Opinion Poll by I&O Research, 9–14 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
17.2% |
16.1–18.5% |
15.8–18.8% |
15.5–19.1% |
15.0–19.8% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
14.6% |
13.5–15.8% |
13.2–16.1% |
13.0–16.4% |
12.5–16.9% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
11.9% |
11.0–13.0% |
10.7–13.3% |
10.5–13.6% |
10.0–14.1% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
9.3% |
8.4–10.3% |
8.2–10.5% |
8.0–10.8% |
7.6–11.3% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
8.6% |
7.8–9.6% |
7.6–9.8% |
7.4–10.1% |
7.0–10.5% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
8.0% |
7.2–8.9% |
6.9–9.1% |
6.7–9.4% |
6.4–9.8% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
6.6% |
5.9–7.5% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.5–7.9% |
5.2–8.4% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
6.6% |
5.9–7.5% |
5.7–7.7% |
5.5–7.9% |
5.2–8.4% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.6% |
4.0–5.4% |
3.9–5.6% |
3.7–5.8% |
3.5–6.1% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
4.0% |
3.4–4.7% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.0% |
2.9–5.4% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
3.3% |
2.8–4.0% |
2.7–4.1% |
2.5–4.3% |
2.3–4.6% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.7% |
2.2–3.2% |
2.1–3.4% |
2.0–3.6% |
1.8–3.8% |
DENK |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.6–2.5% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.8% |
1.2–3.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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
Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
23 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
24 |
8% |
99.4% |
|
25 |
25% |
91% |
|
26 |
12% |
66% |
|
27 |
7% |
54% |
Median |
28 |
42% |
47% |
|
29 |
3% |
4% |
|
30 |
0.7% |
0.8% |
|
31 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
32 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0% |
100% |
|
17 |
0% |
100% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
19 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
20 |
8% |
97% |
|
21 |
43% |
89% |
Median |
22 |
25% |
46% |
|
23 |
11% |
21% |
|
24 |
5% |
9% |
|
25 |
3% |
5% |
|
26 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
27 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
14 |
0.1% |
100% |
Last Result |
15 |
0.7% |
99.9% |
|
16 |
4% |
99.3% |
|
17 |
11% |
95% |
|
18 |
46% |
84% |
Median |
19 |
9% |
38% |
|
20 |
28% |
28% |
|
21 |
0.4% |
0.6% |
|
22 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
23 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
12 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
13 |
28% |
95% |
|
14 |
44% |
67% |
Median |
15 |
10% |
23% |
|
16 |
12% |
13% |
|
17 |
2% |
2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
10 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
11 |
7% |
99.6% |
|
12 |
10% |
92% |
|
13 |
35% |
82% |
Median |
14 |
3% |
47% |
|
15 |
39% |
44% |
|
16 |
5% |
5% |
|
17 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.3% |
100% |
Last Result |
10 |
5% |
99.7% |
|
11 |
44% |
95% |
|
12 |
31% |
51% |
Median |
13 |
10% |
20% |
|
14 |
10% |
10% |
|
15 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
16 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
2% |
100% |
|
8 |
6% |
98% |
|
9 |
6% |
92% |
|
10 |
77% |
86% |
Median |
11 |
5% |
9% |
|
12 |
3% |
4% |
|
13 |
1.5% |
1.5% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
|
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
17 |
0% |
0% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
3% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
50% |
97% |
Median |
10 |
12% |
47% |
|
11 |
34% |
35% |
|
12 |
0.9% |
1.3% |
|
13 |
0.3% |
0.5% |
|
14 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
15 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
5 |
4% |
100% |
Last Result |
6 |
15% |
96% |
|
7 |
19% |
81% |
|
8 |
61% |
63% |
Median |
9 |
2% |
2% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
20% |
100% |
|
5 |
19% |
80% |
Last Result |
6 |
50% |
61% |
Median |
7 |
8% |
10% |
|
8 |
2% |
2% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
4 |
19% |
98.7% |
Last Result |
5 |
54% |
80% |
Median |
6 |
24% |
25% |
|
7 |
2% |
2% |
|
8 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
3 |
69% |
99.6% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
22% |
31% |
|
5 |
8% |
9% |
|
6 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
1.0% |
100% |
|
2 |
54% |
99.0% |
Median |
3 |
42% |
45% |
Last Result |
4 |
3% |
4% |
|
5 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
80 |
98.7% |
76–81 |
76–83 |
76–83 |
75–84 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
74 |
76 |
59% |
73–78 |
73–79 |
72–79 |
72–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
77 |
75% |
74–78 |
72–78 |
71–79 |
69–80 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
71 |
2% |
69–72 |
69–73 |
68–75 |
67–76 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
70 |
0.2% |
69–75 |
68–75 |
67–75 |
66–75 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
85 |
71 |
0.1% |
68–71 |
65–73 |
65–74 |
64–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus |
58 |
68 |
0% |
66–68 |
66–70 |
65–71 |
63–72 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
66 |
0% |
63–68 |
63–69 |
63–70 |
62–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
54 |
63 |
0% |
60–64 |
60–65 |
60–66 |
58–67 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
66 |
61 |
0% |
59–64 |
58–64 |
57–64 |
57–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
58 |
0% |
55–60 |
53–60 |
52–61 |
52–62 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
53 |
0% |
50–54 |
50–55 |
49–58 |
48–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
72 |
54 |
0% |
51–57 |
51–57 |
50–57 |
49–58 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
52 |
0% |
48–52 |
47–53 |
46–55 |
45–56 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
61 |
49 |
0% |
46–50 |
46–51 |
46–52 |
44–53 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
41 |
0% |
38–42 |
38–42 |
37–45 |
37–46 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
39 |
0% |
37–40 |
36–41 |
36–42 |
34–42 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 |
47 |
35 |
0% |
34–39 |
33–40 |
33–40 |
32–40 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
33 |
0% |
32–35 |
30–37 |
29–37 |
29–38 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
25 |
0% |
25–29 |
24–30 |
23–30 |
22–30 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
24 |
0% |
22–26 |
21–26 |
21–27 |
20–28 |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
76 |
20% |
98.7% |
Majority |
77 |
6% |
79% |
Last Result |
78 |
3% |
73% |
Median |
79 |
15% |
71% |
|
80 |
5% |
55% |
|
81 |
43% |
50% |
|
82 |
1.1% |
6% |
|
83 |
4% |
5% |
|
84 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
85 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
70 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
71 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
72 |
5% |
99.8% |
|
73 |
21% |
95% |
|
74 |
4% |
74% |
Last Result |
75 |
11% |
70% |
Median |
76 |
10% |
59% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
49% |
|
78 |
40% |
46% |
|
79 |
4% |
6% |
|
80 |
1.0% |
1.3% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.5% |
98.6% |
|
71 |
2% |
98% |
|
72 |
3% |
96% |
|
73 |
1.3% |
93% |
|
74 |
12% |
92% |
|
75 |
4% |
79% |
|
76 |
22% |
75% |
Majority |
77 |
4% |
53% |
Median |
78 |
45% |
49% |
|
79 |
1.3% |
4% |
|
80 |
2% |
2% |
|
81 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
86 |
0% |
0% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
67 |
1.3% |
99.8% |
|
68 |
1.2% |
98.5% |
|
69 |
21% |
97% |
|
70 |
10% |
76% |
Median |
71 |
49% |
66% |
|
72 |
8% |
17% |
|
73 |
5% |
9% |
|
74 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
75 |
2% |
4% |
|
76 |
2% |
2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
65 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
68 |
4% |
96% |
|
69 |
3% |
91% |
|
70 |
45% |
89% |
|
71 |
3% |
44% |
Median |
72 |
7% |
41% |
|
73 |
3% |
34% |
|
74 |
21% |
31% |
|
75 |
10% |
10% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
78 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
63 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
64 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
65 |
7% |
98.8% |
|
66 |
0.8% |
92% |
|
67 |
0.7% |
91% |
|
68 |
24% |
91% |
|
69 |
5% |
67% |
|
70 |
8% |
62% |
|
71 |
46% |
54% |
Median |
72 |
2% |
8% |
|
73 |
2% |
5% |
|
74 |
3% |
3% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
76 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
77 |
0% |
0% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.8% |
|
64 |
1.3% |
99.5% |
|
65 |
2% |
98% |
|
66 |
29% |
96% |
|
67 |
13% |
67% |
Median |
68 |
45% |
54% |
|
69 |
3% |
9% |
|
70 |
2% |
6% |
|
71 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
72 |
2% |
2% |
|
73 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
74 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
62 |
1.1% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
19% |
98.8% |
|
64 |
3% |
79% |
|
65 |
2% |
77% |
Median |
66 |
57% |
75% |
|
67 |
7% |
18% |
|
68 |
5% |
11% |
|
69 |
1.3% |
5% |
|
70 |
2% |
4% |
|
71 |
1.0% |
1.4% |
|
72 |
0.1% |
0.4% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
58 |
