Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 9–14 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 17.2% | 16.1–18.5% | 15.8–18.8% | 15.5–19.1% | 15.0–19.8% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 14.6% | 13.5–15.8% | 13.2–16.1% | 13.0–16.4% | 12.5–16.9% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.5–13.6% | 10.0–14.1% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.4–10.3% | 8.2–10.5% | 8.0–10.8% | 7.6–11.3% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 8.6% | 7.8–9.6% | 7.6–9.8% | 7.4–10.1% | 7.0–10.5% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.2–8.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.4–9.8% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 6.6% | 5.9–7.5% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.5–7.9% | 5.2–8.4% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.9–7.5% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.5–7.9% | 5.2–8.4% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0–5.4% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.8% | 3.5–6.1% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.4% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8–4.0% | 2.7–4.1% | 2.5–4.3% | 2.3–4.6% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.4% | 2.0–3.6% | 1.8–3.8% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 27 | 25–28 | 24–28 | 24–29 | 23–30 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 21 | 20–23 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 19–26 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 18 | 17–20 | 17–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 14 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 13 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 | 11–16 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 10 | 9–10 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–13 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 9 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 6 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–7 | 4–8 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 3–7 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 3 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–6 |
| DENK | 3 | 2 | 2–3 | 2–3 | 2–4 | 1–4 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 8% | 99.4% | |
| 25 | 25% | 91% | |
| 26 | 12% | 66% | |
| 27 | 7% | 54% | Median |
| 28 | 42% | 47% | |
| 29 | 3% | 4% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 31 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 32 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 19 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 20 | 8% | 97% | |
| 21 | 43% | 89% | Median |
| 22 | 25% | 46% | |
| 23 | 11% | 21% | |
| 24 | 5% | 9% | |
| 25 | 3% | 5% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 4% | 99.3% | |
| 17 | 11% | 95% | |
| 18 | 46% | 84% | Median |
| 19 | 9% | 38% | |
| 20 | 28% | 28% | |
| 21 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 12 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 13 | 28% | 95% | |
| 14 | 44% | 67% | Median |
| 15 | 10% | 23% | |
| 16 | 12% | 13% | |
| 17 | 2% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 11 | 7% | 99.6% | |
| 12 | 10% | 92% | |
| 13 | 35% | 82% | Median |
| 14 | 3% | 47% | |
| 15 | 39% | 44% | |
| 16 | 5% | 5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 11 | 44% | 95% | |
| 12 | 31% | 51% | Median |
| 13 | 10% | 20% | |
| 14 | 10% | 10% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 2% | 100% | |
| 8 | 6% | 98% | |
| 9 | 6% | 92% | |
| 10 | 77% | 86% | Median |
| 11 | 5% | 9% | |
| 12 | 3% | 4% | |
| 13 | 1.5% | 1.5% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 50% | 97% | Median |
| 10 | 12% | 47% | |
| 11 | 34% | 35% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 15% | 96% | |
| 7 | 19% | 81% | |
| 8 | 61% | 63% | Median |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 20% | 100% | |
| 5 | 19% | 80% | Last Result |
| 6 | 50% | 61% | Median |
| 7 | 8% | 10% | |
| 8 | 2% | 2% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 4 | 19% | 98.7% | Last Result |
| 5 | 54% | 80% | Median |
| 6 | 24% | 25% | |
| 7 | 2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 3 | 69% | 99.6% | Last Result, Median |
| 4 | 22% | 31% | |
| 5 | 8% | 9% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 54% | 99.0% | Median |
| 3 | 42% | 45% | Last Result |
| 4 | 3% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 80 | 98.7% | 76–81 | 76–83 | 76–83 | 75–84 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 74 | 76 | 59% | 73–78 | 73–79 | 72–79 | 72–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 77 | 75% | 74–78 | 72–78 | 71–79 | 69–80 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 71 | 2% | 69–72 | 69–73 | 68–75 | 67–76 |
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 70 | 0.2% | 69–75 | 68–75 | 67–75 | 66–75 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 71 | 0.1% | 68–71 | 65–73 | 65–74 | 64–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 68 | 0% | 66–68 | 66–70 | 65–71 | 63–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 66 | 0% | 63–68 | 63–69 | 63–70 | 62–71 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 63 | 0% | 60–64 | 60–65 | 60–66 | 58–67 |
| GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 61 | 0% | 59–64 | 58–64 | 57–64 | 57–66 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 58 | 0% | 55–60 | 53–60 | 52–61 | 52–62 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 61 | 53 | 0% | 50–54 | 50–55 | 49–58 | 48–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 72 | 54 | 0% | 51–57 | 51–57 | 50–57 | 49–58 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 52 | 0% | 48–52 | 47–53 | 46–55 | 45–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 49 | 0% | 46–50 | 46–51 | 46–52 | 44–53 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 41 | 0% | 38–42 | 38–42 | 37–45 | 37–46 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 39 | 0% | 37–40 | 36–41 | 36–42 | 34–42 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 47 | 35 | 0% | 34–39 | 33–40 | 33–40 | 32–40 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie | 33 | 33 | 0% | 32–35 | 30–37 | 29–37 | 29–38 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid | 28 | 25 | 0% | 25–29 | 24–30 | 23–30 | 22–30 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 24 | 0% | 22–26 | 21–26 | 21–27 | 20–28 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 75 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 76 | 20% | 98.7% | Majority |
