Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 29 April–5 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 18.0% | 17.1–18.9% | 16.9–19.2% | 16.7–19.4% | 16.2–19.9% |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 15.3% | 14.5–16.2% | 14.3–16.5% | 14.1–16.7% | 13.7–17.1% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.6–12.1% | 10.4–12.3% | 10.2–12.5% | 9.9–12.9% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 7.3% | 6.8–8.0% | 6.6–8.2% | 6.4–8.3% | 6.2–8.6% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.5–6.6% | 5.3–6.8% | 5.2–6.9% | 5.0–7.2% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 27 | 26–29 | 25–30 | 25–30 | 25–31 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 24 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 21–26 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 18 | 16–19 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–20 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 13 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 13 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–17 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 11 | 10–12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–10 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| DENK | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 9% | 94% | |
| 27 | 48% | 85% | Median |
| 28 | 18% | 37% | |
| 29 | 11% | 19% | |
| 30 | 8% | 9% | |
| 31 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 9% | 98% | |
| 23 | 38% | 89% | |
| 24 | 16% | 51% | Median |
| 25 | 29% | 35% | |
| 26 | 6% | 6% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 30% | 98.6% | |
| 17 | 13% | 68% | |
| 18 | 37% | 55% | Median |
| 19 | 13% | 18% | |
| 20 | 5% | 5% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 4% | 100% | |
| 13 | 47% | 96% | Median |
| 14 | 22% | 48% | |
| 15 | 20% | 27% | |
| 16 | 7% | 7% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 13 | 49% | 98% | Median |
| 14 | 8% | 49% | |
| 15 | 38% | 40% | |
| 16 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 17 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 9 | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 10 | 13% | 98.5% | |
| 11 | 65% | 86% | Median |
| 12 | 12% | 21% | |
| 13 | 9% | 9% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 25% | 95% | |
| 9 | 60% | 70% | Median |
| 10 | 9% | 10% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 17% | 98% | |
| 9 | 61% | 81% | Median |
| 10 | 16% | 20% | |
| 11 | 4% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 7 | 43% | 99.2% | |
| 8 | 29% | 57% | Median |
| 9 | 27% | 27% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 17% | 93% | |
| 7 | 28% | 75% | Median |
| 8 | 47% | 48% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 21% | 100% | |
| 4 | 76% | 79% | Last Result, Median |
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 38% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 4 | 58% | 62% | Median |
| 5 | 4% | 4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 54% | 100% | Median |
| 2 | 44% | 46% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 1.4% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 75 | 32% | 74–77 | 73–78 | 73–79 | 72–81 |
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 74 | 74 | 6% | 72–75 | 71–76 | 71–77 | 71–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 74 | 1.4% | 71–75 | 70–75 | 70–75 | 68–76 |
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 72 | 2% | 71–74 | 70–75 | 69–75 | 68–76 |
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 70 | 0% | 69–72 | 68–73 | 68–73 | 66–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 70 | 0% | 67–72 | 67–72 | 67–72 | 66–73 |
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 69 | 0% | 68–71 | 67–71 | 67–71 | 65–74 |
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 66 | 0% | 65–68 | 65–69 | 64–69 | 62–71 |
| Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 65 | 0% | 64–67 | 63–67 | 63–67 | 61–70 |
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 63 | 0% | 62–66 | 61–66 | 60–66 | 59–68 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 56 | 0% | 53–57 | 53–58 | 53–58 | 51–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 51 | 0% | 49–53 | 49–55 | 49–55 | 48–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 49 | 0% | 47–50 | 46–52 | 46–53 | 45–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 49 | 0% | 47–52 | 46–52 | 46–52 | 45–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 72 | 47 | 0% | 44–48 | 44–49 | 44–49 | 43–52 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 47 | 39 | 0% | 37–42 | 37–43 | 36–43 | 36–43 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 38 | 0% | 36–39 | 36–40 | 35–41 | 35–41 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 38 | 0% | 36–39 | 36–40 | 35–40 | 35–42 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 35 | 0% | 33–36 | 33–37 | 32–37 | 32–38 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 28 | 0% | 26–30 | 26–30 | 25–30 | 25–31 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 24 | 0% | 24–27 | 23–28 | 22–29 | 22–29 |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 0% | 100% | |
