Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 22–26 February 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 15.3% | 14.3–16.4% | 14.0–16.7% | 13.8–17.0% | 13.3–17.5% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 13.3% | 12.4–14.4% | 12.1–14.7% | 11.9–14.9% | 11.4–15.4% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.2–12.1% | 10.0–12.4% | 9.8–12.6% | 9.4–13.1% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 10.5% | 9.6–11.4% | 9.4–11.7% | 9.2–11.9% | 8.8–12.4% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.3–10.0% | 8.1–10.3% | 7.9–10.5% | 7.5–10.9% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 7.9% | 7.2–8.8% | 7.0–9.0% | 6.8–9.2% | 6.5–9.6% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 7.4% | 6.7–8.2% | 6.5–8.5% | 6.3–8.7% | 6.0–9.1% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8–7.3% | 5.6–7.5% | 5.5–7.7% | 5.2–8.1% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1–5.4% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.8–5.7% | 3.6–6.1% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1–5.3% | 3.9–5.5% | 3.8–5.7% | 3.5–6.0% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.3% | 2.2–3.4% | 2.1–3.6% | 1.9–3.8% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8–2.7% | 1.7–2.9% | 1.6–3.0% | 1.5–3.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 23 | 22–25 | 22–25 | 21–27 | 21–27 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 21 | 19–21 | 19–22 | 19–22 | 18–23 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 17 | 15–17 | 15–18 | 13–18 | 13–20 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 17 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–18 | 14–19 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 14 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 12 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 11 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 2–6 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 22 | 28% | 97% | |
| 23 | 39% | 69% | Median |
| 24 | 17% | 30% | |
| 25 | 9% | 13% | |
| 26 | 2% | 5% | |
| 27 | 3% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 19 | 18% | 99.2% | |
| 20 | 19% | 81% | |
| 21 | 53% | 62% | Median |
| 22 | 7% | 8% | |
| 23 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 3% | 100% | |
| 14 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 15 | 25% | 95% | |
| 16 | 14% | 70% | |
| 17 | 47% | 56% | Median |
| 18 | 8% | 10% | |
| 19 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 14 | 16% | 99.7% | |
| 15 | 11% | 83% | |
| 16 | 12% | 72% | |
| 17 | 27% | 61% | Median |
| 18 | 33% | 34% | |
| 19 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8% | 100% | |
| 12 | 5% | 92% | |
| 13 | 31% | 87% | |
| 14 | 16% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 15 | 39% | 40% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 10 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 11 | 21% | 94% | |
| 12 | 54% | 73% | Median |
| 13 | 19% | 19% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 3% | 100% | |
| 10 | 5% | 97% | |
| 11 | 43% | 92% | Median |
| 12 | 38% | 49% | |
| 13 | 7% | 10% | |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 18% | 95% | Last Result |
| 10 | 55% | 77% | Median |
| 11 | 21% | 22% | |
| 12 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 26% | 98% | |
| 7 | 48% | 73% | Median |
| 8 | 21% | 24% | |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 24% | 98.9% | |
| 7 | 45% | 75% | Median |
| 8 | 29% | 30% | |
| 9 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 21% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 17% | 79% | |
| 6 | 48% | 62% | Median |
| 7 | 12% | 13% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 42% | 98% | Last Result |
| 4 | 39% | 56% | Median |
| 5 | 16% | 18% | |
| 6 | 2% | 2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 41% | 100% | |
| 3 | 42% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 16% | 16% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 80 | 75 | 41% | 70–79 | 69–79 | 69–79 | 69–79 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 74 | 28% | 71–77 | 70–77 | 70–78 | 70–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 71 | 3% | 70–75 | 70–75 | 68–76 | 68–77 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 74 | 67 | 0% | 66–70 | 65–71 | 64–72 | 63–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 63 | 0% | 62–66 | 61–67 | 60–67 | 59–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 60 | 0% | 59–65 | 59–65 | 58–65 | 57–65 |
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 61 | 0% | 58–64 | 58–64 | 58–64 | 57–64 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 57 | 0% | 56–60 | 55–60 | 54–61 | 53–61 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 55 | 0% | 53–58 | 53–58 | 52–59 | 51–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 53 | 0% | 51–56 | 51–56 | 50–57 | 49–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 51 | 0% | 50–53 | 49–54 | 48–56 | 47–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 52 | 0% | 49–53 | 49–55 | 49–55 | 47–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 46 | 0% | 44–48 | 44–50 | 43–51 | 42–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 45 | 0% | 44–47 | 43–47 | 42–49 | 41–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 44 | 0% | 44–47 | 42–48 | 42–48 | 41–49 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 35 | 0% | 33–36 | 33–37 | 32–39 | 32–40 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 33 | 0% | 32–35 | 31–36 | 31–36 | 30–36 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 33 | 0% | 31–35 | 31–35 | 30–35 | 30–36 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 29 | 0% | 28–31 | 27–31 | 26–31 | 25–31 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 23 | 0% | 22–25 | 21–25 | 20–26 | 20–26 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 22 | 0% | 21–23 | 20–23 | 20–23 | 19–24 |
