Opinion Poll by Kantar Public, 17–25 April 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 18.6% | 17.1–20.3% | 16.7–20.8% | 16.3–21.2% | 15.6–22.0% | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 18.0% | 16.5–19.7% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.7–20.6% | 15.0–21.4% | 
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 12.7% | 11.4–14.1% | 11.0–14.5% | 10.7–14.9% | 10.1–15.6% | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 7.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 7.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% | 
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.8% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.4% | 4.9–9.0% | 
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.7–7.5% | 
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.5–6.4% | 4.3–6.7% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.7–7.5% | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% | 
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.6–2.6% | 
| DENK | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.6–2.6% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 27 | 26–32 | 26–32 | 25–32 | 24–32 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 26 | 23–30 | 23–32 | 23–32 | 21–32 | 
| GroenLinks | 14 | 19 | 16–22 | 16–22 | 16–22 | 15–23 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 12 | 10–15 | 9–15 | 9–15 | 9–16 | 
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 12 | 9–15 | 8–15 | 8–15 | 8–15 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 11 | 10–13 | 8–14 | 7–14 | 7–14 | 
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 10 | 8–13 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 6–15 | 
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 7 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 8 | 6–9 | 6–9 | 6–10 | 5–11 | 
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 6 | 4–8 | 4–9 | 4–9 | 4–9 | 
| 50Plus | 4 | 6 | 5–7 | 5–8 | 4–8 | 4–8 | 
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 0–4 | 
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–3 | 1–4 | 
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 2% | 98% | |
| 26 | 10% | 96% | |
| 27 | 38% | 86% | Median | 
| 28 | 6% | 49% | |
| 29 | 15% | 43% | |
| 30 | 6% | 28% | |
| 31 | 11% | 21% | |
| 32 | 10% | 10% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 22 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 23 | 9% | 98% | |
| 24 | 3% | 89% | |
| 25 | 1.2% | 86% | |
| 26 | 41% | 84% | Median | 
| 27 | 15% | 43% | |
| 28 | 10% | 29% | |
| 29 | 7% | 19% | |
| 30 | 2% | 11% | |
| 31 | 3% | 9% | |
| 32 | 6% | 6% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.3% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | 
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 15 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 10% | 99.1% | |
| 17 | 13% | 89% | |
| 18 | 16% | 75% | |
| 19 | 13% | 59% | Median | 
| 20 | 23% | 47% | |
| 21 | 7% | 24% | |
| 22 | 16% | 17% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 9 | 6% | 99.5% | Last Result | 
| 10 | 15% | 93% | |
| 11 | 25% | 78% | |
| 12 | 32% | 54% | Median | 
| 13 | 3% | 22% | |
| 14 | 7% | 19% | |
| 15 | 10% | 12% | |
| 16 | 2% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 15% | 92% | |
| 10 | 12% | 77% | |
| 11 | 13% | 65% | |
| 12 | 21% | 52% | Median | 
| 13 | 3% | 31% | |
| 14 | 16% | 29% | |
| 15 | 12% | 13% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 95% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 93% | |
| 10 | 30% | 92% | |
| 11 | 34% | 62% | Median | 
| 12 | 7% | 28% | |
| 13 | 15% | 21% | |
| 14 | 6% | 6% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 8 | 34% | 97% | |
| 9 | 13% | 63% | |
| 10 | 18% | 50% | Median | 
| 11 | 3% | 32% | |
| 12 | 15% | 29% | |
| 13 | 13% | 14% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 18% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 41% | 82% | Median | 
| 8 | 24% | 41% | |
| 9 | 12% | 17% | |
| 10 | 3% | 5% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 10% | 98% | |
| 7 | 19% | 88% | |
| 8 | 46% | 70% | Median | 
| 9 | 20% | 24% | |
| 10 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 10% | 99.8% | |
| 5 | 38% | 90% | Last Result | 
| 6 | 14% | 52% | Median | 
| 7 | 18% | 38% | |
| 8 | 14% | 20% | |
| 9 | 6% | 6% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | 
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 5 | 30% | 97% | |
| 6 | 35% | 67% | Median | 
| 7 | 28% | 33% | |
| 8 | 5% | 5% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% | 
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 11% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 42% | 88% | Median | 
| 3 | 46% | 46% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 42% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 34% | 58% | Median | 
| 3 | 24% | 24% | Last Result | 
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 5 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 81 | 82% | 74–84 | 73–84 | 73–85 | 71–87 | 
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 74 | 78 | 71% | 72–82 | 71–83 | 71–83 | 69–86 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 75 | 31% | 70–78 | 70–81 | 70–81 | 69–82 | 
