Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 29 April–5 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
18.0% |
17.1–18.9% |
16.9–19.2% |
16.7–19.4% |
16.2–19.9% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
15.3% |
14.5–16.2% |
14.3–16.5% |
14.1–16.7% |
13.7–17.1% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
11.3% |
10.6–12.1% |
10.4–12.3% |
10.2–12.5% |
9.9–12.9% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
9.3% |
8.7–10.1% |
8.5–10.3% |
8.3–10.4% |
8.0–10.8% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
9.3% |
8.7–10.1% |
8.5–10.3% |
8.3–10.4% |
8.0–10.8% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
7.3% |
6.8–8.0% |
6.6–8.2% |
6.4–8.3% |
6.2–8.6% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
6.0% |
5.5–6.6% |
5.3–6.8% |
5.2–6.9% |
5.0–7.2% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
6.0% |
5.5–6.6% |
5.3–6.8% |
5.2–6.9% |
5.0–7.2% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
5.3% |
4.8–5.9% |
4.7–6.1% |
4.6–6.2% |
4.4–6.5% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.7% |
4.2–5.2% |
4.1–5.3% |
4.0–5.5% |
3.7–5.8% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.1% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
DENK |
2.1% |
2.7% |
2.3–3.1% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.3% |
2.0–3.5% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
1.3% |
1.1–1.6% |
1.0–1.7% |
1.0–1.8% |
0.9–2.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0% |
100% |
|
19 |
0% |
100% |
|
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0% |
100% |
|
22 |
0% |
100% |
|
23 |
0% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
25 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
26 |
9% |
94% |
|
27 |
48% |
85% |
Median |
28 |
18% |
37% |
|
29 |
11% |
19% |
|
30 |
8% |
9% |
|
31 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
21 |
2% |
99.8% |
|
22 |
9% |
98% |
|
23 |
38% |
89% |
|
24 |
16% |
51% |
Median |
25 |
29% |
35% |
|
26 |
6% |
6% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
15 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
30% |
98.6% |
|
17 |
13% |
68% |
|
18 |
37% |
55% |
Median |
19 |
13% |
18% |
|
20 |
5% |
5% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
4% |
100% |
|
13 |
47% |
96% |
Median |
14 |
22% |
48% |
|
15 |
20% |
27% |
|
16 |
7% |
7% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
12 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
13 |
49% |
98% |
Median |
14 |
8% |
49% |
|
15 |
38% |
40% |
|
16 |
1.3% |
2% |
|
17 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
8 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
9 |
1.2% |
99.7% |
|
10 |
13% |
98.5% |
|
11 |
65% |
86% |
Median |
12 |
12% |
21% |
|
13 |
9% |
9% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
5% |
100% |
|
8 |
25% |
95% |
|
9 |
60% |
70% |
Median |
10 |
9% |
10% |
|
11 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
2% |
100% |
|
8 |
17% |
98% |
|
9 |
61% |
81% |
Median |
10 |
16% |
20% |
|
11 |
4% |
4% |
|
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
13 |
0% |
0% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
0.8% |
100% |
|
7 |
43% |
99.2% |
|
8 |
29% |
57% |
Median |
9 |
27% |
27% |
|
10 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
7% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
17% |
93% |
|
7 |
28% |
75% |
Median |
8 |
47% |
48% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
21% |
100% |
|
4 |
76% |
79% |
Last Result, Median |
5 |
3% |
3% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
3 |
38% |
99.9% |
Last Result |
4 |
58% |
62% |
Median |
5 |
4% |
4% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
54% |
100% |
Median |
2 |
44% |
46% |
|
3 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
Last Result |
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
75 |
32% |
74–77 |
73–78 |
73–79 |
72–81 |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
74 |
74 |
6% |
72–75 |
71–76 |
71–77 |
71–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
74 |
1.4% |
71–75 |
70–75 |
70–75 |
68–76 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
72 |
2% |
71–74 |
70–75 |
69–75 |
68–76 |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
70 |
0% |
69–72 |
68–73 |
68–73 |
66–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
70 |
0% |
67–72 |
67–72 |
67–72 |
66–73 |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus |
58 |
69 |
0% |
68–71 |
67–71 |
67–71 |
65–74 |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
66 |
0% |
65–68 |
65–69 |
64–69 |
62–71 |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
54 |
65 |
0% |
64–67 |
63–67 |
63–67 |
61–70 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
63 |
0% |
62–66 |
61–66 |
60–66 |
59–68 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
56 |
0% |
53–57 |
53–58 |
53–58 |
51–59 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
51 |
0% |
49–53 |
49–55 |
49–55 |
48–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
49 |
0% |
47–50 |
46–52 |
46–53 |
45–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
49 |
0% |
47–52 |
46–52 |
46–52 |
45–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
72 |
47 |
0% |
44–48 |
44–49 |
44–49 |
43–52 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
47 |
39 |
0% |
37–42 |
37–43 |
36–43 |
36–43 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
38 |
0% |
36–39 |
36–40 |
35–41 |
35–41 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
38 |
0% |
36–39 |
36–40 |
35–40 |
35–42 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
35 |
0% |
33–36 |
33–37 |
32–37 |
32–38 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
28 |
0% |
26–30 |
26–30 |
25–30 |
