Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 21 March 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
17.1% |
15.7–18.7% |
15.2–19.2% |
14.9–19.6% |
14.2–20.4% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
12.7% |
11.4–14.1% |
11.1–14.6% |
10.8–14.9% |
10.2–15.6% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
11.4% |
10.2–12.8% |
9.9–13.2% |
9.6–13.5% |
9.0–14.2% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
9.7% |
8.6–11.0% |
8.3–11.4% |
8.0–11.7% |
7.5–12.3% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
9.2% |
8.1–10.5% |
7.8–10.8% |
7.6–11.2% |
7.1–11.8% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
8.3% |
7.3–9.5% |
7.0–9.9% |
6.7–10.2% |
6.3–10.8% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
7.0% |
6.1–8.2% |
5.8–8.5% |
5.6–8.8% |
5.2–9.3% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.7–7.7% |
4.3–8.2% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.6% |
3.9–5.6% |
3.6–5.9% |
3.5–6.1% |
3.1–6.6% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.5% |
3.8–5.5% |
3.6–5.7% |
3.4–6.0% |
3.0–6.5% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
4.5% |
3.8–5.5% |
3.6–5.7% |
3.4–6.0% |
3.0–6.5% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.2% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.6–3.1% |
1.4–3.3% |
1.2–3.7% |
DENK |
2.1% |
2.2% |
1.7–2.9% |
1.6–3.1% |
1.4–3.3% |
1.2–3.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
21 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
3% |
96% |
|
23 |
3% |
94% |
|
24 |
18% |
91% |
|
25 |
7% |
73% |
|
26 |
16% |
66% |
|
27 |
3% |
50% |
Median |
28 |
11% |
47% |
|
29 |
31% |
36% |
|
30 |
3% |
5% |
|
31 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
32 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
17 |
7% |
96% |
|
18 |
18% |
89% |
|
19 |
14% |
72% |
|
20 |
42% |
58% |
Last Result, Median |
21 |
10% |
16% |
|
22 |
4% |
6% |
|
23 |
2% |
2% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
25 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
27 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
14 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
15 |
10% |
97% |
|
16 |
4% |
87% |
|
17 |
50% |
83% |
Median |
18 |
21% |
33% |
|
19 |
6% |
12% |
|
20 |
3% |
5% |
|
21 |
2% |
2% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
12 |
20% |
98% |
|
13 |
13% |
79% |
|
14 |
42% |
65% |
Last Result, Median |
15 |
11% |
23% |
|
16 |
4% |
12% |
|
17 |
6% |
8% |
|
18 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
19 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
11 |
1.2% |
98.9% |
|
12 |
39% |
98% |
|
13 |
12% |
58% |
Median |
14 |
16% |
47% |
|
15 |
8% |
30% |
|
16 |
13% |
22% |
|
17 |
9% |
9% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
19 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
20 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
99.1% |
|
10 |
5% |
98% |
|
11 |
6% |
93% |
|
12 |
21% |
88% |
|
13 |
5% |
67% |
|
14 |
22% |
62% |
Median |
15 |
36% |
40% |
|
16 |
3% |
4% |
|
17 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
7 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
8 |
8% |
99.6% |
|
9 |
7% |
91% |
|
10 |
60% |
84% |
Median |
11 |
8% |
24% |
|
12 |
7% |
16% |
|
13 |
4% |
9% |
|
14 |
5% |
5% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
2% |
100% |
|
7 |
10% |
98% |
|
8 |
12% |
89% |
|
9 |
22% |
77% |
Last Result |
10 |
35% |
55% |
Median |
11 |
14% |
20% |
|
12 |
6% |
6% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
5 |
34% |
99.3% |
Last Result |
6 |
23% |
65% |
Median |
7 |
16% |
42% |
|
8 |
6% |
26% |
|
9 |
20% |
20% |
|
10 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
2% |
100% |
|
5 |
41% |
98% |
Last Result |
6 |
11% |
57% |
Median |
7 |
19% |
46% |
|
8 |
20% |
27% |
|
9 |
7% |
7% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
1.5% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
12% |
98.5% |
|
6 |
28% |
87% |
|
7 |
50% |
58% |
Median |
8 |
6% |
8% |
|
9 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
2% |
100% |
|
2 |
18% |
98% |
|
3 |
62% |
80% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
8% |
18% |
|
5 |
8% |
10% |
|
6 |
2% |
2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
2 |
36% |
99.6% |
|
3 |
47% |
64% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
14% |
17% |
|
5 |
3% |
3% |
|
6 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
80 |
96% |
77–83 |
76–83 |
75–84 |
73–87 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
74 |
77 |
76% |
74–78 |
73–80 |
72–81 |
70–85 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
75 |
13% |
71–76 |
70–77 |
69–78 |
68–81 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
71 |
0.2% |
66–74 |
64–74 |
63–74 |
61–75 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
80 |
66 |
0% |
65–72 |
64–72 |
63–73 |
60–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
68 |
0.2% |
