Opinion Poll by Peil.nl, 27 May–2 June 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 21.3% | 18.0% | 17.1–18.9% | 16.9–19.2% | 16.7–19.4% | 16.2–19.9% |
| Forum voor Democratie | 1.8% | 14.7% | 13.9–15.5% | 13.6–15.8% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.1–16.4% |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 5.7% | 12.0% | 11.3–12.8% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.5–13.6% |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 12.4% | 10.0% | 9.3–10.7% | 9.1–10.9% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.5% |
| GroenLinks | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7–10.1% | 8.5–10.3% | 8.3–10.4% | 8.0–10.8% |
| Democraten 66 | 12.2% | 6.7% | 6.1–7.3% | 6.0–7.5% | 5.8–7.6% | 5.6–7.9% |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 13.1% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| Socialistische Partij | 9.1% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8–5.9% | 4.7–6.1% | 4.6–6.2% | 4.4–6.5% |
| ChristenUnie | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2–5.2% | 4.1–5.3% | 4.0–5.5% | 3.7–5.8% |
| 50Plus | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9–3.8% | 2.8–3.9% | 2.7–4.0% | 2.6–4.3% |
| DENK | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3–3.1% | 2.2–3.2% | 2.1–3.3% | 2.0–3.5% |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1–1.6% | 1.0–1.7% | 1.0–1.8% | 0.9–2.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie | 33 | 28 | 27–29 | 26–30 | 26–30 | 25–30 |
| Forum voor Democratie | 2 | 22 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 21–24 | 20–26 |
| Partij van de Arbeid | 9 | 18 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–21 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 19 | 15 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–18 |
| GroenLinks | 14 | 14 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 |
| Democraten 66 | 19 | 9 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–12 |
| Partij voor de Vrijheid | 20 | 8 | 7–8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–10 |
| Socialistische Partij | 14 | 8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 6–10 |
| Partij voor de Dieren | 5 | 8 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–10 |
| ChristenUnie | 5 | 6 | 6–7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–8 |
| 50Plus | 4 | 5 | 4–5 | 4–6 | 4–6 | 4–6 |
| DENK | 3 | 4 | 3–4 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 3–5 |
| Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 3 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–3 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 8% | 98.8% | |
| 27 | 38% | 91% | |
| 28 | 40% | 53% | Median |
| 29 | 8% | 13% | |
| 30 | 5% | 5% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Forum voor Democratie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Forum voor Democratie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 20 | 1.3% | 99.6% | |
| 21 | 12% | 98% | |
| 22 | 65% | 86% | Median |
| 23 | 7% | 21% | |
| 24 | 13% | 14% | |
| 25 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 16 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 17 | 28% | 98% | |
| 18 | 23% | 70% | Median |
| 19 | 13% | 47% | |
| 20 | 2% | 34% | |
| 21 | 32% | 32% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch Appèl page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 13 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 14 | 12% | 97% | |
| 15 | 46% | 85% | Median |
| 16 | 20% | 39% | |
| 17 | 18% | 19% | |
| 18 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 20 | 0% | 0% |
GroenLinks
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the GroenLinks page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 5% | 100% | |
| 13 | 12% | 95% | |
| 14 | 37% | 83% | Last Result, Median |
| 15 | 26% | 47% | |
| 16 | 21% | 21% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Democraten 66
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Democraten 66 page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 2% | 100% | |
| 9 | 53% | 98% | Median |
| 10 | 33% | 45% | |
| 11 | 11% | 12% | |
| 12 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Vrijheid
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Vrijheid page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 7 | 23% | 99.3% | |
| 8 | 67% | 76% | Median |
| 9 | 8% | 9% | |
| 10 | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Socialistische Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Socialistische Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 7 | 8% | 98.6% | |
| 8 | 80% | 91% | Median |
| 9 | 8% | 11% | |