| 77 | 6% | 79% | Last Result |
| 78 | 3% | 73% | Median |
| 79 | 15% | 71% | |
| 80 | 5% | 55% | |
| 81 | 43% | 50% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 6% | |
| 83 | 4% | 5% | |
| 84 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 5% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 21% | 95% | |
| 74 | 4% | 74% | Last Result |
| 75 | 11% | 70% | Median |
| 76 | 10% | 59% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 49% | |
| 78 | 40% | 46% | |
| 79 | 4% | 6% | |
| 80 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 98.6% | |
| 71 | 2% | 98% | |
| 72 | 3% | 96% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 93% | |
| 74 | 12% | 92% | |
| 75 | 4% | 79% | |
| 76 | 22% | 75% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 53% | Median |
| 78 | 45% | 49% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 80 | 2% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 1.3% | 99.8% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 98.5% | |
| 69 | 21% | 97% | |
| 70 | 10% | 76% | Median |
| 71 | 49% | 66% | |
| 72 | 8% | 17% | |
| 73 | 5% | 9% | |
| 74 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 2% | 2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 68 | 4% | 96% | |
| 69 | 3% | 91% | |
| 70 | 45% | 89% | |
| 71 | 3% | 44% | Median |
| 72 | 7% | 41% | |
| 73 | 3% | 34% | |
| 74 | 21% | 31% | |
| 75 | 10% | 10% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 7% | 98.8% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 92% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 91% | |
| 68 | 24% | 91% | |
| 69 | 5% | 67% | |
| 70 | 8% | 62% | |
| 71 | 46% | 54% | Median |
| 72 | 2% | 8% | |
| 73 | 2% | 5% | |
| 74 | 3% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 77 | 0% | 0% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 2% | 98% | |
| 66 | 29% | 96% | |
| 67 | 13% | 67% | Median |
| 68 | 45% | 54% | |
| 69 | 3% | 9% | |
| 70 | 2% | 6% | |
| 71 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 72 | 2% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 19% | 98.8% | |
| 64 | 3% | 79% | |
| 65 | 2% | 77% | Median |
| 66 | 57% | 75% | |
| 67 | 7% | 18% | |
| 68 | 5% | 11% | |
| 69 | 1.3% | 5% | |
| 70 | 2% | 4% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 1.4% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 60 | 20% | 98% | |
| 61 | 8% | 78% | |
| 62 | 9% | 70% | Median |
| 63 | 50% | 61% | |
| 64 | 5% | 11% | |
| 65 | 2% | 6% | |
| 66 | 2% | 4% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 58 | 4% | 97% | |
| 59 | 6% | 93% | |
| 60 | 4% | 87% | |
| 61 | 41% | 83% | |
| 62 | 5% | 42% | Median |
| 63 | 22% | 36% | |
| 64 | 13% | 14% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 1.3% | Last Result |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0% | 100% | |
| 52 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 96% | |
| 54 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 55 | 4% | 94% | |
| 56 | 21% | 90% | |
| 57 | 14% | 68% | |
| 58 | 7% | 54% | |
| 59 | 3% | 47% | Median |
| 60 | 40% | 45% | |
| 61 | 4% | 5% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 49 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 50 | 21% | 96% | |
| 51 | 5% | 75% | |
| 52 | 5% | 70% | |
| 53 | 46% | 65% | Median |
| 54 | 13% | 19% | |
| 55 | 2% | 6% | |
| 56 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 3% | |
| 58 | 3% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 51 | 21% | 96% | |
| 52 | 8% | 76% | |
| 53 | 14% | 68% | |
| 54 | 4% | 54% | Median |
| 55 | 6% | 50% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 44% | |
| 57 | 41% | 43% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 2% | 100% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 48 | 19% | 94% | |
| 49 | 7% | 75% | |
| 50 | 10% | 68% | |
| 51 | 7% | 58% | Median |
| 52 | 43% | 50% | |
| 53 | 3% | 7% | |
| 54 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 55 | 2% | 3% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 9% | 98% | |
| 47 | 21% | 88% | |
| 48 | 15% | 67% | |
| 49 | 41% | 52% | Median |
| 50 | 3% | 11% | |
| 51 | 4% | 8% | |
| 52 | 3% | 5% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 37 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 38 | 21% | 97% | |
| 39 | 4% | 76% | |
| 40 | 16% | 72% | |
| 41 | 8% | 56% | Median |
| 42 | 44% | 49% | |
| 43 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 3% | |
| 45 | 2% | 3% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 36 | 5% | 98% | |
| 37 | 20% | 93% | |
| 38 | 18% | 73% | |
| 39 | 44% | 55% | Median |
| 40 | 4% | 10% | |
| 41 | 3% | 7% | |
| 42 | 3% | 4% | Last Result |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.8% | 99.9% | |
| 33 | 8% | 99.1% | |
| 34 | 4% | 91% | |
| 35 | 58% | 87% | |
| 36 | 3% | 28% | Median |
| 37 | 8% | 25% | |
| 38 | 4% | 17% | |
| 39 | 6% | 13% | |
| 40 | 7% | 7% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 3% | 97% | |
| 31 | 0.7% | 94% | |
| 32 | 11% | 93% | |
| 33 | 62% | 83% | Last Result |
| 34 | 6% | 20% | Median |
| 35 | 6% | 14% | |
| 36 | 0.4% | 8% | |
| 37 | 6% | 8% | |
| 38 | 1.2% | 1.2% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 23 | 4% | 99.4% | |
| 24 | 2% | 96% | |
| 25 | 63% | 94% | |
| 26 | 6% | 31% | Median |
| 27 | 9% | 24% | |
| 28 | 3% | 15% | Last Result |
| 29 | 5% | 11% | |
| 30 | 6% | 6% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 3% | 98% | |
| 22 | 5% | 94% | |
| 23 | 25% | 90% | |
| 24 | 43% | 65% | Median |
| 25 | 5% | 22% | |
| 26 | 14% | 17% | |
| 27 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 28 | 2% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 9–14 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1659
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.77%