GroenLinks – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0% | 100% | |
| 69 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 1.0% | 91% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 90% | |
| 72 | 9% | 89% | |
| 73 | 4% | 79% | |
| 74 | 21% | 76% | |
| 75 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 76 | 25% | 41% | Majority |
| 77 | 3% | 16% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 13% | |
| 79 | 13% | 13% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 9% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 3% | 91% | |
| 72 | 2% | 88% | |
| 73 | 26% | 86% | |
| 74 | 28% | 60% | Median |
| 75 | 4% | 32% | |
| 76 | 11% | 28% | Majority |
| 77 | 13% | 17% | |
| 78 | 4% | 4% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 69 | 0.9% | 97% | |
| 70 | 42% | 96% | |
| 71 | 11% | 53% | |
| 72 | 4% | 42% | |
| 73 | 23% | 39% | Median |
| 74 | 2% | 16% | |
| 75 | 11% | 14% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 3% | Majority |
| 77 | 1.5% | 2% | Last Result |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 5% | 96% | |
| 66 | 22% | 91% | |
| 67 | 24% | 69% | |
| 68 | 5% | 45% | |
| 69 | 4% | 40% | Median |
| 70 | 30% | 36% | |
| 71 | 4% | 6% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 73 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 3% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 2% | 97% | |
| 62 | 26% | 94% | |
| 63 | 37% | 69% | Median |
| 64 | 1.0% | 32% | |
| 65 | 8% | 31% | |
| 66 | 17% | 22% | |
| 67 | 5% | 5% | |
| 68 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 59 | 20% | 97% | |
| 60 | 29% | 77% | |
| 61 | 26% | 48% | Last Result |
| 62 | 4% | 22% | Median |
| 63 | 5% | 18% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 12% | |
| 65 | 11% | 11% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 10% | 98% | |
| 59 | 12% | 88% | |
| 60 | 8% | 76% | |
| 61 | 43% | 68% | Median |
| 62 | 7% | 25% | |
| 63 | 5% | 18% | |
| 64 | 12% | 13% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 55 | 6% | 97% | |
| 56 | 24% | 90% | |
| 57 | 42% | 66% | |
| 58 | 7% | 24% | Last Result, Median |
| 59 | 3% | 16% | |
| 60 | 8% | 13% | |
| 61 | 5% | 5% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 53 | 18% | 96% | |
| 54 | 5% | 79% | |
| 55 | 31% | 73% | |
| 56 | 23% | 42% | Median |
| 57 | 7% | 20% | Last Result |
| 58 | 9% | 13% | |
| 59 | 1.5% | 4% | |
| 60 | 2% | 2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 49 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 50 | 2% | 98% | |
| 51 | 10% | 97% | |
| 52 | 17% | 87% | |
| 53 | 25% | 70% | Median |
| 54 | 17% | 45% | |
| 55 | 3% | 28% | |
| 56 | 22% | 25% | |
| 57 | 3% | 4% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 49 | 6% | 97% | |
| 50 | 17% | 91% | |
| 51 | 31% | 74% | |
| 52 | 5% | 43% | Median |
| 53 | 30% | 37% | |
| 54 | 3% | 7% | Last Result |
| 55 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 56 | 3% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 2% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 49 | 27% | 98% | |
| 50 | 3% | 71% | |
| 51 | 15% | 68% | |
| 52 | 23% | 53% | Median |
| 53 | 21% | 30% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 9% | |
| 55 | 5% | 8% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 44 | 9% | 97% | |
| 45 | 4% | 88% | |
| 46 | 40% | 84% | Median |
| 47 | 16% | 45% | |
| 48 | 23% | 29% | |
| 49 | 2% | 7% | |
| 50 | 2% | 5% | |
| 51 | 3% | 3% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 43 | 5% | 97% | |
| 44 | 30% | 92% | |
| 45 | 32% | 62% | Median |
| 46 | 17% | 30% | |
| 47 | 10% | 13% | |
| 48 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 49 | 2% | 3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 42 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 43 | 3% | 95% | |
| 44 | 54% | 91% | Median |
| 45 | 14% | 37% | |
| 46 | 9% | 23% | |
| 47 | 8% | 14% | |
| 48 | 5% | 6% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 33 | 11% | 97% | |
| 34 | 22% | 86% | |
| 35 | 24% | 64% | Median |
| 36 | 31% | 40% | |
| 37 | 4% | 9% | |
| 38 | 2% | 5% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 40 | 2% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 3% | 98% | |
| 32 | 17% | 95% | |
| 33 | 59% | 78% | Median |
| 34 | 5% | 19% | |
| 35 | 5% | 14% | |
| 36 | 8% | 9% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 31 | 7% | 97% | |
| 32 | 10% | 90% | |
| 33 | 32% | 80% | Median |
| 34 | 27% | 47% | |
| 35 | 20% | 20% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 3% | 98% | |
| 27 | 5% | 96% | |
| 28 | 31% | 90% | |
| 29 | 37% | 60% | Median |
| 30 | 9% | 23% | |
| 31 | 14% | 14% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 20 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 21 | 2% | 97% | |
| 22 | 13% | 94% | |
| 23 | 37% | 82% | Median |
| 24 | 26% | 44% | |
| 25 | 16% | 18% | |
| 26 | 3% | 3% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 19 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 20 | 5% | 98% | |
| 21 | 19% | 93% | |
| 22 | 55% | 74% | Median |
| 23 | 17% | 18% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 25 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 22–26 February 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1944
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.37%