Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 17–25 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
18.6% |
17.1–20.3% |
16.7–20.8% |
16.3–21.2% |
15.6–22.0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
18.0% |
16.5–19.7% |
16.1–20.1% |
15.7–20.6% |
15.0–21.4% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
12.7% |
11.4–14.1% |
11.0–14.5% |
10.7–14.9% |
10.1–15.6% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
8.0% |
7.0–9.3% |
6.7–9.6% |
6.5–9.9% |
6.0–10.5% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
7.3% |
6.3–8.5% |
6.1–8.8% |
5.8–9.1% |
5.4–9.7% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
7.3% |
6.3–8.5% |
6.1–8.8% |
5.8–9.1% |
5.4–9.7% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
6.7% |
5.8–7.8% |
5.5–8.2% |
5.3–8.4% |
4.9–9.0% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
5.3% |
4.5–6.4% |
4.3–6.7% |
4.1–7.0% |
3.7–7.5% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
5.3% |
4.5–6.4% |
4.3–6.7% |
4.1–7.0% |
3.7–7.5% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.0% |
3.3–5.0% |
3.1–5.2% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.6–5.9% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
4.0% |
3.3–5.0% |
3.1–5.2% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.6–5.9% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
1.3% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.1% |
0.8–2.3% |
0.6–2.6% |
DENK |
2.1% |
1.3% |
1.0–2.0% |
0.9–2.1% |
0.8–2.3% |
0.6–2.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
25 |
2% |
98% |
|
26 |
10% |
96% |
|
27 |
38% |
86% |
Median |
28 |
6% |
49% |
|
29 |
15% |
43% |
|
30 |
6% |
28% |
|
31 |
11% |
21% |
|
32 |
10% |
10% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
34 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
21 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
22 |
1.0% |
99.3% |
|
23 |
9% |
98% |
|
24 |
3% |
89% |
|
25 |
1.2% |
86% |
|
26 |
41% |
84% |
Median |
27 |
15% |
43% |
|
28 |
10% |
29% |
|
29 |
7% |
19% |
|
30 |
2% |
11% |
|
31 |
3% |
9% |
|
32 |
6% |
6% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
35 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
10% |
99.1% |
|
17 |
13% |
89% |
|
18 |
16% |
75% |
|
19 |
13% |
59% |
Median |
20 |
23% |
47% |
|
21 |
7% |
24% |
|
22 |
16% |
17% |
|
23 |
0.8% |
1.3% |
|
24 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
25 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
26 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
9 |
6% |
99.5% |
Last Result |
10 |
15% |
93% |
|
11 |
25% |
78% |
|
12 |
32% |
54% |
Median |
13 |
3% |
22% |
|
14 |
7% |
19% |
|
15 |
10% |
12% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
15% |
92% |
|
10 |
12% |
77% |
|
11 |
13% |
65% |
|
12 |
21% |
52% |
Median |
13 |
3% |
31% |
|
14 |
16% |
29% |
|
15 |
12% |
13% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
5% |
100% |
|
8 |
2% |
95% |
|
9 |
1.2% |
93% |
|
10 |
30% |
92% |
|
11 |
34% |
62% |
Median |
12 |
7% |
28% |
|
13 |
15% |
21% |
|
14 |
6% |
6% |
|
15 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
7 |
2% |
99.1% |
|
8 |
34% |
97% |
|
9 |
13% |
63% |
|
10 |
18% |
50% |
Median |
11 |
3% |
32% |
|
12 |
15% |
29% |
|
13 |
13% |
14% |
|
14 |
0.4% |
0.9% |
|
15 |
0% |
0.5% |
|
16 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
6 |
18% |
99.6% |
|
7 |
41% |
82% |
Median |
8 |
24% |
41% |
|
9 |
12% |
17% |
|
10 |
3% |
5% |
|
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
10% |
98% |
|
7 |
19% |
88% |
|
8 |
46% |
70% |
Median |
9 |
20% |
24% |
|
10 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
11 |
2% |
2% |
|
12 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
4 |
10% |
99.8% |
|
5 |
38% |
90% |