63–70 |
63–70 |
62–72 |
60–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus |
58 |
65 |
0% |
61–66 |
60–67 |
59–69 |
58–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
61 |
0% |
58–64 |
57–64 |
56–65 |
53–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
61 |
0% |
57–63 |
55–63 |
54–63 |
53–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
72 |
60 |
0% |
57–62 |
55–62 |
54–63 |
52–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
54 |
58 |
0% |
55–59 |
54–60 |
53–63 |
51–64 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
56 |
0% |
54–61 |
53–62 |
51–62 |
51–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
54 |
0% |
50–56 |
49–56 |
47–58 |
46–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
51 |
0% |
45–52 |
45–52 |
44–54 |
43–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
49 |
0% |
45–54 |
43–54 |
43–54 |
41–54 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
41 |
0% |
38–42 |
37–44 |
35–45 |
34–46 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
37 |
0% |
33–40 |
32–42 |
31–42 |
30–42 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
36 |
0% |
31–39 |
31–40 |
30–40 |
30–41 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
28 |
0% |
27–33 |
27–36 |
26–36 |
25–36 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
27 |
0% |
24–31 |
24–31 |
23–31 |
21–32 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
22 |
0% |
21–26 |
20–28 |
19–28 |
18–28 |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.5% |
99.7% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
75 |
2% |
98% |
|
76 |
3% |
96% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
93% |
Last Result |
78 |
12% |
87% |
|
79 |
20% |
75% |
|
80 |
8% |
55% |
Median |
81 |
32% |
47% |
|
82 |
2% |
16% |
|
83 |
9% |
14% |
|
84 |
2% |
5% |
|
85 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
86 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
87 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
88 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
72 |
2% |
98% |
|
73 |
3% |
96% |
|
74 |
6% |
93% |
Last Result |
75 |
11% |
87% |
|
76 |
13% |
76% |
Majority |
77 |
18% |
63% |
Median |
78 |
37% |
45% |
|
79 |
1.2% |
9% |
|
80 |
3% |
7% |
|
81 |
3% |
4% |
|
82 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
84 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
2% |
98% |
|
70 |
4% |
96% |
|
71 |
4% |
92% |
|
72 |
17% |
89% |
|
73 |
7% |
72% |
|
74 |
5% |
64% |
Median |
75 |
47% |
60% |
|
76 |
4% |
13% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
9% |
|
78 |
1.4% |
4% |
|
79 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.8% |
1.4% |
|
81 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
99.4% |
|
63 |
3% |
98.7% |
|
64 |
4% |
96% |
|
65 |
1.4% |
92% |
|
66 |
11% |
91% |
|
67 |
5% |
80% |
|
68 |
5% |
75% |
|
69 |
13% |
70% |
|
70 |
4% |
57% |
Median |
71 |
35% |
54% |
|
72 |
6% |
18% |
|
73 |
2% |
12% |
|
74 |
10% |
11% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
99.0% |
|
63 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
64 |
3% |
97% |
|
65 |
19% |
94% |
|
66 |
34% |
75% |
|
67 |
15% |
41% |
Median |
68 |
2% |
26% |
|
69 |
3% |
24% |
|
70 |
3% |
22% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
19% |
|
72 |
14% |
17% |
|
73 |
2% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
61 |
0.8% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
62 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
63 |
8% |
97% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
89% |
|
65 |
17% |
88% |
|
66 |
4% |
71% |
|
67 |
12% |
67% |
Median |
68 |
37% |
55% |
|
69 |
7% |
18% |
|
70 |
8% |
11% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
72 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
74 |
1.5% |
2% |
|
75 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
56 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
Last Result |
59 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
60 |
6% |
97% |
|
61 |
5% |
92% |
|
62 |
10% |
87% |
|
63 |
13% |
77% |
|
64 |
12% |
64% |
Median |
65 |
40% |
52% |
|
66 |
7% |
12% |
|
67 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
69 |
1.3% |
3% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
72 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
55 |
1.1% |
99.2% |
|
56 |
2% |
98% |
|
57 |
5% |
96% |
Last Result |
58 |
18% |
92% |
|
59 |
4% |
74% |
|
60 |
3% |
69% |
Median |
61 |
43% |
66% |
|
62 |
8% |
23% |
|
63 |
3% |
15% |
|
64 |
8% |
11% |
|
65 |
0.9% |
3% |
|
66 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
67 |
2% |
2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
70 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
1.1% |
99.6% |
|
54 |
2% |
98.5% |
|
55 |
4% |
97% |
|
56 |
2% |
93% |
|
57 |
3% |
91% |
|
58 |
3% |
88% |
|
59 |
18% |
85% |
|
60 |
13% |
67% |
Median |
61 |
34% |
54% |
|
62 |
6% |
20% |
|
63 |
12% |
14% |
|