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 73 | 37% | 69–80 | 68–80 | 68–80 | 68–81 | 
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 70 | 29% | 67–78 | 66–78 | 66–79 | 66–79 | 
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 67 | 1.0% | 63–74 | 61–74 | 61–74 | 61–76 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 67 | 0.2% | 64–71 | 63–73 | 63–73 | 63–73 | 
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij | 80 | 68 | 0.1% | 63–72 | 61–72 | 61–73 | 61–74 | 
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 64 | 0% | 61–72 | 59–73 | 59–73 | 59–73 | 
| GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 60 | 0% | 56–63 | 54–63 | 54–64 | 53–67 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 55 | 0% | 51–59 | 51–61 | 51–61 | 51–61 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 49 | 0% | 47–54 | 45–55 | 45–55 | 43–57 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 72 | 50 | 0% | 45–52 | 45–53 | 45–55 | 43–56 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 48 | 0% | 43–51 | 42–55 | 42–55 | 42–56 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 48 | 0% | 45–52 | 45–52 | 45–54 | 43–56 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 38 | 0% | 36–42 | 36–43 | 35–43 | 33–45 | 
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 37 | 0% | 33–42 | 33–43 | 33–43 | 33–44 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 47 | 33 | 0% | 30–36 | 29–37 | 29–37 | 27–39 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 33 | 30 | 0% | 27–34 | 27–35 | 27–35 | 26–38 | 
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 28 | 22 | 0% | 21–25 | 19–27 | 19–27 | 17–28 | 
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 20 | 0% | 19–24 | 17–26 | 17–27 | 16–27 | 
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 73 | 9% | 99.4% | |
| 74 | 1.5% | 91% | |
| 75 | 7% | 89% | |
| 76 | 9% | 82% | Majority | 
| 77 | 1.1% | 73% | Last Result | 
| 78 | 3% | 72% | Median | 
| 79 | 3% | 70% | |
| 80 | 3% | 67% | |
| 81 | 25% | 64% | |
| 82 | 15% | 38% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 24% | |
| 84 | 20% | 23% | |
| 85 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 86 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 87 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | 
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.4% | |
| 71 | 9% | 99.4% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 90% | |
| 73 | 15% | 89% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 75% | Last Result | 
| 75 | 3% | 74% | |
| 76 | 1.3% | 71% | Median, Majority | 
| 77 | 4% | 70% | |
| 78 | 16% | 66% | |
| 79 | 24% | 49% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 25% | |
| 81 | 3% | 24% | |
| 82 | 14% | 21% | |
| 83 | 5% | 7% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 85 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 86 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 70 | 11% | 99.5% | |
| 71 | 16% | 88% | |
| 72 | 3% | 73% | |
| 73 | 3% | 69% | |
| 74 | 3% | 66% | Median | 
| 75 | 32% | 63% | |
| 76 | 6% | 31% | Majority | 
| 77 | 3% | 25% | |
| 78 | 15% | 22% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 80 | 0.7% | 6% | |
| 81 | 5% | 5% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 10% | 99.9% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 90% | |
| 70 | 6% | 89% | |
| 71 | 2% | 83% | |
| 72 | 15% | 81% | Median | 
| 73 | 25% | 66% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 42% | |
| 75 | 4% | 41% | |
| 76 | 2% | 37% | Majority | 
| 77 | 6% | 35% | |
| 78 | 2% | 29% | |
| 79 | 10% | 28% | |
| 80 | 16% | 17% | |
| 81 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | 
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 10% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 2% | 90% | |
| 68 | 7% | 89% | |
| 69 | 13% | 82% | |
| 70 | 25% | 69% | Median | 
| 71 | 1.1% | 44% | |
| 72 | 4% | 43% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 38% | |
| 74 | 4% | 38% | |
| 75 | 5% | 34% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 29% | Majority | 
| 77 | 11% | 29% | |
| 78 | 13% | 18% | |
| 79 | 5% | 5% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | 
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 91% | |
| 63 | 5% | 91% | |
| 64 | 2% | 85% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 83% | |
| 66 | 4% | 82% | Median | 
| 67 | 36% | 78% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 42% | |
| 69 | 3% | 41% | |
| 70 | 3% | 38% | |
| 71 | 2% | 35% | |
| 72 | 7% | 33% | |
| 73 | 14% | 26% | |
| 74 | 11% | 12% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 1.2% | |
| 76 | 0.9% | 1.0% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 7% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 16% | 93% | |
| 65 | 3% | 76% | |
| 66 | 21% | 74% | |
| 67 | 8% | 53% | Median | 
| 68 | 3% | 44% | |
| 69 | 24% | 42% | |
| 70 | 7% | 17% | |
| 71 | 3% | 10% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 8% | |
| 73 | 6% | 7% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie – Socialistische Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 94% | |
