Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 19–24 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
17.3% |
16.1–18.5% |
15.8–18.9% |
15.5–19.2% |
15.0–19.8% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
15.9% |
14.8–17.1% |
14.5–17.5% |
14.2–17.7% |
13.7–18.3% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
12.7% |
11.7–13.8% |
11.4–14.1% |
11.2–14.4% |
10.7–14.9% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
8.3% |
7.5–9.3% |
7.3–9.5% |
7.1–9.7% |
6.7–10.2% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
7.8% |
7.0–8.7% |
6.8–8.9% |
6.6–9.2% |
6.2–9.6% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
7.6% |
6.8–8.5% |
6.6–8.7% |
6.4–9.0% |
6.1–9.4% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
7.6% |
6.8–8.5% |
6.6–8.7% |
6.4–9.0% |
6.1–9.4% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
6.5% |
5.8–7.4% |
5.6–7.6% |
5.4–7.8% |
5.1–8.2% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
4.1% |
3.5–4.8% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.1% |
3.0–5.5% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
3.8% |
3.2–4.4% |
3.1–4.6% |
3.0–4.8% |
2.7–5.1% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.7% |
3.2–4.4% |
3.0–4.6% |
2.9–4.7% |
2.7–5.1% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.8% |
2.3–3.4% |
2.2–3.6% |
2.1–3.7% |
1.9–4.0% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.7% |
1.3–2.2% |
1.2–2.3% |
1.2–2.4% |
1.0–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
99.3% |
|
24 |
1.5% |
99.0% |
|
25 |
5% |
98% |
|
26 |
48% |
93% |
Median |
27 |
34% |
45% |
|
28 |
9% |
11% |
|
29 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
31 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
21 |
1.3% |
99.6% |
|
22 |
3% |
98% |
|
23 |
28% |
95% |
|
24 |
20% |
67% |
Median |
25 |
34% |
47% |
|
26 |
10% |
13% |
|
27 |
2% |
3% |
|
28 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
17 |
14% |
99.7% |
|
18 |
29% |
86% |
|
19 |
11% |
57% |
Median |
20 |
21% |
46% |
|
21 |
11% |
26% |
|
22 |
15% |
15% |
|
23 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
24 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
10 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
11 |
27% |
98.9% |
|
12 |
22% |
71% |
Median |
13 |
29% |
49% |
|
14 |
15% |
20% |
|
15 |
4% |
5% |
|
16 |
1.0% |
1.0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
9 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
10 |
11% |
97% |
|
11 |
21% |
86% |
|
12 |
28% |
66% |
Median |
13 |
35% |
38% |
|
14 |
2% |
3% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
24% |
98.9% |
|
11 |
31% |
75% |
Median |
12 |
34% |
44% |
|
13 |
8% |
10% |
|
14 |
2% |
3% |
|
15 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
9 |
5% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
10 |
9% |
95% |
|
11 |
32% |
86% |
|
12 |
18% |
54% |
Median |
13 |
32% |
35% |
|
14 |
2% |
3% |
|
15 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
2% |
100% |
|
8 |
13% |
98% |
|
9 |
32% |
85% |
|
10 |
35% |
53% |
Median |
11 |
12% |
18% |
|
12 |
7% |
7% |
|
13 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
0.9% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
37% |
99.1% |
|
6 |
55% |
62% |
Median |
7 |
4% |
7% |
|
8 |
2% |
3% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
31% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
39% |
69% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
21% |
30% |
|
7 |
7% |
9% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
24% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
30% |
76% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
19% |
46% |
|
7 |
27% |
27% |
|
8 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
9 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
3 |
12% |
99.8% |
Last Result |
4 |
66% |
88% |
Median |
5 |
20% |
21% |
|
6 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
6% |
100% |
|
2 |
35% |
94% |
|
3 |
57% |
60% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
3% |
3% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
78 |
93% |
76–81 |
75–81 |
74–82 |
73–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
90 |
75 |
36% |
73–77 |
72–78 |
72–79 |
70–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