Last Result |
6 |
14% |
52% |
Median |
7 |
18% |
38% |
|
8 |
14% |
20% |
|
9 |
6% |
6% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
3% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
30% |
97% |
|
6 |
35% |
67% |
Median |
7 |
28% |
33% |
|
8 |
5% |
5% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.7% |
100% |
|
1 |
11% |
99.3% |
|
2 |
42% |
88% |
Median |
3 |
46% |
46% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
1 |
42% |
99.9% |
|
2 |
34% |
58% |
Median |
3 |
24% |
24% |
Last Result |
4 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
5 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
81 |
82% |
74–84 |
73–84 |
73–85 |
71–87 |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
74 |
78 |
71% |
72–82 |
71–83 |
71–83 |
69–86 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
75 |
31% |
70–78 |
70–81 |
70–81 |
69–82 |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
73 |
37% |
69–80 |
68–80 |
68–80 |
68–81 |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus |
58 |
70 |
29% |
67–78 |
66–78 |
66–79 |
66–79 |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
67 |
1.0% |
63–74 |
61–74 |
61–74 |
61–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
67 |
0.2% |
64–71 |
63–73 |
63–73 |
63–73 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij |
80 |
68 |
0.1% |
63–72 |
61–72 |
61–73 |
61–74 |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
54 |
64 |
0% |
61–72 |
59–73 |
59–73 |
59–73 |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
60 |
0% |
56–63 |
54–63 |
54–64 |
53–67 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
55 |
0% |
51–59 |
51–61 |
51–61 |
51–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
61 |
49 |
0% |
47–54 |
45–55 |
45–55 |
43–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
72 |
50 |
0% |
45–52 |
45–53 |
45–55 |
43–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
48 |
0% |
43–51 |
42–55 |
42–55 |
42–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
48 |
0% |
45–52 |
45–52 |
45–54 |
43–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
38 |
0% |
36–42 |
36–43 |
35–43 |
33–45 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
37 |
0% |
33–42 |
33–43 |
33–43 |
33–44 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
47 |
33 |
0% |
30–36 |
29–37 |
29–37 |
27–39 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie |
33 |
30 |
0% |
27–34 |
27–35 |
27–35 |
26–38 |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
28 |
22 |
0% |
21–25 |
19–27 |
19–27 |
17–28 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
20 |
0% |
19–24 |
17–26 |
17–27 |
16–27 |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
73 |
9% |
99.4% |
|
74 |
1.5% |
91% |
|
75 |
7% |
89% |
|
76 |
9% |
82% |
Majority |
77 |
1.1% |
73% |
Last Result |
78 |
3% |
72% |
Median |
79 |
3% |
70% |
|
80 |
3% |
67% |
|
81 |
25% |
64% |
|
82 |
15% |
38% |
|
83 |
0.3% |
24% |
|
84 |
20% |
23% |
|
85 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
86 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
87 |
1.4% |
1.5% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.4% |
|
71 |
9% |
99.4% |
|
72 |
0.7% |
90% |
|
73 |
15% |
89% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
75% |
Last Result |
75 |
3% |
74% |
|
76 |
1.3% |
71% |
Median, Majority |
77 |
4% |
70% |
|
78 |
16% |
66% |
|
79 |
24% |
49% |
|
80 |
0.9% |
25% |
|
81 |
3% |
24% |
|
82 |
14% |
21% |
|
83 |
5% |
7% |
|
84 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
85 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
86 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0% |
100% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
70 |
11% |
99.5% |
|
71 |
16% |
88% |
|
72 |
3% |
73% |
|
73 |
3% |
