Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 19–24 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 17.3% | 16.1–18.5% | 15.8–18.9% | 15.5–19.2% | 15.0–19.8% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 15.9% | 14.8–17.1% | 14.5–17.5% | 14.2–17.7% | 13.7–18.3% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 12.7% | 11.7–13.8% | 11.4–14.1% | 11.2–14.4% | 10.7–14.9% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 8.3% | 7.5–9.3% | 7.3–9.5% | 7.1–9.7% | 6.7–10.2% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 7.8% | 7.0–8.7% | 6.8–8.9% | 6.6–9.2% | 6.2–9.6% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 7.6% | 6.8–8.5% | 6.6–8.7% | 6.4–9.0% | 6.1–9.4% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8–8.5% | 6.6–8.7% | 6.4–9.0% | 6.1–9.4% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 6.5% | 5.8–7.4% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.4–7.8% | 5.1–8.2% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5–4.8% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.5% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2–4.4% | 3.1–4.6% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.7–5.1% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2–4.4% | 3.0–4.6% | 2.9–4.7% | 2.7–5.1% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3–3.4% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.7% | 1.9–4.0% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3–2.2% | 1.2–2.3% | 1.2–2.4% | 1.0–2.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 26 | 26–28 | 25–28 | 25–28 | 22–29 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 24 | 23–26 | 23–26 | 22–27 | 21–28 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 19 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 17–22 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 12 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–14 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 12 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 10 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 7–12 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 6 | 5–6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 5 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| DENK | 3 | 3 | 2–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 1–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 24 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 25 | 5% | 98% | |
| 26 | 48% | 93% | Median |
| 27 | 34% | 45% | |
| 28 | 9% | 11% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 21 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 22 | 3% | 98% | |
| 23 | 28% | 95% | |
| 24 | 20% | 67% | Median |
| 25 | 34% | 47% | |
| 26 | 10% | 13% | |
| 27 | 2% | 3% | |
| 28 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 14% | 99.7% | |
| 18 | 29% | 86% | |
| 19 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 20 | 21% | 46% | |
| 21 | 11% | 26% | |
| 22 | 15% | 15% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 10 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 11 | 27% | 98.9% | |
| 12 | 22% | 71% | Median |
| 13 | 29% | 49% | |
| 14 | 15% | 20% | |
| 15 | 4% | 5% | |
| 16 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 10 | 11% | 97% | |
| 11 | 21% | 86% | |
| 12 | 28% | 66% | Median |
| 13 | 35% | 38% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 10 | 24% | 98.9% | |
| 11 | 31% | 75% | Median |
| 12 | 34% | 44% | |
| 13 | 8% | 10% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 9 | 5% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 10 | 9% | 95% | |
| 11 | 32% | 86% | |
| 12 | 18% | 54% | Median |
| 13 | 32% | 35% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 13% | 98% | |
| 9 | 32% | 85% | |
| 10 | 35% | 53% | Median |
| 11 | 12% | 18% | |
| 12 | 7% | 7% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 37% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 55% | 62% | Median |
| 7 | 4% | 7% | |
| 8 | 2% | 3% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 31% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 39% | 69% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 21% | 30% | |
| 7 | 7% | 9% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 24% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 30% | 76% | Last Result, Median |
| 6 | 19% | 46% | |
| 7 | 27% | 27% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 12% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 4 | 66% | 88% | Median |
| 5 | 20% | 21% | |
| 6 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6% | 100% | |
| 2 | 35% | 94% | |
| 3 | 57% | 60% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 3% | 3% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 78 | 93% | 76–81 | 75–81 | 74–82 | 73–83 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 90 | 75 | 36% | 73–77 | 72–78 | 72–79 | 70–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 74 | 74 | 12% | 72–76 | 71–77 | 70–78 | 70–79 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 72 | 3% | 71–75 | 69–75 | 69–77 | 68–78 |
| GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 70 | 0.1% | 68–72 | 67–73 | 66–73 | 66–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 67 | 0.1% | 66–71 | 66–71 | 65–72 | 64–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 85 | 68 | 0% | 66–69 | 65–71 | 64–71 | 63–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 66 | 0% | 65–69 | 63–70 | 63–71 | 62–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 62 | 0% | 60–65 | 60–66 | 59–66 | 58–68 |
| GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 66 | 60 | 0% | 57–64 | 56–64 | 56–64 | 56–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 76 | 56 | 0% | 55–58 | 54–60 | 52–60 | 51–60 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 71 | 51 | 0% | 49–52 | 48–54 | 47–54 | 46–55 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 50 | 0% | 48–53 | 48–54 | 47–54 | 47–57 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 50 | 0% | 48–53 | 47–53 | 47–53 | 45–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 72 | 50 | 0% | 48–51 | 47–52 | 46–53 | 45–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 38 | 0% | 37–40 | 35–40 | 35–41 | 34–42 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 38 | 0% | 36–40 | 36–40 | 35–40 | 33–41 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 47 | 36 | 0% | 33–38 | 33–38 | 33–38 | 32–40 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 28 | 0% | 27–31 | 26–31 | 25–31 | 24–32 |
| Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 38 | 25 | 0% | 23–25 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 21–27 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 23 | 0% | 21–26 | 20–26 | 20–26 | 19–26 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 73 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98% | |
| 75 | 3% | 97% | |
| 76 | 6% | 93% | Majority |
| 77 | 22% | 88% | Last Result, Median |
| 78 | 33% | 66% | |
| 79 | 21% | 32% | |
| 80 | 1.4% | 11% | |
| 81 | 7% | 10% | |
| 82 | 2% | 3% | |
| 83 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 71 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 72 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 73 | 4% | 93% | |
| 74 | 23% | 89% | Median |
| 75 | 31% | 67% | |
| 76 | 10% | 36% | Majority |
| 77 | 20% | 27% | |
| 78 | 3% | 7% | |
| 79 | 3% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 4% | 97% | |
| 72 | 5% | 92% | |
| 73 | 30% | 87% | Median |
| 74 | 22% | 57% | Last Result |
| 75 | 23% | 35% | |
| 76 | 6% | 12% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 6% | |
| 78 | 3% | 3% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 5% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 93% | |
| 71 | 36% | 90% | |
| 72 | 11% | 54% | Median |
| 73 | 14% | 43% | |
| 74 | 3% | 29% | |
| 75 | 22% | 26% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 3% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 66 | 4% | 99.8% | |
| 67 | 6% | 96% | |
| 68 | 9% | 90% | |
| 69 | 18% | 81% | |
| 70 | 23% | 63% | Median |
| 71 | 10% | 40% | |
| 72 | 25% | 30% | |
| 73 | 4% | 6% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 64 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 7% | 95% | |
| 67 | 40% | 89% | |
| 68 | 6% | 49% | Median |
| 69 | 15% | 43% | |
| 70 | 6% | 28% | |
| 71 | 17% | 22% | |
| 72 | 4% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 1.1% | |
| 74 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 65 | 6% | 96% | |
| 66 | 28% | 90% | |
| 67 | 2% | 62% | Median |
| 68 | 24% | 60% | |
| 69 | 27% | 37% | |
| 70 | 2% | 9% | |
| 71 | 4% | 7% | |
| 72 | 2% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 4% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 4% | 95% | |
| 65 | 20% | 90% | |
| 66 | 21% | 71% | Median |
| 67 | 21% | 49% | |
| 68 | 3% | 28% | |
| 69 | 18% | 26% | |
| 70 | 5% | 8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 73 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 1.5% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 7% | 97% | |
| 61 | 21% | 90% | |
| 62 | 25% | 68% | Median |
| 63 | 14% | 43% | |
| 64 | 4% | 30% | |
| 65 | 21% | 26% | |
| 66 | 3% | 5% | |
| 67 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 6% | 95% | |
| 58 | 3% | 89% | |
| 59 | 7% | 86% | |
| 60 | 39% | 79% | Median |
| 61 | 17% | 41% | |
| 62 | 3% | 23% | |
| 63 | 5% | 20% | |
| 64 | 14% | 15% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 51 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 53 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 54 | 3% | 96% | |
| 55 | 38% | 93% | Median |
| 56 | 29% | 55% | |
| 57 | 16% | 26% | |
| 58 | 2% | 10% | |
| 59 | 2% | 8% | |
| 60 | 6% | 6% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 46 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 3% | 97% | |
| 49 | 5% | 94% | |
| 50 | 12% | 89% | Median |
| 51 | 64% | 76% | |
| 52 | 4% | 12% | |
| 53 | 3% | 9% | |
| 54 | 5% | 5% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 6% | 96% | |
| 49 | 10% | 90% | |
| 50 | 32% | 79% | Median |
| 51 | 22% | 47% | |
| 52 | 7% | 25% | |
| 53 | 12% | 18% | |
| 54 | 4% | 6% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 6% | 98% | |
| 48 | 6% | 92% | |
| 49 | 28% | 86% | |
| 50 | 21% | 57% | Median |
| 51 | 15% | 37% | |
| 52 | 3% | 21% | |
| 53 | 17% | 18% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98% | |
| 47 | 3% | 96% | |
| 48 | 4% | 93% | |
| 49 | 21% | 89% | Median |
| 50 | 56% | 68% | |
| 51 | 5% | 12% | |
| 52 | 3% | 6% | |
| 53 | 3% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 36 | 2% | 94% | |
| 37 | 17% | 92% | |
| 38 | 26% | 75% | Median |
| 39 | 25% | 49% | |
| 40 | 20% | 23% | |
| 41 | 3% | 3% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 36 | 9% | 97% | |
| 37 | 24% | 88% | |
| 38 | 17% | 64% | Median |
| 39 | 26% | 47% | |
| 40 | 19% | 21% | |
| 41 | 2% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 9% | 98% | |
| 34 | 9% | 89% | |
| 35 | 9% | 80% | |
| 36 | 23% | 71% | Median |
| 37 | 31% | 48% | |
| 38 | 15% | 17% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 40 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 25 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 26 | 3% | 96% | |
| 27 | 19% | 93% | |
| 28 | 31% | 74% | |
| 29 | 8% | 43% | Median |
| 30 | 4% | 34% | |
| 31 | 29% | 31% | |
| 32 | 2% | 2% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66 – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 22 | 6% | 98% | |
| 23 | 14% | 92% | |
| 24 | 23% | 78% | Median |
| 25 | 45% | 55% | |
| 26 | 8% | 10% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 20 | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 21 | 5% | 94% | |
| 22 | 12% | 90% | |
| 23 | 30% | 78% | |
| 24 | 14% | 48% | Median |
| 25 | 15% | 34% | |
| 26 | 18% | 19% | |
| 27 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 19–24 April 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1672
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.52%