| 10 | 3% | 3% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij voor de Dieren
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij voor de Dieren page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 7 | 9% | 99.4% | |
| 8 | 85% | 90% | Median |
| 9 | 4% | 5% | |
| 10 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
ChristenUnie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ChristenUnie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 6 | 57% | 98% | Median |
| 7 | 35% | 40% | |
| 8 | 5% | 6% | |
| 9 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
50Plus
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the 50Plus page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 25% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 5 | 66% | 75% | Median |
| 6 | 9% | 9% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
DENK
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the DENK page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 3 | 45% | 99.7% | Last Result |
| 4 | 49% | 55% | Median |
| 5 | 6% | 6% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17% | 100% | |
| 2 | 81% | 83% | Median |
| 3 | 2% | 2% | Last Result |
| 4 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 85 | 78 | 97% | 76–79 | 76–80 | 75–80 | 74–82 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 77 | 75 | 15% | 74–76 | 72–78 | 71–79 | 71–79 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 74 | 73 | 6% | 72–74 | 71–76 | 70–77 | 70–77 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 90 | 73 | 8% | 72–75 | 71–76 | 71–76 | 70–78 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 61 | 72 | 2% | 70–73 | 69–74 | 68–75 | 68–76 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie | 80 | 73 | 0.6% | 71–74 | 70–74 | 69–74 | 68–76 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus | 58 | 70 | 0% | 69–71 | 68–72 | 67–73 | 67–74 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij | 57 | 67 | 0% | 66–68 | 64–70 | 63–70 | 63–72 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 54 | 65 | 0% | 64–66 | 63–68 | 62–69 | 62–70 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 66 | 65 | 0% | 63–66 | 61–66 | 61–67 | 60–67 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 61 | 62 | 0% | 60–64 | 58–64 | 58–64 | 58–65 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie | 76 | 59 | 0% | 58–61 | 57–62 | 57–62 | 56–63 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66 | 61 | 56 | 0% | 53–58 | 53–58 | 53–58 | 52–59 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 71 | 52 | 0% | 52–54 | 51–55 | 51–56 | 49–56 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid | 72 | 51 | 0% | 49–52 | 49–53 | 48–53 | 47–54 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid | 42 | 46 | 0% | 44–49 | 44–49 | 44–49 | 42–49 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 47 | 44 | 0% | 42–45 | 41–45 | 41–46 | 40–47 |
| Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 52 | 43 | 0% | 41–44 | 41–45 | 41–45 | 40–46 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie | 33 | 41 | 0% | 38–42 | 38–42 | 38–43 | 37–44 |
| Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl | 28 | 35 | 0% | 32–36 | 31–36 | 31–36 | 30–37 |
| Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 | 38 | 25 | 0% | 24–27 | 23–27 | 23–27 | 23–29 |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 75 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 76 | 26% | 97% | Median, Majority |
| 77 | 6% | 71% | |
| 78 | 21% | 64% | |
| 79 | 35% | 43% | |
| 80 | 6% | 8% | |
| 81 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 71 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 1.1% | 96% | |
| 73 | 2% | 95% | |
| 74 | 13% | 92% | |
| 75 | 64% | 80% | Median |
| 76 | 8% | 15% | Majority |
| 77 | 2% | 7% | Last Result |
| 78 | 2% | 5% | |
| 79 | 3% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 70 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 71 | 4% | 95% | |
| 72 | 4% | 92% | |
| 73 | 72% | 88% | Median |
| 74 | 7% | 16% | Last Result |
| 75 | 3% | 9% | |
| 76 | 2% | 6% | Majority |
| 77 | 4% | 4% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 69 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 70 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 71 | 6% | 98% | |
| 72 | 36% | 93% | Median |
| 73 | 7% | 56% | |
| 74 | 6% | 50% | |
| 75 | 36% | 44% | |
| 76 | 7% | 8% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% | |
| 90 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 70 | 5% | 95% | |
| 71 | 6% | 90% | |
| 72 | 68% | 84% | Median |
| 73 | 7% | 16% | |
| 74 | 6% | 9% | |