69% |
|
74 |
3% |
66% |
Median |
75 |
32% |
63% |
|
76 |
6% |
31% |
Majority |
77 |
3% |
25% |
|
78 |
15% |
22% |
|
79 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
80 |
0.7% |
6% |
|
81 |
5% |
5% |
|
82 |
0.5% |
0.8% |
|
83 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
84 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
10% |
99.9% |
|
69 |
1.4% |
90% |
|
70 |
6% |
89% |
|
71 |
2% |
83% |
|
72 |
15% |
81% |
Median |
73 |
25% |
66% |
|
74 |
0.4% |
42% |
|
75 |
4% |
41% |
|
76 |
2% |
37% |
Majority |
77 |
6% |
35% |
|
78 |
2% |
29% |
|
79 |
10% |
28% |
|
80 |
16% |
17% |
|
81 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
10% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
2% |
90% |
|
68 |
7% |
89% |
|
69 |
13% |
82% |
|
70 |
25% |
69% |
Median |
71 |
1.1% |
44% |
|
72 |
4% |
43% |
|
73 |
0.6% |
38% |
|
74 |
4% |
38% |
|
75 |
5% |
34% |
|
76 |
0.8% |
29% |
Majority |
77 |
11% |
29% |
|
78 |
13% |
18% |
|
79 |
5% |
5% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
61 |
9% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.6% |
91% |
|
63 |
5% |
91% |
|
64 |
2% |
85% |
|
65 |
1.3% |
83% |
|
66 |
4% |
82% |
Median |
67 |
36% |
78% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
42% |
|
69 |
3% |
41% |
|
70 |
3% |
38% |
|
71 |
2% |
35% |
|
72 |
7% |
33% |
|
73 |
14% |
26% |
|
74 |
11% |
12% |
|
75 |
0.2% |
1.2% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
7% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
16% |
93% |
|
65 |
3% |
76% |
|
66 |
21% |
74% |
|
67 |
8% |
53% |
Median |
68 |
3% |
44% |
|
69 |
24% |
42% |
|
70 |
7% |
17% |
|
71 |
3% |
10% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
8% |
|
73 |
6% |
7% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
59 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
61 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
63 |
10% |
94% |
|
64 |
8% |
84% |
|
65 |
7% |
76% |
|
66 |
2% |
69% |
|
67 |
15% |
67% |
Median |
68 |
25% |
52% |
|
69 |
12% |
27% |
|
70 |
1.2% |
15% |
|
71 |
0.4% |
14% |
|
72 |
10% |
13% |
|
73 |
2% |
3% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
1.2% |
|
75 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
76 |
0% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
59 |
9% |
99.9% |
|
60 |
0.9% |
91% |
|
61 |
5% |
90% |
|
62 |
2% |
85% |
|
63 |
3% |
83% |
|
64 |
36% |
80% |
Median |
65 |
2% |
44% |
|
66 |
2% |
42% |
|
67 |
4% |
40% |
|
68 |
1.3% |
36% |
|
69 |
4% |
35% |
|
70 |
5% |
31% |
|
71 |
14% |
26% |
|
72 |
4% |
12% |
|
73 |
7% |
8% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
4% |
98% |
|
55 |
0.6% |
94% |
|
56 |
11% |
93% |
|
57 |
10% |
82% |
|
58 |
3% |
72% |
|
59 |
5% |
69% |
|
60 |
29% |
64% |
Median |
61 |
3% |
35% |
|
62 |
19% |
32% |
|
63 |
10% |
14% |
|
64 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
65 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
66 |
0.5% |
1.1% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
15% |
99.8% |
|
52 |
3% |
85% |
|
53 |
18% |
82% |
|
54 |
11% |
64% |
|
55 |
3% |
53% |
Median |
56 |
4% |
49% |
|
57 |
17% |
45% |
|
58 |
5% |
28% |
|
59 |
16% |
23% |
|
60 |
2% |
8% |
|
61 |
5% |
6% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
63 |
0% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
65 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
1.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
98.8% |
|
45 |
5% |
98% |
|
46 |
1.4% |
93% |
|
47 |
11% |
92% |
|
48 |
25% |
81% |
|
49 |
13% |
56% |
Median |
50 |
7% |
43% |
|
51 |
20% |
36% |
|
52 |
1.3% |
16% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
15% |
|
54 |
8% |
14% |
|
55 |
5% |
6% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