| 72 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 73 | 4% | 98% | |
| 74 | 18% | 94% | Median |
| 75 | 44% | 76% | |
| 76 | 19% | 32% | Majority |
| 77 | 8% | 13% | Last Result |
| 78 | 3% | 6% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 71 | 6% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 9% | 94% | |
| 73 | 13% | 85% | Median |
| 74 | 58% | 72% | Last Result |
| 75 | 8% | 14% | |
| 76 | 3% | 6% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 2% | 100% | |
| 69 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 70 | 4% | 98% | |
| 71 | 11% | 94% | |
| 72 | 14% | 83% | |
| 73 | 17% | 69% | Median |
| 74 | 18% | 52% | |
| 75 | 32% | 34% | |
| 76 | 1.0% | 1.4% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 68 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 70 | 2% | 97% | |
| 71 | 7% | 94% | Median |
| 72 | 48% | 87% | |
| 73 | 19% | 39% | |
| 74 | 11% | 20% | |
| 75 | 7% | 9% | |
| 76 | 2% | 2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.1% | |
| 68 | 4% | 98.6% | |
| 69 | 14% | 95% | Median |
| 70 | 46% | 81% | |
| 71 | 22% | 34% | |
| 72 | 7% | 13% | |
| 73 | 4% | 6% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 2% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 67 | 9% | 98% | |
| 68 | 14% | 89% | Median |
| 69 | 3% | 75% | |
| 70 | 46% | 72% | |
| 71 | 12% | 25% | |
| 72 | 12% | 14% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 1.5% | 99.0% | |
| 67 | 7% | 98% | |
| 68 | 22% | 90% | Median |
| 69 | 56% | 68% | |
| 70 | 2% | 13% | |
| 71 | 9% | 11% | |
| 72 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 11% | 97% | Median |
| 66 | 48% | 86% | |
| 67 | 20% | 38% | |
| 68 | 12% | 18% | |
| 69 | 5% | 6% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 71 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Forum voor Democratie – Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 6% | 98% | |
| 64 | 18% | 92% | Median |
| 65 | 53% | 74% | |
| 66 | 10% | 21% | |
| 67 | 9% | 11% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 69 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 59 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 97% | |
| 62 | 10% | 94% | Median |
| 63 | 52% | 84% | |
| 64 | 10% | 31% | |
| 65 | 7% | 22% | |
| 66 | 13% | 14% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0.2% | 1.4% | |
| 68 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 52 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 53 | 11% | 98% | |
| 54 | 8% | 87% | |
| 55 | 16% | 79% | Median |
| 56 | 13% | 63% | |
| 57 | 42% | 50% | |
| 58 | 7% | 8% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 1.3% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 11% | 99.3% | |
| 50 | 3% | 88% | Median |
| 51 | 50% | 85% | |
| 52 | 8% | 34% | |
| 53 | 19% | 26% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 7% | |
| 55 | 5% | 6% | |
| 56 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 6% | 98.8% | |
| 47 | 17% | 93% | |
| 48 | 9% | 76% | Median |
| 49 | 41% | 67% | |
| 50 | 16% | 26% | |
| 51 | 3% | 10% | |
| 52 | 2% | 6% | |
| 53 | 4% | 4% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 7% | 98.6% | |
| 47 | 19% | 92% | |
| 48 | 9% | 73% | Median |
| 49 | 43% | 63% | |
| 50 | 9% | 20% | |
| 51 | 1.2% | 11% | |
| 52 | 9% | 10% | |
| 53 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 13% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 20% | 87% | |
| 46 | 12% | 67% | Median |
| 47 | 39% | 54% | |
| 48 | 9% | 15% | |
| 49 | 5% | 7% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 1.5% | |
| 51 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 36 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 37% | 97% | Median |
| 38 | 8% | 60% | |
| 39 | 19% | 52% | |
| 40 | 11% | 33% | |
| 41 | 9% | 22% | |
| 42 | 6% | 13% | |
| 43 | 6% | 6% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 35 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 21% | 95% | |
| 37 | 9% | 75% | Median |
| 38 | 46% | 66% | |
| 39 | 13% | 20% | |
| 40 | 2% | 7% | |
| 41 | 5% | 5% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 35 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 36 | 23% | 97% | |
| 37 | 10% | 74% | Median |
| 38 | 50% | 64% | |
| 39 | 7% | 14% | |
| 40 | 5% | 6% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0% | 100% | |
| 32 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 6% | 96% | Last Result, Median |
| 34 | 38% | 90% | |
| 35 | 13% | 52% | |
| 36 | 34% | 39% | |
| 37 | 4% | 5% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 3% | 100% | |
| 26 | 33% | 97% | Median |
| 27 | 10% | 64% | |
| 28 | 21% | 55% | Last Result |
| 29 | 17% | 34% | |
| 30 | 15% | 16% | |
| 31 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 32 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 4% | 100% | |
| 23 | 4% | 96% | |
| 24 | 44% | 92% | Median |
| 25 | 18% | 48% | |
| 26 | 18% | 31% | |
| 27 | 7% | 13% | |
| 28 | 1.3% | 6% | |
| 29 | 5% | 5% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 29 April–5 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.10%