| 75 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 76 | 1.4% | 2% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – Socialistische Partij – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 68 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 97% | Median |
| 71 | 8% | 93% | |
| 72 | 7% | 85% | |
| 73 | 59% | 78% | |
| 74 | 17% | 19% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.4% | 0.6% | Majority |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – 50Plus
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 4% | 95% | |
| 69 | 7% | 91% | |
| 70 | 62% | 84% | Median |
| 71 | 13% | 23% | |
| 72 | 5% | 10% | |
| 73 | 3% | 4% | |
| 74 | 2% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 96% | |
| 65 | 3% | 95% | |
| 66 | 12% | 91% | |
| 67 | 49% | 80% | Median |
| 68 | 23% | 31% | |
| 69 | 2% | 8% | |
| 70 | 4% | 6% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 2% | |
| 72 | 1.4% | 1.4% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Forum voor Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 4% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 3% | 95% | |
| 64 | 7% | 93% | |
| 65 | 53% | 85% | Median |
| 66 | 22% | 32% | |
| 67 | 4% | 10% | |
| 68 | 3% | 6% | |
| 69 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 1.3% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – GroenLinks – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 4% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 93% | Median |
| 63 | 7% | 91% | |
| 64 | 5% | 84% | |
| 65 | 59% | 79% | |
| 66 | 17% | 21% | Last Result |
| 67 | 3% | 3% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 6% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 3% | 94% | |
| 60 | 26% | 91% | |
| 61 | 5% | 65% | Last Result, Median |
| 62 | 21% | 60% | |
| 63 | 7% | 40% | |
| 64 | 32% | 33% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66 – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 8% | 99.2% | |
| 58 | 34% | 92% | Median |
| 59 | 25% | 58% | |
| 60 | 20% | 32% | |
| 61 | 4% | 12% | |
| 62 | 6% | 9% | |
| 63 | 2% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% | Last Result, Majority |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 1.3% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 15% | 98.6% | |
| 54 | 3% | 83% | |
| 55 | 29% | 80% | Median |
| 56 | 5% | 51% | |
| 57 | 7% | 46% | |
| 58 | 38% | 39% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 1.5% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 51 | 8% | 98% | |
| 52 | 55% | 90% | Median |
| 53 | 7% | 35% | |
| 54 | 20% | 28% | |
| 55 | 5% | 8% | |
| 56 | 3% | 3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Partij voor de Vrijheid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 46 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 47 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 49 | 12% | 97% | |
| 50 | 5% | 86% | |
| 51 | 66% | 81% | Median |
| 52 | 6% | 14% | |
| 53 | 7% | 9% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Partij van de Arbeid
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 1.4% | 100% | Last Result |
| 43 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 44 | 21% | 98% | |
| 45 | 25% | 77% | |
| 46 | 7% | 51% | Median |
| 47 | 5% | 44% | |
| 48 | 6% | 39% | |
| 49 | 34% | 34% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 5% | 99.2% | |
| 42 | 24% | 94% | Median |
| 43 | 8% | 70% | |
| 44 | 12% | 62% | |
| 45 | 47% | 50% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.7% | 0.7% | Last Result |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 41 | 12% | 98% | |
| 42 | 4% | 86% | |
| 43 | 55% | 82% | Median |
| 44 | 19% | 27% | |
| 45 | 6% | 8% | |
| 46 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl – ChristenUnie
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 37 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 9% | 98% | |
| 39 | 7% | 89% | Median |
| 40 | 27% | 82% | |
| 41 | 19% | 55% | |
| 42 | 33% | 36% | |
| 43 | 2% | 3% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid – Christen-Democratisch Appèl
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 29 | 0% | 100% | |
| 30 | 1.3% | 100% | |
| 31 | 7% | 98.6% | |
| 32 | 4% | 91% | |
| 33 | 28% | 88% | Median |
| 34 | 10% | 60% | |
| 35 | 18% | 50% | |
| 36 | 31% | 32% | |
| 37 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch Appèl – Democraten 66
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 23 | 7% | 99.6% | |
| 24 | 35% | 92% | Median |
| 25 | 28% | 57% | |
| 26 | 9% | 29% | |
| 27 | 18% | 19% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Peil.nl
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 27 May–2 June 2019
Calculations
- Sample size: 3000
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.41%