Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 22–28 April 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Forum voor Democratie 1.8% 17.3% 16.5–18.3% 16.2–18.5% 16.0–18.7% 15.6–19.2%
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 21.3% 14.7% 13.9–15.5% 13.6–15.8% 13.4–16.0% 13.1–16.4%
GroenLinks 9.1% 12.0% 11.3–12.8% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.5–13.6%
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 12.4% 10.0% 9.3–10.7% 9.1–10.9% 9.0–11.1% 8.7–11.5%
Partij van de Arbeid 5.7% 9.3% 8.7–10.1% 8.5–10.3% 8.3–10.4% 8.0–10.8%
Democraten 66 12.2% 7.3% 6.8–8.0% 6.6–8.2% 6.4–8.3% 6.2–8.6%
Partij voor de Vrijheid 13.1% 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
Socialistische Partij 9.1% 6.0% 5.5–6.6% 5.3–6.8% 5.2–6.9% 5.0–7.2%
Partij voor de Dieren 3.2% 5.3% 4.8–5.9% 4.7–6.1% 4.6–6.2% 4.4–6.5%
ChristenUnie 3.4% 4.7% 4.2–5.2% 4.1–5.3% 4.0–5.5% 3.7–5.8%
50Plus 3.1% 2.7% 2.3–3.1% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5%
DENK 2.1% 2.7% 2.3–3.1% 2.2–3.2% 2.1–3.3% 2.0–3.5%
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 2.1% 1.3% 1.1–1.6% 1.0–1.7% 1.0–1.8% 0.9–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Forum voor Democratie 2 27 26–27 25–27 24–28 24–29
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie 33 21 21–23 21–23 20–24 20–25
GroenLinks 14 19 18–19 17–19 17–19 17–20
Christen-Democratisch Appèl 19 14 14–16 14–16 13–17 13–17
Partij van de Arbeid 9 14 14 13–15 13–16 13–17
Democraten 66 19 11 10–12 10–12 10–13 10–14
Partij voor de Vrijheid 20 9 9–10 8–11 8–11 7–11
Socialistische Partij 14 9 8–9 8–10 8–10 8–10
Partij voor de Dieren 5 9 8–9 7–9 6–9 6–10
ChristenUnie 5 8 6–8 6–8 6–8 5–9
50Plus 4 4 4 3–4 3–4 3–5
DENK 3 4 4 3–4 3–5 3–5
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 3 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2

Forum voor Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100% Last Result
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 3% 100%  
25 3% 97%  
26 6% 94%  
27 85% 88% Median
28 3% 3%  
29 0.7% 0.7%  
30 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
20 3% 100%  
21 69% 97% Median
22 17% 28%  
23 8% 11%  
24 2% 3%  
25 0.7% 0.7%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0% Last Result

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
14 0% 100% Last Result
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 100%  
17 9% 99.9%  
18 15% 91%  
19 75% 76% Median
20 0.7% 0.9%  
21 0.2% 0.2%  
22 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0.1% 100%  
13 3% 99.9%  
14 69% 97% Median
15 9% 27%  
16 13% 18%  
17 5% 5%  
18 0.3% 0.3%  
19 0% 0% Last Result

Partij van de Arbeid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0% 100% Last Result
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0.2% 100%  
13 7% 99.7%  
14 83% 92% Median
15 6% 9%  
16 3% 4%  
17 0.8% 0.8%  
18 0% 0%  

Democraten 66

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
9 0.2% 100%  
10 13% 99.8%  
11 76% 87% Median
12 7% 10%  
13 3% 4%  
14 0.8% 0.8%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0% Last Result

Partij voor de Vrijheid

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 1.1% 100%  
8 5% 98.9%  
9 80% 94% Median
10 5% 14%  
11 9% 9%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0%  
15 0% 0%  
16 0% 0%  
17 0% 0%  
18 0% 0%  
19 0% 0%  
20 0% 0% Last Result

Socialistische Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
7 0.2% 100%  
8 10% 99.8%  
9 83% 89% Median
10 6% 6%  
11 0.2% 0.2%  
12 0% 0%  
13 0% 0%  
14 0% 0% Last Result