74 |
74 |
12% |
72–76 |
71–77 |
70–78 |
70–79 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
72 |
3% |
71–75 |
69–75 |
69–77 |
68–78 |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
70 |
0.1% |
68–72 |
67–73 |
66–73 |
66–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus |
58 |
67 |
0.1% |
66–71 |
66–71 |
65–72 |
64–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
68 |
0% |
66–69 |
65–71 |
64–71 |
63–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
66 |
0% |
65–69 |
63–70 |
63–71 |
62–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
54 |
62 |
0% |
60–65 |
60–66 |
59–66 |
58–68 |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
60 |
0% |
57–64 |
56–64 |
56–64 |
56–65 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
76 |
56 |
0% |
55–58 |
54–60 |
52–60 |
51–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
71 |
51 |
0% |
49–52 |
48–54 |
47–54 |
46–55 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
50 |
0% |
48–53 |
48–54 |
47–54 |
47–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
50 |
0% |
48–53 |
47–53 |
47–53 |
45–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
72 |
50 |
0% |
48–51 |
47–52 |
46–53 |
45–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
38 |
0% |
37–40 |
35–40 |
35–41 |
34–42 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
38 |
0% |
36–40 |
36–40 |
35–40 |
33–41 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
36 |
0% |
33–38 |
33–38 |
33–38 |
32–40 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
28 |
0% |
27–31 |
26–31 |
25–31 |
24–32 |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
38 |
25 |
0% |
23–25 |
22–26 |
22–26 |
21–27 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
23 |
0% |
21–26 |
20–26 |
20–26 |
19–26 |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
72 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
73 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
74 |
2% |
98% |
|
75 |
3% |
97% |
|
76 |
6% |
93% |
Majority |
77 |
22% |
88% |
Last Result, Median |
78 |
33% |
66% |
|
79 |
21% |
32% |
|
80 |
1.4% |
11% |
|
81 |
7% |
10% |
|
82 |
2% |
3% |
|
83 |
1.2% |
1.4% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
71 |
0.6% |
99.3% |
|
72 |
5% |
98.7% |
|
73 |
4% |
93% |
|
74 |
23% |
89% |
Median |
75 |
31% |
67% |
|
76 |
10% |
36% |
Majority |
77 |
20% |
27% |
|
78 |
3% |
7% |
|
79 |
3% |
4% |
|
80 |
0.9% |
1.1% |
|
81 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
71 |
4% |
97% |
|
72 |
5% |
92% |
|
73 |
30% |
87% |
Median |
74 |
22% |
57% |
Last Result |
75 |
23% |
35% |
|
76 |
6% |
12% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
6% |
|
78 |
3% |
3% |
|
79 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
80 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
68 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
69 |
5% |
98% |
|
70 |
3% |
93% |
|
71 |
36% |
90% |
|
72 |
11% |
54% |
Median |
73 |
14% |
43% |
|
74 |
3% |
29% |
|
75 |
22% |
26% |
|
76 |
0.5% |
3% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
3% |
|
78 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
79 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
66 |
4% |
99.8% |
|
67 |
6% |
96% |
|
68 |
9% |
90% |
|
69 |
18% |
81% |
|
70 |
23% |
63% |
Median |
71 |
10% |
40% |
|
72 |
25% |
30% |
|
73 |
4% |
6% |
|
74 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
75 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
64 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
65 |
2% |
98% |
|
66 |
7% |
95% |
|
67 |
40% |
89% |
|
68 |
6% |
49% |
Median |
69 |
15% |
43% |
|
70 |
6% |
28% |
|
71 |
17% |
22% |
|
72 |
4% |
5% |
|
73 |
0.2% |
1.1% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
0.9% |
|
75 |
0.5% |
0.6% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
64 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
65 |
6% |
96% |
|
66 |
28% |
90% |
|
67 |
2% |
62% |
Median |
68 |
24% |
60% |
|
69 |
27% |
37% |
|
70 |
2% |
9% |
|
71 |
4% |
7% |
|
72 |
2% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
74 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
99.8% |
|
63 |
4% |
98.8% |
|
64 |
4% |
95% |
|
65 |
20% |
90% |
|
66 |
21% |
71% |
Median |
67 |
21% |
49% |
|
68 |
3% |
