | Median | 
| 24 | 19% | 20% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 3% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 17 | 47% | 96% | |
| 18 | 40% | 49% | Median | 
| 19 | 9% | 10% | |
| 20 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
 - Commissioner(s): —
 - Fieldwork period: 18–24 February 2019
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 1.81%