Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 25 February–3 March 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 15.3% | 14.5–16.2% | 14.3–16.5% | 14.1–16.7% | 13.7–17.1% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.3–12.8% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4–8.7% | 7.2–8.9% | 7.1–9.0% | 6.8–9.4% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 24 | 23–26 | 22–26 | 21–26 | 20–27 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 18 | 17–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 | 16–21 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 17 | 16–18 | 16–18 | 16–20 | 15–20 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 16 | 16–18 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–20 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 14 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 12 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 10 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 |
| DENK | 3 | 7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–9 | 5–9 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–6 | 3–7 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 | 2–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 21 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 22 | 6% | 96% | |
| 23 | 28% | 91% | |
| 24 | 29% | 63% | Median |
| 25 | 13% | 34% | |
| 26 | 21% | 22% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 19% | 91% | |
| 18 | 26% | 72% | Median |
| 19 | 19% | 46% | |
| 20 | 22% | 27% | |
| 21 | 6% | 6% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 99.6% | |
| 16 | 43% | 99.4% | |
| 17 | 14% | 56% | Median |
| 18 | 37% | 42% | |
| 19 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 20 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 53% | 98.7% | Median |
| 17 | 11% | 46% | |
| 18 | 27% | 34% | |
| 19 | 2% | 7% | |
| 20 | 5% | 5% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 12 | 20% | 99.9% | |
| 13 | 10% | 79% | |
| 14 | 21% | 70% | Median |
| 15 | 43% | 49% | |
| 16 | 6% | 6% | |
| 17 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 11 | 28% | 94% | |
| 12 | 42% | 66% | Median |
| 13 | 20% | 24% | |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8% | 100% | |
| 9 | 24% | 92% | |
| 10 | 43% | 68% | Median |
| 11 | 24% | 25% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4% | 100% | |
| 8 | 37% | 96% | |
| 9 | 38% | 59% | Median |
| 10 | 19% | 21% | |
| 11 | 1.3% | 1.5% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 41% | 97% | |
| 8 | 40% | 56% | Median |
| 9 | 10% | 16% | |
| 10 | 6% | 6% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 35% | 98.8% | |
| 7 | 55% | 64% | Median |
| 8 | 9% | 10% | |
| 9 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 6 | 23% | 99.3% | |
| 7 | 45% | 76% | Median |
| 8 | 29% | 32% | |
| 9 | 3% | 3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 29% | 97% | Last Result |
| 5 | 39% | 68% | Median |
| 6 | 28% | 29% | |
| 7 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 2 | 64% | 99.7% | Median |
| 3 | 23% | 36% | Last Result |
| 4 | 13% | 13% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 71 | 0.1% | 68–72 | 66–73 | 66–74 | 66–74 |
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 80 | 69 | 0% | 68–72 | 67–72 | 66–72 | 66–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 68 | 0% | 65–72 | 64–72 | 63–72 | 63–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 74 | 68 | 0% | 66–69 | 64–70 | 64–71 | 63–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 63 | 0% | 60–67 | 60–67 | 60–67 | 59–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 58 | 0% | 56–60 | 55–60 | 55–62 | 54–62 |
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 57 | 0% | 56–61 | 56–61 | 54–61 | 54–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 56 | 0% | 54–57 | 53–58 | 52–59 | 50–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 54 | 0% | 50–55 | 50–55 | 50–57 | 49–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 51 | 0% | 48–52 | 48–53 | 48–54 | 45–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 72 | 51 | 0% | 48–53 | 48–53 | 48–53 | 47–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 50 | 0% | 46–52 | 46–52 | 46–52 | 46–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 47 | 0% | 46–51 | 45–51 | 44–51 | 44–51 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 47 | 0% | 44–50 | 44–50 | 43–50 | 43–50 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 43 | 0% | 40–45 | 40–45 | 39–45 | 38–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 38 | 0% | 36–41 | 36–41 | 35–41 | 34–41 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 35 | 0% | 32–36 | 31–36 | 30–36 | 30–37 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 47 | 33 | 0% | 31–35 | 31–35 | 29–36 | 29–37 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 33 | 30 | 0% | 29–32 | 29–32 | 28–34 | 28–34 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 28 | 24 | 0% | 23–25 | 22–26 | 22–27 | 22–27 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 19 | 0% | 17–20 | 17–21 | 16–21 | 16–22 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 68 | 3% | 92% | |