57 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
43 |
0.7% |
99.6% |
|
44 |
1.1% |
98.9% |
|
45 |
15% |
98% |
|
46 |
10% |
83% |
|
47 |
3% |
73% |
|
48 |
5% |
70% |
|
49 |
6% |
65% |
Median |
50 |
17% |
60% |
|
51 |
16% |
43% |
|
52 |
19% |
27% |
|
53 |
5% |
8% |
|
54 |
0.4% |
3% |
|
55 |
2% |
3% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
40 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
42 |
9% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
6% |
91% |
|
44 |
3% |
85% |
|
45 |
17% |
82% |
|
46 |
4% |
65% |
|
47 |
11% |
61% |
Median |
48 |
1.0% |
50% |
|
49 |
20% |
49% |
|
50 |
11% |
29% |
|
51 |
10% |
18% |
|
52 |
1.3% |
8% |
|
53 |
0.6% |
7% |
|
54 |
1.0% |
6% |
|
55 |
5% |
5% |
|
56 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
41 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
99.8% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
98.7% |
|
45 |
17% |
98% |
|
46 |
11% |
81% |
|
47 |
16% |
71% |
|
48 |
6% |
54% |
Median |
49 |
10% |
48% |
|
50 |
9% |
38% |
|
51 |
17% |
29% |
|
52 |
8% |
12% |
|
53 |
1.0% |
4% |
|
54 |
2% |
3% |
|
55 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
0.7% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
58 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
33 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
34 |
0.5% |
98.6% |
|
35 |
2% |
98% |
|
36 |
9% |
96% |
|
37 |
22% |
87% |
|
38 |
24% |
65% |
Median |
39 |
18% |
41% |
|
40 |
5% |
23% |
|
41 |
3% |
18% |
|
42 |
6% |
15% |
Last Result |
43 |
8% |
9% |
|
44 |
0.4% |
1.5% |
|
45 |
0.8% |
1.1% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
47 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
14% |
99.5% |
|
34 |
3% |
86% |
|
35 |
3% |
83% |
|
36 |
3% |
80% |
|
37 |
37% |
77% |
Median |
38 |
3% |
40% |
|
39 |
11% |
37% |
|
40 |
3% |
26% |
|
41 |
9% |
23% |
|
42 |
7% |
14% |
|
43 |
5% |
6% |
|
44 |
0.8% |
1.0% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
46 |
0% |
0.2% |
|
47 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
48 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
27 |
0.9% |
99.9% |
|
28 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
29 |
5% |
98% |
|
30 |
27% |
93% |
|
31 |
4% |
66% |
|
32 |
3% |
62% |
|
33 |
11% |
59% |
Median |
34 |
31% |
47% |
|
35 |
3% |
16% |
|
36 |
7% |
13% |
|
37 |
5% |
7% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
1.5% |
|
39 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
40 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
26 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
27 |
8% |
98% |
|
28 |
3% |
90% |
|
29 |
10% |
87% |
|
30 |
43% |
77% |
|
31 |
1.3% |
33% |
Median |
32 |
12% |
32% |
|
33 |
2% |
20% |
Last Result |
34 |
11% |
18% |
|
35 |
6% |
7% |
|
36 |
0.2% |
1.0% |
|
37 |
0.2% |
0.8% |
|
38 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
17 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
19 |
5% |
98.7% |
|
20 |
2% |
94% |
|
21 |
11% |
91% |
|
22 |
40% |
80% |
|
23 |
10% |
40% |
Median |
24 |
1.3% |
30% |
|
25 |
19% |
28% |
|
26 |
3% |
9% |
|
27 |
5% |
6% |
|
28 |
0.7% |
1.1% |
Last Result |
29 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
30 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
16 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
17 |
5% |
99.1% |
|
18 |
3% |
94% |
|
19 |
31% |
90% |
|
20 |
10% |
60% |
|
21 |
11% |
49% |
Median |
22 |
16% |
38% |
|
23 |
7% |
22% |
|
24 |
9% |
16% |
|
25 |
2% |
7% |
|
26 |
0.6% |
5% |
|
27 |
4% |
4% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar Public
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 17–25 April 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 972
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.49%