Partij voor de Dieren

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0% 100% Last Result
6 5% 100%  
7 4% 95%  
8 19% 91%  
9 70% 72% Median
10 2% 2%  
11 0% 0%  

ChristenUnie

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.7% 100% Last Result
6 12% 99.3%  
7 16% 87%  
8 70% 72% Median
9 2% 2%  
10 0% 0%  

50Plus

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 7% 99.9%  
4 92% 93% Last Result, Median
5 0.8% 0.8%  
6 0% 0%  

DENK

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 6% 100% Last Result
4 91% 94% Median
5 3% 3%  
6 0% 0%  

Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 79% 100% Median
2 21% 21%  
3 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
4 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie 80 75 8% 73–75 73–77 73–77 71–78
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 77 72 17% 72–77 72–77 72–77 71–78
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 90 73 9% 72–75 72–76 71–76 71–77
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid 74 71 9% 71–75 71–76 71–76 70–76
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 85 68 0% 68–71 68–72 68–73 68–74
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 61 67 0.1% 67–71 67–71 67–71 66–73
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus 58 66 0% 66–69 66–69 65–70 65–71
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 66 66 0% 64–66 64–67 64–69 63–69
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij 57 63 0% 63–67 63–67 63–68 63–69
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 54 62 0% 62–65 62–65 61–66 61–67
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie 76 54 0% 54–56 54–58 54–58 53–59
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 61 49 0% 49–52 49–54 49–54 49–56
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 71 46 0% 46–50 46–50 46–51 46–51
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 61 46 0% 46–48 46–49 45–50 45–52
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid 72 44 0% 44–48 44–49 44–49 43–49
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 47 39 0% 39–41 39–43 39–43 38–44
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl 52 35 0% 35–38 35–39 35–39 35–40
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie 33 36 0% 35–37 35–38 34–39 34–39
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid 42 35 0% 35–37 35–38 34–38 34–41
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid 28 28 0% 28–30 28–31 27–32 27–32
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 38 25 0% 25–27 25–28 25–28 24–30

GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 2% 99.9%  
72 0.7% 98%  
73 10% 98%  
74 9% 87%  
75 70% 79% Median
76 2% 8% Majority
77 4% 6%  
78 1.3% 2%  
79 0.2% 0.2%  
80 0% 0% Last Result

Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.1% 100%  
71 0.4% 99.9%  
72 68% 99.5% Median
73 6% 32%  
74 7% 26%  
75 1.2% 19%  
76 5% 17% Majority
77 11% 12% Last Result
78 0.7% 0.9%  
79 0% 0.2%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
70 0.3% 100%  
71 3% 99.7%  
72 12% 97%  
73 70% 85% Median
74 4% 14%  
75 1.3% 10%  
76 7% 9% Majority
77 2% 2%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0%  
90 0% 0% Last Result

Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
69 0.4% 100%  
70 0.9% 99.6%  
71 72% 98.7% Median
72 6% 26%  
73 3% 20%  
74 4% 18% Last Result
75 5% 14%  
76 8% 9% Majority
77 0.1% 0.2%  
78 0% 0.1%  
79 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
64 0.1% 100%  
65 0% 99.9%  
66 0.1% 99.9%  
67 0.2% 99.8%  
68 79% 99.6% Median
69 6% 20%  
70 4% 14%  
71 4% 10%  
72 3% 6%  
73 3% 3%  
74 0.5% 0.6%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Majority
77 0% 0%  
78 0% 0%  
79 0% 0%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0% Last Result

Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100% Last Result
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0% 100%  
65 0.1% 100%  
66 0.5% 99.9%  
67 70% 99.4% Median
68 7% 29%  
69 4% 23%  
70 9% 19%  
71 8% 10%  
72 0.4% 2%  
73 2% 2%  
74 0.1% 0.3%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0.1% 0.1% Majority
77 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100% Last Result
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0% 100%  
62 0% 100%  
63 0% 100%  
64 0.1% 100%  
65 4% 99.9%  
66 73% 96% Median
67 3% 23%  
68 2% 20%  
69 15% 18%  
70 2% 4%  
71 2% 2%  
72 0.2% 0.3%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
62 0.1% 100%  
63 2% 99.8%  
64 12% 98%  
65 4% 86%  
66 72% 81% Last Result, Median
67 5% 9%  
68 0.6% 4%  
69 3% 3%  
70 0.3% 0.3%  
71 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
57 0% 100% Last Result
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0% 100%  
61 0.2% 100%  
62 0.3% 99.8%  
63 70% 99.6% Median
64 4% 30%  
65 6% 26%  
66 10% 21%  
67 8% 10%  
68 0.7% 3%  
69 2% 2%  
70 0.2% 0.3%  
71 0.1% 0.1%  
72 0.1% 0.1%  
73 0% 0%  

Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100% Last Result
55 0% 100%  
56 0% 100%  
57 0% 100%  
58 0% 100%  
59 0% 100%  
60 0.2% 100%  
61 3% 99.8%  
62 70% 97% Median
63 5% 27%  
64 2% 21%  
65 15% 19%  
66 2% 4%  
67 2% 2%  
68 0.2% 0.3%  
69 0.1% 0.1%  
70 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
51 0.1% 100%  
52 0.1% 99.9%  
53 0.8% 99.8%  
54 79% 99.0% Median
55 7% 20%  
56 3% 13%  
57 4% 10%  
58 4% 5%  
59 2% 2%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0%  
73 0% 0%  
74 0% 0%  
75 0% 0%  
76 0% 0% Last Result, Majority

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.2% 100%  
49 71% 99.8% Median
50 0.8% 28%  
51 7% 28%  
52 12% 20%  
53 2% 8%  
54 6% 7%  
55 0.5% 1.0%  
56 0.5% 0.6%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
45 0.2% 100%  
46 69% 99.8% Median
47 2% 31%  
48 14% 29%  
49 3% 14%  
50 7% 11%  
51 4% 4%  
52 0.3% 0.4%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.1% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 3% 99.8%  
46 78% 97% Median
47 2% 18%  
48 7% 17%  
49 6% 10%  
50 3% 4%  
51 0.1% 0.7%  
52 0.7% 0.7%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0.6% 100%  
44 70% 99.4% Median
45 4% 30%  
46 4% 26%  
47 7% 22%  
48 6% 15%  
49 9% 9%  
50 0.3% 0.3%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0%  
66 0% 0%  
67 0% 0%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0%  
71 0% 0%  
72 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
37 0.1% 100%  
38 2% 99.9%  
39 69% 98% Median
40 16% 29%  
41 4% 12%  
42 3% 8%  
43 4% 5%  
44 1.0% 1.1%  
45 0.1% 0.1%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0% Last Result

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 72% 99.9% Median
36 2% 28%  
37 2% 26%  
38 16% 24%  
39 6% 7%  
40 0.9% 1.2%  
41 0.2% 0.3%  
42 0% 0%  
43 0% 0%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.2% 100% Last Result
34 4% 99.8%  
35 6% 96%  
36 75% 89% Median
37 5% 14%  
38 6% 9%  
39 3% 4%  
40 0.4% 0.4%  
41 0% 0%  

Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 2% 99.8%  
35 71% 97% Median
36 16% 27%  
37 3% 11%  
38 6% 8%  
39 0.9% 2%  
40 0.5% 1.1%  
41 0.5% 0.5%  
42 0% 0% Last Result

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
26 0.2% 100%  
27 3% 99.8%  
28 73% 97% Last Result, Median
29 4% 24%  
30 12% 20%  
31 5% 8%  
32 3% 3%  
33 0.2% 0.2%  
34 0% 0%  

Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
23 0.1% 100%  
24 1.0% 99.9%  
25 71% 98.9% Median
26 15% 27%  
27 5% 12%  
28 5% 7%  
29 0.7% 2%  
30 0.9% 0.9%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0%  
37 0% 0%  
38 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations