Opinion Poll by Ipsos, 21 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
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Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie |
21.3% |
18.7% |
17.2–20.4% |
16.8–20.8% |
16.4–21.2% |
15.7–22.1% |
Forum voor Democratie |
1.8% |
14.0% |
12.7–15.5% |
12.3–15.9% |
12.0–16.3% |
11.4–17.0% |
GroenLinks |
9.1% |
10.6% |
9.4–11.9% |
9.1–12.3% |
8.8–12.7% |
8.3–13.3% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
12.4% |
9.9% |
8.8–11.2% |
8.5–11.6% |
8.2–11.9% |
7.7–12.6% |
Democraten 66 |
12.2% |
8.6% |
7.6–9.8% |
7.3–10.2% |
7.0–10.5% |
6.5–11.1% |
Partij voor de Vrijheid |
13.1% |
8.2% |
7.2–9.4% |
6.9–9.8% |
6.6–10.1% |
6.2–10.7% |
Partij van de Arbeid |
5.7% |
7.0% |
6.1–8.2% |
5.8–8.5% |
5.6–8.8% |
5.2–9.3% |
Socialistische Partij |
9.1% |
6.0% |
5.1–7.1% |
4.9–7.4% |
4.7–7.7% |
4.3–8.2% |
50Plus |
3.1% |
4.1% |
3.4–5.0% |
3.2–5.3% |
3.0–5.5% |
2.7–6.0% |
ChristenUnie |
3.4% |
4.0% |
3.3–4.9% |
3.1–5.2% |
2.9–5.4% |
2.7–5.9% |
Partij voor de Dieren |
3.2% |
3.8% |
3.1–4.7% |
2.9–5.0% |
2.8–5.2% |
2.5–5.6% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
2.1% |
2.3% |
1.8–3.0% |
1.6–3.2% |
1.5–3.4% |
1.3–3.8% |
DENK |
2.1% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
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Confidence Intervals
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.5% |
100% |
|
24 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
25 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
26 |
8% |
98% |
|
27 |
62% |
90% |
Median |
28 |
9% |
28% |
|
29 |
8% |
19% |
|
30 |
9% |
12% |
|
31 |
1.2% |
3% |
|
32 |
1.0% |
2% |
|
33 |
0.6% |
0.8% |
Last Result |
34 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
2 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0% |
100% |
|
9 |
0% |
100% |
|
10 |
0% |
100% |
|
11 |
0% |
100% |
|
12 |
0% |
100% |
|
13 |
0% |
100% |
|
14 |
0% |
100% |
|
15 |
0% |
100% |
|
16 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
18 |
2% |
99.4% |
|
19 |
9% |
97% |
|
20 |
16% |
89% |
|
21 |
11% |
73% |
|
22 |
53% |
61% |
Median |
23 |
6% |
9% |
|
24 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
25 |
0.4% |
2% |
|
26 |
1.1% |
1.2% |
|
27 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
28 |
0% |
0% |
|
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
12 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
13 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
14 |
2% |
96% |
Last Result |
15 |
8% |
94% |
|
16 |
6% |
86% |
|
17 |
11% |
79% |
|
18 |
61% |
69% |
Median |
19 |
7% |
8% |
|
20 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
21 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
22 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
11 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
12 |
1.2% |
99.9% |
|
13 |
26% |
98.7% |
|
14 |
5% |
73% |
|
15 |
5% |
68% |
|
16 |
11% |
64% |
|
17 |
47% |
53% |
Median |
18 |
0.8% |
6% |
|
19 |
5% |
5% |
Last Result |
20 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
21 |
0% |
0% |
|
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
10 |
4% |
99.9% |
|
11 |
2% |
96% |
|
12 |
59% |
94% |
Median |
13 |
21% |
35% |
|
14 |
4% |
15% |
|
15 |
9% |
11% |
|
16 |
2% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
18 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
9 |
2% |
100% |
|
10 |
8% |
98% |
|
11 |
49% |
90% |
Median |
12 |
18% |
41% |
|
13 |
16% |
24% |
|
14 |
6% |
8% |
|
15 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
16 |
1.4% |
2% |
|
17 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
18 |
0% |
0% |
|
19 |
0% |
0% |
|
