Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 1–7 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 18.7% | 17.8–19.6% | 17.5–19.9% | 17.3–20.1% | 16.9–20.6% |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 14.7% | 13.9–15.5% | 13.6–15.8% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.1–16.4% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.3–12.8% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 10.0% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.5% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.0–9.4% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.7–9.7% | 7.4–10.1% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 27 | 27–30 | 27–31 | 27–31 | 26–31 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 23 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 21–25 | 20–26 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 19 | 17–19 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 16–21 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 16 | 15–16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 14 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–15 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 10–12 | 9–13 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 8 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–9 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 7 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–9 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 63% | 99.1% | Median |
| 28 | 12% | 36% | |
| 29 | 13% | 24% | |
| 30 | 3% | 12% | |
| 31 | 8% | 8% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 14% | 98.9% | |
| 22 | 26% | 85% | |
| 23 | 15% | 58% | Median |
| 24 | 41% | 44% | |
| 25 | 2% | 3% | |
| 26 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 8% | 100% | |
| 17 | 5% | 92% | |
| 18 | 32% | 86% | |
| 19 | 48% | 54% | Median |
| 20 | 3% | 7% | |
| 21 | 3% | 3% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 2% | 100% | |
| 14 | 6% | 98% | |
| 15 | 37% | 92% | |
| 16 | 46% | 55% | Median |
| 17 | 9% | 10% | |
| 18 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 13% | 98% | |
| 13 | 14% | 85% | |
| 14 | 66% | 71% | Median |
| 15 | 5% | 5% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 13% | 98.8% | |
| 11 | 59% | 86% | Median |
| 12 | 25% | 27% | |
| 13 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 3% | 100% | |
| 8 | 53% | 97% | Median |
| 9 | 36% | 45% | |
| 10 | 7% | 9% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 27% | 98% | |
| 8 | 59% | 71% | Median |
| 9 | 11% | 12% | |
| 10 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 7 | 55% | 99.5% | Median |
| 8 | 20% | 45% | |
| 9 | 25% | 25% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 45% | 99.0% | |
| 7 | 46% | 54% | Median |
| 8 | 8% | 8% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 6% | 100% | |
| 4 | 85% | 94% | Last Result, Median |
| 5 | 9% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 33% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 4 | 66% | 67% | Median |
| 5 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 48% | 49% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.1% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 76 | 64% | 73–78 | 73–79 | 73–79 | 72–79 |
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 74 | 6% | 71–75 | 71–76 | 71–77 | 70–77 |
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 74 | 75 | 14% | 71–76 | 71–77 | 71–77 | 71–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 75 | 45% | 72–76 | 72–76 | 72–76 | 70–79 |
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 72 | 0.3% | 70–74 | 69–75 | 68–75 | 68–75 |
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 71 | 0% | 68–72 | 68–73 | 66–73 | 66–73 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 70 | 0% | 68–71 | 67–71 | 67–71 | 66–72 |
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 68 | 0% | 66–70 | 65–71 | 65–71 | 65–72 |
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 67 | 0% | 64–69 | 64–69 | 63–69 | 63–70 |
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 66 | 0% | 62–66 | 62–67 | 62–68 | 62–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 57 | 0% | 54–57 | 54–57 | 54–58 | 53–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 52 | 0% | 50–54 | 49–54 | 49–54 | 48–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 50 | 0% | 47–51 | 47–51 | 47–52 | 46–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 48 | 0% | 45–49 | 45–49 | 45–49 | 43–52 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 72 | 47 | 0% | 44–48 | 44–48 | 43–48 | 43–49 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 47 | 41 | 0% | 39–41 | 38–41 | 37–42 | 36–43 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 39 | 0% | 36–40 | 36–40 | 36–40 | 35–41 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 36 | 0% | 35–38 | 34–38 | 34–38 | 32–40 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 36 | 0% | 34–36 | 34–37 | 33–37 | 33–38 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 29 | 0% | 28–30 | 27–30 | 27–30 | 26–31 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 27 | 0% | 26–27 | 25–27 | 24–28 | 23–31 |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 19% | 98% | |