| 69 | 14% | 89% | Median |
| 70 | 20% | 75% | |
| 71 | 33% | 54% | |
| 72 | 16% | 22% | |
| 73 | 2% | 6% | |
| 74 | 4% | 4% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 3% | 100% | |
| 67 | 6% | 97% | |
| 68 | 16% | 91% | |
| 69 | 27% | 75% | |
| 70 | 19% | 48% | Median |
| 71 | 5% | 30% | |
| 72 | 23% | 25% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 4% | 97% | |
| 65 | 13% | 92% | |
| 66 | 9% | 79% | |
| 67 | 9% | 70% | |
| 68 | 36% | 60% | Median |
| 69 | 2% | 24% | |
| 70 | 3% | 22% | |
| 71 | 0.5% | 20% | |
| 72 | 19% | 19% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 64 | 7% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 66 | 6% | 91% | |
| 67 | 12% | 85% | Median |
| 68 | 41% | 73% | |
| 69 | 25% | 32% | |
| 70 | 2% | 7% | |
| 71 | 5% | 5% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 59 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 13% | 98% | |
| 61 | 10% | 85% | |
| 62 | 22% | 75% | |
| 63 | 7% | 53% | |
| 64 | 11% | 46% | Median |
| 65 | 0.6% | 34% | |
| 66 | 12% | 34% | |
| 67 | 22% | 22% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 54 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 6% | 98% | |
| 56 | 5% | 93% | |
| 57 | 6% | 87% | Median |
| 58 | 42% | 81% | |
| 59 | 19% | 39% | |
| 60 | 16% | 20% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 62 | 3% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 3% | 100% | |
| 55 | 2% | 97% | |
| 56 | 37% | 95% | |
| 57 | 10% | 58% | |
| 58 | 16% | 48% | Median |
| 59 | 2% | 32% | |
| 60 | 9% | 30% | |
| 61 | 20% | 21% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.5% | |
| 52 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 5% | 96% | |
| 54 | 9% | 92% | |
| 55 | 6% | 83% | Median |
| 56 | 57% | 77% | |
| 57 | 13% | 20% | |
| 58 | 3% | 7% | Last Result |
| 59 | 4% | 4% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 10% | 99.1% | |
| 51 | 3% | 89% | |
| 52 | 2% | 86% | Median |
| 53 | 31% | 84% | |
| 54 | 44% | 54% | |
| 55 | 6% | 10% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 57 | 3% | 3% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 11% | 98% | |
| 49 | 3% | 88% | |
| 50 | 15% | 85% | Median |
| 51 | 38% | 69% | |
| 52 | 23% | 31% | |
| 53 | 4% | 8% | |
| 54 | 4% | 4% | Last Result |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 11% | 98.9% | |
| 49 | 5% | 88% | |
| 50 | 19% | 83% | |
| 51 | 22% | 64% | Median |
| 52 | 22% | 41% | |
| 53 | 18% | 20% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 18% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 8% | 82% | |
| 48 | 9% | 74% | |
| 49 | 7% | 66% | |
| 50 | 21% | 59% | Median |
| 51 | 16% | 38% | |
| 52 | 20% | 22% | |
| 53 | 2% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 2% | 96% | |
| 46 | 19% | 94% | |
| 47 | 32% | 75% | |
| 48 | 7% | 43% | Median |
| 49 | 4% | 36% | |
| 50 | 12% | 32% | |
| 51 | 19% | 20% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 43 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 20% | 95% | |
| 45 | 17% | 76% | |
| 46 | 8% | 58% | |
| 47 | 5% | 50% | Median |
| 48 | 12% | 45% | |
| 49 | 4% | 33% | |
| 50 | 29% | 29% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 3% | 98% | |
| 40 | 15% | 95% | |
| 41 | 15% | 81% | |
| 42 | 8% | 66% | |
| 43 | 21% | 58% | Median |
| 44 | 4% | 37% | |
| 45 | 32% | 33% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 4% | 99.1% | |
| 36 | 25% | 95% | |
| 37 | 17% | 70% | |
| 38 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 39 | 13% | 43% | |
| 40 | 10% | 30% | |
| 41 | 20% | 20% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 6% | 97% | |
| 32 | 20% | 91% | |
| 33 | 12% | 71% | |
| 34 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 35 | 31% | 51% | |
| 36 | 20% | 20% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 3% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 97% | |
| 31 | 36% | 96% | |
| 32 | 10% | 60% | |
| 33 | 10% | 50% | Median |
| 34 | 21% | 40% | |
| 35 | 15% | 19% | |
| 36 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 37 | 2% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 13% | 96% | |
| 30 | 34% | 83% | |
| 31 | 20% | 49% | Median |
| 32 | 25% | 29% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 4% | Last Result |
| 34 | 3% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 8% | 99.5% | |
| 23 | 41% | 92% | |
| 24 | 12% | 51% | Median |
| 25 | 32% | 38% | |
| 26 | 4% | 7% | |
| 27 | 2% | 3% | |
| 28 | 0.3% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 3% | 100% | |
| 17 | 20% | 97% | |
| 18 | 13% | 76% | |
| 19 | 43% | 63% | Median |
| 20 | 13% | 20% | |
| 21 | 6% | 7% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 25 February–3 March 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.86%