20 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
7 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
8 |
1.3% |
99.9% |
|
9 |
4% |
98.6% |
Last Result |
10 |
18% |
95% |
|
11 |
52% |
77% |
Median |
12 |
17% |
25% |
|
13 |
8% |
8% |
|
14 |
0.3% |
0.7% |
|
15 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
16 |
0% |
0% |
|
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
6 |
1.3% |
100% |
|
7 |
2% |
98.6% |
|
8 |
14% |
96% |
|
9 |
56% |
82% |
Median |
10 |
8% |
27% |
|
11 |
5% |
18% |
|
12 |
13% |
13% |
|
13 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
14 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
4 |
2% |
100% |
Last Result |
5 |
18% |
98% |
|
6 |
71% |
80% |
Median |
7 |
7% |
10% |
|
8 |
2% |
3% |
|
9 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
4 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
5 |
26% |
98% |
Last Result |
6 |
13% |
71% |
|
7 |
55% |
59% |
Median |
8 |
3% |
3% |
|
9 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
10 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
11 |
0% |
0% |
|
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
3 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
4 |
13% |
99.6% |
|
5 |
72% |
87% |
Last Result, Median |
6 |
10% |
15% |
|
7 |
4% |
5% |
|
8 |
0.5% |
0.5% |
|
9 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
10 |
0% |
0% |
|
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.3% |
100% |
|
2 |
4% |
99.7% |
|
3 |
75% |
96% |
Last Result, Median |
4 |
18% |
21% |
|
5 |
3% |
4% |
|
6 |
0.4% |
0.4% |
|
7 |
0% |
0% |
|
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
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Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
1 |
0.9% |
100% |
|
2 |
59% |
99.1% |
Median |
3 |
35% |
40% |
Last Result |
4 |
4% |
5% |
|
5 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
|
6 |
0% |
0% |
|
Coalitions
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Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
77 |
80 |
80% |
75–83 |
75–85 |
75–86 |
75–86 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
74 |
77 |
70% |
72–79 |
71–81 |
71–83 |
71–83 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
90 |
81 |
97% |
76–81 |
76–81 |
75–82 |
72–84 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
61 |
75 |
15% |
69–76 |
67–77 |
67–78 |
67–79 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
85 |
74 |
5% |
70–74 |
70–76 |
70–77 |
67–78 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie |
80 |
74 |
1.0% |
68–74 |
67–75 |
66–75 |
63–76 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus |
58 |
72 |
2% |
66–72 |
63–74 |
63–74 |
63–77 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij |
57 |
69 |
0% |
63–70 |
62–72 |
62–73 |
62–74 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
54 |
66 |
0% |
60–66 |
58–69 |
58–69 |
58–71 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie |
76 |
63 |
0% |
58–63 |
58–65 |
58–67 |
57–67 |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
66 |
65 |
0% |
59–65 |
58–66 |
57–66 |
55–66 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid |
72 |
55 |
0% |
52–58 |
52–60 |
52–61 |
51–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
71 |
56 |
0% |
53–57 |
53–60 |
53–60 |
51–61 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
55 |
0% |
52–55 |
52–58 |
51–58 |
49–60 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
61 |
50 |
0% |
50–54 |
49–54 |
49–54 |
46–57 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl |
52 |
44 |
0% |
40–45 |
39–47 |
39–48 |
39–48 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid |
47 |
40 |
0% |
37–41 |
35–42 |
35–43 |