25–31 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
24 |
0% |
24–27 |
23–28 |
22–29 |
22–29 |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0% |
100% |
|
72 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
4% |
98% |
|
74 |
18% |
94% |
Median |
75 |
44% |
76% |
|
76 |
19% |
32% |
Majority |
77 |
8% |
13% |
Last Result |
78 |
3% |
6% |
|
79 |
2% |
3% |
|
80 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
9% |
94% |
|
73 |
13% |
85% |
Median |
74 |
58% |
72% |
Last Result |
75 |
8% |
14% |
|
76 |
3% |
6% |
Majority |
77 |
2% |
3% |
|
78 |
0.6% |
1.3% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.7% |
|
80 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
68 |
2% |
100% |
|
69 |
0.6% |
98% |
|
70 |
4% |
98% |
|
71 |
11% |
94% |
|
72 |
14% |
83% |
|
73 |
17% |
69% |
Median |
74 |
18% |
52% |
|
75 |
32% |
34% |
|
76 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
Majority |
77 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
67 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
68 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
98% |
|
70 |
2% |
97% |
|
71 |
7% |
94% |
Median |
72 |
48% |
87% |
|
73 |
19% |
39% |
|
74 |
11% |
20% |
|
75 |
7% |
9% |
|
76 |
2% |
2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
67 |
0.5% |
99.1% |
|
68 |
4% |
98.6% |
|
69 |
14% |
95% |
Median |
70 |
46% |
81% |
|
71 |
22% |
34% |
|
72 |
7% |
13% |
|
73 |
4% |
6% |
|
74 |
0.2% |
2% |
|
75 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
66 |
2% |
99.6% |
|
67 |
9% |
98% |
|
68 |
14% |
89% |
Median |
69 |
3% |
75% |
|
70 |
46% |
72% |
|
71 |
12% |
25% |
|
72 |
12% |
14% |
|
73 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
1.5% |
99.0% |
|
67 |
7% |
98% |
|
68 |
22% |
90% |
Median |
69 |
56% |
68% |
|
70 |
2% |
13% |
|
71 |
9% |
11% |
|
72 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
73 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
74 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.3% |
99.1% |
|
64 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
65 |
11% |
97% |
Median |
66 |
48% |
86% |
|
67 |
20% |
38% |
|
68 |
12% |
18% |
|
69 |
5% |
6% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
2% |
|
71 |
1.3% |
1.3% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
62 |
1.0% |
99.0% |
|
63 |
6% |
98% |
|
64 |
18% |
92% |
Median |
65 |
53% |
74% |
|
66 |
10% |
21% |
|
67 |
9% |
11% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
2% |
|
69 |
0.7% |
1.3% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
59 |
2% |
99.7% |
|
60 |
0.4% |
98% |
|
61 |
3% |
97% |
|
62 |
10% |
94% |
Median |
63 |
52% |
84% |
|
64 |
10% |
31% |
|
65 |
7% |
22% |
|
66 |
13% |
14% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.2% |
1.4% |
|
68 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
52 |
1.4% |
99.3% |
|
53 |
11% |
98% |
|
54 |
8% |
87% |
|
55 |
16% |
79% |
Median |
56 |
13% |
63% |
|
57 |
42% |
50% |
|
58 |
7% |
8% |
|
59 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
60 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.4% |
99.7% |
|
49 |
11% |
99.3% |
|
50 |
3% |
88% |
Median |
51 |
50% |
85% |
|
52 |
8% |
34% |
|
53 |
19% |
26% |
|
54 |
1.1% |
7% |
|
55 |
5% |
6% |
|
56 |
0.9% |
0.9% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
45 |
0.9% |
99.7% |
|
46 |
6% |
98.8% |
|
47 |
17% |
93% |
|
48 |
9% |
76% |
Median |
49 |
41% |
67% |
|
50 |
16% |
26% |
|
51 |
3% |
10% |
|
52 |
2% |
6% |
|
53 |
4% |
4% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
44 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
45 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
46 |
7% |
98.6% |
|
47 |
19% |
92% |
|
48 |
9% |
73% |
Median |
49 |
43% |
63% |
|
50 |
9% |
20% |
|
51 |
1.2% |
11% |
|
52 |
9% |
10% |
|
53 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
13% |
99.4% |
|
45 |
20% |
87% |
|
46 |
12% |
67% |
Median |
47 |
39% |
54% |
|
48 |
9% |
15% |
|
49 |
5% |
7% |
|
50 |
0.4% |
1.5% |
|
51 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
52 |
0.6% |
0.6% |
|
53 |
0% |
0% |
|
54 |
0% |
0% |
|
55 |
0% |
0% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
35 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
36 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
37 |
37% |
97% |
Median |
38 |
8% |
60% |
|
39 |
19% |
52% |
|
40 |
11% |
33% |
|
41 |
9% |
22% |
|
42 |
6% |
13% |
|
43 |
6% |
6% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
35 |
4% |
99.6% |
|
36 |
21% |
95% |
|
37 |
9% |
75% |
Median |
38 |
46% |
66% |
|
39 |
13% |
20% |
|
40 |
2% |
7% |
|
41 |
5% |
5% |
|
42 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
34 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
35 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
36 |
23% |
97% |
|
37 |
10% |
74% |
Median |
38 |
50% |
64% |
|
39 |
7% |
14% |
|
40 |
5% |
6% |
|
41 |
0.4% |
1.1% |
|
42 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0% |
100% |
|
32 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
6% |
96% |
Last Result, Median |
34 |
38% |
90% |
|
35 |
13% |
52% |
|
36 |
34% |
39% |
|
37 |
4% |
5% |
|
38 |
0.5% |
1.0% |
|
39 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
25 |
3% |
100% |
|
26 |
33% |
97% |
Median |
27 |
10% |
64% |
|
28 |
21% |
55% |
Last Result |
29 |
17% |
34% |
|
30 |
15% |
16% |
|
31 |
0.8% |
1.2% |
|
32 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
4% |
100% |
|
23 |
4% |
96% |
|
24 |
44% |
92% |
Median |
25 |
18% |
48% |
|
26 |
18% |
31% |
|
27 |
7% |
13% |
|
28 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
29 |
5% |
5% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 29 April–5 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.10%