| 74 | 7% | 79% | |
| 75 | 7% | 72% | Median |
| 76 | 43% | 64% | Majority |
| 77 | 9% | 21% | Last Result |
| 78 | 4% | 13% | |
| 79 | 8% | 9% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 11% | 99.2% | |
| 72 | 3% | 88% | |
| 73 | 12% | 85% | |
| 74 | 47% | 74% | |
| 75 | 20% | 26% | Median |
| 76 | 2% | 6% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 21% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 5% | 79% | |
| 73 | 6% | 74% | |
| 74 | 7% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 75 | 46% | 61% | |
| 76 | 5% | 14% | Majority |
| 77 | 9% | 10% | |
| 78 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 99.5% | |
| 72 | 8% | 98% | |
| 73 | 16% | 90% | |
| 74 | 23% | 74% | |
| 75 | 6% | 51% | |
| 76 | 43% | 45% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 79 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 4% | 97% | |
| 70 | 24% | 93% | |
| 71 | 3% | 70% | Median |
| 72 | 43% | 67% | |
| 73 | 5% | 23% | |
| 74 | 9% | 18% | |
| 75 | 9% | 9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 3% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 97% | |
| 68 | 25% | 97% | |
| 69 | 5% | 72% | |
| 70 | 2% | 66% | Median |
| 71 | 45% | 65% | |
| 72 | 10% | 19% | |
| 73 | 9% | 10% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 66 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 3% | 98% | |
| 68 | 15% | 95% | |
| 69 | 17% | 80% | |
| 70 | 20% | 62% | |
| 71 | 40% | 42% | Median |
| 72 | 2% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 24% | 93% | |
| 67 | 2% | 69% | Median |
| 68 | 44% | 67% | |
| 69 | 10% | 23% | |
| 70 | 3% | 13% | |
| 71 | 9% | 10% | |
| 72 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 63 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 26% | 97% | |
| 65 | 4% | 71% | |
| 66 | 3% | 67% | Median |
| 67 | 51% | 64% | |
| 68 | 3% | 14% | |
| 69 | 10% | 11% | |
| 70 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 11% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 2% | 89% | |
| 64 | 8% | 87% | |
| 65 | 13% | 79% | |
| 66 | 57% | 65% | Last Result |
| 67 | 6% | 9% | Median |
| 68 | 3% | 3% | |
| 69 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 10% | 98% | |
| 55 | 14% | 88% | |
| 56 | 20% | 74% | |
| 57 | 50% | 54% | Median |
| 58 | 2% | 4% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 49 | 6% | 98.7% | |
| 50 | 13% | 93% | |
| 51 | 29% | 80% | |
| 52 | 9% | 51% | |
| 53 | 2% | 42% | Median |
| 54 | 39% | 39% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 46 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 13% | 98% | |
| 48 | 10% | 85% | |
| 49 | 21% | 75% | |
| 50 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 51 | 39% | 43% | |
| 52 | 3% | 3% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 14% | 98% | |
| 46 | 12% | 84% | |
| 47 | 7% | 72% | |
| 48 | 24% | 64% | Median |
| 49 | 39% | 40% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 44 | 26% | 96% | |
| 45 | 10% | 70% | |
| 46 | 7% | 59% | |
| 47 | 3% | 52% | Median |
| 48 | 47% | 49% | |
| 49 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 38 | 5% | 97% | |
| 39 | 19% | 92% | |
| 40 | 14% | 74% | |
| 41 | 55% | 60% | Median |
| 42 | 4% | 5% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 16% | 99.2% | |
| 37 | 24% | 83% | |
| 38 | 7% | 59% | |
| 39 | 2% | 52% | Median |
| 40 | 48% | 49% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 34 | 6% | 98% | |
| 35 | 21% | 92% | |
| 36 | 25% | 71% | |
| 37 | 4% | 45% | Median |
| 38 | 40% | 41% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 1.1% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 3% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 34 | 8% | 97% | |
| 35 | 6% | 89% | |
| 36 | 77% | 83% | |
| 37 | 6% | 6% | Median |
| 38 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 27 | 6% | 98% | |
| 28 | 12% | 92% | Last Result |
| 29 | 37% | 80% | |
| 30 | 43% | 43% | Median |
| 31 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 23 | 1.5% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 25 | 5% | 97% | |
| 26 | 18% | 92% | |
| 27 | 71% | 75% | Median |
| 28 | 2% | 3% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 1.3% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 1–7 April 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.95%