| 63 | 10% | 94% | |
| 64 | 8% | 84% | |
| 65 | 7% | 76% | |
| 66 | 2% | 69% | |
| 67 | 15% | 67% | Median | 
| 68 | 25% | 52% | |
| 69 | 12% | 27% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 15% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 14% | |
| 72 | 10% | 13% | |
| 73 | 2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority | 
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 91% | |
| 61 | 5% | 90% | |
| 62 | 2% | 85% | |
| 63 | 3% | 83% | |
| 64 | 36% | 80% | Median | 
| 65 | 2% | 44% | |
| 66 | 2% | 42% | |
| 67 | 4% | 40% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 36% | |
| 69 | 4% | 35% | |
| 70 | 5% | 31% | |
| 71 | 14% | 26% | |
| 72 | 4% | 12% | |
| 73 | 7% | 8% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority | 
GroenLinks – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 4% | 98% | |
| 55 | 0.6% | 94% | |
| 56 | 11% | 93% | |
| 57 | 10% | 82% | |
| 58 | 3% | 72% | |
| 59 | 5% | 69% | |
| 60 | 29% | 64% | Median | 
| 61 | 3% | 35% | |
| 62 | 19% | 32% | |
| 63 | 10% | 14% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 1.1% | Last Result | 
| 67 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 51 | 15% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 3% | 85% | |
| 53 | 18% | 82% | |
| 54 | 11% | 64% | |
| 55 | 3% | 53% | Median | 
| 56 | 4% | 49% | |
| 57 | 17% | 45% | |
| 58 | 5% | 28% | |
| 59 | 16% | 23% | |
| 60 | 2% | 8% | |
| 61 | 5% | 6% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.3% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 1.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 98.8% | |
| 45 | 5% | 98% | |
| 46 | 1.4% | 93% | |
| 47 | 11% | 92% | |
| 48 | 25% | 81% | |
| 49 | 13% | 56% | Median | 
| 50 | 7% | 43% | |
| 51 | 20% | 36% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 16% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 15% | |
| 54 | 8% | 14% | |
| 55 | 5% | 6% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 45 | 15% | 98% | |
| 46 | 10% | 83% | |
| 47 | 3% | 73% | |
| 48 | 5% | 70% | |
| 49 | 6% | 65% | Median | 
| 50 | 17% | 60% | |
| 51 | 16% | 43% | |
| 52 | 19% | 27% | |
| 53 | 5% | 8% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 3% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 9% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 6% | 91% | |
| 44 | 3% | 85% | |
| 45 | 17% | 82% | |
| 46 | 4% | 65% | |
| 47 | 11% | 61% | Median | 
| 48 | 1.0% | 50% | |
| 49 | 20% | 49% | |
| 50 | 11% | 29% | |
| 51 | 10% | 18% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 8% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 7% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 6% | |
| 55 | 5% | 5% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 98.7% | |
| 45 | 17% | 98% | |
| 46 | 11% | 81% | |
| 47 | 16% | 71% | |
| 48 | 6% | 54% | Median | 
| 49 | 10% | 48% | |
| 50 | 9% | 38% | |
| 51 | 17% | 29% | |
| 52 | 8% | 12% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 34 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98% | |
| 36 | 9% | 96% | |
| 37 | 22% | 87% | |
| 38 | 24% | 65% | Median | 
| 39 | 18% | 41% | |
| 40 | 5% | 23% | |
| 41 | 3% | 18% | |
| 42 | 6% | 15% | Last Result | 
| 43 | 8% | 9% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | 
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 14% | 99.5% | |
| 34 | 3% | 86% | |
| 35 | 3% | 83% | |
| 36 | 3% | 80% | |
| 37 | 37% | 77% | Median | 
| 38 | 3% | 40% | |
| 39 | 11% | 37% | |
| 40 | 3% | 26% | |
| 41 | 9% | 23% | |
| 42 | 7% | 14% | |
| 43 | 5% | 6% | |
| 44 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 29 | 5% | 98% | |
| 30 | 27% | 93% | |
| 31 | 4% | 66% | |
| 32 | 3% | 62% | |
| 33 | 11% | 59% | Median | 
| 34 | 31% | 47% | |
| 35 | 3% | 16% | |
| 36 | 7% | 13% | |
| 37 | 5% | 7% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 1.5% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 8% | 98% | |
| 28 | 3% | 90% | |
| 29 | 10% | 87% | |
| 30 | 43% | 77% | |
| 31 | 1.3% | 33% | Median | 
| 32 | 12% | 32% | |
| 33 | 2% | 20% | Last Result | 
| 34 | 11% | 18% | |
| 35 | 6% | 7% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 1.0% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% | 
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 19 | 5% | 98.7% | |
| 20 | 2% | 94% | |
| 21 | 11% | 91% | |
| 22 | 40% | 80% | |
| 23 | 10% | 40% | Median | 
| 24 | 1.3% | 30% | |
| 25 | 19% | 28% | |
| 26 | 3% | 9% | |
| 27 | 5% | 6% | |
| 28 | 0.7% | 1.1% | Last Result | 
| 29 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 30 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | 
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 17 | 5% | 99.1% | |
| 18 | 3% | 94% | |
| 19 | 31% | 90% | |
| 20 | 10% | 60% | |
| 21 | 11% | 49% | Median | 
| 22 | 16% | 38% | |
| 23 | 7% | 22% | |
| 24 | 9% | 16% | |
| 25 | 2% | 7% | |
| 26 | 0.6% | 5% | |
| 27 | 4% | 4% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Kantar Public
 - Commissioner(s): —
 - Fieldwork period: 17–25 April 2019
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 972
 - Simulations done: 1,048,576
 - Error estimate: 3.49%