1.0% |
99.9% |
|
59 |
0.7% |
98.9% |
|
60 |
20% |
98% |
|
61 |
8% |
78% |
|
62 |
9% |
70% |
Median |
63 |
50% |
61% |
|
64 |
5% |
11% |
|
65 |
2% |
6% |
|
66 |
2% |
4% |
|
67 |
1.2% |
2% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.4% |
|
69 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
57 |
3% |
99.7% |
|
58 |
4% |
97% |
|
59 |
6% |
93% |
|
60 |
4% |
87% |
|
61 |
41% |
83% |
|
62 |
5% |
42% |
Median |
63 |
22% |
36% |
|
64 |
13% |
14% |
|
65 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
66 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
51 |
0% |
100% |
|
52 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
53 |
1.3% |
96% |
|
54 |
0.5% |
95% |
|
55 |
4% |
94% |
|
56 |
21% |
90% |
|
57 |
14% |
68% |
|
58 |
7% |
54% |
|
59 |
3% |
47% |
Median |
60 |
40% |
45% |
|
61 |
4% |
5% |
|
62 |
0.7% |
0.9% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
49 |
4% |
99.5% |
|
50 |
21% |
96% |
|
51 |
5% |
75% |
|
52 |
5% |
70% |
|
53 |
46% |
65% |
Median |
54 |
13% |
19% |
|
55 |
2% |
6% |
|
56 |
0.8% |
4% |
|
57 |
0.2% |
3% |
|
58 |
3% |
3% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
3% |
99.3% |
|
51 |
21% |
96% |
|
52 |
8% |
76% |
|
53 |
14% |
68% |
|
54 |
4% |
54% |
Median |
55 |
6% |
50% |
|
56 |
1.3% |
44% |
|
57 |
41% |
43% |
|
58 |
2% |
2% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
45 |
2% |
100% |
|
46 |
2% |
98% |
|
47 |
1.4% |
96% |
|
48 |
19% |
94% |
|
49 |
7% |
75% |
|
50 |
10% |
68% |
|
51 |
7% |
58% |
Median |
52 |
43% |
50% |
|
53 |
3% |
7% |
|
54 |
1.1% |
4% |
|
55 |
2% |
3% |
|
56 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
|
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
63 |
0% |
0% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
42 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
43 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
44 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
45 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
46 |
9% |
98% |
|
47 |
21% |
88% |
|
48 |
15% |
67% |
|
49 |
41% |
52% |
Median |
50 |
3% |
11% |
|
51 |
4% |
8% |
|
52 |
3% |
5% |
|
53 |
1.1% |
1.3% |
|
54 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
55 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
56 |
0% |
0% |
|
57 |
0% |
0% |
|
58 |
0% |
0% |
|
59 |
0% |
0% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
36 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
37 |
3% |
99.6% |
|
38 |
21% |
97% |
|
39 |
4% |
76% |
|
40 |
16% |
72% |
|
41 |
8% |
56% |
Median |
42 |
44% |
49% |
|
43 |
1.2% |
5% |
|
44 |
0.5% |
3% |
|
45 |
2% |
3% |
|
46 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
48 |
0% |
0% |
|
49 |
0% |
0% |
|
50 |
0% |
0% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
35 |
2% |
99.5% |
|
36 |
5% |
98% |
|
37 |
20% |
93% |
|
38 |
18% |
73% |
|
39 |
44% |
55% |
Median |
40 |
4% |
10% |
|
41 |
3% |
7% |
|
42 |
3% |
4% |
Last Result |
43 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
44 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
31 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
32 |
0.8% |
99.9% |
|
33 |
8% |
99.1% |
|
34 |
4% |
91% |
|
35 |
58% |
87% |
|
36 |
3% |
28% |
Median |
37 |
8% |
25% |
|
38 |
4% |
17% |
|
39 |
6% |
13% |
|
40 |
7% |
7% |
|
41 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
42 |
0% |
0% |
|
43 |
0% |
0% |
|
44 |
0% |
0% |
|
45 |
0% |
0% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
28 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
29 |
3% |
99.8% |
|
30 |
3% |
97% |
|
31 |
0.7% |
94% |
|
32 |
11% |
93% |
|
33 |
62% |
83% |
Last Result |
34 |
6% |
20% |
Median |
35 |
6% |
14% |
|
36 |
0.4% |
8% |
|
37 |
6% |
8% |
|
38 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
|
39 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
40 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
22 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
23 |
4% |
99.4% |
|
24 |
2% |
96% |
|
25 |
63% |
94% |
|
26 |
6% |
31% |
Median |
27 |
9% |
24% |
|
28 |
3% |
15% |
Last Result |
29 |
5% |
11% |
|
30 |
6% |
6% |
|
31 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
2% |
100% |
|
21 |
3% |
98% |
|
22 |
5% |
94% |
|
23 |
25% |
90% |
|
24 |
43% |
65% |
Median |
25 |
5% |
22% |
|
26 |
14% |
17% |
|
27 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
28 |
2% |
2% |
|
29 |
0% |
0% |
|
30 |
0% |
0% |
|
31 |
0% |
0% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
33 |
0% |
0% |
|
34 |
0% |
0% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: I&O Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 9–14 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1659
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.77%