28% |
|
69 |
18% |
26% |
|
70 |
5% |
8% |
|
71 |
2% |
3% |
|
72 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
73 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
58 |
1.5% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
2% |
98% |
|
60 |
7% |
97% |
|
61 |
21% |
90% |
|
62 |
25% |
68% |
Median |
63 |
14% |
43% |
|
64 |
4% |
30% |
|
65 |
21% |
26% |
|
66 |
3% |
5% |
|
67 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
68 |
0.8% |
0.9% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
56 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
57 |
6% |
95% |
|
58 |
3% |
89% |
|
59 |
7% |
86% |
|
60 |
39% |
79% |
Median |
61 |
17% |
41% |
|
62 |
3% |
23% |
|
63 |
5% |
20% |
|
64 |
14% |
15% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
50 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
51 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
1.2% |
98% |
|
53 |
1.4% |
97% |
|
54 |
3% |
96% |
|
55 |
38% |
93% |
Median |
56 |
29% |
55% |
|
57 |
16% |
26% |
|
58 |
2% |
10% |
|
59 |
2% |
8% |
|
60 |
6% |
6% |
|
61 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
46 |
1.5% |
99.7% |
|
47 |
2% |
98% |
|
48 |
3% |
97% |
|
49 |
5% |
94% |
|
50 |
12% |
89% |
Median |
51 |
64% |
76% |
|
52 |
4% |
12% |
|
53 |
3% |
9% |
|
54 |
5% |
5% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
0.7% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
46 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
47 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
48 |
6% |
96% |
|
49 |
10% |
90% |
|
50 |
32% |
79% |
Median |
51 |
22% |
47% |
|
52 |
7% |
25% |
|
53 |
12% |
18% |
|
54 |
4% |
6% |
|
55 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
47 |
6% |
98% |
|
48 |
6% |
92% |
|
49 |
28% |
86% |
|
50 |
21% |
57% |
Median |
51 |
15% |
37% |
|
52 |
3% |
21% |
|
53 |
17% |
18% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
2% |
98% |
|
47 |
3% |
96% |
|
48 |
4% |
93% |
|
49 |
21% |
89% |
Median |
50 |
56% |
68% |
|
51 |
5% |
12% |
|
52 |
3% |
6% |
|
53 |
3% |
3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
56 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.8% |
99.7% |
|
35 |
5% |
99.0% |
|
36 |
2% |
94% |
|
37 |
17% |
92% |
|
38 |
26% |
75% |
Median |
39 |
25% |
49% |
|
40 |
20% |
23% |
|
41 |
3% |
3% |
|
42 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
43 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.5% |
99.4% |
|
35 |
2% |
98.9% |
|
36 |
9% |
97% |
|
37 |
24% |
88% |
|
38 |
17% |
64% |
Median |
39 |
26% |
47% |
|
40 |
19% |
21% |
|
41 |
2% |
2% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Last Result |
43 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
30 |
0% |
100% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
32 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
33 |
9% |
98% |
|
34 |
9% |
89% |
|
35 |
9% |
80% |
|
36 |
23% |
71% |
Median |
37 |
31% |
48% |
|
38 |
15% |
17% |
|
39 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
40 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
41 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
24 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
25 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
26 |
3% |
96% |
|
27 |
19% |
93% |
|
28 |
31% |
74% |
|
29 |
8% |
43% |
Median |
30 |
4% |
34% |
|
31 |
29% |
31% |
|
32 |
2% |
2% |
|
33 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
Last Result |
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
21 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
22 |
6% |
98% |
|
23 |
14% |
92% |
|
24 |
23% |
78% |
Median |
25 |
45% |
55% |
|
26 |
8% |
10% |
|
27 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
28 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
29 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
19 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
20 |
5% |
99.3% |
|
21 |
5% |
94% |
|
22 |
12% |
90% |
|
23 |
30% |
78% |
|
24 |
14% |
48% |
Median |
25 |
15% |
34% |
|
26 |
18% |
19% |
|
27 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
28 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 19–24 April 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1672
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.52%