34–44 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid |
42 |
38 |
0% |
38–40 |
37–41 |
37–41 |
34–44 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie |
33 |
35 |
0% |
30–35 |
30–35 |
29–35 |
28–36 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 |
38 |
29 |
0% |
26–29 |
25–31 |
25–32 |
24–32 |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid |
28 |
28 |
0% |
24–28 |
23–29 |
23–30 |
22–31 |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
73 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
74 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
75 |
19% |
99.6% |
|
76 |
2% |
80% |
Majority |
77 |
1.4% |
78% |
Last Result |
78 |
3% |
77% |
|
79 |
10% |
74% |
|
80 |
47% |
64% |
Median |
81 |
2% |
18% |
|
82 |
1.0% |
15% |
|
83 |
7% |
14% |
|
84 |
2% |
8% |
|
85 |
1.2% |
6% |
|
86 |
4% |
5% |
|
87 |
0.3% |
0.4% |
|
88 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
69 |
0% |
100% |
|
70 |
0.1% |
99.9% |
|
71 |
6% |
99.8% |
|
72 |
13% |
93% |
|
73 |
2% |
80% |
|
74 |
3% |
79% |
Last Result |
75 |
6% |
76% |
|
76 |
6% |
70% |
Majority |
77 |
47% |
64% |
Median |
78 |
2% |
17% |
|
79 |
6% |
15% |
|
80 |
4% |
9% |
|
81 |
0.7% |
5% |
|
82 |
0.1% |
5% |
|
83 |
4% |
5% |
|
84 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
71 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
72 |
0.5% |
99.9% |
|
73 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
74 |
0.8% |
99.1% |
|
75 |
1.5% |
98% |
|
76 |
15% |
97% |
Majority |
77 |
7% |
82% |
|
78 |
4% |
75% |
|
79 |
17% |
71% |
|
80 |
2% |
54% |
|
81 |
47% |
52% |
Median |
82 |
2% |
5% |
|
83 |
0.9% |
2% |
|
84 |
1.3% |
1.4% |
|
85 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
86 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
87 |
0% |
0% |
|
88 |
0% |
0% |
|
89 |
0% |
0% |
|
90 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
61 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
0% |
100% |
|
64 |
0% |
100% |
|
65 |
0% |
100% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
67 |
6% |
99.9% |
|
68 |
0.4% |
93% |
|
69 |
13% |
93% |
|
70 |
0.7% |
80% |
|
71 |
1.1% |
79% |
|
72 |
4% |
78% |
|
73 |
3% |
74% |
|
74 |
4% |
71% |
|
75 |
52% |
67% |
Median |
76 |
6% |
15% |
Majority |
77 |
5% |
9% |
|
78 |
2% |
3% |
|
79 |
2% |
2% |
|
80 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
81 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
82 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
64 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
65 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
66 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
67 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
69 |
1.0% |
99.1% |
|
70 |
13% |
98% |
|
71 |
2% |
85% |
|
72 |
13% |
83% |
|
73 |
13% |
70% |
|
74 |
50% |
57% |
Median |
75 |
2% |
8% |
|
76 |
2% |
5% |
Majority |
77 |
3% |
4% |
|
78 |
0.2% |
0.7% |
|
79 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
80 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
81 |
0% |
0% |
|
82 |
0% |
0% |
|
83 |
0% |
0% |
|
84 |
0% |
0% |
|
85 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
62 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
63 |
0.4% |
99.9% |
|
64 |
0.3% |
99.4% |
|
65 |
0.4% |
99.2% |
|
66 |
2% |
98.8% |
|
67 |
5% |
97% |
|
68 |
8% |
91% |
|
69 |
3% |
84% |
|
70 |
7% |
81% |
|
71 |
3% |
74% |
|
72 |
4% |
71% |
|
73 |
14% |
67% |
|
74 |
46% |
53% |
Median |
75 |
7% |
8% |
|
76 |
0.9% |
1.0% |
Majority |
77 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
78 |
0% |
0% |
|
79 |
0% |
0% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
58 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0% |