64 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
65 |
1.1% |
1.5% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
53 |
0.4% |
98.6% |
|
54 |
0.9% |
98% |
|
55 |
4% |
97% |
|
56 |
2% |
93% |
|
57 |
8% |
92% |
|
58 |
7% |
84% |
|
59 |
23% |
78% |
|
60 |
7% |
55% |
Median |
61 |
37% |
48% |
|
62 |
8% |
10% |
|
63 |
0.8% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
1.5% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
1.0% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
0.9% |
|
68 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
51 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
53 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
54 |
4% |
97% |
Last Result |
55 |
12% |
93% |
|
56 |
13% |
80% |
|
57 |
4% |
68% |
Median |
58 |
41% |
63% |
|
59 |
13% |
22% |
|
60 |
5% |
9% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
62 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
63 |
2% |
3% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
66 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
1.0% |
97% |
|
53 |
4% |
96% |
|
54 |
3% |
93% |
|
55 |
20% |
90% |
|
56 |
33% |
69% |
|
57 |
4% |
36% |
Median |
58 |
4% |
32% |
|
59 |
10% |
28% |
|
60 |
3% |
18% |
|
61 |
5% |
14% |
|
62 |
8% |
10% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
1.4% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.8% |
|
65 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
1.5% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
2% |
98% |
|
48 |
0.8% |
97% |
|
49 |
2% |
96% |
|
50 |
8% |
94% |
|
51 |
2% |
87% |
|
52 |
19% |
85% |
|
53 |
6% |
66% |
|
54 |
13% |
60% |
Median |
55 |
11% |
47% |
|
56 |
32% |
36% |
|
57 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
58 |
2% |
3% |
|
59 |
0.7% |
1.0% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
2% |
99.2% |
|
45 |
9% |
97% |
|
46 |
6% |
88% |
|
47 |
7% |
82% |
|
48 |
6% |
76% |
|
49 |
4% |
69% |
|
50 |
8% |
65% |
Median |
51 |
38% |
58% |
|
52 |
15% |
20% |
|
53 |
0.9% |
5% |
|
54 |
1.2% |
4% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
56 |
2% |
2% |
|
57 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
39 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
40 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
41 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
0.8% |
99.4% |
|
43 |
4% |
98.5% |
|
44 |
2% |
94% |
|
45 |
14% |
92% |
|
46 |
3% |
78% |
|
47 |
11% |
75% |
|
48 |
3% |
65% |
|
49 |
14% |
61% |
|
50 |
6% |
47% |
|
51 |
2% |
41% |
Median |
52 |
6% |
39% |
|
53 |
1.1% |
33% |
|
54 |
31% |
32% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
36 |
2% |
97% |
|
37 |
5% |
96% |
|
38 |
13% |
91% |
|
39 |
8% |
78% |
|
40 |
12% |
70% |
Median |
41 |
42% |
58% |
|
42 |
8% |
15% |
|
43 |
1.4% |
7% |
|
44 |
3% |
6% |
|
45 |
2% |
3% |
|
46 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
47 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
49 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
29 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
30 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
31 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
32 |
3% |
97% |
|
33 |
6% |
94% |
|
34 |
7% |
88% |
|
35 |
10% |
82% |
|
36 |
10% |
71% |
|
37 |
41% |
62% |
Median |
38 |
4% |
21% |
|
39 |
4% |
17% |
|
40 |
4% |
13% |
|
41 |
0.6% |
9% |
|
42 |
9% |
9% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
27 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
28 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
29 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
30 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
31 |
10% |
96% |
|
32 |
3% |
86% |
|
33 |
5% |
83% |
|
34 |
6% |
78% |
|
35 |
19% |
72% |
|
36 |
5% |
53% |
|
37 |
7% |
48% |
Median |
38 |
2% |
41% |
|
39 |
31% |
39% |
|
40 |
5% |
7% |
|
41 |
2% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
0.2% |
99.5% |
|
26 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
27 |
34% |
95% |
|
28 |
12% |
61% |
|
29 |
4% |
49% |
Median |
30 |
8% |
45% |
|
31 |
13% |
37% |
|
32 |
12% |
23% |
|
33 |
2% |
11% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.4% |
9% |
|
35 |
0.5% |
9% |
|
36 |
8% |
8% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
99.0% |
|
23 |
2% |
98.7% |
|
24 |
12% |
97% |
|
25 |
9% |
85% |
|
26 |
3% |
77% |
|
27 |
34% |
74% |
Median |
28 |
23% |
40% |
|
29 |
2% |
17% |
|
30 |
2% |
15% |
|
31 |
12% |
13% |
|
32 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
18 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
19 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
20 |
2% |
97% |
|
21 |
12% |
95% |
|
22 |
38% |
83% |
|
23 |
9% |
45% |
Median |
24 |
11% |
35% |
|
25 |
12% |
24% |
|
26 |
4% |
13% |
|
27 |
0.8% |
9% |
|
28 |
8% |
8% |
Last Result |
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 21 March 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.94%