100% |
|
62 |
0% |
100% |
|
63 |
6% |
100% |
|
64 |
0.2% |
94% |
|
65 |
0.5% |
93% |
|
66 |
13% |
93% |
|
67 |
0.6% |
80% |
|
68 |
4% |
79% |
|
69 |
3% |
75% |
|
70 |
2% |
73% |
|
71 |
3% |
70% |
|
72 |
59% |
67% |
Median |
73 |
1.0% |
8% |
|
74 |
5% |
7% |
|
75 |
0.3% |
2% |
|
76 |
1.1% |
2% |
Majority |
77 |
0.6% |
0.7% |
|
78 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
79 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
80 |
0% |
0% |
|

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
57 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
58 |
0% |
100% |
|
59 |
0% |
100% |
|
60 |
0% |
100% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
62 |
7% |
99.9% |
|
63 |
13% |
93% |
|
64 |
0.5% |
80% |
|
65 |
3% |
80% |
|
66 |
3% |
77% |
|
67 |
5% |
73% |
|
68 |
2% |
69% |
|
69 |
52% |
67% |
Median |
70 |
8% |
16% |
|
71 |
0.7% |
7% |
|
72 |
4% |
7% |
|
73 |
1.4% |
3% |
|
74 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
75 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
54 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
55 |
0% |
100% |
|
56 |
0% |
100% |
|
57 |
0% |
100% |
|
58 |
6% |
100% |
|
59 |
0.2% |
93% |
|
60 |
13% |
93% |
|
61 |
1.1% |
80% |
|
62 |
3% |
79% |
|
63 |
4% |
76% |
|
64 |
4% |
72% |
|
65 |
3% |
68% |
|
66 |
56% |
65% |
Median |
67 |
2% |
9% |
|
68 |
0.3% |
7% |
|
69 |
4% |
6% |
|
70 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
71 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
|
72 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
55 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
56 |
0.2% |
99.7% |
|
57 |
0.5% |
99.5% |
|
58 |
13% |
99.0% |
|
59 |
1.1% |
86% |
|
60 |
7% |
85% |
|
61 |
3% |
78% |
|
62 |
18% |
75% |
|
63 |
48% |
57% |
Median |
64 |
1.1% |
10% |
|
65 |
4% |
8% |
|
66 |
1.5% |
4% |
|
67 |
3% |
3% |
|
68 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
69 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
|
73 |
0% |
0% |
|
74 |
0% |
0% |
|
75 |
0% |
0% |
|
76 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result, Majority |
GroenLinks – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
52 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
53 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
54 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
55 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
56 |
0.4% |
99.3% |
|
57 |
2% |
99.0% |
|
58 |
7% |
97% |
|
59 |
8% |
91% |
|
60 |
1.2% |
82% |
|
61 |
16% |
81% |
|
62 |
7% |
65% |
|
63 |
1.3% |
58% |
|
64 |
3% |
57% |
|
65 |
47% |
54% |
Median |
66 |
7% |
7% |
Last Result |
67 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
68 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
69 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
48 |
0% |
100% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
51 |
0.2% |
99.6% |
|
52 |
22% |
99.4% |
|
53 |
8% |
78% |
|
54 |
2% |
69% |
|
55 |
46% |
67% |
Median |
56 |
3% |
21% |
|
57 |
4% |
18% |
|
58 |
7% |
15% |
|
59 |
3% |
8% |
|
60 |
1.1% |
5% |
|
61 |
4% |
4% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
63 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
|
72 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
49 |
0% |
100% |
|
50 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
51 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
52 |
0.9% |
99.4% |
|
53 |
13% |
98.5% |
|
54 |
10% |
85% |
|
55 |
7% |
76% |
|
56 |
49% |
69% |
Median |
57 |
11% |
20% |
|
58 |
1.1% |
9% |
|
59 |
1.3% |
8% |
|
60 |
5% |
7% |
|
61 |
2% |
2% |
|
62 |
0.1% |
0.3% |
|
63 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
64 |
0% |
0% |
|
65 |
0% |
0% |
|
66 |
0% |
0% |
|
67 |
0% |
0% |
|
68 |
0% |
0% |
|
69 |
0% |
0% |
|
70 |
0% |
0% |
|
71 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
47 |
0% |
100% |
|
48 |
0.2% |
99.9% |
|
49 |
0.6% |
99.7% |
|
50 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
51 |
2% |
98% |
|
52 |
21% |
96% |
|
53 |
6% |
76% |
|
54 |
7% |
69% |
|
55 |
53% |
62% |
Median |
56 |
2% |
8% |
|
57 |
0.8% |
7% |
|
58 |
4% |
6% |
|
59 |
0.1% |
2% |
|
60 |
2% |
2% |
|
61 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Last Result |
62 |
0% |
0% |
|
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
43 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
44 |
0% |
99.9% |
|
45 |
0.2% |
99.8% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
99.6% |
|
47 |
0.3% |
99.5% |
|
48 |
0.8% |
99.2% |
|
49 |
5% |
98% |
|
50 |
48% |
94% |
Median |
51 |
8% |
46% |
|
52 |
21% |
38% |
|
53 |
3% |
17% |
|
54 |
11% |
14% |
|
55 |
0.7% |
2% |
|
56 |
0.6% |
2% |
|
57 |
1.0% |
1.2% |
|
58 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
59 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
60 |
0% |
0% |
|
61 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
37 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
38 |
0.1% |
99.7% |
|
39 |
7% |
99.6% |
|
40 |
14% |
93% |
|
41 |
3% |
79% |
|
42 |
4% |
76% |
|
43 |
6% |
72% |
|
44 |
50% |
66% |
Median |
45 |
8% |
16% |
|
46 |
2% |
8% |
|
47 |
4% |
7% |
|
48 |
2% |
3% |
|
49 |
0.2% |
0.3% |
|
50 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
51 |
0% |
0% |
|
52 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
32 |
0.2% |
100% |
|
33 |
0.1% |
99.8% |
|
34 |
0.3% |
99.7% |
|
35 |
6% |
99.4% |
|
36 |
2% |
93% |
|
37 |
3% |
91% |
|
38 |
20% |
88% |
|
39 |
5% |
68% |
|
40 |
50% |
63% |
Median |
41 |
8% |
13% |
|
42 |
3% |
5% |
|
43 |
1.1% |
3% |
|
44 |
2% |
2% |
|
45 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0% |
0% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
33 |
0.4% |
100% |
|
34 |
0.4% |
99.5% |
|
35 |
0.7% |
99.1% |
|
36 |
0.8% |
98% |
|
37 |
4% |
98% |
|
38 |
49% |
94% |
Median |
39 |
32% |
45% |
|
40 |
7% |
12% |
|
41 |
3% |
6% |
|
42 |
1.1% |
2% |
Last Result |
43 |
0.3% |
1.4% |
|
44 |
1.0% |
1.1% |
|
45 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
46 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
47 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid – ChristenUnie

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
26 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
27 |
0.3% |
99.8% |
|
28 |
0.4% |
99.6% |
|
29 |
3% |
99.1% |
|
30 |
21% |
96% |
|
31 |
6% |
75% |
|
32 |
11% |
69% |
|
33 |
3% |
58% |
Last Result |
34 |
3% |
54% |
|
35 |
51% |
52% |
Median |
36 |
0.4% |
0.5% |
|
37 |
0.1% |
0.2% |
|
38 |
0% |
0.1% |
|
39 |
0% |
0% |
|
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
23 |
0.1% |
100% |
|
24 |
2% |
99.9% |
|
25 |
5% |
98% |
|
26 |
14% |
93% |
|
27 |
4% |
78% |
|
28 |
15% |
74% |
|
29 |
51% |
60% |
Median |
30 |
3% |
8% |
|
31 |
2% |
6% |
|
32 |
4% |
4% |
|
33 |
0.2% |
0.4% |
|
34 |
0.2% |
0.2% |
|
35 |
0% |
0% |
|
36 |
0% |
0% |
|
37 |
0% |
0% |
|
38 |
0% |
0% |
Last Result |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij van de Arbeid

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
20 |
0% |
100% |
|
21 |
0.3% |
99.9% |
|
22 |
0.3% |
99.6% |
|
23 |
6% |
99.3% |
|
24 |
6% |
93% |
|
25 |
15% |
87% |
|
26 |
16% |
72% |
|
27 |
4% |
56% |
|
28 |
46% |
52% |
Last Result, Median |
29 |
1.3% |
6% |
|
30 |
3% |
5% |
|
31 |
1.4% |
1.5% |
|
32 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 21 May 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.93%